Musicmystery -> RE: What is it about Trump ... ? (8/25/2017 10:02:41 AM)
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ORIGINAL: FirmhandKY quote:
ORIGINAL: Marini I hope to live to see a viable THIRD party actually WIN an election!!!! An effective, powerful third party has been tried, played with, and talked about for quite a while, almost aways during some time of turbulence. The history, and the structural organization of the US does not bode well for the emergence of a third party, through a natural progression of events. I do think that there is a strong possibility that the Republican party will, however, transition to something closer to its stated principles, especially if the current logjam in Congress continues through the next election. Both current parties can be broken down into two major factions. Using common political terminology, the Republicans are made up of "establishment" Republicans (GOPe) and "TEA Party" or "Conservative" Republicans (GOPc). Mostly, the GOPc is the Trump wing. I think the odds are pretty high that in the 2018 elections, that the GOPc will gain a lot of seats and power within Congress and the GOP, and that split could engender a split in which the GOPe and the less radical Democratic Party members coalesce into a new third party. That would leave the rump Democratic Party more of a socialist party. Interesting concepts that I'm playing with, not sure how it might all finally play out. Firm Agreed it would be a difficult birth for any 3rd party. That said: - third parties bear responsibility when they advance protest candidates instead of broadly qualified ones - The Whigs were once the other major party. Republicans did them in. - Progressives are not happy inside the neo-Democratic party (the other oligarchy party). - The current mess in the GOP is unsustainable long term. Something has to happen. Not sure what. However: - the Constitution strongly favors a 2-party system, given the requirement to win the presidency by 50+%. - even if a third party "won" and carried 49% of the vote, the election would go to the House. I suppose one "solution" is having a third party majority in the House first. That's . . . unlikely. Or a massive compromise deal. In today's Congressional environment, also unlikely. One solution would be ranked voting. People could vote their conscience without "wasting" their vote. That would at least give a third party candidate a chance, if they were very, very popular. And if party electors were faithful. Or...change the Constitution to have runoffs. With ranked voting, that could happen automatically, without a second election. But . . . the current 2-party Congress and state governments would have to agree. And it's in their own selfish interests not to agree. Best path? An amazing campaign by an Independent, faithful electors, and a takeover of Congress by third parties. Not looking good. But we have to start somewhere. That's why I encouraged people not supporting Trump/Clinton to vote Johnson/Stein. They weren't going to win, but it helps build the ballot line, matching campaign funding, and increases public awareness of options. I consider it a vote building toward the future in an election where I couldn't in good conscience vote for either primary winner. And speaking of that -- I also favor open primaries in every state. Surprisingly, Schumer supports that in NY (curious because the current shut-out helps establishment Democrats, but I'm glad he does. We'll see where it goes).
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