RE: Noted anti-global-warming scientist reverses course | The Upshot Yahoo! News (Full Version)

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CreativeDominant -> RE: Noted anti-global-warming scientist reverses course | The Upshot Yahoo! News (9/2/2010 2:11:28 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Lucylastic

So he was believable when he was a critic, but now hes changed his mind, hes a moron.
gottit
bloody eyes hurt from rolling in my head today

Actually, he wasn't believable when he was a critic either....

For all of those coming down on conservatives, please show me an instance of a prominent, credible conservative backing this guy up when he was a critic.






Lucylastic -> RE: Noted anti-global-warming scientist reverses course | The Upshot Yahoo! News (9/2/2010 2:16:23 PM)

I didnt see anyone let alone any conservatives saying he wasnt credible...please show me a source...from here..






Rule -> RE: Noted anti-global-warming scientist reverses course | The Upshot Yahoo! News (9/2/2010 2:29:26 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: joether
a 'theory' is more or less, someone's guess, and isnt important.

You are confused about the difference between a (scientific) theory and a (scientific) hypothesis.




CreativeDominant -> RE: Noted anti-global-warming scientist reverses course | The Upshot Yahoo! News (9/2/2010 2:32:56 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Lucylastic

I didnt see anyone let alone any conservatives saying he wasnt credible...please show me a source...from here..



That would be hard to do, given the fact that the first time he's shown up on these boards is now that he has changed his mind.  I cannot recall any threads from when he was a global warming skeptic in which he was mentioned as a credible source by any conservative.  Can you?  And wasn't your original shot directed at someone...a conservative...who called him a moron?  Someone who never posted he was credible when he was a skeptic? 

As a matter of fact, I don't recall seeing his name until the thread started by a liberal...Brain...touting his change of heart.




Lucylastic -> RE: Noted anti-global-warming scientist reverses course | The Upshot Yahoo! News (9/2/2010 2:45:22 PM)

no the person I was responding to ..... he is an independent(his words) so wrong on all counts
then Im sure you can find something responsible saying he was not credible ?? yanno, beyond "your" assertion?




Rule -> RE: Noted anti-global-warming scientist reverses course | The Upshot Yahoo! News (9/2/2010 2:46:10 PM)

FR:

Some days ago we had lots of rain here. This past day it was dry.

The climate has changed!




CreativeDominant -> RE: Noted anti-global-warming scientist reverses course | The Upshot Yahoo! News (9/2/2010 3:15:53 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Lucylastic

no the person I was responding to ..... he is an independent(his words) so wrong on all counts
then Im sure you can find something responsible saying he was not credible ?? yanno, beyond "your" assertion?
How about this...already cited in this thread?:

ORIGINAL: Sanity

http://www.collarchat.com/fb.asp?m=3388994





Lucylastic -> RE: Noted anti-global-warming scientist reverses course | The Upshot Yahoo! News (9/2/2010 3:19:23 PM)

ok first of all...attention to detail, I meant before today, I can read Firm and often do and HE
originated it...not Sanity
Firm has way more smarts





joether -> RE: Noted anti-global-warming scientist reverses course | The Upshot Yahoo! News (9/2/2010 3:21:58 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Hillwilliam
You are correct that Sherlock holmes didnt exist in reality, Maybe I should have put a disclaimer to restate the painfully obvious.  Are you one of those people that gets pissed off if a new iron doesnt have a "Do not use in the shower" sticker on it?
You are incorrect in saying that his world is not based on the  laws of reality. (unless you are talking about the movie).  The books were fiction, not fantasy. 
I said that you disprove all alternatives and must accept the thing that is left. You denied that saying you have to show evidence that the last is correct.  I submit that the impossibility of all alternatives IS evidence that the last possibilty is correct.  (Google "Occam's Razor some time).  If the last alternative isnt correct, it only means that ALL others weren't considered which eliminates the first premise and sends you back to the old drawing board.

As for the subject changing to creationism....where did that come from.  That belongs on another topic.


You would make a very poor minded scientist.

Sherlock Holmes's reality is based on fiction. What does the word 'fiction' mean? "A work of fantasy". The Dictionary So, anything in Sherlock's stories should not be taken as scientific fact; otherwise, I would have to believe there is a Stargate in operation in the United States of America. Not only that, but humans have been to hundreds of worlds, battle alien monsters, and formed allianced with many other aliens. Stargate SG1 is a work of fiction, and hence, a fantasy. They use H&K MP5's for the 1st season, and FN P90's after that (those are real world weapons). However, its fiction, and a fantasy.

You were the one making some arguement that, Mr. Holme's reality some how is the exact same as ours. Kind of like Intelligent Design 'scientists' trying to pass their theories and ideas off, as legitimate evidence to the scientific community.
(Hence, the acknowledgement of Creationism)

While electricity does conduct well through metal, one inventor of US history, also tried many other substances, in an effort to see if anything else was conductive of electricity. Wood, cotton, pig flesh, even water, servered as testing materials. But the passing or elimination of those things, did not thereroe mean, metals had to be the correct answer. The metals themselves, still had to be tested. Some were better then others.

quote:


I submit that the impossibility of all alternatives IS evidence that the last possibilty is correct.


Let me explain why this does not work: Criminal Justice style. If I say to the court that the other 431 people on a train did not kill someone, because only you and he, was found in the mail car, you, must therefore be guilty of murder. The guy was killed by a gunshot to the head. The court immediately finds you are guilty and sends you off to chair...

That's your arguement.

In criminal forcenics, someone would study the theory that the guy himself, committed suicide (as you claim in the court case), rather then you holding the gun, shooting the guy, then placing it in his hand. They would look at things, including a 3-D perspective, to see if it would even be possible, for someone's hand fire a gun at the same angle, you would have fired at him. Go ask a forcenics scientist some time on tough cases that were solved; facinating stuff.

What is the difference between the two? In the first example, is Occam's Razor in effect. The second, takes in the idea, that no one has actually proved, that you killed the guy; but instead, he took his own life.

Occam's Razor, is one tool, to explain a concept, but its certainly not a trump card. In some cases, it works, and most others, it doesnt. Often, its used with scientific theories being explained to the general public, who dont hold Ph.D's and 30 years of knowledge on the subject. A scientific theory is a important concept in science. It is not 'a guess or someone's opinion'.

I'm sure there are a few scientists on here that can explain this better then myself.




joether -> RE: Noted anti-global-warming scientist reverses course | The Upshot Yahoo! News (9/2/2010 3:30:09 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Rule

quote:

ORIGINAL: joether
a 'theory' is more or less, someone's guess, and isnt important.



You are confused about the difference between a (scientific) theory and a (scientific) hypothesis.


In trying to make your arguement, try this: Dont cut out the other material around it, thus, taking it out of context.

quote:

ORIGINAL: joether
The problem with science, is on the understanding of science as it relates to non-scientists. Non-scientists do not understand the arguements 'for' or 'against' a particular subject or concept in science. That a 'theory' is more or less, someone's guess, and isnt important. Shouldn't surprise anyone that scientists just might know alittle bit about their field, then a non-scientists, eh?


So yes, non-scientists, are being referred to in the quote, you originally try to attack, NOT, the scientists themselves.

quote:

ORIGINAL: Rule
Some days ago we had lots of rain here. This past day it was dry.

The climate has changed!


No, the weather changed, the climate was the same. Do you realize how different the planet would be, with a global change in tempature of just +/- 2 degree's? I'll take the educated guess that, 'no' you dont.




Rule -> RE: Noted anti-global-warming scientist reverses course | The Upshot Yahoo! News (9/2/2010 4:00:23 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: joether
Often, its used with scientific theories being explained to the general public, who dont hold Ph.D's and 30 years of knowledge on the subject.

Is that your qualification?

quote:

ORIGINAL: joether
A scientific theory is a important concept in science. It is not 'a guess or someone's opinion'.

You are contradicting yourself. See here. I do feel, though, that it is admirable that you changed your statement.

Frankly, I am not overly impressed by your remarks about science (nor science fiction) nor your philosophy. DomKen surpasses you as far as regards scientific diligence; though on occasion I disagree with him.




DomKen -> RE: Noted anti-global-warming scientist reverses course | The Upshot Yahoo! News (9/2/2010 4:21:31 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: CreativeDominant

quote:

ORIGINAL: Lucylastic

So he was believable when he was a critic, but now hes changed his mind, hes a moron.
gottit
bloody eyes hurt from rolling in my head today

Actually, he wasn't believable when he was a critic either....

For all of those coming down on conservatives, please show me an instance of a prominent, credible conservative backing this guy up when he was a critic.

Actually his lies have propped up quite frequently here and eslewhere.

For instance in his second book on AGW he makes the claim that polar bears aren't in decline. This lie has been repeated many many times.




Lucylastic -> RE: Noted anti-global-warming scientist reverses course | The Upshot Yahoo! News (9/2/2010 4:34:27 PM)

Ken you got me, I didnt dig deep enough:) thankyou. Interesting to see all that in retrospect.
That will teach me to work and read/post to collar me at the same time
back to work




DomKen -> RE: Noted anti-global-warming scientist reverses course | The Upshot Yahoo! News (9/2/2010 4:52:51 PM)

Got nothing to do but lie here for a few hours so here's an example of the lies from this guy being repeated right here by FatDomDaddy:
http://www.collarchat.com/m_3081046/mpage_1/tm.htm




Hillwilliam -> RE: Noted anti-global-warming scientist reverses course | The Upshot Yahoo! News (9/2/2010 6:11:31 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: joether

quote:

ORIGINAL: Hillwilliam
You are correct that Sherlock holmes didnt exist in reality, Maybe I should have put a disclaimer to restate the painfully obvious.  Are you one of those people that gets pissed off if a new iron doesnt have a "Do not use in the shower" sticker on it?
You are incorrect in saying that his world is not based on the  laws of reality. (unless you are talking about the movie).  The books were fiction, not fantasy. 
I said that you disprove all alternatives and must accept the thing that is left. You denied that saying you have to show evidence that the last is correct.  I submit that the impossibility of all alternatives IS evidence that the last possibilty is correct.  (Google "Occam's Razor some time).  If the last alternative isnt correct, it only means that ALL others weren't considered which eliminates the first premise and sends you back to the old drawing board.

As for the subject changing to creationism....where did that come from.  That belongs on another topic.


You would make a very poor minded scientist.

Sherlock Holmes's reality is based on fiction. What does the word 'fiction' mean? "A work of fantasy". The Dictionary So, anything in Sherlock's stories should not be taken as scientific fact; otherwise, I would have to believe there is a Stargate in operation in the United States of America. Not only that, but humans have been to hundreds of worlds, battle alien monsters, and formed allianced with many other aliens. Stargate SG1 is a work of fiction, and hence, a fantasy. They use H&K MP5's for the 1st season, and FN P90's after that (those are real world weapons). However, its fiction, and a fantasy.

You were the one making some arguement that, Mr. Holme's reality some how is the exact same as ours. Kind of like Intelligent Design 'scientists' trying to pass their theories and ideas off, as legitimate evidence to the scientific community.
(Hence, the acknowledgement of Creationism)

While electricity does conduct well through metal, one inventor of US history, also tried many other substances, in an effort to see if anything else was conductive of electricity. Wood, cotton, pig flesh, even water, servered as testing materials. But the passing or elimination of those things, did not thereroe mean, metals had to be the correct answer. The metals themselves, still had to be tested. Some were better then others.

quote:


I submit that the impossibility of all alternatives IS evidence that the last possibilty is correct.


Let me explain why this does not work: Criminal Justice style. If I say to the court that the other 431 people on a train did not kill someone, because only you and he, was found in the mail car, you, must therefore be guilty of murder. The guy was killed by a gunshot to the head. The court immediately finds you are guilty and sends you off to chair...

That's your arguement.

In criminal forcenics, someone would study the theory that the guy himself, committed suicide (as you claim in the court case), rather then you holding the gun, shooting the guy, then placing it in his hand. They would look at things, including a 3-D perspective, to see if it would even be possible, for someone's hand fire a gun at the same angle, you would have fired at him. Go ask a forcenics scientist some time on tough cases that were solved; facinating stuff.

What is the difference between the two? In the first example, is Occam's Razor in effect. The second, takes in the idea, that no one has actually proved, that you killed the guy; but instead, he took his own life.

Occam's Razor, is one tool, to explain a concept, but its certainly not a trump card. In some cases, it works, and most others, it doesnt. Often, its used with scientific theories being explained to the general public, who dont hold Ph.D's and 30 years of knowledge on the subject. A scientific theory is a important concept in science. It is not 'a guess or someone's opinion'.

I'm sure there are a few scientists on here that can explain this better then myself.

You say Id make a poor scientist. that's interesting since Ive got stuff published when I was in grad school and it isnt political at all..

I'll GUARANTEE that there are some that could explain it better than you as you dont really have a grasp. You watch too much CSI and have not near enough practical experience.

By the way, it's forensics. I will give ya credit for a typo, though, as I'm king of typos.

As far as Doyle's reality, show me where Doyle violates any natural law especially as it was known at the end of the 19th century. Your "Stargate crap is just that, CRAP" it's called fantasy. If you dont know the difference between fantasy and fiction, you need to get a job in political radio.

As I said earlier, if you could THINK, elimination of EVERY possible alternative means that you have to accept the last . EVERY alternative doesnt mean just the ones you can think of. It means EVERY alternative. In your simple "murder on a train" scenario earlier, you totally forgot one that hit me in the first 5 seconds. Who says a shot that kills a person had to come from the train?

You think too simply




DCWoody -> RE: Noted anti-global-warming scientist reverses course | The Upshot Yahoo! News (9/2/2010 6:43:29 PM)

Bjorn Lomborg has was never a noted anti-global-warming scientist, and he hasn't reversed from that course (as he never held it). Check your sources people.

He was just....saneish. Refused to agree that we'd all be dead by now & anyone who disagreed was paid off by oil companies.




Lucylastic -> RE: Noted anti-global-warming scientist reverses course | The Upshot Yahoo! News (9/2/2010 6:54:40 PM)

For someone who has not been taken seriously by his peers, he had a lot of believers here before today.
noen of them are admitting it tho:)
thankyou for enlightening me Ken




popeye1250 -> RE: Noted anti-global-warming scientist reverses course | The Upshot Yahoo! News (9/2/2010 7:27:30 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: DomYngBlk

quote:

ORIGINAL: Myles

I have a question for all those non believers on Global Warming... Do you seriously believe that Since the Industrial revolution of the 1800s, that with all the crap that has been pumped into the atmosphere has had no effect on it?? The most destructive force this earth has ever seen is Western Man, the first species to change their enviornment to suit their needs, all other species of man before then lived in harmony with nature taking only what they needed to survive. Oh by the way another oil rig in the Gulf exploded today hmm do you think its time to get off oil and start searching for a new source of energy ??


What does reality and logic have to do with this discussion?



DYB, exactly. The people who believe in this crap are going to believe in it anyway. And if you don't you're a "non-believer."
"Aunti Em, there must be global warming! There MUST!" "There Must!"
If I want to believe in the "Cadillac God" who's going to somehow give me a Cadillac that's fine but it wouldn't be right for me to try to force my beliefs on others and insist that they also believe in a "Cadillac God."
It's like those people who believe in "The Rapture" I always ask them if I can have the keys to their car when they get "raptured!"
Lol, they always hesitate!
"Hey man, if I'm going to be going through all those tribulations for you the least you can do is hand over the keys! You ain't gonna need em, ...right?




Brain -> RE: Noted anti-global-warming scientist reverses course | The Upshot Yahoo! News (9/2/2010 9:06:50 PM)

How eloquent.


quote:

ORIGINAL: popeye1250

ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ





DomYngBlk -> RE: Noted anti-global-warming scientist reverses course | The Upshot Yahoo! News (9/3/2010 6:21:51 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: popeye1250

quote:

ORIGINAL: DomYngBlk

quote:

ORIGINAL: Myles

I have a question for all those non believers on Global Warming... Do you seriously believe that Since the Industrial revolution of the 1800s, that with all the crap that has been pumped into the atmosphere has had no effect on it?? The most destructive force this earth has ever seen is Western Man, the first species to change their enviornment to suit their needs, all other species of man before then lived in harmony with nature taking only what they needed to survive. Oh by the way another oil rig in the Gulf exploded today hmm do you think its time to get off oil and start searching for a new source of energy ??


What does reality and logic have to do with this discussion?



DYB, exactly. The people who believe in this crap are going to believe in it anyway. And if you don't you're a "non-believer."
"Aunti Em, there must be global warming! There MUST!" "There Must!"
If I want to believe in the "Cadillac God" who's going to somehow give me a Cadillac that's fine but it wouldn't be right for me to try to force my beliefs on others and insist that they also believe in a "Cadillac God."
It's like those people who believe in "The Rapture" I always ask them if I can have the keys to their car when they get "raptured!"
Lol, they always hesitate!
"Hey man, if I'm going to be going through all those tribulations for you the least you can do is hand over the keys! You ain't gonna need em, ...right?


Not really my point and I dont see where you are going with that....but....Ok




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