"How to fix the entitlement crisis" (Full Version)

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Level -> "How to fix the entitlement crisis" (5/21/2008 4:11:34 PM)

quote:


While Congress will have a partisan debate over the federal budget this week, there is a growing, bipartisan consensus about the greatest threat to our nation's long-term economic prosperity: the explosion of entitlement spending. Unfortunately, Washington is not planning to address that problem this week, or any time soon. By doing nothing, we are shackling our future with unsustainable debt and taxes.



According to the Congressional Budget Office, Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid and the rest of government will consume nearly 40% of the economy by the time my three young children reach my age (38). This will require more than doubling the average tax burden of the past 40 years just to keep the government afloat. Continuing down this path will eventually strangle our economy.



To meet this challenge and secure our fiscal future, I'm introducing a comprehensive legislative plan called "A Roadmap for America's Future." Here are its components:


http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121132850555608905.html?mod=opinion_main_commentaries




thornhappy -> RE: "How to fix the entitlement crisis" (5/21/2008 4:40:06 PM)

Hi Level--

The amount of money proposed so you could buy your own insurance won't cover the costs for anyone with pre-existing conditions [if you could even find a plan to take you], especially as you approach age 55 (premiums would be in excess of $1000.)  And tax credits are just about useless if you don't pay much in taxes (i.e., you're poor) in the first place.

Social Security would be about 95% funded well into this century if you simply dropped the cap on deductions.  Now I think you don't pay in after $87,000 (single, about $170,000 married) - keep up deductions after that and you'd pull in a lot of money towards SS. 

thornhappy






Level -> RE: "How to fix the entitlement crisis" (5/21/2008 5:03:58 PM)

Hi thorn; I agree on your points about the insurance. What he's proposing seems slighty simplistic, which may not be bad for a start, but it'd require more to actually garner my support.
 
I'm not sure I get what you're talking about on the deductions cap, though.




Real_Trouble -> RE: "How to fix the entitlement crisis" (5/21/2008 5:07:46 PM)

How about we cut benefits?

The same people who voted for politicians repeatedly that were spending away the money needed for these programs would be the ones having their benefits cut.

Poetic justice.




pahunkboy -> RE: "How to fix the entitlement crisis" (5/21/2008 7:46:24 PM)

passing debt to our children is a misnomer. Why? because we ARE the children...that is to say the recipient of the elders debt.

the SS lock box- every dollar has been spent- in part on the war.


we own over 55 trillion $.  the 9 trill is a wrong number.

as to fixing things. SS will be somewhat easy to fix.  a bi-panel is being formed i seen on c-span and everything is on the table.

the wreck will be medicare-medicaid- which is riddled in fraud and waste.

like it or not- healthcare reform is needed.  while i dont think universal care is doable- i do think that there is PLENTY of room to achieve the same bang for 1/2 the buck.

as to tax reform it is needed.  however not as phrazed by the dems or the gop. the problem is obtuse tax escapeism.   smoke and mirror accounting- so enthralled in mystery even wall street doesnt beleive its own accounting method- hence the forclosure bail out.

the elite wont allow real reform, nor with the lawyers.

lawyers have very stinky feet.......                       and I for one am tired of the stench!  




subfever -> RE: "How to fix the entitlement crisis" (5/22/2008 2:37:19 PM)

It's time to start phasing out entitlements, along with some other major changes. 




cyberdude611 -> RE: "How to fix the entitlement crisis" (5/22/2008 3:28:13 PM)

CUT! CUT! CUT!

And we CANNOT do universal healthcare. If we do that right now this country will surely go into bankruptcy. We dont have the money to send 300 million Americans to the doctor and pay for every test, every procedure, and every surgery. We just dont have the money. We also dont have enough doctors. I right now cant get an appoitment (non-emergency) with my doctor for 2 months. He's that booked. If we have universal healthacre....how long will I have to wait then? A year?

And when you start forcing doctors to take paycuts in order to lower healthcare costs....more doctors will leave the practice. This is exactly what has happened to education. We are losing teachers because we are opening more schools and to pay for rising education costs we have to reduce teacher salaries. When you make more money as an Assistant Manager at McDonalds than teaching a High School class....you have to be nuts to go to school, pay $20,000 for a Masters degree and be a teacher. So we now have a teacher shortage and class sizes are going up and test scores are going down.
All the great minds out there that are becoming doctors will become lawyers or businessmen if they feel they can make more money doing something other than medicine.

Government is NOT the answer to our problems.




thornhappy -> RE: "How to fix the entitlement crisis" (5/22/2008 4:47:48 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Level

I'm not sure I get what you're talking about on the deductions cap, though.

If you make over 90k or so (single), you'll find that the last two or three paychecks won't have social security deducted from your check.  That's because you only contribute a percentage (6.2%ish) of your paycheck until your gross income exceeds about 87k. 

So if you make $1,000,000 you pay the same social security taxes as the guy who grosses about $87k.  Removing that limit, and allowing deductions no matter the gross income, would add a bunch o' cash to the coffers.

thornhappy
(not the best of explainers)




Real_Trouble -> RE: "How to fix the entitlement crisis" (5/22/2008 4:52:02 PM)

It would also mean a huge disbursement to those people when they retire.

You're not gaining money there; you take more in and pay more back out.  In fact, given that we currently spend our Social Security surplus (because our government spends money faster than a crack addict), you'd be increasing our debt burden and underfunded obligations with this! 

Unless you are suggesting, essentially, raising taxes?  As in, they pay in, but don't get it back.

In which case, call a spade a spade.

Edit:

Cyberdude, we have plenty of money for that, assuming we are willing to cut our defense budget.  That is ultimately the crux of the problem; we spend such a huge amount more on defense than anyone else it's amazing.  The last I read, we spend something like 5 times what the next five countries combined spend on defense.  With such a large amount of money passing through government and to defense spending, there is much less for everything else.

Unless we desire to change that, we either run a deficit (which is what we are currently doing) or provide much less in the way of government services than other countries.  Just take a look at what our government actually spends its money on, and you'll see what I mean.




cjan -> RE: "How to fix the entitlement crisis" (5/22/2008 5:17:37 PM)

Shit, I thought the title of this thread was "How To End The Enlightenment Crisis". Now THAT would have been interesting.




MmeGigs -> RE: "How to fix the entitlement crisis" (5/22/2008 5:19:57 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: subfever

It's time to start phasing out entitlements, along with some other major changes. 



There would have to be a lot of major changes in order to phase out entitlements.  Social Security, Medicaid and Medicare are some of the programs (along with the Earned Income Credit, food stamps, energy assistance, housing assistance, and others) that allow US employers to continue to pay the low, low wages (with little or no benefits) that support our low, low prices.  If we phase out these programs, we need to phase in living wages so that the folks on the bottom of our economic ladder will be able to pay for these necessities themselves. 

We rely on these low-wage workers.  The work they do is absolutely vital.  The country would come to a grinding halt if everyone who makes less than $10 an hour decided to take a day off.  One way or another, in order to keep working and providing these vital services they have to be able to get food, shelter, transportation, and care when they are sick.  We either have to pay for that through our tax dollars or through the prices we pay for the products we buy.  When 12%+ of workers in the US are at or below poverty level and at least a third are low income, and a majority of these folks rely on one or more of these government programs to survive, the idea that we can just cut these programs without doing something about wages and benefits is pretty darned silly, but a lot of folks seem to think that this is a real possibility. 

If that is to be the plan, I think that we need to decrease the border patrols and let in a lot of illegal immigrants, because folks on the bottom rungs are going to be dying off a lot faster and we'll need more new workers to replace them than we'll be able to breed or legally import.



I have a friend who is a court assistant.  She's a tough old bird who has been doing this for more than 30 years and has little sympathy for the feckless and stupid people who end up in her courtroom.  Today she had 19 rental evictions - an incredibly high number.  Usually, the folks getting evicted are the feckless and stupid.  Today, most were decent working folks who couldn't keep up with the increases in gas, food and heating expenses.  In the 18 years I have known this woman, I have never seen her feeling really bad for the folks who've been in her courtroom until today. 

It's getting really scary out there for a lot of people.  I just hope the national reality check comes before I retire.




Leatherist -> RE: "How to fix the entitlement crisis" (5/22/2008 5:41:59 PM)

Make laws to hold legislators personally accountable for waste and fraud. Including big ass fines and harsh jail time,no more passing the buck.
 
 You cannot spend money you do not have. Earmarks are illegal, everything involving cash has to be in seperate bills-none of this secret tagging on crap. Public infrastructure projects have to be asessed on the basis of actual needs-with maintanence of existing facillities being given priority over new construction. Construction firms having government contracts will be subject to monetary audits to see where the money is going-and if we find mafia ties,they get blacklisted and banned from any federal or local government work, period.
 
 There will be no such thing as an unfunded mandate-if it cannot be fiscally supported,it cannot be legislated.
 
 Money cannot be taken from support programs like medicare or social security-period.




thornhappy -> RE: "How to fix the entitlement crisis" (5/22/2008 6:07:11 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Real_Trouble

It would also mean a huge disbursement to those people when they retire.

You're not gaining money there; you take more in and pay more back out.  In fact, given that we currently spend our Social Security surplus (because our government spends money faster than a crack addict), you'd be increasing our debt burden and underfunded obligations with this! 

Unless you are suggesting, essentially, raising taxes?  As in, they pay in, but don't get it back.


The last I knew, social security wasn't need based; it's based on what you pay into the system.  Not that I'm completely familiar with the millionaire's life.

As for the second part, that this would automatically increase spending, that seems a stretch.  Pass concurrent legislation to stop the borrowing then.

It's a tax increase for the single-above-90k-or-so, or the joint-over-168k-or-so.  I've been in the former, and it wouldn't have been a horrible fate to keep paying SS taxes.  At the time it was simply a pleasant surprise to not have to.

thornhappy




Real_Trouble -> RE: "How to fix the entitlement crisis" (5/22/2008 7:27:45 PM)

Thorn, you really want to trust the same legislative body that got us into this mess to pass a law preventing themselves from getting into this mess?

You have more faith in government than I do; the incentives are aligned for them to keep spending until people vote them out based on it, and that doesn't seem to be happening.  Thus, I'm all for keeping them out of as many things as possible.

Likewise, again, you pay it in, you get it out just creates a large future liability for the program.  You're taking in cash now to pay out more later.  That's not working out so well for a lot of the financial world right now.




MmeGigs -> RE: "How to fix the entitlement crisis" (5/22/2008 8:27:43 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: cyberdude611

And we CANNOT do universal healthcare. If we do that right now this country will surely go into bankruptcy.



Baloney.  Between private insurance and government programs we're already spending enough (or nearly enough) money on health care in the US to cover the cost of universal health care.  We're spending a huge amount of our health care dollar on administration.  If we could just come up with a single claim form that would work for all insurance companies and the govt, we'd save enough to provide universal prenatal  and well-child care.  We could cover a lot more with a standard formulary and list of covered procedures.

If the govt were to provide or administer health care, the increased cost that businesses and individuals would pay in taxes would be offset by the savings in health care premiums they're no longer paying.  It's roughly the same amount of money we're talking about, it's just a matter of whose pockets it comes out.  If we want government to pay for it, we have to pay more taxes.  If we want businesses to pay for it, we have to pay higher prices.  If we want individuals to pay for it, we have pay wages that will enable them to do that, and so pay higher prices. 

What do you think is the best solution?  I'm willing to go with any of them - it's pretty much the same $ out of my pocket any way you cut it.  The solution I am not willing to go with is abandoning our low-income folks and telling them to fend for themselves, and I'm not willing to protect insurance company profits at these folks' expense. 

It all comes out of the consumer/citizen's pocket one way or another.  Having seen from the inside the way that business operates and the way that government operates, as I have worked for both, I am much more inclined to trust government to take care of this.  Business is more interested in profit, govt (at least on the local level where most of the money is disbursed) is more interested in bang for the buck.  When it comes to health care, I want bang for the buck.

quote:

ORIGINAL: cyberdude611

We dont have the money to send 300 million Americans to the doctor and pay for every test, every procedure, and every surgery. We just dont have the money. We also dont have enough doctors. I right now cant get an appoitment (non-emergency) with my doctor for 2 months. He's that booked. If we have universal healthacre....how long will I have to wait then? A year?



So in order for you to get the kind of health care you feel that you're entitled to, you're willing to keep the system the way it is and let 48 million people in the US go without any health care coverage?  According to the Insitutes of Medicine, 20,000 people die in the US every year because they don't have health insurance.  Maybe we need to get them all to come to one place and die together to get people to understand that this is a serious problem.

There is rationing in every health care system - that is the nature of the beast.  There will never be enough money to provide everyone with the best care that is available.  What we have to decide is how we are going to ration that care.  In the US, we do that on the basis of ability to pay.  If you have money or good insurance you have no problem.  If you don't have money or insurance and aren't poor enough to be on Medicaid, you're pretty much screwed.  You'd better hope that there is some foundation for your illness or disease.  Even if you have good insurance and plenty of money, you can be still be wiped out by a heart attack or a stroke or cancer or what-have-you. 

Since we have to ration care, I'd rather do it on the basis of bang for the buck for the particular patient and treatment than on the financial situation of the patient.

quote:

ORIGINAL: cyberdude611

And when you start forcing doctors to take paycuts in order to lower healthcare costs....more doctors will leave the practice. This is exactly what has happened to education. We are losing teachers because we are opening more schools and to pay for rising education costs we have to reduce teacher salaries. When you make more money as an Assistant Manager at McDonalds than teaching a High School class....you have to be nuts to go to school, pay $20,000 for a Masters degree and be a teacher. So we now have a teacher shortage and class sizes are going up and test scores are going down.



Again, this is baloney.  There hasn't been much talk of doctors talking pay cuts, indeed, much of the discussion has been about cutting doctor/provider overhead and preserving the profitability of the practice of medicine. 

Teacher salaries and doctor salaries really have nothing at all in common.  Teacher salaries have decreased because they are funded by our tax dollars and have been taking a hit as the "No New Taxes" crapola has gained momentum.  Still, there are plenty of people who want to be teachers.  Where I live class sizes are going up not because of lack of teachers but because of lack of funds to pay teachers.  There are trained teachers working at McDonald's while class sizes are reaching 30+.  And I'm in a relatively affluent community.

quote:

ORIGINAL: cyberdude611

Government is NOT the answer to our problems.



Nor is the market.  The market has a profit motive but no social conscience.  A long-term functional and sustainable society needs both - a true cooperation and partnership between profit motive and social conscience. 





Real_Trouble -> RE: "How to fix the entitlement crisis" (5/22/2008 8:47:29 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: MmeGigs
Nor is the market.  The market has a profit motive but no social conscience.  A long-term functional and sustainable society needs both - a true cooperation and partnership between profit motive and social conscience. 


I would suggest the way to do this is simply to create a set of laws, both criminal and tax related, that incentivize ethical behavior.

Then let the market do its thing.  It is when you create perverse incentives to break the rules or behave unethically that, big shock, people do.




MmeGigs -> RE: "How to fix the entitlement crisis" (5/22/2008 9:20:08 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Real_Trouble

quote:

ORIGINAL: MmeGigs
Nor is the market.  The market has a profit motive but no social conscience.  A long-term functional and sustainable society needs both - a true cooperation and partnership between profit motive and social conscience. 


I would suggest the way to do this is simply to create a set of laws, both criminal and tax related, that incentivize ethical behavior.

Then let the market do its thing.  It is when you create perverse incentives to break the rules or behave unethically that, big shock, people do.



The laws need to contain both carrots and sticks.  Businesses have shown that given the option, they will do what is most profitable and expedient.  They claim that this is their mandate - to increase shareholder value - but they define "value" only in terms of dollars and the short term.  Ethics take the back seat if they interfere with profitability or expedience unless there are consequences for unethical behavior.




Lordandmaster -> RE: "How to fix the entitlement crisis" (5/22/2008 9:21:10 PM)

Great idea!  Let's start with corporate welfare.

quote:

ORIGINAL: subfever

It's time to start phasing out entitlements, along with some other major changes. 




NorthernGent -> RE: "How to fix the entitlement crisis" (5/22/2008 9:39:39 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: MmeGigs

The laws need to contain both carrots and sticks.  Businesses have shown that given the option, they will do what is most profitable and expedient.  They claim that this is their mandate - to increase shareholder value - but they define "value" only in terms of dollars and the short term.  Ethics take the back seat if they interfere with profitability or expedience unless there are consequences for unethical behavior.



Agreed for the most part, but shareholders define value as long term growth (rather than short term). I suppose the various shareholders are in it for varying reasons, but the majority are in it for steady growth.

Plus, ethics is a two way street - directors have an ethical duty to meet their shareholders' interests.

Where businesses aren't held accountable by the public, where is the incentive toward social responsibility?

Edited to add: the measure "Shareholder Value Added" is a long term measure by design - satisfying short term profit targets was left behind in the '90s.




LadyEllen -> RE: "How to fix the entitlement crisis" (5/23/2008 2:25:55 AM)

The problem is, that if you take away the means of earning a living for a proportion of your population, yet you have social consience enough that you dont wish this proportion to starve in the streets, you have to come up with some money to support their continuing, non-productive existence.

From the other end of the political spectrum, spending on social welfare is important because it is very unlikely that these people will starve quietly in the streets; rather they will make a living in whatever way they can, which means in general by criminality. Whilst the law must be enforced and penalties applied - the cost of providing increased policing, justice system capacity and custodial premises in the case that people chose not to starve quietly in the streets, is far less than the cost of simply providing them with social welfare benefits.





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