tazzygirl
Posts: 37833
Joined: 10/12/2007 Status: offline
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quote:
On the other hand taz - I think you can't demonize your opponents all the time - it just causes horrible polarization in the body politic. I vote against liars all the time. Others do too. If the people that pass a bill say its not intended to close down all abortion clinics in tx- perhaps what the say is true. I dont demonise anyone. I give facts. I give fetal development facts. I give answers based on science. If what they said was true, after watching Mississippi and the problems there, they would have made a "plan B" for the event in case it did happen... they did not. Its not like you cant say they didnt know. quote:
On the question of 20 weeks vs whatever. Roe was decided on a completely arbitrary basis. Babies have been born before the last trimester - and lived fine lives. Its clear the guiding principle of roe v wade and ff. is viability. On that basis, the 20 week rule is certainly closer to reflecting reality than the last trimester rule. I am happy with the 23 - 24 week rule. I certainly am not happy with .. at 19.6 weeks, a physician refusing to prevent a spontaneous abortion (yes, they do that) then at 20.1 weeks a woman being told she cannot effectively abort her fetus with the full knowledge that its not viable yet. Now, since its way past my bedtime and I will definitely hear about it tomorrow.. I am going to leave you with one last question. What would we have done with an extra 56 million people? http://www.numberofabortions.com/ Haven’t we all heard about long lines of people waiting to adopt a child, and even going overseas to find them? If so, then might there be enough adoptive parents to handle the increase in unwanted children if abortion weren’t used? To answer this we would need to know how many adoption seekers there are. As reported by the National Adoption Information Clearinghouse, the 1995 National Survey of Family Growth found that 500,000 women were currently seeking to adopt a child, though of these only 232,000 were taking concrete steps toward adoption, and only 100,000 had actually applied to adopt a child. I don’t know how long these women had been trying to adopt. That is to say, if all 500,000 of these women were to succeed in adopting a child this year, I don’t know whether there would be 500,000 new women wanting to adopt the following year. Perhaps the most helpful statistic is from the 1988 National Survey of Family Growth, which estimated that there are 3.3 adoption seekers for every actual adoption. Combining this with the 120,000 adoptions a year statistic from above makes for just under 400,000 adoption seekers a year. So suppose abortion were to be made illegal (except, say, in cases of rape and danger to mother’s health—a very small fraction of yearly abortions). Would the “supply” of unwanted babies outstrip the “demand” of adoptive parents? (I hate to use those terms, but they’re the easiest way to get a handle on the issue.) I don’t know the answer. The lack of the abortion option might inspire some people to be more careful with contraceptives, or have less sex in the first place. Plus it is likely that many women who would otherwise have aborted would end up choosing to keep their babies. These effects mean that one cannot simply say “1.2 million abortions a year, therefore 1.2 million babies put up for adoption a year if abortion is made illegal.” (There is also the fact that some women would procure illegal abortions or travel to other countries to get them. This would be only cold-comfort to abortion opponents, however, and thus they will not want to place great emphasis on these factors.) Still, even taking account of these effects, the supply of unwanted babies would surely increase dramatically if abortion were made illegal. Just to make things concrete, suppose that increased abstinence and increased care with contraceptives led to 20% fewer unwanted pregnancies a year, and that of the unwanted pregnancies that still arise, fully 1/3 of the pregnant women decide to keep their babies. Starting from the current baseline of 1.2 million abortions a year, these changes would still mean an increase of 640,000 babies put up for adoption per year, in addition to the 120,000 that are already put up per year. Would there be enough demand to handle 760,000 unwanted babies a year—over 6 times more than there are now? If we rely on the (somewhat optimistic, I think) figure from above positing 400,000 adoption seekers a year, that still leaves 360,000 babies—almost half—left over per year. Problems remain even on the more optimistic assumptions that, say, increased abstinence and increased care with contraceptives leads to 50% fewer unwanted pregnancies a year, and that of the unwanted pregnancies that arise, fully 1/2 of the pregnant women decide to keep their babies. This would still create an increase of 300,000 babies in addition to the 120,000 that are already put up for adoption each year. Again assuming 400,000 adoption seekers per year, this would leave 20,000 babies per year unwanted and unadopted. http://www.ithaca.edu/faculty/cduncan/230/adoption.htm Do we reopen orphanages? Since 2006, with the option of Plan B, there has been a decline in abortions. Will it decline enough? Since the majority of abortions occur long before the viability date, we are arguing over 1.5% of all abortions.. depending on when you decide viability is. But, I can assure you, 20 weeks is not viable and never has been. United States: In 2003, from data collected in those areas that sufficiently reported gestational age, it was found that 6.2% of abortions were conducted between 13 and 15 weeks, 4.2% between 16 and 20 weeks, and 1.4% at or after 21 weeks.[13] Because the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's annual study on abortion statistics does not calculate the exact gestational age for abortions performed past the 20th week, there are no precise data for the number of abortions performed after viability.[13] In 1997, the Guttmacher Institute estimated the number of abortions in the U.S. past 24 weeks to be 0.08%, or approximately 1,032 per year.[14] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Late_termination_of_pregnancy
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Telling me to take Midol wont help your butthurt. RIP, my demon-child 5-16-11 Duchess of Dissent 1 Dont judge me because I sin differently than you. If you want it sugar coated, dont ask me what i think! It would violate TOS.
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