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DomKen -> RE: climate change denier comes to his senses (8/13/2012 3:21:01 PM)
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ORIGINAL: Yachtie
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ORIGINAL: DomKen
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ORIGINAL: Yachtie
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ORIGINAL: DomKen
So until there is another suspect, with better evidence than exists for the CO2 warming linkage, that has to be treated as a fact.
Therein lies your problem. Declaring fact simply because there is nothing else to hang your hat on, no matter that the hat rack is currently not attributable as causal.
That's desperation.
No. That's Occam's Razor. When a possible explanation exists that supports all the evidence it is wrong and scientifically pointless to propose a more complicated answer unless and until there is evidence that the old answer does not explain.
Here's what bothers me about it all. First, it's not about the warming but about Man's supposed causation. The warming being experienced has happened before. Thus "Occam's razor" - if there are two hypothesis that explain the data equally well choose the simpler, would point to natural causes before any claim of Man. If the warming were new I'd have to agree with you. But it's not. It has happened before.
This is not denial of warming, nor does it put the kibosh on Man as potentially culpable to some degree. If it's natural for this warming cycle to be occurring, it's also quite within the realm of possibility that Man is irrelevant to it. The science is not in and might even take a few hundred years yet.
The problem is the alarmists. Is fire being yelled in the theater where there is no fire?
One more time, there are a number of factors that should (based on what we've learned about the past glaciations) be causing global temperatures to decline. Most predominantly is the fact that Northern Hemisphere summer is presently occuring during the orbital aphelion thus much less solar radiation is being received when the most land is pointed atthe sun most directly.
Now couple that with the undeniable facts that the climate is warming rapidly, that we have released billions of tons of CO2 into the atmosphere that have been sequestered for more than 300 million years, that deforestation has drastically reduced the planet's ability to process the influx of CO2, that CO2 undeniably functions as a greenhouse gas, that no other factor seems to have changed in a way that would correspond with the observed warming. The conclusion is both natural and has stood up to better than a decade of serious scientific inquiry.
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