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FirmhandKY -> POLITICO Puts More Than 99 Dem Seats In Danger (10/19/2010 11:18:56 PM)
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Republicans put 99 Democrat-held House seats in danger
By ALEX ISENSTADT | 10/19/10 6:22 AM EDT Updated: 10/19/10 3:27 PM EDT
With two weeks remaining until Election Day, the political map has expanded to put Democrats on the run across the country — with 99 Democratic-held House seats now in play, according to a POLITICO analysis, and Republicans well in reach of retaking the House.
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The assessment by POLITICO is based on a review of TV media-buy information from those independent groups and the party committees in more than 80 districts; internal and public polling in individual races; Federal Election Commission fundraising data for incumbents and challengers; and reporting on the districts.
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The list doesn’t include several Republican-oriented seats that Democrats have all but ceded to Republicans, including districts in southeastern Louisiana, Upstate New York and Middle Tennessee.
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POLITICO’s tally does not include a handful of seats in which Democrats are waging competitive campaigns to capture GOP-held seats.
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While the level of competitiveness among the 99 seats varies widely, they share a common denominator: all of them show some serious sign of vulnerability to takeover by the GOP.
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... the nonpartisan Cook Political Report predicts a GOP net gain of at least 40 House seats, with 90 Democratic seats in total rated as competitive or likely Republican.
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The Rothenberg Report, another political handicapper, lists 91 Democratic-held seats as in play, and predicts the “extremely large field of competitive races” will produce a “likely Republican gain of 40-50 seats, with 60 seats possible.”
What would be a really interesting thread would be to go back and dig up and quote all the lefty jubilation and predictions of the demise of the Republican Party when Obama and the Democrats won the last election ... [:D]
Firm
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