willbeurdaddy
Posts: 11894
Joined: 4/8/2006 Status: offline
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quote:
ORIGINAL: ThatDamnedPanda quote:
ORIGINAL: willbeurdaddy quote:
ORIGINAL: ThatDamnedPanda quote:
ORIGINAL: willbeurdaddy Two votes for the bill were lost AFTER the publication of the CBO report. Who? One from NY, One from VT. I forget the names. Edit: NY was Arcuri. Ah, OK. You're right. But the other one was from Massachusetts, and I forgot his name as well. But then again, 3 more (Markey, Schauer, and Gordon) have announced within the last several hours that they will now vote yes. I believe that means they only need 8 more votes in the next 3 days. Looking at the remaining undecideds, I count 5 probables (Bean, Baird, Periello, McNerny, and Barry), and as many as 11 leaning-toward-yes (Lynch, Capuano, Peters, Titus, Bishop, Sutton, Owens, Kind, Ortiz, Rodriguez, and Costello). And 20-some other undecideds who could go either way. Many of those are looking for a reason to say yes, and it's reasonable to expect some of them to go in at the last minute. Anything can happen over the next 60 hours, but quite frankly right now i like the math. AFAIC "you" are in a no win situation. Pass it with an up and down vote, it gets neutered in reconciliation. Pass it via the Slaughter rule, it is likely to be declared unconstitutioal, and the real slaughter is in November. If they had the votes, it would be voted on now, they wouldnt wait till Sunday. If they dont vote Sunday its all over, because the reps cannot possibly face their constituencies and come back and vote yes. Therefore they will vote Sunday, no matter what. With the pressure Obama is applying and the sleight of hand in the CBO numbers it may well pass, and its the beginning of a long cold 3 1/2 years for the Dems who vote for it.
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