Afghanistan in the 80's vs Libya now (Full Version)

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Hillwilliam -> Afghanistan in the 80's vs Libya now (9/5/2011 10:51:25 AM)

I started to hijack another thread a bit but figured this might need its own topic.

1. What are the similarities between the Obama backed liberation of Libya this year and the Reagan/Bush backed liberation of Afghanistan in the 80's?

2. What are the odds that an Osama bin Ladn and/or Mullah Omar will emerge from the wreckage and show the same gratitude for saving their asses that the originals did?




DomKen -> RE: Afghanistan in the 80's vs Libya now (9/5/2011 11:18:13 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Hillwilliam

I started to hijack another thread a bit but figured this might need its own topic.

1. What are the similarities between the Obama backed liberation of Libya this year and the Reagan/Bush backed liberation of Afghanistan in the 80's?

Almost none. The rebels in Libya and the mujaheddin n Afghanistan were to a large degree foreigners.

quote:

2. What are the odds that an Osama bin Ladn and/or Mullah Omar will emerge from the wreckage and show the same gratitude for saving their asses that the originals did?

It's possible but unlikely. Qaddafi was long a supporter of international terrorism so it is likely anyone with that sort of anti western mindset would have been loyal to him and not a rebel.




FirstQuaker -> RE: Afghanistan in the 80's vs Libya now (9/5/2011 11:28:30 AM)

A good short assessment of where this has been and is likely going are discussed in thee two articles.

It's a TOTAL war, monsieur

Why Gaddafi got a red card

But in a nutshell, the misuse of the UN Resolution for regime change likely burnt any other one in the future and the African Union is fuming.




thompsonx -> RE: Afghanistan in the 80's vs Libya now (9/5/2011 11:40:03 AM)

quote:

The rebels in Libya and the mujaheddin n Afghanistan were to a large degree foreigners.


Would you have any validation for this statement or is just your opinion?




rulemylife -> RE: Afghanistan in the 80's vs Libya now (9/5/2011 12:03:10 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: FirstQuaker

A good short assessment of where this has been and is likely going are discussed in thee two articles.

It's a TOTAL war, monsieur

Why Gaddafi got a red card

But in a nutshell, the misuse of the UN Resolution for regime change likely burnt any other one in the future and the African Union is fuming.



I see, so it really had nothing to do with the Libyan people rising up against a brutal dictator and being massacred by him.

It was all NATO's doing.

Good to know.

Keep up the good work!






FirstQuaker -> RE: Afghanistan in the 80's vs Libya now (9/5/2011 12:18:12 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: rulemylife
I see, so it really had nothing to do with the Libyan people rising up against a brutal dictator and being massacred by him.

It was all NATO's doing.

Good to know.

Keep up the good work!





And what, in your opinion, would have happened if NATO had not gotten involved and provided the jihadists with a modern air force, along with the military resources from several of the world's most powerful military forces?

The new government is gonna lack local and international  legitimacy, since it will be seen as a NATO installed puppet state.

But  anything for oil, no? So how many years and how much gold will you think it good to spend propping this EU installed Al-Qaeda front government up?




DomKen -> RE: Afghanistan in the 80's vs Libya now (9/5/2011 2:08:46 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: thompsonx

quote:

The rebels in Libya and the mujaheddin n Afghanistan were to a large degree foreigners.


Would you have any validation for this statement or is just your opinion?

That should have read
"The rebels in Libya were Libyans and the mujaheddin in Afghanistan were to a large degree foreigners."

Must have been distracted when I hit submit.




DomKen -> RE: Afghanistan in the 80's vs Libya now (9/5/2011 2:11:33 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: FirstQuaker

quote:

ORIGINAL: rulemylife
I see, so it really had nothing to do with the Libyan people rising up against a brutal dictator and being massacred by him.

It was all NATO's doing.

Good to know.

Keep up the good work!





And what, in your opinion, would have happened if NATO had not gotten involved and provided the jihadists with a modern air force, along with the military resources from several of the world's most powerful military forces?

The new government is gonna lack local and international  legitimacy, since it will be seen as a NATO installed puppet state.

But  anything for oil, no? So how many years and how much gold will you think it good to spend propping this EU installed Al-Qaeda front government up?

Do you have any evidence the rebels are primarily islamists? Since the rebels were a popular uprising they will definitely have local support and with Nato and the UN security council supporting the operation it seems they will certainly have international support as well. Some soreheads in the AU and the League of Non Aligned will whine but that has no signifigance and will have no effect.




thompsonx -> RE: Afghanistan in the 80's vs Libya now (9/5/2011 2:20:38 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen


quote:

ORIGINAL: thompsonx

quote:

The rebels in Libya and the mujaheddin n Afghanistan were to a large degree foreigners.


Would you have any validation for this statement or is just your opinion?

That should have read
"The rebels in Libya were Libyans and the mujaheddin in Afghanistan were to a large degree foreigners."

Must have been distracted when I hit submit.

Do you have any validation for this statement or is it just your opinion?




DomKen -> RE: Afghanistan in the 80's vs Libya now (9/5/2011 4:08:19 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: thompsonx


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen


quote:

ORIGINAL: thompsonx

quote:

The rebels in Libya and the mujaheddin n Afghanistan were to a large degree foreigners.


Would you have any validation for this statement or is just your opinion?

That should have read
"The rebels in Libya were Libyans and the mujaheddin in Afghanistan were to a large degree foreigners."

Must have been distracted when I hit submit.

Do you have any validation for this statement or is it just your opinion?

which part do you want evidence for?




FirstQuaker -> RE: Afghanistan in the 80's vs Libya now (9/5/2011 4:19:10 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

Do you have any evidence the rebels are primarily islamists? Since the rebels were a popular uprising they will definitely have local support and with Nato and the UN security council supporting the operation it seems they will certainly have international support as well. Some soreheads in the AU and the League of Non Aligned will whine but that has no signifigance and will have no effect.


It would be surprising if they were not Mohammedans.

However as for them being funde Muslims - Jihadists plot to take over Libya

Or such minor things as The French report shows the “rebels” proclaiming that “Now, the time of jihad has arrived!” and, of course, screaming, “Allahu Akbar!” as they fire their guns into the air.

And doubtless they will receive as much help as they need from their brothers around the region, if money, men, or weapons are needed to make this happen.

Afghanistan redux.





hardcybermaster -> RE: Afghanistan in the 80's vs Libya now (9/5/2011 4:34:06 PM)

so there is no one here who gives any credence to the idea that the people of Libya, emboldened by the other uprisings in north africa and to a certain extent the unrest in the middle east decided to rise up against a tyranical leader and "free" their country? if they free their own country then hopefully they get the chance to decide on their future, and whatever they decide is their choice, no matter who or how that came about. If they choose, democratically, to be.....{ insert religion/idealogy}....then that is their choice, not ours.
it's not our country, we don't decide their future, they do




FirstQuaker -> RE: Afghanistan in the 80's vs Libya now (9/5/2011 4:40:11 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: hardcybermaster

so there is no one here who gives any credence to the idea that the people of Libya, emboldened by the other uprisings in north africa and to a certain extent the unrest in the middle east decided to rise up against a tyranical leader and "free" their country? if they free their own country then hopefully they get the chance to decide on their future, and whatever they decide is their choice, no matter who or how that came about. If they choose, democratically, to be.....{ insert religion/idealogy}....then that is their choice, not ours.
it's not our country, we don't decide their future, they do


Really buying into the "Humanitarian Regime Change" thing are we?

It so resembles the one told about Iraq.

But again, without NATO, just what do you think would have happened? And just how long do you think this EU installed "democracy" is going to last, without aq bunch of outside "help?"




hardcybermaster -> RE: Afghanistan in the 80's vs Libya now (9/5/2011 4:46:33 PM)

if you can't see the difference between Iraq and Libya then there are some serious problems. America( plus helpers) invaded Iraq, the Libyans started their own revo lution and we helped. I have no idea how it will pan out in the long run but I am fairly sure that there is a clear difference between the two events
quote:

ORIGINAL: FirstQuaker

quote:

ORIGINAL: hardcybermaster

so there is no one here who gives any credence to the idea that the people of Libya, emboldened by the other uprisings in north africa and to a certain extent the unrest in the middle east decided to rise up against a tyranical leader and "free" their country? if they free their own country then hopefully they get the chance to decide on their future, and whatever they decide is their choice, no matter who or how that came about. If they choose, democratically, to be.....{ insert religion/idealogy}....then that is their choice, not ours.
it's not our country, we don't decide their future, they do


Really buying into the "Humanitarian Regime Change" thing are we?

It so resembles the one told about Iraq.

But again, without NATO, just what do you think would have happened? And just how long do you think this EU installed "democracy" is going to last, without aq bunch of outside "help?"





tweakabelle -> RE: Afghanistan in the 80's vs Libya now (9/5/2011 4:56:47 PM)

Well hardycybermaster, no one here has yet pointed out that Afghanistan was suffering under foreign (Russian) occupation and Libya was suffering under a local (Libyan) dictator. It's difficult to give much credence to analyses or opinions that fail to take into account that basic difference.

Another essential point is the role played by Pakistan in set up arming and financing the Taliban. Another important factor is that the mujhadeen were largely Afghanis, with small but significant groups of Pakistanis and Arabs assisting them. The mujhadeen weren't just the Taliban. Remember the Northern Alliance anyone? The warlords? They were all local guys. Arms and finance (quite a bit of it originating in the US) flowed to the mujhadeen through these (Pakistani ISI and Arab) sources.

Will another bin Laden or Mullah Omar be allowed to emerge? Unlikely. The Europeans have cred history and aerial mastery over Libya. They're playing the role Pakistan played in Afghanistan. They're unlikely to allow any regime that might threaten their interests. Interests of course leads us another major difference - Libya has oil, Afghanistan doesn't. That means Libya's is not going to be left to rot as Afghanistan was. Libya will need foreign banks and oil companies to develop its resources and pay back NATO et al for their contribution to Libyan 'liberation'.

The Libyan revolution was effected by the Libyan people, albeit with significant external help. Whether the West will allow Libyans to enjoy the fruits of freedom is quite another question .......




FirstQuaker -> RE: Afghanistan in the 80's vs Libya now (9/5/2011 4:57:18 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: hardcybermaster

if you can't see the difference between Iraq and Libya then there are some serious problems. America( plus helpers) invaded Iraq, the Libyans started their own revo lution and we helped. I have no idea how it will pan out in the long run but I am fairly sure that there is a clear difference between the two events
quote:

ORIGINAL: FirstQuaker

quote:

ORIGINAL: hardcybermaster

so there is no one here who gives any credence to the idea that the people of Libya, emboldened by the other uprisings in north africa and to a certain extent the unrest in the middle east decided to rise up against a tyranical leader and "free" their country? if they free their own country then hopefully they get the chance to decide on their future, and whatever they decide is their choice, no matter who or how that came about. If they choose, democratically, to be.....{ insert religion/idealogy}....then that is their choice, not ours.
it's not our country, we don't decide their future, they do


Really buying into the "Humanitarian Regime Change" thing are we?

It so resembles the one told about Iraq.

But again, without NATO, just what do you think would have happened? And just how long do you think this EU installed "democracy" is going to last, without aq bunch of outside "help?"




The only difference is in that this time the Anglosphere did not use conventional ground troops. Probably why it has taken six months instead of six weeks.

But look at it like this -

quote:

Let's start with the basics. The Frogs did it. It's always worth repeating; this is a French war. The Americans don't even call it a war; it's a "kinetic action" or something. The "rebel" Transitional National Council" (TNC) is a French invention.

And yes - this is above all neo-Napoleonic President Nicolas Sarkozy's war. He's the George Clooney character in the movie (poor Clooney). Everybody else, from David of Arabia Cameron to Nobel Peace Prize winner and multiple war developer Barack Obama, are supporting actors.

As already reported by Asia Times Online, this war started in October 2010 when Gaddafi's chief of protocol, Nuri Mesmari, defected to Paris, was approached by French intelligence and for all practical purposes a military coup d'etat was concocted, involving defectors in Cyrenaica.

Sarko had a bag full of motives to exact revenge on The Big G.

French banks had told him that Gaddafi was about to transfer his billions of euros to Chinese banks. Thus Gaddafi could not by any means become an example to other Arab nations or sovereign funds.

French corporations told Sarko that Gaddafi had decided not to buy Rafale fighters anymore, and not to hire the French to build a nuclear plant; he was more concerned in investing in social services.

Energy giant Total wanted a much bigger piece of the Libyan energy cake - which was being largely eaten, on the European side, by Italy's ENI, especially because Premier Silvio "bunga bunga" Berlusconi, a certified Big G fan, had clinched a complex deal with Gaddafi.

Thus the military coup was perfected in Paris until December; the first popular demonstrations in Cyrenaica in February - largely instigated by the plotters - were hijacked. The self-promoting philosopher Bernard Henri-Levy flew his white shirt over an open torso to Benghazi to meet the "rebels" and phone Sarkozy, virtually ordering him to recognize them in early March as legitimate (not that Sarko needed any encouragement).
  - How do you Brits feel about being the French errand boys and goon squad?

At least Canada can claim to be in significant large part French, as an excuse (and we have oil companies there too.)




hardcybermaster -> RE: Afghanistan in the 80's vs Libya now (9/5/2011 5:08:15 PM)

nice but pointless post first, I am not trying to score points.
Tweak made a more valid post.
I don't know what will happen but I hope the Libyan people will have it in their own hands to decide. That is what is important




FirstQuaker -> RE: Afghanistan in the 80's vs Libya now (9/5/2011 5:18:12 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: hardcybermaster

nice but pointless post first, I am not trying to score points.
Tweak made a more valid post.
I don't know what will happen but I hope the Libyan people will have it in their own hands to decide. That is what is important


Of course you are. After universal Britsh whining for years about Blair being Bush's poodle regarding Iraq, you now have the Cameron-Clegg combo being Sarkozy's Libyan pony boys, and the British public is eating it up and saying it tastes like candy to you.

And contrary to that slim reed you saw in and of teakabelle's post, the (pre)-Taliban were revolting against their local Afghanistan government, which the Soviets stepped in to help as an ally, so I would not consider that much of a point of difference.

However I note the British were not very concerned about supporting this successful revolt and ensuing "popular" Afghani government, when Bush the Younger desired a regime change there.




hardcybermaster -> RE: Afghanistan in the 80's vs Libya now (9/5/2011 5:26:25 PM)

another pointless P and R thread.
It's not about me or you it is about what is right.
Think about the world, not about your pathetically narrow view of it




thompsonx -> RE: Afghanistan in the 80's vs Libya now (9/5/2011 5:37:39 PM)

quote:

which part do you want evidence for?


This part

quote:

the mujaheddin in Afghanistan were to a large degree foreigners."






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