RE: Paul Ryan's math (Full Version)

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mnottertail -> RE: Paul Ryan's math (10/2/2012 7:42:35 AM)

How is it possible that we've had a net increase in tax revenues even while tax rates have plummeted (and, Obama has even cut taxes)?






In terms of Obama, more people are at work, and enforcement of scofflaws is up.
......................


I like how you kept Bush 41 out of the picture, too.






We have read his lips.
...................................

Shall we chat a bit about Bush 43 and Iraq? Why did we go into Iraq?






We went into Iraq because of a knowing lie told by W.  No other reason, if one is going to bring up UN Resolutions (which the UN did not want us to enforce at that time, but wanted to deal with further diplomatic methods, and Saddam was beginning to comply)
then I must ask you why the the great champions of the world the neo-con imbeciles have not over the years invaded Israel forcing them to comply with UN resolutions, or if you prefer invade America and force us to comply with UN resolutions?
.....................................

Nah, when Powell went up there and repeatedly showed the crop duster airplane, the jig was up, and the UN told us so and demanded we wait for further action in the UN.

We ignored it.



But enough of Paul Ryans innumeracy. And the entire republican parties ineptness and innumeracy.




SilverMark -> RE: Paul Ryan's math (10/2/2012 8:00:24 AM)

The claim of CLinton being lucky is BS of the highest order!
4% economic growth per year
Most jobs created under any administration
Raised medianfamily income by $6000
Lowest unemployment in 30 years...You truly believe the net did all of that, and tne some?....BULLSHIT!

http://clinton5.nara.gov/WH/Accomplishments/eightyears-03.html







slvemike4u -> RE: Paul Ryan's math (10/2/2012 2:59:51 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Yachtie


quote:

ORIGINAL: mnottertail
Cute, one does not reduce outlays by reduction of income.


Of course not. One must reduce outlays to a sustainable outlay of one tax dollar in one tax dollar out. It's impossible to outlay two or three out for each one in. Even the wealthy cannot support that bill.

But that is exactly what is being demanded by the entitlement class, and it's going to be hell when it collapses.

One dollar in,one dollar out does not work.
Not when your candidate(your= Republican,not necessarily yours )supports/espouses greater military spending.



That's some fucking boogie man the Republican's are afraid of....that or they just support Defense contractors [:)]




slvemike4u -> RE: Paul Ryan's math (10/2/2012 3:01:11 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Yachtie


quote:

ORIGINAL: mnottertail

Well, you haven't written anything of value, now have you?


[self moderated][8|]

Too late now......




LookieNoNookie -> RE: Paul Ryan's math (10/2/2012 4:31:32 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: graceadieu

Paul Ryan said in an interview on Fox News today that the Romney-Ryan plan is to cut everyone in America's taxes by 20% ("starting at the top"), and he claims that this will be revenue-neutral without getting rid of deductions. When pressed about how that works, he refused to explain, saying "It would take me too long to go through all the math".

All what math?

Can anybody explain to me how American public can pay 20% less tax and still have the IRS receive exactly the same amount of tax revenue? Where is that extra 20% of revenue going to come from? I'm really curious here, conservative CollerMe members!

Watch the interview clip here:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PM66-SxHDu0


Actually, what he said was...he's going to cut everyone's "rates"....and "eliminate deductions".

Those deductions benefit the wealthy the most, ergo, taxes for the wealthy will rise slightly, while those in the middle class will receive a slight reduction.

Those who currently pay little or no (federal income) taxes will continue to pay little or no taxes.





LookieNoNookie -> RE: Paul Ryan's math (10/2/2012 4:32:33 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Politesub53

Ive posed the following question to Republicans on the board.... How is Romney going to reduce taxes, increase spending on the military year on year and not raise taxes, either directly or indirectly.

Have a had a reply ? ........... As Dianna Ross once sang "I`m still waiting"

I cant be arsed to ask any of them how Romney plan to hold China to account financially will go, since the chinese have invested $2 trillion in the US. Such a shitty move by a nation who wish to see America fail.......... [8|]


(See previous).




LookieNoNookie -> RE: Paul Ryan's math (10/2/2012 4:34:01 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri

quote:

ORIGINAL: cloudboy
If you cut the tax rate from 70% to 56% you do get a private sector economic boost, but the lost tax revenue won't be 100% made for by the expanded economy.
This principal changes when the existing tax rate is already near a historic low like today. Cutting taxes from 15% to 13% will do little to expand the economy and won't come close to making up for the lost tax revenues though economic expansion.
Its also true that the economy can expand with higher tax rates, as happened under Clinton.


Without the massive changes spurred by the internet, there may not have been anywhere near that expansion under Clinton. That's more a case of damn good luck than results of policy.


More actual facts (it's confusing to the masses Desi...you haven't learned).




Politesub53 -> RE: Paul Ryan's math (10/2/2012 4:34:23 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: LookieNoNookie


quote:

ORIGINAL: Politesub53

Ive posed the following question to Republicans on the board.... How is Romney going to reduce taxes, increase spending on the military year on year and not raise taxes, either directly or indirectly.

Have a had a reply ? ........... As Dianna Ross once sang "I`m still waiting"

I cant be arsed to ask any of them how Romney plan to hold China to account financially will go, since the chinese have invested $2 trillion in the US. Such a shitty move by a nation who wish to see America fail.......... [8|]


(See previous).



I did......Your post doesnt address my question.




LookieNoNookie -> RE: Paul Ryan's math (10/2/2012 4:36:28 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: cloudboy

quote:

While the plan does cut tax rates, it is "revenue neutral." The reduction in tax revenues from lower rates will be made up for by some combination of increased economics and - and this is the part that most critics ignore - the plan also calls for getting rid of most, if not all, loopholes, carve outs, or whatever you want to call them.


You are not making any sense. Can you cite one example from history where cutting taxes helped reduce the national deficit? Its never happened. The deficit can only be reduced by raising taxes. Raising taxes on the wealthy won't kill the economy either, that's a myth.



Nope...but I can cite multiple scenarios where it has increased revenues (and therefore, taxes), thereby allowing these masturbatory fucks to spend even more.




LookieNoNookie -> RE: Paul Ryan's math (10/2/2012 4:51:40 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: DarkSteven

I don't believe it, but here's the argument. The whole concept of trickle-down is that, if money does not go to the government, it will go to the private sector and spur economic activity. Trickle-down holds that at the proper location on the Laffer curve, each dollar of tax cuts simulates enough economic activity that the marginal increase in taxes directly due to that activity is worth MORE than a dollar.


And of course, that thesis was determined when we could borrow huge amounts (both federal and private). In the old days prior to September 2008) banks could (legally) borrow a dollar (take your deposit) and loan out 10 (via "deposits" or new debt from the Federal reserve on a 10 to 1 basis). Of course, they loaned even more than that through varying loopholes.

And, Lehman, Goldman Sachs and others were lending at 100 and upwards of 127 to 1 based on Mortgage Backed Securities among other interesting devices (Washington Mutual, the largest bank to fail in history was loaning at 163 to 1), hence why, for fear of runs on their deposit window, the fed stepped in to provide "liquidity".

The Laffer curve has been debated by many brilliant economists, most now are divided as to whether or not it's actually accurate.

But there is some level of taxation that is prohibitive and some level that is expansive.

What that level is is constantly in debate because the velocity of money has changed as well over time.

It used to be deemed (in the early 80's) that $1.00 loaned created $7.00 in new growth/change in assets/taxable benefit, ergo....win/win

Today that number is presumed by many economists to be below $1.00, and has been growing smaller by the year due to new money flooding the economy, making each dollar produced (some would say "stolen/inflated") all the less "efficient".




dcnovice -> RE: Paul Ryan's math (10/2/2012 4:51:49 PM)

quote:

I can cite multiple scenarios where it has increased revenues (and therefore, taxes), thereby allowing these masturbatory fucks to spend even more.

By "scenarios," you you mean instances in which it's actually happened in history? If so, please do cite away. That would be interesting to learn about.




LookieNoNookie -> RE: Paul Ryan's math (10/2/2012 4:55:24 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Yachtie


quote:

ORIGINAL: cloudboy

The deficit can only be reduced by raising taxes.


What is the deficit but spending beyond ones means, drawing from tomorrow so as to have today? Before one can contemplate any reduction one must stop adding to it in the first place.



Here comes a new keg....everyone grab your cups!




LookieNoNookie -> RE: Paul Ryan's math (10/2/2012 4:58:14 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: fucktoyprincess

This is the math of conservative politics. Been going on for decades. Did you not get the memo?

Yes, you are correct. It is not "revenue-neutral" as we would normally understand the federal budget.

It does rely on trickle-down as explained by DarkSteven above, although he did not mention that trickle down has largely been disproven over the last several decades. It simply does not work.

As for Ryan's comment that "it would take me too long to go through all the math" - this would be better understood as "my handlers have asked me to say this; I don't understand if this will work or not; I have no true solutions to the budgetary issues of the country."


Actually, trickle down economics works amazingly well....it just doesn't trickle down to you if you're not in a union or working for one of Hoffa's distant relatives.

It's the fucking government handing out candy....jebus....read the fucking papers. Were you born last Tuesday?

Now, on the other hand...if Hoffa's relatives spend money or the unions do....you'll get your share.

Eventually.

(Actually....none of the above is true...it all trickles down if you know how the system works).




LookieNoNookie -> RE: Paul Ryan's math (10/2/2012 5:00:13 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: DarkSteven


quote:

ORIGINAL: cloudboy
The deficit can only be reduced by raising taxes.




It can be reduced by upping taxes, by cutting spending, or a combination.


(I now must go in hiding...my Republican brethren will be after me).




LookieNoNookie -> RE: Paul Ryan's math (10/2/2012 5:02:00 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: mnottertail

quote:

ORIGINAL: Yachtie


quote:

ORIGINAL: cloudboy

The deficit can only be reduced by raising taxes.


What is the deficit but spending beyond ones means, drawing from tomorrow so as to have today? Before one can contemplate any reduction one must stop adding to it in the first place.



Cute, one does not reduce outlays by reduction of income.

I guess since simpltonian fixes are in vogue here, why dont we just disband the military?   It isn't that we have much to defend here at home anymore, we've given all that away, and we spend more on our military than something like the next 10-17 countries combined, and any cuts contemplated always work out to troops, but not to top brass or toys that are mostly bought from overseas parts.

Actually, some hard looks at EVERYTHING, like we might not be able to fund the National Azalea collection directly anymore, and rely on donations if people want to see it, stuff like that....   


I take offense at that.

The national azalea collection provides easily 12 jobs annually.

Those are real fucking jobs.




LookieNoNookie -> RE: Paul Ryan's math (10/2/2012 5:03:13 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Yachtie


quote:

ORIGINAL: mnottertail
Cute, one does not reduce outlays by reduction of income.


Of course not. One must reduce outlays to a sustainable outlay of one tax dollar in one tax dollar out. It's impossible to outlay two or three out for each one in. Even the wealthy cannot support that bill.

But that is exactly what is being demanded by the entitlement class, and it's going to be hell when it collapses.


Logic. Confusion. Ergo....sum.




LookieNoNookie -> RE: Paul Ryan's math (10/2/2012 5:05:02 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Yachtie


quote:

ORIGINAL: mnottertail

It was rhetorical, because I know the 'entitlement' class you are referring to.  And I know the 'entitlement'  classes you are not referring to.

And thats why I am saying that the notion is valueless.



Still have to pay for it all, which cannot be done.



Okay...I can see all the animus rising for everyone...those that get it and those that do not.

I will, from this point forward, pay all taxes.




LookieNoNookie -> RE: Paul Ryan's math (10/2/2012 5:06:03 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: SternSkipper

Ron... so glad I caught you. I wanted to discuss a business proposition. In the rather unlikely event that that Ryan's FUBARnomics wins out (ryan's middle class destruction plan is really the deal, since Romney doesn't fucking have one), I plan to launch a company called WifeAlert<tm>. An in-home product and service that notifies needle-dicked republicans when their wives start getting pounded by all those Americans in the 47% that will be cast aside who will out revenge-seducing their wives while they're out "Job-creatin'". And I'm going to want a VP in charge of Marketing who could sell abortions to a minister's wife.


In happen to like to watch so...this works for me.




LookieNoNookie -> RE: Paul Ryan's math (10/2/2012 5:08:52 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri

quote:

ORIGINAL: cloudboy
quote:

While the plan does cut tax rates, it is "revenue neutral." The reduction in tax revenues from lower rates will be made up for by some combination of increased economics and - and this is the part that most critics ignore - the plan also calls for getting rid of most, if not all, loopholes, carve outs, or whatever you want to call them.

You are not making any sense. Can you cite one example from history where cutting taxes helped reduce the national deficit? Its never happened. The deficit can only be reduced by raising taxes. Raising taxes on the wealthy won't kill the economy either, that's a myth.


Have a quick peek at the tax revenues and expenditures on the OMB website. It's interesting to note that of Bush's 8 years in office, 5 had higher revenues than any of Clinton's years. No hogwash. Them's the facts.

And, this thread wasn't about reducing the deficit. It was about cutting tax rates and remaining revenue neutral.

To address your smoke and mirrors, I'll show you that there are only three ways to reduce the deficit.
    1. Increase taxes to the point that spending is less than revenues.
    2. Decrease spending to the point that it's less than revenues.
    3. Some mixture of the first 2.


Since you have not said anything about spending, I am going to have to assume you don't know about spending. You see, when you take the amount coming into government and the amount going out of government, you plug it into an intense mathemagical equation called, "subtraction," you get to see if you've spent more than you've brought in. There are two variables. Revenues, as I've said, have gone up and have continued to go up (Obama's "worst" revenue year was better, I think, than Clinton's best. It's not a revenues issue. It's a spending issue. Revenues are up, but spending is ridiculously up (and, that means Bush and Obama are both to be blamed for this.

quote:

Clinton controlled spending (unlike Republican Presidents) and increased taxes. He's the only President in our lifetime to run a balanced budget. Every Republican at the time said his policy would ruin the US economy.
The most important achievement in political economy in the Clinton yeas was reducing the federal deficit. Just before his inauguration Clinton held an economic summit in Little Rock, at which academic, business executives, and financiers one after another moaned about how huge federal borrowing to cover debt was making capital too expensive to allow industry to grow. One year later Clinton had rammed through a tax-and -budget bill that turned a chronic deficit into a surplus.
The anti-deficit drive was controversial within the Democratic Party, because Clinton seemed to be truckling to financial markets rather than spending more for education and health. It was bitterly resisted by the Republicans; every single Republican member of Congress voted against the new taxes in the plan. It was an enormous gamble on Clinton's part: he had Al Gore cast the tie-breaking vote in the Senate. The historical judgment has to be that it paid off, for Clinton, and, of vastly more importance, for the country.

--James Fallows


LMAO!!

Clinton controlled spending?!?

Clinton balanced the budget?

Unless you are incorrectly going to claim that Clinton's tax policies created the internet, you can't credit his tax policies for a balanced budget. He was lucky to be in office when the internet phenomenon hit. That's all Clinton did to balance the budget.


Gawd...you're fucking beautiful :)

(But again, I must raise the point: Facts....confusing....conjecture, understandable. Accusatory data based on hyperbole....absolutely the way we should all vote).




LookieNoNookie -> RE: Paul Ryan's math (10/2/2012 5:12:08 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: cloudboy

According to the Economics book I have been reading, tax cuts can stimulate economic growth -- but that growth has never been substantial enough to pay for the loss in tax revenue. So, there's no point on the laffer curve to pay for tax cuts. Tax cuts lead to less tax revenue, not more. This is a fact. Historically there's never been an exception. Ever. At all. At any time.

Next, there won't be any job creation by giving the wealthy tax cuts b/c the problem dragging the US economy down is a lack of consumer demand and confidence. A wise policy might actually be increasing taxes on the wealthy (who won't drive consumer demand) to pump more money into consumption. This is arguably the laffer curve in reverse, because if the economy improves, the wealthy should make a killing in the stock market and the businesses they own.


Actually, that's not a fact. But when it was true (that lower taxes raised revenue, and it once was) it was because we borrowed our way to excess, creating new sales which created new revenue.

Taxable revenue. (See Reagan, Bush 1 and Clinton).

That's no longer possible.

Actually...that's not true either...it's just not possible now.

Like all things in history, "this too shall pass" and the lessons of history will, once again be forgotten, debt will be paid down/forgiven or inflation will eviscerate the debt and we will once again (probably in your children's time) a hundred years from now borrow like drunken sailors once again.

And they will say the same things Reagan, Bush 1 and Clinton did...."we've learned from all that....debt doesn't matter".




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