RE: The ice is melting on Mars (Full Version)

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herfacechair -> RE: The ice is melting on Mars (10/12/2007 7:20:09 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Meatcleaver

I accept we're still waiting for some of the human species to catch up, then there are those that never will.


There’s allot of scientific data that shows that humans didn’t cause the current warming period. In fact, there were periods in the past where there was more CO2 in the atmosphere and where it was much warmer than it is now.

In fact, during a part of the last interglacial period, sea levels were 18 feet higher than they are now.

Speaking of interglacial, we’re currently at the end, or toward the end of an interglacial.

Here’s what I see.

1. Large parts of the world are warming up, and it’s not due to human activity.

2. Other parts of the world, specifically the poles, are getting cooler.

Both those conditions create a self feeding cycle that leads to point three:

3.  We’re actually headed into a cooler period, whether that’s a mini ice age, or the big one.

I don’t believe that humans are going to suspend a cycle that’s been going on for millions of years. 100,000 year cycles with approximately 90,000 years of glaciation and 10,000 years of interglacial periods.

Different arguments put those numbers at different ratios. But no matter which model you look at, we’re at the end of an interglacial, headed toward the end, or are long overdue for another ice age.




herfacechair -> RE: The ice is melting on Mars (10/12/2007 7:26:00 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: FullCircle

I thought they only just found out the planet had water and now they can tell ice is melting? So you have to ask yourself with such limited knowledge of the climate cycle of mars how could they or anyone else say it’s to do with anything? In ten years it might freeze again and we’ll all still be none the wiser as to what goes on on mars.


The point they made was that another planet is showing global warming signs. Solar physicists have seen a relation between solar activity and our climate. Throwing the point about Mars into the argument bolsters the argument that the Sun is more of a culprit than humans.




herfacechair -> RE: The ice is melting on Mars (10/12/2007 7:31:44 PM)

Now, for those who’re confident that global warming is human caused, and that it’s so “obvious” that everybody else should believe it, here’s an opportunity for you to make money.

If you could scientifically prove that humans are causing global warming, you could win $125,000.00. Nobody has taken these people up.

Here’s the website offering that challenge:


http://www.junkscience.com/

Here are the challenge rules:

http://ultimateglobalwarmingchallenge.com/

Good luck if you take the challenge. [:D]




kdsub -> RE: The ice is melting on Mars (10/12/2007 8:15:42 PM)

How many people that have made posts in this thread are Climatologists?  If you are please post your credentials. None of the posters here, including me, know their ass from a hole in the ground but it does not stop them from making wild uninformed and stupid statements that they call fact.

The debate amount people that know what they are talking about has not reached a total consensus as to why… even though there is a majority view…. but they have stated there is danger ahead without action.

In the end it will make little difference how we got to this point and time, but it may what we do from this point on.

Butch




herfacechair -> RE: The ice is melting on Mars (10/12/2007 9:02:05 PM)

kdsub: How many people that have made posts in this thread are Climatologists? If you are please post your credentials.

Unlike an argument about a war, we’re arguing about something where anybody here can access information . . . especially information dealing with climate change.

I’m not a climatologist, but I’ve based allot of my arguments on what actual climatologists - who disagree with the so called “consensus” - have said.

I’ve also based my arguments on my observations, from years of jogging the same route, experiencing the increasingly colder winters, etc to my tracking global weather for almost a year.

And you don’t need to be a climatologist to know that when two Minnesota cities hit 32 and 33 degree lows respectively - in August 18 - when it’s supposed to be hot, the north pole isn’t getting warmer as global warming alarmists would like for you to believe.


kdsub: None of the posters here, including me, know their ass from a hole in the ground but it does not stop them from making wild uninformed and stupid statements that they call fact.

Speak for yourself.

Now, here’s one comment where I said that was fact:

“In fact, during a part of the last interglacial period, sea levels were 18 feet higher than they are now.” herfacechair


http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v404/n6778/abs/404591a0.html

quote:

During the last interglacial period (the Eemian), global sea level was at least three metres, and probably more than five metres, higher than at present


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sea_level_rise

quote:

During the previous interglacial about 120,000 years ago, sea level was for a short time about 6 m higher than today, as evidenced by wave-cut notches along cliffs in the Bahamas.


http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v289/n5797/abs/289481a0.html

quote:

We show that during the last interglacial period, sea level was only above its present level for a few thousand years at about 125 kyr when it stood at +4 to +6m.


There are other facts that I presented in my series of responses, such as the ice age cycles, and solar activity as it affects our climates.

So, the burden on you is to prove that what I mentioned didn’t happen before you say that people are making “wild” and “uninformed” statements and labeling them as fact.


kdsub: The debate amount people that know what they are talking about has not reached a total consensus as to why… even though there is a majority view…. but they have stated there is danger ahead without action.

That “consensus” isn’t a majority. In fact, there isn’t a consensus:

It's not 2,500 people offering their consensus, I participated in that. Each person who is an author writes one or two pages in conjunction with someone else.” - Dr. Lindzen

“Ultimately, it is written by representatives of governments, of environmental organizations like the Union of Concerned Scientists, and industrial organizations, each seeking their own benefit.” - Dr. Lindzen

The reality is that the debate is still going on in the scientific community. They’re still debating about whether we’re causing global warming or not. Many are even saying that there hasn’t been any significant temperature increases.

Both satellite and weather balloon data substantiates those latest claims.

When you have a disagreement on something where there’s overwhelming evidence against the idea that we’re the one’s “causing” it, working on a “consensus” defeats the purpose of science.

But the reality is that there isn’t a consensus in the scientific community, or even among climatologists, that we’re causing global warming, or that the world is warming up to catastrophic levels.

That danger is overstated, and it’s based on computer models that don’t incorporate every climate variable that affects real world climate.

In the meantime, we have scientists with strong evidence that what these computers predict is nothing but hype.

What you’re suggesting here is for us to work on a solution to a non existent problem, based on faulty computer model results.


kdsub: In the end it will make little difference how we got to this point and time, but it may what we do from this point on.

Actually, it does.

Global warming is part of a natural cycle. The world has gotten warmer in the past, without our help. Our ancestors survived the recent global warming periods, we’ll survive future global warming periods, as they’re part of a natural cycle.

But if the world is going to warm up to the levels it was before (allot warmer than today), there’s nothing we could do about it. Even if we did everything in our power to bring our green house gas immissions down to zero.




kdsub -> RE: The ice is melting on Mars (10/12/2007 9:21:12 PM)

Touchy touchy… I did include myself as not knowing… You must have slipped on the ice and hit your head a few times while jogging on those cold nights making your personal observations on climate change. Hell Einstein had an epiphany and taught himself geometry when he was 12, so I guess you could teach yourself Climatology after a few hours on the net.

Please excuse my doubts on your qualifications… I bow my head to such genius.




DomKen -> RE: The ice is melting on Mars (10/12/2007 10:04:09 PM)

In one post it's claimed that human CO2 emmisions account for 'only' 5% of total CO2 emmissions. Got proof of that? BTW what percentage of anthrogenic CO2 emmisions are excess emmissions, IOW beyond the environments ability to contain in the carbon cycle and therefore likely to remain in the atmosphere long term?

Of course its been warmer before on Earth. Of course human civilization, with its propensity for living near coasts and reliance on temperate climate food crops, didn't exist then. If the Earth warms sufficierntly for sea levels to rise 6 meters how many billions of people will be displaced? How much presently arable land will be lost underwater or be abandoned due to changes in climate? Can human civilization survive such changes? Can Homo Sapiens as a species survive such an event?

As to junkscience.com and Steven Milloy's supposed challenge, I will simply note that any contest where the opposition is teh sole judge is a contest not set up to be won. For anyone interested though googling for Steven milloy should provide some quite useful insights on whether or not this individual is a useful source on anything.




MzMia -> RE: The ice is melting on Mars (10/12/2007 10:40:15 PM)

I agree with the post about getting Al Gore involved in investigating this.
Al Gore will be our best bet here.




ChicagoSwitchMal -> RE: The ice is melting on Mars (10/12/2007 11:22:23 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: kdsub

How many people that have made posts in this thread are Climatologists?  If you are please post your credentials. None of the posters here, including me, know their ass from a hole in the ground but it does not stop them from making wild uninformed and stupid statements that they call fact.




I guess that kd thinks if you are not an "expert" you are not entitled to an opinion or to voice it. You should only listen to, and have blind faith in, "experts" because they are, well - experts. Just trust that their motivations is for the greater good. kd - if you disagree with this statement just smile and nod. You're not an expert on my expert opinion of experts.




popeye1250 -> RE: The ice is melting on Mars (10/12/2007 11:29:03 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: MzMia

I agree with the post about getting Al Gore involved in investigating this.
Al Gore will be our best bet here.


Al Gore is a snake-oil salesman.
He said tonight on CNN that the rest of the world is comming along on Global Warming.
Oh? Does he mean China, India and Brazil?




Rule -> RE: The ice is melting on Mars (10/13/2007 2:43:03 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: kdsub
How many people that have made posts in this thread are Climatologists?  If you are please post your credentials. None of the posters here, including me, know their ass from a hole in the ground

Neither do climatologists.
 
When studying unknown phenomena scientists are qualified to establish facts. However, they usually are not qualified to interpret those facts.
 
Decades and even centuries may pass before science arrives at a complete understanding of a phenomenon and at a scientific truth. The theory of general relativity is an example of this observation: it is about ninety years old and just plain wrong.
 
We will know the truth about this global warming hysteria in about two centuries time.




Aneirin -> RE: The ice is melting on Mars (10/13/2007 2:43:21 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: kdsub

How many people that have made posts in this thread are Climatologists?  If you are please post your credentials. None of the posters here, including me, know their ass from a hole in the ground

Th
Butch


What qualifications in climatology does Al Gore have and for that matter any other politician, yet so so many are quick to believe what he and his ilk are saying.As has been exposed in Mr Gore's documentary, facts used were not complete facts, he only took the parts that suited his purpose and there painted such a grim picture.

I am of reasonable intelligence, I when confronted with a scare such as this, do my own research and read information freely here on the web,the pro's and the con's and there make my own decision, but reserve the right to modify that decision based on new evidence.

In this Country, we have our servicemen risking their lives in Iraq,many have died for a lie propogated by politicians.Mal information was twisted to give an impression of a serious threat that had to be quelled with all haste,we all know about that.The countries trusted the words of one or two politicians.

With this freedom of information,we are all capable of drawing our own conclusions about events,conclusions based upon facts,not the ravings of a megalomaniac.





meatcleaver -> RE: The ice is melting on Mars (10/13/2007 3:00:11 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: herfacechair

quote:

ORIGINAL: Meatcleaver

I accept we're still waiting for some of the human species to catch up, then there are those that never will.


There’s allot of scientific data that shows that humans didn’t cause the current warming period. In fact, there were periods in the past where there was more CO2 in the atmosphere and where it was much warmer than it is now.

In fact, during a part of the last interglacial period, sea levels were 18 feet higher than they are now.

Speaking of interglacial, we’re currently at the end, or toward the end of an interglacial.

Here’s what I see.

1. Large parts of the world are warming up, and it’s not due to human activity.

2. Other parts of the world, specifically the poles, are getting cooler.

Both those conditions create a self feeding cycle that leads to point three:

3.  We’re actually headed into a cooler period, whether that’s a mini ice age, or the big one.

I don’t believe that humans are going to suspend a cycle that’s been going on for millions of years. 100,000 year cycles with approximately 90,000 years of glaciation and 10,000 years of interglacial periods.

Different arguments put those numbers at different ratios. But no matter which model you look at, we’re at the end of an interglacial, headed toward the end, or are long overdue for another ice age.



Obviously you are better qualified than just about every respected scientist in the world. Wow, the world is missing a genius in you. You have said nothing new and have nailed your colours clearly to the ostrich brigade's flag. Humans are not going to suspend any cycle, nature doesn't work in cycles, nothing is repeated, different events occur, that is why you can't predict the weather from one year to the next (don't mistake weather for climate, that would show how fragile your genius is.)




kdsub -> RE: The ice is melting on Mars (10/13/2007 10:18:24 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Aneirin

With this freedom of information,we are all capable of drawing our own conclusions about events,conclusions based upon facts,not the ravings of a megalomaniac.




So Al Gore is a megalomaniac now.

Maybe you would be so kind as to list your contributions to society.
Certainly you can’t complain about Mr. Gore having political opinions… you and he are brothers is this respect. Except he has guts enough to act on his convictions rather then sit back in a chat room and make snide useless remarks.

I can’t believe “I”, a political conservative, am defending Al Gore…see what you made me do!!!


Butch




popeye1250 -> RE: The ice is melting on Mars (10/13/2007 10:48:10 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: kdsub

Touchy touchy… I did include myself as not knowing… You must have slipped on the ice and hit your head a few times while jogging on those cold nights making your personal observations on climate change. Hell Einstein had an epiphany and taught himself geometry when he was 12, so I guess you could teach yourself Climatology after a few hours on the net.

Please excuse my doubts on your qualifications… I bow my head to such genius.


Al Gore isn't an expert either.
He didn't study Climatology in school either.
Didn't he study Religion or Theology or something like that?
And, Wolf Blitzer of CNN asked him if he thought the "U.N." could possibly do "anything" about global warming given the pervaisive corruption in that organisation and he replied in the positive.
The Nobel Peace Prize used to be an honor but now it's been politicised.




kdsub -> RE: The ice is melting on Mars (10/13/2007 11:57:23 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: popeye1250

Al Gore isn't an expert either.
He didn't study Climatology in school either.
Didn't he study Religion or Theology or something like that?
And, Wolf Blitzer of CNN asked him if he thought the "U.N." could possibly do "anything" about global warming given the pervaisive corruption in that organisation and he replied in the positive.
The Nobel Peace Prize used to be an honor but now it's been politicised.

If Al Gore were to make claims in this chat room I would ask him to list is sources...but to attack him simply because he disagrees with some here is counterproductive.

It seems people like to read some but not all the posts...I am not choosing sides over what has caused the problem but what to do about it if there is anything that can be done. Now I can say that most all agree there is Global warming natural or man made makes no difference.

Planning could include making long term plans to move people way from the coasts. Maybe think how to redistribute food production. Determining if pollutants are having an effect and is there anything we could are should do to limit them.
Is there a time period where we need to start with the changes or can we take out time as politically convenient.

Butch




popeye1250 -> RE: The ice is melting on Mars (10/13/2007 1:02:52 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: kdsub

quote:

ORIGINAL: popeye1250

Al Gore isn't an expert either.
He didn't study Climatology in school either.
Didn't he study Religion or Theology or something like that?
And, Wolf Blitzer of CNN asked him if he thought the "U.N." could possibly do "anything" about global warming given the pervaisive corruption in that organisation and he replied in the positive.
The Nobel Peace Prize used to be an honor but now it's been politicised.

If Al Gore were to make claims in this chat room I would ask him to list is sources...but to attack him simply because he disagrees with some here is counterproductive.

It seems people like to read some but not all the posts...I am not choosing sides over what has caused the problem but what to do about it if there is anything that can be done. Now I can say that most all agree there is Global warming natural or man made makes no difference.

Planning could include making long term plans to move people way from the coasts. Maybe think how to redistribute food production. Determining if pollutants are having an effect and is there anything we could are should do to limit them.
Is there a time period where we need to start with the changes or can we take out time as politically convenient.

Butch


And you'd want the "U.N." involved in those things in any way?




Aneirin -> RE: The ice is melting on Mars (10/13/2007 1:14:43 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: kdsub

quote:

ORIGINAL: Aneirin

With this freedom of information,we are all capable of drawing our own conclusions about events,conclusions based upon facts,not the ravings of a megalomaniac.




So Al Gore is a megalomaniac now.

Maybe you would be so kind as to list your contributions to society.
Certainly you can’t complain about Mr. Gore having political opinions… you and he are brothers is this respect. Except he has guts enough to act on his convictions rather then sit back in a chat room and make snide useless remarks.

I can’t believe “I”, a political conservative, am defending Al Gore…see what you made me do!!!


Butch


My apologies to you for 'making' you do something you did not want to do, (if I did) , in defending Al Gore.You have your oppinion as I have mine and I have a right to those oppinions as does Al Gore have his.I will not dispute that.

Perhaps I have a dim view of politicians, those who seek to report pending catastrophe with all the fervour of a used car lot salesman.Like a salesman, their aim is to ultimately serve themselves.Do they really care that much about people to be what they are, or can they use people to become what they want.

There are many people who help people, far more of them than politicians, people who shun the limelight and do what they do without fuss.People who are more than willing to get their hands dirty in the service of others.Those of the caring profession come to mind as do those unpaid volunteers who sometimes do what they do in their own spare time. These people contribute to society, the unsung heroes,the real people, people I do respect.

If it were that a politician has a skill in motivating people, I would have more respect if that politician calmly reported on the collated research of learned and experienced people, all of it, the fors and againsts and there invite discussion, and there action if required. Not run around like a headless chicken sqwawking doom and more doom, picking out only the 'sexy' bits to create alarm and impact.






kdsub -> RE: The ice is melting on Mars (10/13/2007 1:17:19 PM)

Aneirin... that we can agree on for sure

Butch




kdsub -> RE: The ice is melting on Mars (10/13/2007 1:29:12 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: popeye1250

And you'd want the "U.N." involved in those things in any way?


What choice do we have? The UN is by its nature ineffectual… just like us in this thread too many differing ideas with conviction.

The UN stands by and debates as people die.

Corruption is everywhere.

Too much power in the Security Council no decisions can be made without vetoes.

There is no backbone to stand up to powerful nations.

Other than the above there is no other organization or country that can dictate action…even hypothetically.

Butch  




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