corysub
Posts: 1492
Joined: 1/1/2004 Status: offline
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ORIGINAL: samboct Cory I've debated climate change with folks ad nauseam on this board- feel free to do a little digging. I'm kind of sick of it. In terms of drilling for oil- it takes a number of years to bring new wells on line- and we should be investing in new and better technologies instead. 1) People like electric cars. Back in the 80s' GM's EV1 proved to be quite popular with customers- even with the lousy lead acid batteries they had to use. 2) We've spent very little money developing energy storage technologies. Options include batteries, flywheels and supercapacitors- all of which are not far from being commercially viable. 3) Wind turbines can supply 20% of electricity if correctly sited to take advantage of prevailing winds. Sailing ships used to be able to keep to a schedule based on wind, there's no reason that wind turbines can't be quite efficient in regions such as Oklahoma, Kansas, Texas etc. Plus they work fine on agricultural land-no problem with dual use. Furthermore- if energy storage technologies come online- then the amount of energy derived from wind power is not limited to 20%. Wind power is already economical by the way- and efficient. It's a reasonably mature and reliable technology. 4) If we're making "get real" predictions- I think we'll be off oil in less than 20 years. It's obsolete, inefficient, and expensive technology. The dirty little secret of "green" alternatives is that they'll probably be cheaper than fossil fuels when developed. 5) Much as I hate GE- the gas turbine plants they've been pushing work pretty well for on demand power, rather than baseline which is nuclear's forte. (and if you believe that nuclear is cheap- let me show you to a bridge in Brooklyn.) 6) Clean coal isn't. Sick joke-the best, long term, and least expensive carbon sequestration method is to leave the damn stuff in the ground as coal. Nobody has any idea of what happens if the CO2 stored underground burps- and guess who gets to insure that one? The ever screwed US taxpayer- just like we insure nuclear plants and pay for waste disposal. 7) If you want to compare an administration to the Nazis- try the previous one instead. We had torture, censorship, secrecy and great support by the wealthy of this country. When Dewey called Truman a communist- his response was he called Republicans the secret cabal bent on subverting the constitution. You can rant like a neocon- or grab an oar and start trying to get this leaky lifeboat headed towards land. Your choice..... Sam Sam, The time is well past for "debates" 1) I don't know where you get your statistics from, but it seems to me that we are in a national emergency and if there was focus and energy put into a project which is only welding pipe together to bring oil to terminals, within a few years we could have massive amounts of newly found oil and gas finding its way to industry, homes and transportation. Most of the work would probably be done in environments much easier to perform construction than the Trans Alaskan Pipeline. In horribly tough operating conditions, this pipeline took about three years to complete once building started. We have a lot less distance to travel from discovery wells in the lower 48 and offshore, and in a lot more favorble conditions, closer to transportation, and without the need to build the roads to get into the site before any building can even begin. You really underestimate the engineering and building skills of American companies that dominate this industry technically. 2) I never said I was against "research"...but we need to do something that we know works..and do it now..not in five years or ten years...We are out of time Sam to play "trial and error" research games in government funded experimentation. I say go ahead with research, but drill,drill, drill..now. Markets respond to current and future competitive threats...and the best way to keep oil from going back up to the rediculous levels seen in 2008 would be to brandish a big club..drilling as fast as we can, exploring for and developing new horizons. Lets work on batteries that can be used in conjuctions with solar panels so that maybe someday I can pull the plug from the utility that is going to have to raise your bill and mine to pay the Presidents proposed "carbon cap". Oil, natural gas, coal ARE commercially viable today..and we don't have the economy to wait for "Eureka I've got it" from some scientists, if they ever do get it! 3) Windpower has its place. but to think that 20% of the United States energy requirment will be provided by the "wind" is silly. I can see it a valuable power source in countries just entering the modern age, in China for example, which dominates the use of Windmills. However, there are major issues to be considered, not the least of which is the cost of distributing this energy with new grids to population centers. I think it would be much better in any cost/benefit analysis if the power of windmills was used "locally" as in Palm Springs where approximately 4,000 windmills provide power for the town of around 40,000 people. "It is clear that institutional issues related to transmission planning, siting, and cost allocation will pose major obstacles to accelerated wind power deployment, but also of concern is the potential cost of this infrastructure build out. Simply put, how much extra cost will society bear to deliver wind power to load centers?" (Excerpt from the Executive Summary of the February 2009 report from the Berkley National Laboratory. You might take a glance.) http://eetd.lbl.gov/ea/ems/reports/lbnl-1471e.pdf 4) Your analysis of the "inefficiency" of fossil fuels is amazing. Would love to see the data. I kinda fades a tad when you see the tremendous growth and power of the economy that has been driven by fossil fuels, all being used in "for profit" business and not because it's "chic" to have a coal fired generator,or diesel truck, or oil powered generating plant. Industry has been operating on oil and coal since the days of the industrial revolution....I think your numbers are pulled out of thin air but would welcome your analysis. 5) Nuclear is hopefully coming back from the dead in this country. I also don't know but would love to see your data on the "expense" of nuclear power..: Exelon, the largest nuclear company in the United States, claims to produce electricity at 1.3 cents per kilowatt-hour, compared with 2.2 cents for coal. Windmill fans (pun intended) tell us that it costs about 1.8 cents/kwh, but that includes a federal subsidey of 2.3 cents, state credits of over 2 cents, and the benefit of accelerated depreciation. In a study done a couple of years ago it was estimated that a windmill farm offshore Nantucket would INCREASE the average cost of a family by $400. What a deal! http://www.ninapierpont.com/pdf/Koch.pdf When historians look back on the America of the 20th and 21st century, one of the biggest political mistakes seen would probably be our curtailment of the nuclear energy program in this country. Nixon had estimated that we would have a 1,000 nuclear plants on stream by 2000. It's a shame, it's a disgrace, it was an opportunity lost because of environmental hysteria fueled by radical green organizations. Applicatins for permits to build 34 new reactors have been submitted but it would probably take ten - 20 years today to build a new nuclear generating plant becuase of lawsuits, EPA studies, and more studies...and hearings..etc etc. No company can afford to tie up capital for that length of time. As far as the "insurance" I assume you are speaking of he Price-Anders7)en Act that puts a cap on the loss should there be a nuclear plant issue. And how much has that cost the taxpayer, Sam? Environmentalists threw out scary storiesof $500 billion in risk if a Chernobl type disaster took place... 6) Imagine if the CO2 stored underground "burps"..Well heck, Sam, imagine the cost if the yellowstone caldera blew!! Gimme a break...volcano's are the threat to the planet..not burning my plastic shopping bags in the barnfire out back or CO2 burping!! from the ground. 7) I'm not going to respond to number (7) in your rant Sam. Been there, done that on other threads. Be well... cory
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