RE: Banks Bundled Bad Debt, Bet Against It and Won (Full Version)

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Termyn8or -> RE: Banks Bundled Bad Debt, Bet Against It and Won (12/26/2009 8:48:31 AM)

While I champion Citizen's rights to the nth degree, for big business I don't even pretend that corporations have, or should have rights. To keep things right, they must play by the rules and pay taxes and all that, which is fair because they use the system to make money. This means entities which profit because of moneychanging, enforcement of intellectual property rights and so forth. In fact I guess any corporation. Corprorations are formed to protect the owners' private property from liability claims that may be suffered by the business. When you want that protection you pay for it and play by the rules.

The problem is that such entities have either become large enough and/or gained enough solidarity to shape the law into their own mold, into what they think is their best interest. Being shortsighted as they are, they have repeatedly stabbed the golden goose and seem to be trying to kill it for short term profits. People in the know are aware that this has been going on for a long time.

Now my opinion is that we probably would've been better off if the stock market had never been created. If the idea of selling debt was unheard of, and retirement was funded some other way. The creation of this whole system was like the opening of Pandora's box, or the biggest can of worms in the world, there is no going back. To do so we would have to go to Grampa and explain to him why he doesn't get a retirement check anymore. Of course that has happened to some already as part of the system seemingly abolished itself.

While we whittle away the years talking about all the "finer" points of how to make the system work better and whatever else about it, we fail to realize that the whole thing is simply wrong. The undeniable fact of the matter is this - anytime anyone makes money without producing something, it is a bad thing. It is like a tax. People pay into SS, a nice Ponzi scheme to say the least, but others have investments. Those investments are the equivalent to a tax. Those dividends eventually come from the customer as all revenue can be traced back to customers. It raises the bottom line, of that there is no question.

In my view, a corporation, especially one that is publicly traded should not be treated by the law as an individual, but more like a tool. You shall be kept clean, you shall be kept in good operating condition, you shall be properly maintained. To keep your private assets safe if you make a big mistake in the running of your corporation, you shall pay for that protection, partly by some of that money in the form of taxes, and partially by being required to comply with certain regulations, that is because once you became something on which many depend, you become public. Yes I know the term going public, but in my world it would mean a hell of alot more than it does now.

I am not sure of this particular history, consider it supposition. If there was no stock market, maybe Henry Ford would not have gotten his first factory built. Maybe other things would not have happened. At best the stock market was to generate capital for expansion and the investors would share in the profits from such expansion. But it is still the same thing. I am fully aware also of the term make your money work for you. Lovely prospect but events have caused me to think about whether it is really right or not, and I am leaning toward the negative conclusion of late. If the expansion had not happened, we would not miss it. But we would miss it now.

If, by regulation it was not so desirable to incorporate, for the big fish to use credit to buy little fish, the seemingly free money from investors, things would've gone quite differently wouldn't they ?

I don't think we would have the amount of conglomeration, and thus the purchasing power of corporations. That purchasing power is of course what funds lobbyists, and what burns me up is that the money came from the customers. Like the government which grants them their corporate shell, they have used our own money against us. Nice work if you can get it huh ?

Different forms of regulation exist. For example the ISO9002 standards. People think that companies that comply must conform to some moral or ethical standard and a few other things, but in reality it is just a watchdog. It is actually not mandatory, but because the standard defines assets and counts them a certain way, it enhances their stock value. It is quite strict also. If I work for an ISO9002 compliant firm, if I modify a piece of test equipment it is no longer considered an asset, or is diminished in reported value. Never mind that I made something that costs $1,000 do something that the equipment for should cost $10,000, it simply doesn't matter. What's worse is that it is considered as a hack, no matter what the benefit. If I remember history with any correct detail, almost all inventors were hacks in some way or another. So it boils down that ISO9002 compliance might be good for the bottom line, but it stifles creativity. My guess would be that the people who wrote those regulations were retired from the government.

But then the core regulations, the ones that need to be in place, the ones the violation of which can land you in jail, do not exist. It's like telling a kid not to smoke, but to go steal me a packet of cigarettes.

I have already decided that if I ever had a great windfall, I would not even consider dabbling in the stock market, or securities or whatever. At best this is analogous to walking into a poker game and seeing that the pot equals many times my net worth. I would be a fool to sit down. And on top of that, they are playing a game in which they make up new rules at will, and I have no say in the matter. I'd have to be a blathering idiot to sit at that game.

The cost of rewarding investors is built into the price of almost everything sold. It is like a tax, which varies according to the whim of ........ and is imposed on everything and everyone. This causes inflation. Inflation makes it futile to try to save enough money for retirement so the only way is to invest and make money for nothing. Live on the simple strategy of having money makes money. The relationship is now symbiotic, so like I said there is no going back.

People who take will continue to take. Strict regulation of the financial industry will no doubt cut up the bottom line. But the suits will not suffer the loss. Grampa will get a notice in the mail that he is no longer getting $1,800 a month, he now will get $600 a month. Fixed income my ass. And that's right where they want to stick it.

That's how real money is made. Not earned, made. If I could collect one dollar each from 300 million people add that up. But then later there are 300 million people doing it, where does that leave us ? For there to be winners in the game there must of course be losers. Guess who that is.

Like SS, the system cannot afford to support non-producers. At least not indefinitely. Nothing can nor ever could. It is simple logic.

<sarcasm>

I am going to start a business and make money.

What you going to make, hammers, toilet seats, cars, guitars what ?

No just money.

</sarcasm>

Put that way, it doesn't sound all that logical does it ? My conclusion is that the system itself is flawed beyond any possible repair, the basic design of it. And the whole thing feeds itself. It eats out our substance, our wealth. I, for one, am feeling light enough in that regard.

T




Real0ne -> RE: Banks Bundled Bad Debt, Bet Against It and Won (12/26/2009 8:52:29 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Musicmystery

Cross posting is frowned upon.

We can read.


Wow look at that!

3 posts and I already rubbed someone the wrong way.

Thanks for bringing that to my attention.






Musicmystery -> RE: Banks Bundled Bad Debt, Bet Against It and Won (12/26/2009 9:40:24 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Real0ne

quote:

ORIGINAL: Musicmystery

Cross posting is frowned upon.

We can read.


Wow look at that!

3 posts and I already rubbed someone the wrong way.


No. Trust me, you'll know if you do.

quote:

Thanks for bringing that to my attention.


Not a problem.




gift4mistress -> RE: Banks Bundled Bad Debt, Bet Against It and Won (12/26/2009 9:49:29 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: ThatDamnedPanda

Do you really think that was when it started? I'm not disagreeing with you - I'm just curious. My impression is that it goes back further than that, but it's not like i can name the day and date. Seems to me it goes back at least  as far as the Clinton years, when Greenspan really got out of control and opened up the floodgates, and maybe as far back as the Reagan Administration.

But regardless of when it started, I see the same thing you see. I call it "predatory capitalism." And I don't see it ever being reversed. It's the new way of the world.



Keep in mind that I was in middle school and elementary school while Clinton was in office, so I probably didn't know any better. However, I was noticing  a failing  system with in our society during this time with all the shootings, peak in violence, and a surge in drug use in the school system. And, this predatory capitalism that your pointing out is really corporatism at its finest.




Musicmystery -> RE: Banks Bundled Bad Debt, Bet Against It and Won (12/26/2009 9:51:34 AM)

Well, now here's the benefit of learning some history.

Life didn't start with you.

Just saying.




gift4mistress -> RE: Banks Bundled Bad Debt, Bet Against It and Won (12/26/2009 10:07:37 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Musicmystery

Well, now here's the benefit of learning some history.

Life didn't start with you.

Just saying.


Agreed!




popeye1250 -> RE: Banks Bundled Bad Debt, Bet Against It and Won (12/27/2009 11:25:55 AM)

We have a "seperation of church and state" in this country supposedly, what we need is a seperation of big business and state.
When is Obama going to start "throwing the money changers (lobbyists) out of the temple" like he promised us during his campaign?




InvisibleBlack -> RE: Banks Bundled Bad Debt, Bet Against It and Won (12/27/2009 2:42:41 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Termyn8or

Now my opinion is that we probably would've been better off if the stock market had never been created...


I disagree. I believe the problem is more one of scale.

The stock market exists so that someone with a good idea or a good venture to invest in, can have access to the resources needed to pursue that idea or venture without either having to save up his entire life or find a wealthy patron to support his idea. Without the stock market, or something like it, world civilization would likely be an order of magnitude smaller, at the least. People would likely be living at a 1920s level today, or possibly not even that.

The whole system is designed so that assets can flow to where they can be most productively used (in theory) with as little disruption or misallocation as possible. The people who move those assets around (brokers, traders, bankers, etc.) are supposed to earn a modest commission for their services.

You with me so far?

The problem is, from my end, that the ancillary function (markets and trading) has become monstrous and has overpowered the primary function (production and manufacturing). In theory, if every trade was perfectly balanced to move money around to optimally benefit allocation of resources, the trading sector of the world market should be some fraction of total global GDP. If the markets were completely charging 100% for every dollar of value produced by the allocation of resources they were making, the two should be balanced.

Total global GDP for 2008 was something like 60 trillion dollars. The equities markets (including OTC trades, derivates, etc. and not including the dark liquidity pools which cannot be measured) for 2007 (which is the most recent I can find any figures for) was estimated at 596 trillion dollars. So the world economy moved almost 600 trillion dollars of paper around to produce something like 60 trillion dollars worth of goods and services.

Do you see the imbalance here?

That 600 trillion dollars of high-speed international trading (most of which is derivatives and their ilk) is a paper fantasy. It produces no value. It's useless. This stuff needs to be reined in. The secret of success for a nation is not to move a lot of paper around and claim massive "profits" from just trading the same set of goods over and over again. It's to make sure that labor and capital are allocated to ventures that produce something of greater worth than what went into their creation to ensure there are more resources available in the future.

As long as the banks and the financiers are allowed to keep playing the same way they've been playing since 2000, nothing is going to change.




InvisibleBlack -> RE: Banks Bundled Bad Debt, Bet Against It and Won (12/27/2009 2:53:02 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: UncleNasty

The 96 year history of the Federal Reserve System shows that consistently the US taxpayer is the "lender of last resort" and is relied upon to solve whatever problems the knuckleheads running the "creature" get themselves into. Rarely, if ever, do the bigger players come out on the loosing end of the game.


Nice to see you posting again UN!

From my observation, while the government may allow a big company to go under (Pan Am, Penn Central, Lehman Brothers, et al) the people responsible (the big boys, as I refer to them) are always take care of. They almost always get away clean - not just legally but financially - somehow they're still rich even though their company is ruined. Most recently one or two have ended up convicted (Bernie Ebbers, Ken Lay) but those are, at best, tokens thrown out there to appease an angry public.

quote:

ORIGINAL: UncleNasty
To answer your question directly Term, no. I don't believe they thought that far down the road.



I don't think they operate strategically at all. It's all for the quick buck. Get in, make the bucks, get out. Move to the next. Kind of like locusts.




Termyn8or -> RE: Banks Bundled Bad Debt, Bet Against It and Won (12/28/2009 2:35:53 AM)

IB, I can go along with you on this, but when the hell are they actually going to move on ?

T




vincentML -> RE: Banks Bundled Bad Debt, Bet Against It and Won (12/28/2009 5:26:08 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Termyn8or

While I champion Citizen's rights to the nth degree, for big business I don't even pretend that corporations have, or should have rights. To keep things right, they must play by the rules and pay taxes and all that, which is fair because they use the system to make money. This means entities which profit because of moneychanging, enforcement of intellectual property rights and so forth. In fact I guess any corporation. Corprorations are formed to protect the owners' private property from liability claims that may be suffered by the business. When you want that protection you pay for it and play by the rules.



I think it was a Supreme Court decision late in the 19th Century that extended "Persons" rights to corporations.




vincentML -> RE: Banks Bundled Bad Debt, Bet Against It and Won (12/28/2009 5:37:43 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: InvisibleBlack

quote:

ORIGINAL: Termyn8or

Now my opinion is that we probably would've been better off if the stock market had never been created...


I disagree. I believe the problem is more one of scale.

The stock market exists so that someone with a good idea or a good venture to invest in, can have access to the resources needed to pursue that idea or venture without either having to save up his entire life or find a wealthy patron to support his idea. Without the stock market, or something like it, world civilization would likely be an order of magnitude smaller, at the least. People would likely be living at a 1920s level today, or possibly not even that.

The whole system is designed so that assets can flow to where they can be most productively used (in theory) with as little disruption or misallocation as possible. The people who move those assets around (brokers, traders, bankers, etc.) are supposed to earn a modest commission for their services.

You with me so far?


Capital was pooled long before there was a Stock Market. In the 17th Century I think people invested in such projects as the Jamestown venture, the West Indies Company, etc. Capital Markets are not a Twentieth Century invention.

quote:


Total global GDP for 2008 was something like 60 trillion dollars. The equities markets (including OTC trades, derivates, etc. and not including the dark liquidity pools which cannot be measured) for 2007 (which is the most recent I can find any figures for) was estimated at 596 trillion dollars. So the world economy moved almost 600 trillion dollars of paper around to produce something like 60 trillion dollars worth of goods and services.

Do you see the imbalance here?

That 600 trillion dollars of high-speed international trading (most of which is derivatives and their ilk) is a paper fantasy. It produces no value. It's useless. This stuff needs to be reined in. The secret of success for a nation is not to move a lot of paper around and claim massive "profits" from just trading the same set of goods over and over again. It's to make sure that labor and capital are allocated to ventures that produce something of greater worth than what went into their creation to ensure there are more resources available in the future.

As long as the banks and the financiers are allowed to keep playing the same way they've been playing since 2000, nothing is going to change.


Interesting and informative data, Black.




vincentML -> RE: Banks Bundled Bad Debt, Bet Against It and Won (12/28/2009 6:07:36 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: UncleNasty

Term,

That is an interesting question.

Clearly bailouts of various and sundry have been a part of taxpayers burden for quite some time. G. Edward Griffin, in his 1994 work "The Creature From Jekyll Island, a Second Look at the Federal Reserve,"  includes a section in Chapter 1 that is subtitled "The Name of the Game is Bailout." He goes into some detail in re the "how's and who's."

To my knowledge there is no form of constitutional authority for the federal government to bail out any private entity. In fact there is the exact opposite.




You gotta wonder if a major problem is not exacerbated by the existence of the Federal Reserve System. Look at what has happened to the purchasing power of the USD since the Fed was conceived in a secret meeting of bankers on that island hideaway off Georgia.

The buying power of the dollar for an equivalent basket of goods vs $1.00 in 1980 is shown in the chart. The 1910 value of the dollar was $8.94. In 2008 the value was $0.38. I use those dates because the Fed was created around 1913. At no time before 1910 did the value of the USD vs 1980 fall below $6.30. To me this is a shocking indictment of the Federal Reserve System which has been systematically looting the citizen's purchasing power. When you are "working for the Yankee dollar" as the old song went you are now working for the Yankee thirty-eight cents. A travesty imo.




Musicmystery -> RE: Banks Bundled Bad Debt, Bet Against It and Won (12/28/2009 8:01:24 AM)

vincent,

No, you're wrong on this one.

I don't have the information at hand, but somebody with time can find it, I'm sure. Look that the record of central banks and their relative political freedom over the 20th century. The countries with central banks having the strongest independence (like and including the Fed) have the lowest inflation rates (overall).

A lot of other factors go into the time period you're charting. We went from a relatively isolated nation to a global power after the Spanish-American War, possessing the Philippines and economically dominating Latin America (dollar diplomacy), for example. We went from a largely agricultural nation to a largely industrial one--farmers still want parity set to 1910 prices, when they made good money selling to war ravaged Europe.

But most importantly, without the Fed, monetary policy is no better than fiscal policy, suited to the political aims of those in power.




UncleNasty -> RE: Banks Bundled Bad Debt, Bet Against It and Won (12/28/2009 9:23:59 PM)

Thank you IB. There is a bit of respite in my case and my legal load should be reduced for several weeks.

Your post reminds me of the often misquoted Biblical passage regarding money: "Money is the root of all evil." The correct quote, depending on which version of the Bible you read is "The lust for money is the root of all evil." I'm not now, and haven't been for some time, a Christian. I have never denied, however, that the Bible does contain some wisdom.

Kind of begs the question why is so much value placed on things that are nothing more than mirrors in the haze?

Uncle Nasty




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