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RE: Icelandic Volcano - 4/19/2010 2:32:21 PM   
vincentML


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LaTigresse makes a good point, imo, pyro.

As to your question, doesn't change of the earth presuppose/include change in the environment?

What I take from LaTigresse is that the environment will no longer support carbon life that requires oxygen and water within a favorable temperature range.

Why should we suppose it will?

_____________________________

vML

Our lives begin to end the day we become silent about things that matter. ~ MLK Jr.

(in reply to pyroaquatic)
Profile   Post #: 41
RE: Icelandic Volcano - 4/19/2010 2:34:25 PM   
vincentML


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quote:

ORIGINAL: heartcream


quote:

ORIGINAL: pyroaquatic

We are nodes coexisting with a 5.9736 × 1024 kg node.

Tectonic plates slip under other plates. There is pressure coming elsewhere:

http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/80beats/2009/04/28/geothermal-explosion-highlights-a-downside-of-a-leading-alt-energy-source/

http://www.treehugger.com/files/2007/01/geothermal_powe.php

As you can see we need more energy (for some reason). We need alternative sources. Perhaps-and this is just a theory-Human Kind can't help but to screw around in dirt. Nature screws back harder.



Yeah for sure. Everyone not aligned with Her vision of Herself needs to gerr off!

Mankind has been so ridiculously unconscious and dense promoting their stupid agenda that would be laughable if it wernt so farking damaging.

Be gone Earth haters!




Momma Nature is a perverse and fiesty Domme.

_____________________________

vML

Our lives begin to end the day we become silent about things that matter. ~ MLK Jr.

(in reply to heartcream)
Profile   Post #: 42
RE: Icelandic Volcano - 4/19/2010 2:42:18 PM   
pyroaquatic


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From: Pyroaquatica
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This is more than an Assumption. The alternative energy sector is beginning to develop.

How practical would it be to NOT use alternative energies? Tit for tat, putty cat.

I am not sure if you are knocking that brand new field or what.

Imagine: The cost of gasoline bows gracefully with the demand of gasoline.

Unless you like paying 5 dollars a gallon.

I do not have a automobile. I ride the bike. I am the 'alternative energy source' to my bicycle. I cannot afford insurance, maintenance, a car, OR the gasoline.





< Message edited by pyroaquatic -- 4/19/2010 2:43:22 PM >


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As your desire is, so is your will.
As your will is, so is your deed.
As your deed is, so is your destiny.
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Profile   Post #: 43
RE: Icelandic Volcano - 4/19/2010 8:54:26 PM   
DomKen


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quote:

ORIGINAL: vincentML


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen


quote:

ORIGINAL: Mercnbeth

quote:

Did you just try and conflate the tiny little icelandic volcano to the krakatoa explosion?

No. I only suggested it as a reference to see the impact of nature, versus man, in the case of Krakatoa.

The information coming out of Iceland indicates this eruption will not be climate changing because the ash plume did not reach the height where it would have a global impact. As of now, it hasn't reached the level of the 1991 Mt. Pinatubo eruption let alone Krakatoa.

The carbon comment, on the other hand, was a disingenuous comment regarding the folly of man's influence versus natural occurrences. However, considering the positions provided by academic sources, it may be wise to increase man's carbon footprint to offset the eventual cooling consequences of future Krakatoa type eruptions likely to occur.

Or following a philosophy that man knows and has accounted for all natural variables and can influence the global climate by whim or deliberate effort, at the very least we should allocate a major portion of our economy to preventing future volcanic eruptions, equal to the effort being allocated to preventing global warming. A wise investment "for the children"; right?

How about following a philosophy of do as little harm as possible? How about applying the concept of unintednded consequences to 250 years of massive release of CO2?


Ken, how practical is it to assume alternative sources will provide enough energy to provide food, jobs and the needed transportation for 9 billion people? I would love to see the calculations.

If we assume it will all be done in massive wind and solar farms they cannot do the job. However we have the technology to distribute power generation. Almost rvery roof of every structure could support solar panels and/or wind turnbines. If most structures generated a significant percenatge of the power they require (doable today) then the rest of the need could be met with a few large wind and solar installations along with a few peak demand natural gas power plants.

(in reply to vincentML)
Profile   Post #: 44
RE: Icelandic Volcano - 4/20/2010 4:58:48 AM   
eyesopened


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quote:

ORIGINAL: vincentML
quote:

ORIGINAL: eyesopened
quote:

ORIGINAL: vincentML
quote:

ORIGINAL: popeye1250
So much for "global warming"
This ash cloud will cool things off quite a bit.
And with all the tens of thousands of cancelled flights fuel prices will go down with all that jet fuel backing up in the system.

If volcanic and earthquake activity are cyclic and the earth's magnetic pole shifts like a pendulum, where is the credibility in assuming a linear global warming? The Planet will do what the Planet will do, nor all your sons and daughters, nor all your cap and trade will change it. I am reminded of the king (?) who went down to the sea to command the tide to halt. How feeble are we that we are tossed about so easily while Earth laughs. I sound like Sunday morning.

Are you suggesting that there is no global repercussions to pollution?  That it doesn't matter what we do, the Planet will be just fine?  If that's the case, let's just disband the EPA altogether.  It costs too much and they aren't really doing anything productive.

I don't think that's what I said, eyes. I think there are human repercussions to pollution. I don't doubt that foul air and chemical soaked water ways are unhealthy for humans, animals, and plants. I do not think the EPA is ineffectual in protecting living things in the short term and in limited locales.

However, Earth was here 5000 million years before humans arrived. Got along without us before we got here... gonna get along without us after we are gone. Hubris to believe we can alter the planet.


Thanks for clarifying.  I agree that we are not going to stop Earth from doing what it does.  But I believe it is dangerous to think that we have no power to destroy our environment. 

There was a time when women routinely took arsenic as a beauty treatment and arsenic is found naturally nearly everywhere.  So that means it's not a poison.  But it is.  Not just in an initial large quantity but in cumulative quantity.   If we say that we shouldn't worry about our 'cabon footprint' because there isn't any data to show it actually is a poison to our planet then are we willing to just let it accumulate?  A pinch of arsenic doesn't cause death until that last little bit..... 

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(in reply to vincentML)
Profile   Post #: 45
RE: Icelandic Volcano - 4/20/2010 5:03:06 AM   
vincentML


Posts: 9980
Joined: 10/31/2009
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen


quote:

ORIGINAL: vincentML


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen


quote:

ORIGINAL: Mercnbeth

quote:

Did you just try and conflate the tiny little icelandic volcano to the krakatoa explosion?

No. I only suggested it as a reference to see the impact of nature, versus man, in the case of Krakatoa.

The information coming out of Iceland indicates this eruption will not be climate changing because the ash plume did not reach the height where it would have a global impact. As of now, it hasn't reached the level of the 1991 Mt. Pinatubo eruption let alone Krakatoa.

The carbon comment, on the other hand, was a disingenuous comment regarding the folly of man's influence versus natural occurrences. However, considering the positions provided by academic sources, it may be wise to increase man's carbon footprint to offset the eventual cooling consequences of future Krakatoa type eruptions likely to occur.

Or following a philosophy that man knows and has accounted for all natural variables and can influence the global climate by whim or deliberate effort, at the very least we should allocate a major portion of our economy to preventing future volcanic eruptions, equal to the effort being allocated to preventing global warming. A wise investment "for the children"; right?

How about following a philosophy of do as little harm as possible? How about applying the concept of unintednded consequences to 250 years of massive release of CO2?


Ken, how practical is it to assume alternative sources will provide enough energy to provide food, jobs and the needed transportation for 9 billion people? I would love to see the calculations.

If we assume it will all be done in massive wind and solar farms they cannot do the job. However we have the technology to distribute power generation. Almost rvery roof of every structure could support solar panels and/or wind turnbines. If most structures generated a significant percenatge of the power they require (doable today) then the rest of the need could be met with a few large wind and solar installations along with a few peak demand natural gas power plants.


Doable in the best of all possible worlds I agree but in reality I wonder if it would not become just another commodity like oil to be exploited. I am thinking that even at this late date a great portion of the world's people are without clean water (Africa and Asia especially) and there is some controversy over the commercialization of even local water sources. The same is true for the scarcity of food and medical care and defenses against disease. With those problems on-going I wonder how we could be optimistic that wind/solar energy and electrical generators could be available world-wide. I suspect it will all come down to available capital like everything else and the impoverished and darkened world will become more impoverished and darkened. Nor can I imagine the current rate of production can be maintained in the industrial world. But on the bright side, necessity is the mother of invention, tis said, so who knows * shrugs *

Regarding the 250 years of massive release of CO2 that concerns you .... it occurs to me we are 12,000 years into an interglacial period. I wonder why the glaciers began to melt 12 millennia ago when there was no industrial emission. Do you suppose something else is at play in the great warming?

_____________________________

vML

Our lives begin to end the day we become silent about things that matter. ~ MLK Jr.

(in reply to DomKen)
Profile   Post #: 46
RE: Icelandic Volcano - 4/20/2010 5:19:45 AM   
eyesopened


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Joined: 6/12/2006
From: Tampa, FL
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quote:

ORIGINAL: vincentML
Doable in the best of all possible worlds I agree but in reality I wonder if it would not become just another commodity like oil to be exploited. I am thinking that even at this late date a great portion of the world's people are without clean water (Africa and Asia especially) and there is some controversy over the commercialization of even local water sources. The same is true for the scarcity of food and medical care and defenses against disease. With those problems on-going I wonder how we could be optimistic that wind/solar energy and electrical generators could be available world-wide. I suspect it will all come down to available capital like everything else and the impoverished and darkened world will become more impoverished and darkened. Nor can I imagine the current rate of production can be maintained in the industrial world. But on the bright side, necessity is the mother of invention, tis said, so who knows * shrugs *

Regarding the 250 years of massive release of CO2 that concerns you .... it occurs to me we are 12,000 years into an interglacial period. I wonder why the glaciers began to melt 12 millennia ago when there was no industrial emission. Do you suppose something else is at play in the great warming?


I personally have no faith that CO2 has been the cause of climate change.  I also don't see how it can possibly be healthy for the planet in the long run. 

What has happened with alternative energy is that there are just so many excuses not to try.  It won't help on a large scale so why bother.  It will just be exploited anyway so why bother.  There are more pressing problems so why bother.  Not all great things are great all of a sudden.  Some great things become great little by little.  The problem was not an overnight problem.  Why do all solutions have to be overnight solutions?  Is the elephant not eaten one bite at a time?

_____________________________

Proudly owned by InkedMaster. He is the one i obey, serve, honor and love.

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(in reply to vincentML)
Profile   Post #: 47
RE: Icelandic Volcano - 4/20/2010 5:21:06 AM   
pyroaquatic


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From: Pyroaquatica
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Let me go a tad bit further:

The cost of Photovoltaic Panels are prohibitive. They are becoming stronger, more effective, flexible, and inexpensive. The heliostats.... not so much.

Turbines- Are we thinking vertical wind turbines or the windmill type? I had a passing fancy of placing PV cells on the huge turbines.

Then we have Sterling Engines. I have yet to build one of those. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stirling_engine It is a thermovoltaic process by concentrating the a heat source/cold source. The heat source can be from a solar concentrator, effecient biomass stove, and believe it or not Composting.

:)

-----
I swear there should be a campaign for increasing the budget for education and energy. Just those two things. Does anyone agree with me on this?


_____________________________

You are what your deep, driving desire is.
As your desire is, so is your will.
As your will is, so is your deed.
As your deed is, so is your destiny.
-Brihadaranyaka Upanishad IV.4.5

(in reply to DomKen)
Profile   Post #: 48
RE: Icelandic Volcano - 4/20/2010 5:37:00 AM   
pyroaquatic


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Joined: 12/4/2006
From: Pyroaquatica
Status: offline
I do not believe in 'forever'.

I understand LaTigresse's belief, though.

Here are our options....

Reset back to zero=mass extinction of a majority of Complex Life.
Add One=Adapt to the Environment.
How many times did we ever reset?


_____________________________

You are what your deep, driving desire is.
As your desire is, so is your will.
As your will is, so is your deed.
As your deed is, so is your destiny.
-Brihadaranyaka Upanishad IV.4.5

(in reply to vincentML)
Profile   Post #: 49
RE: Icelandic Volcano - 4/20/2010 10:15:16 AM   
heartcream


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From: Psychoalphadiscobetabioaquadoloop
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Let us live Cradle to the Cradle where everything we make and do will benefit everything and everyone, at least not harm anything or anyone, from start to finish.

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"Exaggerate the essential, leave the obvious vague." Vincent Van Gogh

I'd Rather Be With You

Every single line means something.
Jean-Michel Basquiat



(in reply to pyroaquatic)
Profile   Post #: 50
RE: Icelandic Volcano - 4/20/2010 1:16:26 PM   
DomKen


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Joined: 7/4/2004
From: Chicago, IL
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quote:

ORIGINAL: vincentML
Doable in the best of all possible worlds I agree but in reality I wonder if it would not become just another commodity like oil to be exploited. I am thinking that even at this late date a great portion of the world's people are without clean water (Africa and Asia especially) and there is some controversy over the commercialization of even local water sources. The same is true for the scarcity of food and medical care and defenses against disease. With those problems on-going I wonder how we could be optimistic that wind/solar energy and electrical generators could be available world-wide. I suspect it will all come down to available capital like everything else and the impoverished and darkened world will become more impoverished and darkened. Nor can I imagine the current rate of production can be maintained in the industrial world. But on the bright side, necessity is the mother of invention, tis said, so who knows * shrugs *

Regarding the 250 years of massive release of CO2 that concerns you .... it occurs to me we are 12,000 years into an interglacial period. I wonder why the glaciers began to melt 12 millennia ago when there was no industrial emission. Do you suppose something else is at play in the great warming?

Actually the technology I'm talking about would be of great benefit to the developing world. Take vertical axis windmills suitable for mounting on roof toops. like this one:
http://www.urbangreenenergy.com/turbines.php?id=4

4Kw is a substantial portion of the power a US home consumes and would be sufficient for a multitude of power requirements in the developing world. if every commercial and industrial structure in the US had one or more of these on the roof along with solar panels where appropriate along with smaller quieter turbines on residential structures the US could drastically reduce our need to burn fossil fuels. Developing the industry to mass produce the turbines and panels would employ thousands or more of our neighbors.

As to the cycle of ice ages we may be in or just emerging from, we don't what caused them nor do we know whether another should be approaching or not. if a cooling cycle begins, and we'd have decades to see it coming, then burn some coal and cause some global warming but right now we have zero evidence for a return to the cold and we have overwhelming proof that the planet is warming. Our culture is absolutely dependent temperate climate agriculture. The warmer it gets the less land will be available for such agriculure and we simply won't be able to feed everyone as it gets warmer.

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RE: Icelandic Volcano - 4/20/2010 10:41:30 PM   
jlf1961


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Rush Limbaugh says the volcano is God's response to Health Reform... and an Iranian cleric has declared that the increased number of earthquakes in Iran is because women are not dressing modestly.

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You cannot control who comes into your life, but you can control which airlock you throw them out of.

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RE: Icelandic Volcano - 4/21/2010 6:54:24 AM   
LaTigresse


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All the women's fault! I knew it!

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My twisted, self deprecating, sense of humour, finds alot to laugh about, in your lack of one!

Just because you are well educated, articulate, and can use big, fancy words, properly........does not mean you are right!

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Profile   Post #: 53
RE: Icelandic Volcano - 4/21/2010 6:52:30 PM   
vincentML


Posts: 9980
Joined: 10/31/2009
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen


quote:

ORIGINAL: vincentML
Doable in the best of all possible worlds I agree but in reality I wonder if it would not become just another commodity like oil to be exploited. I am thinking that even at this late date a great portion of the world's people are without clean water (Africa and Asia especially) and there is some controversy over the commercialization of even local water sources. The same is true for the scarcity of food and medical care and defenses against disease. With those problems on-going I wonder how we could be optimistic that wind/solar energy and electrical generators could be available world-wide. I suspect it will all come down to available capital like everything else and the impoverished and darkened world will become more impoverished and darkened. Nor can I imagine the current rate of production can be maintained in the industrial world. But on the bright side, necessity is the mother of invention, tis said, so who knows * shrugs *

Regarding the 250 years of massive release of CO2 that concerns you .... it occurs to me we are 12,000 years into an interglacial period. I wonder why the glaciers began to melt 12 millennia ago when there was no industrial emission. Do you suppose something else is at play in the great warming?

Actually the technology I'm talking about would be of great benefit to the developing world. Take vertical axis windmills suitable for mounting on roof toops. like this one:
http://www.urbangreenenergy.com/turbines.php?id=4

4Kw is a substantial portion of the power a US home consumes and would be sufficient for a multitude of power requirements in the developing world. if every commercial and industrial structure in the US had one or more of these on the roof along with solar panels where appropriate along with smaller quieter turbines on residential structures the US could drastically reduce our need to burn fossil fuels. Developing the industry to mass produce the turbines and panels would employ thousands or more of our neighbors.

As to the cycle of ice ages we may be in or just emerging from, we don't what caused them nor do we know whether another should be approaching or not. if a cooling cycle begins, and we'd have decades to see it coming, then burn some coal and cause some global warming but right now we have zero evidence for a return to the cold and we have overwhelming proof that the planet is warming. Our culture is absolutely dependent temperate climate agriculture. The warmer it gets the less land will be available for such agriculure and we simply won't be able to feed everyone as it gets warmer.


Ken, I will agree you have a point about the need to find alternate power sources that are efficacious if we are to believe the claim that future generations will have limited access to oil. I do not accept global warming and carbon "pollution" as a proper reason however. The wind turbine seems simple enough in its design and painting all the roofs white would help conserve energy. Of course there are energy costs in extracting the metal from its ore (lots of electricity needed there) and then the manufacture and transport of the devices plus the home generators and maybe efficient storage batteries. I see the device is tied into the municipal energy grid for times when there is insufficient wind. Of course, that's workable if your home is not a lean-to made of cardboard and other scraps of material and pitched on a sidewalk in Dhaka or Delhi. It is a middle class solution that needs more work, I think.

There are evidences of Ice Ages that have come and gone from 3000 million years ago. Between the Ice Ages there seem to be cycles of Glaciation and Interglaciation. You will find there is a lot of consensus (not really a scientific word) that the current interglaciation began about 12,000 years ago. To complicate matters there are cycles of warming and cooling within the Interglaciation. We have been warming since about 1850 during the current Interglacial. Before that, cooling began in 1315 with three years of rain at the onset of the Little Ice Age. See Kevin Fagan's book of that title (and he a believer in man caused warming) My point is the cooling was quite sudden - not the decades you envision. The Little Ice Age was preceded by a non-industrial warming when the Norsemen settled Greenland. Cycles within cycles. Nobody really knows cause and effect.

If a cooling cycle begins we will just burn some coal and create some global warming???? Tell me you were only kidding, huh, huh? Another point of interest, there was an expansion of agriculture during the Medieval Warming, not a contraction as you fear. Agriculture and migration followed the great warming that lead to the retreat of the ice sheets 12,000 years ago. The science is not settled. Poliicians should stop acting like know-it-alls.

Thanks for the debate

_____________________________

vML

Our lives begin to end the day we become silent about things that matter. ~ MLK Jr.

(in reply to DomKen)
Profile   Post #: 54
RE: Icelandic Volcano - 4/21/2010 8:58:11 PM   
DomKen


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From: Chicago, IL
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There is consensus that the most recent glaciation ended about 12k years ago. However there is little if any evidence one way or another whether another glaciation would occur if not for AGW.

As to the expansion of agriculture around the 1000AD was due to a warming that was not as warm as we are now. Temperatures are forecast to rise significantly for the rest of this century at least. this will definitely push the temperate climate zone needed for our agricultre towards the poles which means less arable land.

(in reply to vincentML)
Profile   Post #: 55
RE: Icelandic Volcano - 4/22/2010 5:00:14 AM   
vincentML


Posts: 9980
Joined: 10/31/2009
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

There is consensus that the most recent glaciation ended about 12k years ago. However there is little if any evidence one way or another whether another glaciation would occur if not for AGW.

As to the expansion of agriculture around the 1000AD was due to a warming that was not as warm as we are now. Temperatures are forecast to rise significantly for the rest of this century at least. this will definitely push the temperate climate zone needed for our agricultre towards the poles which means less arable land.


* smiles * The glaciation is cylical. What goes around comes around. No reason to doubt there will not be another freeze, especially since we don't know the precise cause. My point is you can not take a 160 year minitrend and project infinity. That would be like flipping a coin five heads and predicting heads forevermore. The 160 years of disputable AGW is but a blip in the long history of Ice Ages and Glacial retreats. Your significant forecast in temperature rise is based on computer models which have also been disputed. The hockey stick model has been abandoned, for example.

Less land to cultivate? Really? Northern Canada, Alaska, Greenland, Scandanavia, Northern Russia and Siberia would be the bread baskets of the world, I think, in the most extreme case. Go north, young man, go north.

Have a good day, Ken.

_____________________________

vML

Our lives begin to end the day we become silent about things that matter. ~ MLK Jr.

(in reply to DomKen)
Profile   Post #: 56
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