ThatDamnedPanda
Posts: 6060
Joined: 1/26/2009 Status: offline
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quote:
ORIGINAL: Mercnbeth quote:
I've cleaned out half my portfolio the last week Panda, "Half"? That's the most positive position I've heard from anyone still in the market since August! Well, I'm in a good position. I think we talked about this a little bit before, but last September, when the market collapsed, i know immediately what I was seeing because I'd been expecting it for months. So I did what I'd already decided to do months earlier, and sold every single stock i owned. I took a loss of over 8 grand that afternoon, which was a sickening feeling, but if I'd waited it out like the loudmouthed idiots on television (and the loudmouthed idiot here on the message board) were advising everyone to do, my losses would have totaled over $30,000 over the next several weeks. Then, I did what is often the best thing to do in a crisis - I did nothing at all. I sat and waited for clarity to emerge. November 21st, my gut told me it was time to buy back in, and over the next few weeks, I put about 60% of my funds back into equities. Turned out to be a very fortunate guess, because in retrospect that was the bottom of that particular bear cycle. Some of my moves were bad plays, but all in all, I did well. By the end of the year, I gained back everything I'd lost in September, and was actually up several thousand dollars for the year. I still took a beating on other investments over the year, but I was up on equities. Not a lot, because I wasn't exactly starting out with Donald Trump money to begin with, but still, I closed the year with 4 green digits in the lower right hand corner of the "positions" page on my personal brokerage account. The first few weeks of January, I started selling. I miscalculated and waited a little too long, but that's the risk you take when you try to time the market. That timing error cost me a few thousand of profit, but I'm still up overall, and I'm comfortable with that. Right now, I'm sitting on a few hundred shares of Dow and 3M that I want to move, but I bought each of them just days before they took steep dives, so I'm just waiting for the volatility to swing them up to the point where I can sell them without taking too much of a loss. No matter what I sell them for, I'll still be up overall, so I've got the luxury of being able to bide my time. And I've got a couple of other stocks that I got at such a ridiculously low price in November, I'm comfortable holding them for the long term. Every single thing in my portfolio was bought since the 21st of November, so I can afford to sit on them more easily than i might have otherwise. quote:
ORIGINAL: Mercnbeth Take the other half and get some gold. It will be $1000 by Monday and $2000 by year end. As I said to you Saturday afternoon - Spend it before the government comes and takes it! It was great meeting you - Have fun on the rest of your trip! You too. Yeah, I'm having a terrific trip. I'm having so much fun in LA, I decided to cut out the Yosemite portion of the trip and just come straight back to LA after the Monterey side trip. I'll extend my trip to San Francisco next month by a few days and do Yosemite then, but right now, I'm enjoying LA too much. I don't know if I'll catch you guys at the Lair again while I'm here, but if i don't, I'll definitely see you again next time through, and once again I thank you both for your warm hospitality. It's been a pleasure.
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Panda, panda, burning bright In the forest of the night What immortal hand or eye Made you all black and white and roly-poly like that?
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