FirmhandKY -> RE: Warning!!! Not for Palin/McCain fans... (10/31/2008 5:07:04 PM)
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ORIGINAL: Darias Are we seriously entertaining the notion that mccains gonna win? heck im not even over there and i think its unlikely Why, yes, some of us are not convinced that the win is in the bag for Obama just yet. I wouldn't be surprised if he won, but the majority of the pollsters are playing with "new" paradigms for when they come up with the figures about his lead. If you look at Gallup, check out the difference between the "traditional" and the "enhanced" versions of the same poll. Most all of the pollsters are using a version of Gallups "enhanced" method. If they are, the "enhanced" version has generally given Obama at least a 5 point increase over McCain. The question is ... is the "enhanced" more accurate than the "traditional" version of calculations? I'm not convinced it is, although I'm not a paid pollster. There is also other questions that will be unanswered until the election, that could increase the break for either Obama or for McCain in this election. While I'm not betting that McCain will win, I'd certainly take odds for a bet. Firm
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