cloudboy
Posts: 7306
Joined: 12/14/2005 Status: offline
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quote:
Oh hell no. Too much history, too much unresolved issues that run too deeply in the middle eastern mindsets. BUT, it really isn't our responsibility to try and fix it. Well, you know about Colin Powell's Pottery Barn rule, don't you. I just watched Frontline's expose on the IRAQ war last night, the part concentrating on the after invasion decision-making --- post looting. Here is what I gleamed. 1. Paul Bremer was chosen to lead the after war efforts in IRAQ. He didn't speak Arabic and had no background in Middle Eastern affairs. Count this as Mistake #1. 2. Mistake #2: De-Baathification was ordered by Bremer and the policy wonks in DC. Those in IRAQ, including the leading US General at the time, opposed this move warning it would drive 30,000-50,000 IRAQIs underground. 3. Mistake #3: Disbanding the IRAQI army. Bremer and Co. also made this call despite opposition from the US military and State Department officials stationed in IRAQ. Moves 2-3 primed the pump for a massive IRAQI resistance. 4. When the Resistance got started with major bombing campaigns, Rumsfeldt and Cheney did not recognize it for what it was. Also, the US military never had any contingency plan for to fight a resistance. Mistake #4. 5. Having no plan or idea that the US might experience an insurgency, the US had no intelligence about it. Mistake #5. 6. No intelligence lead Rumsfeldt and Co. to concoct Abu Ghraib. Mistake #6. 7. Rumsfeldt then went with a "small footprint" policy to turn over IRAQI leadership to the IRAQIs so that the US could withdraw. But, the small footprint plan emboldened the new insurgency -- and IRAQ devolved into chaos, mayhem, and war. Mistake #6. 8. Rice tried to push for the removal of the small footprint model -- in favor of a "take, hold, and rebuild" model to push out the insurgents proactively. 9. Rice was defeated. 10. Rice's plan was later adopted under BUSH's surge. Good Decision. ------ Fall Guys: #1 George Tenet was blamed for no WMDs. No analysis, though, was conducted on the failure of the US intelligence and decision-making system. #2 Colin Powell was asked to resign. Rice took his spot. #3 Rumsfeldt was fired. #4 Cheney's influence was downgraded while Rice's influence was upgraded. ------- After the De-Bathification order and the order to disband the IRAQI army, the whole US Military High Command changed over. Franks retired, and others got out. There was then great turnover until David Petraeus was assigned. ------- The IRAQI elections did not produce a good leader over whom to turn authority. Sunnis boycotted the elections altogether. ----- The entire process showed the Bush administration to be aversive to facts, ideologically driven, and slow to adapt. Loyalty was rewarded over competence. The planning of administering the peace after the war was criminally negligent.
< Message edited by cloudboy -- 10/10/2008 2:35:28 PM >
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