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What the media isn't reporting about the S&P downgrade - 8/6/2011 5:46:04 PM   
Fightdirecto


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Mainstream Media Ignores S&P Attack On Republicans

quote:

Have you seen, anywhere, in any media, or even heard reported or repeated on NPR, the following sentence? “WE HAVE CHANGED OUR ASSUMPTION ON THIS BECAUSE THE MAJORITY OF REPUBLICANS IN CONGRESS CONTINUE TO RESIST ANY MEASURE THAT WOULD RAISE REVENUES, A POSITION WE BELIEVE CONGRESS REINFORCED BY PASSING THE ACT.”

It’s right there on Page 4 of the official Standard & Poor’s “Research Update” – the actual report on what they did and why – published on August 5th as the explanation for why they believe Congress – and even the Gang of Twelve – will be unable to actually deal with the US debt crisis...

In order to figure out that one of the reasons why is that “Republicans in the Congress continue to resist any measure that would raise revenues,” a hard-working reporter would have to read to page four of the eight-page report. It’s just too much effort for most reporters?...

...could it be that reporters are afraid that if they report the actual language of the S&P Research Report, then Republicans will punish them by denying them “access” – i.e. refusing to show up on their programs – which is the career and show kiss-of-death for radio and TV programs that rely on big-name politicians to work?

I don’t know the reason, but it’s fascinating to see all the huffing and puffing about the S&P downgrade of America’s debt that all seems to be working so hard to avoid mentioning that critical sentence.

“WE HAVE CHANGED OUR ASSUMPTION ON THIS BECAUSE THE MAJORITY OF REPUBLICANS IN CONGRESS CONTINUE TO RESIST ANY MEASURE THAT WOULD RAISE REVENUES, A POSITION WE BELIEVE CONGRESS REINFORCED BY PASSING THE ACT.”



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RE: What the media isn't reporting about the S&P downgrade - 8/6/2011 5:52:28 PM   
Kirata


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Fightdirecto

I don’t know the reason, but it’s fascinating to see all the huffing and puffing about the S&P downgrade of America’s debt that all seems to be working so hard to avoid mentioning that critical sentence.

I'm sorry, what was that "critical sentence" again?

K.

(in reply to Fightdirecto)
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RE: What the media isn't reporting about the S&P downgrade - 8/6/2011 5:55:23 PM   
Fightdirecto


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Kirata

quote:

ORIGINAL: Fightdirecto
I don’t know the reason, but it’s fascinating to see all the huffing and puffing about the S&P downgrade of America’s debt that all seems to be working so hard to avoid mentioning that critical sentence.

I'm sorry, what was that "critical sentence" again?

K.




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RE: What the media isn't reporting about the S&P downgrade - 8/6/2011 5:58:01 PM   
Lucylastic


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People are too lazy to read and inwardly digest
just to show it is in there, I downloaded the PDF and took a screenshot of it


they also said.....

The political brinksmanship of recent months highlights what we see as
America's governance and policymaking becoming less stable, less effective,
and less predictable than what we previously believed. The statutory debt
ceiling and the threat of default have become political bargaining chips in
the debate over fiscal policy. Despite this year's wide-ranging debate, in our
view, the differences between political parties have proven to be
extraordinarily difficult to bridge, and, as we see it, the resulting
agreement fell well short of the comprehensive fiscal consolidation program
that some proponents had envisaged until quite recently.�P�


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RE: What the media isn't reporting about the S&P downgrade - 8/6/2011 6:21:03 PM   
hardcybermaster


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in conclusion, well done america, you've done an outstanding job once again and the rest of the world just wants to say thank you

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RE: What the media isn't reporting about the S&P downgrade - 8/6/2011 6:24:57 PM   
outhere69


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I've also heard they made a 2 trillion mistake when they crunched the numbers.

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RE: What the media isn't reporting about the S&P downgrade - 8/6/2011 6:27:37 PM   
willbeurdaddy


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Interesting you would choose that, amongst the many direct or indirect comments on Obama and the Dems:

"It appears that for now, new revenues have
dropped down on the menu of policy options. In addition, the plan envisions
only minor policy changes on Medicare and little change in other entitlements,
the containment of which we and most other independent observers regard as key
to long-term fiscal sustainability."

Uhhhh, who is it that refused to discuss Medicare and entitlements?

"Since then, we have changed our view of the difficulties in bridging the
gulf between the political parties over fiscal policy, which makes us
pessimistic about the capacity of Congress and the Administration to be
able to leverage their agreement this week into a broader fiscal
consolidation plan that stabilizes the government's debt dynamics any
time soon."

Sounds triparteid to me. Do you have any doubt that they are putting pressure on the bi-partisan super-Congress?

"A new political consensus
might (or might not) emerge after the 2012 elections"

Don't slam the door on the way out Senators.

"Standard & Poor's takes no position on the mix of spending and revenue
measures that Congress and the Administration might conclude is appropriate
for putting the U.S.'s finances on a sustainable footing."

Ahhhh, so the Republicans stance on tax increase ISNT the whole story, as you want people to think.

"We still believe
that the role of the U.S. dollar as the key reserve currency confers a
government funding advantage, one that could change only slowly over time, and
that Fed policy might lean toward continued loose monetary policy at a time of
fiscal tightening. Nonetheless, it is possible that interest rates could rise
if investors re-price relative risks."

And they recognize the ongoing stability of US Treasuries Ive repeated ad nauseum to the doomsayers.

It seems theres a lot that YOU arent saying about the S&P downgrade.







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RE: What the media isn't reporting about the S&P downgrade - 8/6/2011 6:27:57 PM   
Lucylastic


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Does wilbur crunch numbers for S&P?

< Message edited by Lucylastic -- 8/6/2011 6:43:20 PM >


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RE: What the media isn't reporting about the S&P downgrade - 8/6/2011 6:29:26 PM   
willbeurdaddy


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quote:

ORIGINAL: outhere69

I've also heard they made a 2 trillion mistake when they crunched the numbers.


You heard Geithner claim there was a mistake. It is a disagreement over the use of CBO baseline numbers.

"In the statement sent after midnight, S&P said it was clarifying “assumptions” involved in its decision.

“The primary focus remained on the current level of debt, the trajectory of debt as a share of the economy, and the lack of apparent willingness of elected officials as a group to deal with the U.S. medium term fiscal outlook,” the S&P statement said. “None of these key factors was meaningfully affected by the assumption revisions to the assumed growth of discretionary outlays and thus had no impact on the rating decision.” "



< Message edited by willbeurdaddy -- 8/6/2011 6:34:04 PM >


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RE: What the media isn't reporting about the S&P downgrade - 8/6/2011 6:35:44 PM   
Sanity


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Consider the sources...



"Never mind".

quote:


Ahhhh, so the Republicans stance on tax increase ISNT the whole story, as you want people to think.


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RE: What the media isn't reporting about the S&P downgrade - 8/6/2011 6:38:35 PM   
Fightdirecto


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Sanity
Consider the sources...


The source - Standard & Poor's own report.

'Nuff said.



< Message edited by Fightdirecto -- 8/6/2011 6:43:15 PM >


_____________________________

"I swore never to be silent whenever and wherever human beings endure suffering and humiliation. We must always take sides. Neutrality helps the oppressor, never the victim. Silence encourages the tormentor, never the tormented.””
- Ellie Wiesel

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RE: What the media isn't reporting about the S&P downgrade - 8/6/2011 6:49:34 PM   
MasterJaguar01


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Lucylastic

People are too lazy to read and inwardly digest
just to show it is in there, I downloaded the PDF and took a screenshot of it


they also said.....

The political brinksmanship of recent months highlights what we see as
America's governance and policymaking becoming less stable, less effective,
and less predictable than what we previously believed. The statutory debt
ceiling and the threat of default have become political bargaining chips in
the debate over fiscal policy. Despite this year's wide-ranging debate, in our
view, the differences between political parties have proven to be
extraordinarily difficult to bridge, and, as we see it, the resulting
agreement fell well short of the comprehensive fiscal consolidation program
that some proponents had envisaged until quite recently.�P�




Sigh... I made this point to wilbur in the other thread when he erroneously stated that S&P would have downgraded us if there were no debt ceiling debate. It is VERY clear from S&P report that they blame the Republicans for this nonsense.

The BOTTOM LINE: No debt ceiling debate. No downgrade. S&P wouldn't have said a word.



< Message edited by MasterJaguar01 -- 8/6/2011 7:07:06 PM >

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RE: What the media isn't reporting about the S&P downgrade - 8/6/2011 7:09:35 PM   
Lucylastic


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Yes you did, but I didnt read the report until just now, so I apologise, my bad, and I havent had time to repost the screenshot.
The screenshot and the link to the pdf would have been a good idea to post had I thought about it.
Mostly tho? even proof isnt enough for some people.


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RE: What the media isn't reporting about the S&P downgrade - 8/6/2011 7:31:07 PM   
tweakabelle


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The Nation magazine has an interesting examination of S & P's possible motivations here.



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RE: What the media isn't reporting about the S&P downgrade - 8/6/2011 7:49:46 PM   
MasterJaguar01


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Obama certainly failed miserably as a leader in this crisis.

As I said in another thread, he should have (weeks earlier) said to the House Republicans:

"You have 1 week to pass a single-line bill raising the debt ceiling, or I will instruct the US Treasury to do whatever it deems necessary in order to protect the full faith and credit of the US"



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RE: What the media isn't reporting about the S&P downgrade - 8/6/2011 8:01:07 PM   
wittynamehere


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Sanity
Consider the sources...

Yeah, it's all about the messenger. Don't look at the data itself, don't look at the evidence. "Just consider the source.... (it's easier for me to discredit and slander the source, such as by posting a silly photo of a clearly ridiculous person.)"


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RE: What the media isn't reporting about the S&P downgrade - 8/6/2011 8:01:11 PM   
pogo4pres


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FR


For the fucktard brigade what media IS NOT REPORTING is that MOODYS & FITCH (both better known and more respected "bond houses" than S&P) still rate the U.S. as "AAA".  Additionally the media is NOT REPORTING that S&P is currently in some deep fucking kimchi with the SEC.


Investingly,
Some Knucklehead in NJ


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RE: What the media isn't reporting about the S&P downgrade - 8/6/2011 8:13:33 PM   
MasterJaguar01


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Joined: 12/2/2006
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quote:

ORIGINAL: pogo4pres

FR


For the fucktard brigade what media IS NOT REPORTING is that MOODYS & FITCH (both better known and more respected "bond houses" than S&P) still rate the U.S. as "AAA".  Additionally the media is NOT REPORTING that S&P is currently in some deep fucking kimchi with the SEC.


Investingly,
Some Knucklehead in NJ




Very interesting information. Why is it only directed toward the "fucktard brigade"?

Can't we non-fucktards benefit from your post as well?


Just asking

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RE: What the media isn't reporting about the S&P downgrade - 8/6/2011 8:39:17 PM   
willbeurdaddy


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quote:

ORIGINAL: MasterJaguar01

quote:

ORIGINAL: Lucylastic

People are too lazy to read and inwardly digest
just to show it is in there, I downloaded the PDF and took a screenshot of it


they also said.....

The political brinksmanship of recent months highlights what we see as
America's governance and policymaking becoming less stable, less effective,
and less predictable than what we previously believed. The statutory debt
ceiling and the threat of default have become political bargaining chips in
the debate over fiscal policy. Despite this year's wide-ranging debate, in our
view, the differences between political parties have proven to be
extraordinarily difficult to bridge, and, as we see it, the resulting
agreement fell well short of the comprehensive fiscal consolidation program
that some proponents had envisaged until quite recently.�P�




Sigh... I made this point to wilbur in the other thread when he erroneously stated that S&P would have downgraded us if there were no debt ceiling debate. It is VERY clear from S&P report that they blame the Republicans for this nonsense.

The BOTTOM LINE: No debt ceiling debate. No downgrade. S&P wouldn't have said a word.




Its very clear you dont know how to read. Their primary issue is and always has been deficit reduction, not Geithners artificial deadline.

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RE: What the media isn't reporting about the S&P downgrade - 8/6/2011 8:48:35 PM   
TreasureKY


Posts: 3032
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From: Kentucky
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quote:

ORIGINAL: MasterJaguar01

Sigh... I made this point to wilbur in the other thread when he erroneously stated that S&P would have downgraded us if there were no debt ceiling debate. It is VERY clear from S&P report that they blame the Republicans for this nonsense.

The BOTTOM LINE: No debt ceiling debate. No downgrade. S&P wouldn't have said a word.


I don't believe that is completely correct.  S&P issued a statement on April 18th when affirming the US's AAA rating.  Their comments related the following points:
  • Because the U.S. has, relative to its 'AAA' peers, what we consider to be
    very large budget deficits and rising government indebtedness and the
    path to addressing these is not clear to us, we have revised our outlook
    on the long-term rating to negative from stable.
  • We believe there is a material risk that U.S. policymakers might not
    reach an agreement on how to address medium- and long-term budgetary
    challenges by 2013; if an agreement is not reached and meaningful
    implementation is not begun by then, this would in our view render the
    U.S. fiscal profile meaningfully weaker than that of peer 'AAA'
    sovereigns.
  • Contrary to what has repeatedly claimed in this thread and others, I don't believe S&P has specifically blamed either party... but both.  Note the following comments made, as well:
    "More than two years after the beginning of the recent crisis, U.S.
    policymakers have still not agreed on how to reverse recent fiscal
    deterioration or address longer-term fiscal pressures," Mr. Swann added.

    In 2003-2008, the U.S.'s general (total) government deficit fluctuated
    between 2% and 5% of GDP. Already noticeably larger than that of most 'AAA'
    rated sovereigns, it ballooned to more than 11% in 2009 and has yet to
    recover.

    On April 13, President Barack Obama laid out his Administration's
    medium-term fiscal consolidation plan, aimed at reducing the cumulative
    unified federal deficit by US$4 trillion in 12 years or less
    . A key component
    of the Administration's strategy is to work with Congressional leaders over
    the next two months to develop a commonly agreed upon program to reach this
    target. The President's proposals envision reducing the deficit via both
    spending cuts and revenue increases.

    Key members in the U.S. House of Representatives have also advocated
    fiscal tightening of a similar magnitude, US$4.4 trillion, during the coming
    10 years, but via different methods. House Budget Committee Chairman Paul
    Ryan's plan seeks to balance the federal budget by 2040, in part by cutting
    non-defense spending. The plan also includes significantly reducing the scope
    of Medicare and Medicaid, while bringing top individual and corporate tax
    rates lower than those under the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts.

    We view President Obama's and Congressman Ryan's proposals as the
    starting point of a process aimed at broader engagement, which could result in
    substantial and lasting U.S. government fiscal consolidation. That said, we
    see the path to agreement as challenging because the gap between the parties
    remains wide. We believe there is a significant risk that Congressional
    negotiations could result in no agreement on a medium-term fiscal strategy
    until after the fall 2012 Congressional and Presidential elections. If so, the
    first budget proposal that could include related measures would be Budget 2014
    (for the fiscal year beginning Oct. 1, 2013), and we believe a delay beyond
    that time is possible.

    Standard & Poor's takes no position on the mix of spending and revenue
    measures the Congress and the Administration might conclude are appropriate.
    But for any plan to be credible, we believe that it would need to secure
    support from a cross-section of leaders in both political parties.

    If U.S. policymakers do agree on a fiscal consolidation strategy, we
    believe the experience of other countries highlights that implementation could
    take time. It could also generate significant political controversy, not just
    within Congress or between Congress and the Administration, but throughout the
    country. We therefore think that, assuming an agreement between Congress and
    the President, there is a reasonable chance that it would still take a number
    of years before the government reaches a fiscal position that stabilizes its
    debt burden. In addition, even if such measures are eventually put in place,
    the initiating policymakers or subsequently elected ones could decide to at
    least partially reverse fiscal consolidation.
    And finally:
    "Some compromise that achieves agreement on a comprehensive budgetary
    consolidation program--containing deficit-reduction measures in amounts near
    those recently proposed, and combined with meaningful steps toward
    implementation by 2013
    --is our baseline assumption and could lead us to revise
    the outlook back to stable. Alternatively, the lack of such an agreement or a
    significant further fiscal deterioration for any reason could lead us to lower
    the rating.
    Please note the portions that I've highlighted in bold font.  While it appears that S&P did indeed consider political division as a significant risk factor, they also clearly indicated that any proposal reached would need to reach the level proposed (around $4T), have support across political boundaries, and have "meaningful" steps taken by 2013.  They also didn't appear to have much faith that a plan could be implemented in time.

    Sounds to me as if S&P had a pretty good handle on what would happen.  A slightly more realistic view than that of the Treasury whose response to this statement was:
    “S&P assumes that the U.S. will enact ‘a comprehensive budgetary consolidation program – combined with meaningful steps toward implementation by 2013,’ but we believe S&P’s negative outlook underestimates the ability of America’s leaders to come together to address the difficult fiscal challenges facing the nation.”​
    Personally, I'm tired of the bickering and laying blame.  I suspect a lot of other Americans are, as well. 

    (in reply to MasterJaguar01)
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