joiduvie
Posts: 15
Joined: 4/30/2007 Status: offline
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The vast majority of foreclosures are on fixed rate mortgages. ARM"s make up a very small percentage. The vast majority of loans that have gone south, have been underwritten by automated systems, that spit out the loan requirements. Wall Street found this acceptable, as did FNMA , FLMC, FHA and HUD. The problem is, in the use of automated systems, during a period of high ecconomic growth, people did not take into account that the money they were borrowing today, they could not once again bail themselves out with a cash out refi in another 18 mos. People over extended themselves in a time that credit card companies banded together and changed credit card laws. Now instead of long term teaser rates, payments are to be made towards principle balances. If you are late on one card, all cards can raise your interest rate without notification. This has caught many unprepared. People have a tendency to be comfortable with a certain level of debt, should they refi and pay it off, they soon find themselves with the same debt load. People started relying heavily on stated income, where they stated employment and income under penalty of perjury. Now they say they were preasured into this. The down turn in the market, and the increasing rates do effect people. Instead of values increasing 3% a month, allowing room for people to refi and get a breather, they are now instead declining. No one can say they did not understand the terms of the loan they recieved and be believable, they sign acknowledging at least 20 times. But the mortgage industry failure does not just effect those loosing their homes but now 100k people have lost their jobs, with an estimated 200k more. This will effect everyone in the economy, not just those who are currently in the industry or in the process of loosing their homes. The goverment bail out may only effect 8% of the people who are facing foreclosure, as these people will have to actually qualify for their loan. With declining incomes nationwide, this is not going to be as easily done as said. There is no quick fix here, even should the rates be frozen, most cannot afford what they borrowed. Heck, most do not even have a vested equity interest in their properties. Instead they borrowed 100% or close to it, and have since refinanced cash out. What do they loose, they had rent they could write off. The next thing will be people will refinance who can afford it, and take cash, not for their current home, but instead to buy a bigger home and walk away from their current residence, as making the payments will not make fiscal sense. This does not just effect Alt A borrowers or those who borrowed under an ARM but everyone around them. As foreclosures increase, values tank, good luck selling your home, the value will not be there. Heck if you purchased in the last two years, it is probable the value is not there now for the price you paid.
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