RE: Obama Takes On The Deficit (Full Version)

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willbeurdaddy -> RE: Obama Takes On The Deficit (11/14/2009 10:42:28 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: AnimusRex


quote:

ORIGINAL: Sanity
You don't seem to understand where the money to fund the budget has to come from. If we raise taxes now we kill the goose, which is already desperately ill. The only real solution is to cut the budget to the bare bone and do everything we possibly can to get out the way of American businesses, both large and small - and then as business blossoms and grows, simply watch as the budget take care of itself.


Ok, lets take a look at the real numbers.

I base my conclusions on WallStats- its a great graphic look at the US Budget.
http://www.wallstats.com/deathandtaxes


First, the basic facts:
The total income for the fiscal year 2010 federal government is $2.333 Trillion. The total spending is $3.591 Trillion. The budget deficit then, stands at 1.405T, or more than a third of the total budget.

Of the $3.591 Trillion, 1.421 Trillion is discretionary, able to be cut. The remaining $2.17 Trillion goes for Social Security, Medicare/ Medicaid, interest on the debt, and so forth. The biggest portion of this is Social Security/ Medicare/ Medicaid accounting for about $1.3 Trillion of the $2.17 Trillion.

The federal discretionary budget for FY 2010 is $1.421 Trillion; It is broken down into military spending $901 Billion (62%) and non-military $520 Billion (38%).

In other words, if you take away Social Security, Medicare, and Defense, you only have $520 Billion, which funds EVERYTHING ELSE THE GOVERNMENT DOES. Department of Agriculture, State, Energy, Education, Interior...everything you imagine the government does is done for $520 billion.
So even if we shut down the entire federal government- shut the doors, turned off the lights, sent everyone home- we would only be cutting about 1/3 of the deficit.

This is why I say it is mathematically impossible to balance the budget without cutting Defense, SS or Medicare. Or raising taxes.

But what about growing the economy? Ok, lets look at that.
Lets assume we have a robust economic growth of 10%; This would raise revenues from $2.1 Trillion to $2.3 Trillion.
Subtract $3.5 Trillion in spending and what do you get?

Massive deficits still.

Lets do this- lets put together a "Conservative" budget. One that is balanced, and fiscally responsible.
Here is the template:
FY 2009
Revenue: $2.1 Trillion:

Social Security/Medicare: $1.3T
Debt Service: $800 B
Defense: $900B
Everything else: $520B
Total: $3.5T
Deficit: ($1.4T)

So using the template, plug in your desired numbers, and play "Balance the Budget Game!"

FY 2010
Revenue: $2.3 Trillion (assuming your growing economy);

Social Security/Medicare:
Debt Service:
Defense:
Everything else:
Total: $2.3 Trillion (This must balance)


A lengthy post to address something Sanity never said.

What he said (stealing from my earlier post ;) ) was "cut spending, get out of the way of business, grow the economy and the budget will take care of itself. He didnt say that cutting the non-discretionary budget by itself would balance the budget.

There is plenty of room in the current non-discretionary non-military budget for savings that would help spur the economy. (If not totally drowned out by health care "reform" and crap and tax).




rulemylife -> RE: Obama Takes On The Deficit (11/14/2009 10:43:38 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: willbeurdaddy


You missed the best way to balance the budget...grow the economy.

However the point on cutting other programs is not to balance the budget on its own, that isnt going to happen in any of our lifetimes barring an economic breakthrough on the order of the PC. Trimming budgets would slow the growth in the deficit, if it happens.

Unfortunately, department budgets tend to go the way of earmarks, and unless it is a very simple "cut every single non-discretionary budget by 5%" it isnt going to happen. (Or "cut every single non-discretionary non-military budget by 5%", since some of us recognize the problems that Clinton created with the peace dividend).


Did you miss the part where Clinton left office with not only a balanced budget but a surplus?

A surplus that Bush quickly pissed away?




Sanity -> RE: Obama Takes On The Deficit (11/14/2009 10:46:19 AM)


I was typing as you were posting... great minds, and all that.


quote:

What he said (stealing from my earlier post ;) )




willbeurdaddy -> RE: Obama Takes On The Deficit (11/14/2009 10:48:20 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: rulemylife

quote:

ORIGINAL: willbeurdaddy


You missed the best way to balance the budget...grow the economy.

However the point on cutting other programs is not to balance the budget on its own, that isnt going to happen in any of our lifetimes barring an economic breakthrough on the order of the PC. Trimming budgets would slow the growth in the deficit, if it happens.

Unfortunately, department budgets tend to go the way of earmarks, and unless it is a very simple "cut every single non-discretionary budget by 5%" it isnt going to happen. (Or "cut every single non-discretionary non-military budget by 5%", since some of us recognize the problems that Clinton created with the peace dividend).


Did you miss the part where Clinton left office with not only a balanced budget but a surplus?

A surplus that Bush quickly pissed away?



Did you miss the part where Clinton left office with a recession and after 35% cuts in military spending that APPEARED to balance the budget, but actually just deferred spending?




Mercnbeth -> RE: Obama Takes On The Deficit (11/14/2009 10:49:13 AM)

quote:

Did you miss the part where Clinton left office with not only a balanced budget but a surplus?

A surplus that Bush quickly pissed away?
You must have missed the part about a couple of jets going into buildings in NYC.

Ignoring that, and the unilateral, bipartisan response to it to built up military spending and increase security, while the economy was making its first circle around the drain; only points to a vision of those times remembered though a carnival mirror of partisan agenda.

But at least that's consistent.




willbeurdaddy -> RE: Obama Takes On The Deficit (11/14/2009 10:54:00 AM)

Playing Trump National tomorrow merc...I'll wave at you two!




AnimusRex -> RE: Obama Takes On The Deficit (11/14/2009 10:55:43 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: willbeurdaddy
There is plenty of room in the current non-discretionary non-military budget for savings that would help spur the economy. (If not totally drowned out by health care "reform" and crap and tax).


See, this is why the Republican Party will not be taken seriously-
"plenty of room in the current non-discretionary non-military budget for savings "

Non-discretionary, non military- Doesn't this mean cutting Social Security and Medicare?

The thing that Obama is proposing?
And the deficit is 1.4Trillion; are you proposing to cut 1.4 trillion, or cut less, and hope that a few hundred billion in growth makes up the difference?

"...the budget will take care of itself"

Sadly, no. Budgeting is about hard choices and common sense reasoning, not wishing and hoping and praying that we win the lottery. If a corporate CFO made that statement he would be fired on the spot.

I find it ironic that an Obama supporter has laid out real numbers; you have laid out a wishful program of "hoping for change"




Sanity -> RE: Obama Takes On The Deficit (11/14/2009 10:58:54 AM)


Obama claims there's a half a trillion in waste and fraud in the Medicare budget just sitting there and that he might (eventually) get around to cutting it out if he gets another even morte massive entitlement program underway...




rulemylife -> RE: Obama Takes On The Deficit (11/14/2009 11:01:27 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: willbeurdaddy

Did you miss the part where Clinton left office with a recession and after 35% cuts in military spending that APPEARED to balance the budget, but actually just deferred spending?


Now correct me if I'm wrong, but didn't Bush take office sometime in January?

A little bit different from the fact the current recession was already in full swing when Obama took office.

But we have to remember Bush was always a little slow on the uptake.

Which I guess is why conservatives cut him so much slack to say he really couldn't have known about the possibility of 9/11 after nearly eight months in office.



Economists say recession began in March
November 26, 2001: 1:58 p.m. ET



Panel says downturn began in March, ending record 10-year span of growth.

NEW YORK (CNN/Money) - The world's largest economy sank into a recession in March, ending 10 years of growth that was the longest expansion on record in the United States, a group of economists that dates U.S. business cycles said Monday.

The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), composed of academic economists from Harvard, Stanford and other universities, joined a chorus of economists and investors who were saying that a recession had already begun. The group posted its decision on its Web site.





rulemylife -> RE: Obama Takes On The Deficit (11/14/2009 11:10:46 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Sanity


Obama claims there's a half a trillion in waste and fraud in the Medicare budget just sitting there and that he might (eventually) get around to cutting it out if he gets another even morte massive entitlement program underway...



Guess what?

Republicans are saying the same thing:


Republican bashes Dems over health care proposals


Republicans would get savings by capping medical liability awards, stepping up efforts to fight Medicare and Medicaid fraud, and setting up an approval process for generic versions of high-tech drugs.










Sanity -> RE: Obama Takes On The Deficit (11/14/2009 11:25:05 AM)


Thank you rml, thats awesome. We've found agreement on something. Everyone agrees, there is plenty of room to cut "non-discretionary" spending. Obama agrees, the Republicans agree...

Everyone agrees, except Animus.




Raiikun -> RE: Obama Takes On The Deficit (11/14/2009 11:28:28 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: rulemylife

quote:

ORIGINAL: willbeurdaddy


You missed the best way to balance the budget...grow the economy.

However the point on cutting other programs is not to balance the budget on its own, that isnt going to happen in any of our lifetimes barring an economic breakthrough on the order of the PC. Trimming budgets would slow the growth in the deficit, if it happens.

Unfortunately, department budgets tend to go the way of earmarks, and unless it is a very simple "cut every single non-discretionary budget by 5%" it isnt going to happen. (Or "cut every single non-discretionary non-military budget by 5%", since some of us recognize the problems that Clinton created with the peace dividend).


Did you miss the part where Clinton left office with not only a balanced budget but a surplus?

A surplus that Bush quickly pissed away?



Did you miss the part where the US deficit INCREASED every year Clinton was in office?  He did get the deficit down to 17 billion his last year in office, which is still a helluva lot better than we've seen since, but there wasn't any surplus.




Mercnbeth -> RE: Obama Takes On The Deficit (11/14/2009 11:44:58 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: willbeurdaddy

Playing Trump National tomorrow merc...I'll wave at you two!


Good for you! Pretty steep green's fees. I hope some business is writing them off.

If I weren't fighting a cold (refuse to call it the flu!) we'd join you for a drink! Hit 'em straight! Decent food and drink in the bar. We go there for their brunch every Easter.




tazzygirl -> RE: Obama Takes On The Deficit (11/14/2009 1:05:05 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Mercnbeth

quote:

Did you miss the part where Clinton left office with not only a balanced budget but a surplus?

A surplus that Bush quickly pissed away?
You must have missed the part about a couple of jets going into buildings in NYC.

Ignoring that, and the unilateral, bipartisan response to it to built up military spending and increase security, while the economy was making its first circle around the drain; only points to a vision of those times remembered though a carnival mirror of partisan agenda.

But at least that's consistent.


So what you are saying is becxause two buildings and 3500 dead (god rest their souls) is a good excuse to spend a trillion on a war effort in Afganhistan and Iraq. But 45000 people die each year from lack of health care and your complaining because it will cost a trillion dollars..




mnottertail -> RE: Obama Takes On The Deficit (11/14/2009 1:16:01 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Sanity


Actually, politics changed a lot on that day. Prior to then the Japanese Emperor was supposed to be God living among us, which is why Americans don't bow in deference to him.

We've proven he's just a man.



Thats a cute jingle and real in your face hard hitting neo-con stuff, but you know that the japanese prime minister is not Emperor Akihito, who has no political power, or maybe not.

Ron






mnottertail -> RE: Obama Takes On The Deficit (11/14/2009 1:35:58 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Sanity


Another Liberal homophobe... possibly an entire closet full of them...  [:D]

quote:

ORIGINAL: mnottertail

oh, for fucks sake, another closet gay republican



Nope, not a homophobe, we got Barney Frank out loud and proud and you got the guys in the minneapolis airport bathroom, and whatnot publicly calling for legislation villifying and attacking them, while tatting in the toilet paper.


*shrugs* aren't you the guys who are saying 'rhetoric, rhetoric, actions speak louder than words' and 'give me your big stick?'




Mercnbeth -> RE: Obama Takes On The Deficit (11/14/2009 2:31:47 PM)

quote:

So what you are saying is becxause two buildings and 3500 dead (god rest their souls) is a good excuse to spend a trillion on a war effort in Afganhistan and Iraq. But 45000 people die each year from lack of health care and your complaining because it will cost a trillion dollars..
No other people made those decisions and I gave no position. However, you make the value judgment on an irrelevant comparison needed to serve your agenda. I'm was only giving a factual representation of the change of circumstance from the statement I responded to.

PS - Never complained about the cost and only point to the pending bill being non-productive and serving special interests more than it serves the 45000 people you claim, without substantiation, that are dying now but will live on healthy if something like it is not in place.




Musicmystery -> RE: Obama Takes On The Deficit (11/14/2009 2:43:46 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Sanity

Nah... the problem is, Liberals want to make the whole world Mom's basement...  [;)]

Freeing twenty five million Iraqis? That's humanitarian..

quote:

ORIGINAL: Musicmystery
And there's the problem--the Neo-Cons want to take over the world, and that costs money.


What bullshit. If freeing people from oppression were the point, we'd have invaded Myanmar long ago.





dcnovice -> RE: Obama Takes On The Deficit (11/14/2009 2:44:24 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Mercnbeth

quote:

Did you miss the part where Clinton left office with not only a balanced budget but a surplus?

A surplus that Bush quickly pissed away?
You must have missed the part about a couple of jets going into buildings in NYC.

Ignoring that, and the unilateral, bipartisan response to it to built up military spending and increase security, while the economy was making its first circle around the drain; only points to a vision of those times remembered though a carnival mirror of partisan agenda.

But at least that's consistent.


But didn't the Bush deficit begin before 9/11, with his revenue cuts?




Musicmystery -> RE: Obama Takes On The Deficit (11/14/2009 3:05:31 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Musicmystery

quote:

ORIGINAL: mnottertail

If we have to go begging it is to china.



Exactly. What we should have learned from Japan (but didn't) was how to avoid repeating a banking crisis.

China, on the other hand, is holding all the U.S. debt it wants--by far the largest investor in the U.S.



Now this is timely:

China’s Role as U.S. Lender Alters Dynamics for Obama




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