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RE: An Attempt to Understand the Science Behind Global ... - 10/1/2013 7:42:23 PM   
BenevolentM


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quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

You can do the math for Venus orbit and it will be lower than the surface temp of Venus.


Yes, that should show the effect of what a very small amount of carbon dioxide can do since the amount of carbon dioxide in orbit around the planet would be very small in need.

One of the problems with the persuasiveness of the result argument, however, is the equations were not derived from first principles. I would also be fudging my way through it. Having said that it would be a worth while exercise. Excellent idea!

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RE: An Attempt to Understand the Science Behind Global ... - 10/1/2013 8:08:38 PM   
BenevolentM


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I went to the hyperlink you provided in post 102, specifically
http://www.grc.nasa.gov/WWW/k-12/Numbers/Math/Mathematical_Thinking/estimating_the_temperature.htm
I got the following message: "Due to the lapse in federal government funding, this website is not available." I suppose this will have to wait for another day.

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RE: An Attempt to Understand the Science Behind Global ... - 10/3/2013 2:17:02 PM   
LookieNoNookie


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quote:

ORIGINAL: BenevolentM

I went to the hyperlink you provided in post 102, specifically
http://www.grc.nasa.gov/WWW/k-12/Numbers/Math/Mathematical_Thinking/estimating_the_temperature.htm
I got the following message: "Due to the lapse in federal government funding, this website is not available." I suppose this will have to wait for another day.


Global warming has been delayed due to lack of Congressional funding.

(in reply to BenevolentM)
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RE: An Attempt to Understand the Science Behind Global ... - 10/5/2013 2:33:05 AM   
BenevolentM


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quote:

ORIGINAL: LookieNoNookie

Global warming has been delayed due to lack of Congressional funding.


Ha ha, it must be all that hot air.

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RE: An Attempt to Understand the Science Behind Global ... - 10/5/2013 2:36:26 AM   
BenevolentM


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Can the source of the carbon dioxide be trace via its isotopes?

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RE: An Attempt to Understand the Science Behind Global ... - 10/5/2013 6:13:20 AM   
DomKen


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quote:

ORIGINAL: BenevolentM

Can the source of the carbon dioxide be trace via its isotopes?

No. C12 and C13 are stable and C14 is created by cosmic rays and is formed and decays at a steady rate as long as we've stopped exploding h bombs in the atmosphere.

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Profile   Post #: 126
RE: An Attempt to Understand the Science Behind Global ... - 10/5/2013 11:26:37 AM   
BenevolentM


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quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

quote:

ORIGINAL: BenevolentM

Can the source of the carbon dioxide be trace via its isotopes?

No. C12 and C13 are stable and C14 is created by cosmic rays and is formed and decays at a steady rate as long as we've stopped exploding h bombs in the atmosphere.


Yes, but what about the isotopes of oxygen? Carbon dioxide has two oxygen atoms for every carbon atom. I am also not interested in dating the carbon dioxide. What I am interested in is if the distribution of isotopes in the greenhouse gases can shed any light on where they came from. The stability of the isotopes can help in some circumstances to establish dates, but I'm not interested in dates per se. For example, the date when plant matter died and stopped absorbing new carbon.

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RE: An Attempt to Understand the Science Behind Global ... - 10/5/2013 12:35:58 PM   
DomKen


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quote:

ORIGINAL: BenevolentM

quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

quote:

ORIGINAL: BenevolentM

Can the source of the carbon dioxide be trace via its isotopes?

No. C12 and C13 are stable and C14 is created by cosmic rays and is formed and decays at a steady rate as long as we've stopped exploding h bombs in the atmosphere.


Yes, but what about the isotopes of oxygen? Carbon dioxide has two oxygen atoms for every carbon atom. I am also not interested in dating the carbon dioxide. What I am interested in is if the distribution of isotopes in the greenhouse gases can shed any light on where they came from. The stability of the isotopes can help in some circumstances to establish dates, but I'm not interested in dates per se. For example, the date when plant matter died and stopped absorbing new carbon.

Stable isotopes are of no use in tracking the source of a compound as stable isotopes are very common and could have any source. Radioactive isotopes, actually ratios of isotopes, can be used to identify the source of a material because those decay products are unique to the source isotope ratios.

There are no radioactive isotopes of oxygen with half lives longer than about 2 minutes so they are of no use in what you want.

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RE: An Attempt to Understand the Science Behind Global ... - 10/6/2013 12:01:41 AM   
BenevolentM


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quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

Stable isotopes are of no use in tracking the source of a compound as stable isotopes are very common and could have any source. Radioactive isotopes, actually ratios of isotopes, can be used to identify the source of a material because those decay products are unique to the source isotope ratios.

There are no radioactive isotopes of oxygen with half lives longer than about 2 minutes so they are of no use in what you want.


quote:

http://www.springer.com/environment/paleoenvironmental+sciences/book/978-90-481-3353-6

Stable isotope ratio variation in natural systems reflects the dynamics of Earth systems processes and imparts isotope labels to Earth materials. Carbon isotope ratios of atmospheric CO2 record exchange of carbon between the biosphere and the atmosphere; the incredible journeys of migrating monarchs is documented by hydrogen isotopes in their wings; and water carries an isotopic record of its source and history as it traverses the atmosphere and land surface.

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Profile   Post #: 129
RE: An Attempt to Understand the Science Behind Global ... - 10/6/2013 6:58:19 AM   
DomKen


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quote:

ORIGINAL: BenevolentM

quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

Stable isotopes are of no use in tracking the source of a compound as stable isotopes are very common and could have any source. Radioactive isotopes, actually ratios of isotopes, can be used to identify the source of a material because those decay products are unique to the source isotope ratios.

There are no radioactive isotopes of oxygen with half lives longer than about 2 minutes so they are of no use in what you want.


quote:

http://www.springer.com/environment/paleoenvironmental+sciences/book/978-90-481-3353-6

Stable isotope ratio variation in natural systems reflects the dynamics of Earth systems processes and imparts isotope labels to Earth materials. Carbon isotope ratios of atmospheric CO2 record exchange of carbon between the biosphere and the atmosphere; the incredible journeys of migrating monarchs is documented by hydrogen isotopes in their wings; and water carries an isotopic record of its source and history as it traverses the atmosphere and land surface.


Never heard of anyone able to track a source of a stable isotope. Get the book if you care since it does appear to be a new field.

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RE: An Attempt to Understand the Science Behind Global ... - 10/6/2013 9:46:19 PM   
BenevolentM


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quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

Never heard of anyone able to track a source of a stable isotope. Get the book if you care since it does appear to be a new field.


Since it is a new field it is understandable that you didn't know about it. What is driving the field is the ability to make the sort of sensitive measurements needed can be done more easily than it was in the past. In the past we accepted statements such as

quote:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Relative_atomic_mass

This value is the mean value of atomic weights of a number of "normal samples" of the element in question.


and ignored the later part of the sentence 'of a number of "normal samples" of the element in question' in practice. The existence of normal sample implies the existence of abnormal samples. Here is a visual that should be interesting that depicts the isotopic variation of stable water bound oxygen through out the earth.

https://sites.google.com/site/westlabgroup/isoscapes-home

Recall the forgotten element oxygen? I wonder to what extent can we trace the origin of the greenhouse gases? The main argument for global warming appears to be a straight forward one. It is more sophisticated than the kindergarten explanations we have been given, but not so sophisticated that you need a Ph.D. in the field to understand it.

Conservation of energy. Energy is input into the system chiefly from the sun. There are other sources of energy, however. For example, geothermal and tidal. A portion of energy from the sun escapes back into space immediately. Apart from the effects of clouds how much energy gets radiated back into space immediately is more or less constant. A portion of the energy is stored temporarily and a portion of it is stored permanently. The emphasis to date has been the portion that is stored temporarily.

The fly in the ointment at the present time appears that the potential storage capacity of the ocean may be far greater than anyone realized when you consider the storage capacity of salt and water and the depth of the oceans. It is the variable in the equation that no one really took seriously until now. The oceans may have the capacity to store heat permanently. What do I mean by permanent? The ability to store heat and release it only after several years has pasted. When you consider how deep the oceans are I would not be surprised if it turns out that heat can be stored in the oceans for more than a thousand years before it reemerges.

To date it has been assumed that the portion of incident energy from the sun that is stored permanently is negligible. Storage equals delay. Rocks will for example absorb energy during the day and emit heat at night. Perhaps the oceans will save us, but if what gets stored in the oceans may reemerge within our life time at an inconvenient time.

Energy doesn't get destroyed. It only gets transformed or its transmission delayed. What alarms people is conservation of energy. It can't just disappear. If you wrap the planet in a blanket common sense tells you it is going to get warmer. Common sense is not what science is about, however. Our attempt to understand climate change is causing us to enter new territory. Just like how a new term isoscape has entered into existence. The relationships are highly non-linear, but we continually use linear reasoning on both sides of the ideological divide.

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Profile   Post #: 131
RE: An Attempt to Understand the Science Behind Global ... - 10/6/2013 10:44:34 PM   
SerWhiteTiger


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FR,

It doesn't matter. If your roommates don't want people smoking in the house, you either accept that or get new roommates. And since we can't get new roommates, how about we keep the atmosphere how we found it?

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RE: An Attempt to Understand the Science Behind Global ... - 10/7/2013 2:49:04 AM   
DomKen


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quote:

ORIGINAL: BenevolentM

quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

Never heard of anyone able to track a source of a stable isotope. Get the book if you care since it does appear to be a new field.


Since it is a new field it is understandable that you didn't know about it. What is driving the field is the ability to make the sort of sensitive measurements needed can be done more easily than it was in the past. In the past we accepted statements such as

quote:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Relative_atomic_mass

This value is the mean value of atomic weights of a number of "normal samples" of the element in question.


and ignored the later part of the sentence 'of a number of "normal samples" of the element in question' in practice. The existence of normal sample implies the existence of abnormal samples. Here is a visual that should be interesting that depicts the isotopic variation of stable water bound oxygen through out the earth.

https://sites.google.com/site/westlabgroup/isoscapes-home

Recall the forgotten element oxygen? I wonder to what extent can we trace the origin of the greenhouse gases? The main argument for global warming appears to be a straight forward one. It is more sophisticated than the kindergarten explanations we have been given, but not so sophisticated that you need a Ph.D. in the field to understand it.

You really need to learn some basic science.

The O2 in CO2 is from the atmosphere a thoroughly mixed gas. There are not areas where the different isotopes are more or less common. If you actually read wiki you would have noticed they specified solids not gases.

You are not going to find some wild assed proof that all that CO2 is from some non anthropogenic source. What matters is not the source of each molecule but that our activity puts so much into the atmosphere that the natural carbon sinks cannot keep up and that results in CO2 building up.

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RE: An Attempt to Understand the Science Behind Global ... - 10/7/2013 4:10:05 AM   
BenevolentM


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DomKen: You really need to learn some basic science.

BenevolentM: Really?

DomKen: The O2 in CO2 is from the atmosphere a thoroughly mixed gas.

BenevolentM: No it isn't. It isn't all that black and white. Earlier you denied that uneven variations in stable isotopes exist. It takes time for a gas to even out and once evened out interesting results are still possible because the distribution won't be random. You are equivocating. A random distribution will be achieved in one sense, but not in another. An example should help. Take a bowl full of M&Ms that are brown in color and another that is red in color and mix them together thoroughly. If the brown colored M&Ms were to disappear leaving the red M&Ms frozen in space, the distribution of the red M&Ms would be random. Likewise, for the brown M&Ms. If the bowl of brown M&Ms was twice as large as the bowl filled with red M&Ms the relationship between the brown M&Ms and red M&Ms would not be random because the odds of encountering a brown M&M would be twice as great as the chance you would encounter a red M&M.

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RE: An Attempt to Understand the Science Behind Global ... - 10/7/2013 4:54:32 AM   
BenevolentM


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This made for some interesting reading
http://www.nipccreport.org/about/about.html

quote:


Because we are not predisposed to believe climate change is caused by human greenhouse gas emissions, we are able to look at evidence the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) ignores. ... Some of these scientists have asked not to be named in NIPCC reports for fear of losing research grants and being blacklisted by professional journals.

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RE: An Attempt to Understand the Science Behind Global ... - 10/7/2013 5:35:25 AM   
RacerJim


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These also made for some interesting reading:

IPCC AR5 Renews Demand Governments Buy Their Climate Change Pig In A Poke.

Climate guru puts 'global warming' on ice

Major Danish Daily Newspaper Warns: ‘Globe May Be On Path To Little Ice Age…Much Colder Winters…Dramatic Consequences’!

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RE: An Attempt to Understand the Science Behind Global ... - 10/7/2013 7:13:01 AM   
Yachtie


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quote:

ORIGINAL: LookieNoNookie


quote:

ORIGINAL: BenevolentM

I went to the hyperlink you provided in post 102, specifically
http://www.grc.nasa.gov/WWW/k-12/Numbers/Math/Mathematical_Thinking/estimating_the_temperature.htm
I got the following message: "Due to the lapse in federal government funding, this website is not available." I suppose this will have to wait for another day.


Global warming has been delayed due to lack of Congressional funding.





_____________________________

“We all know it’s going to end badly, but in the meantime we can make some money.” - Jim Cramer, CNBC

“Those who ‘abjure’ violence can only do so because others are committing violence on their behalf.” - George Orwell

(in reply to LookieNoNookie)
Profile   Post #: 137
RE: An Attempt to Understand the Science Behind Global ... - 10/7/2013 10:18:13 AM   
DomKen


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quote:

ORIGINAL: BenevolentM

DomKen: You really need to learn some basic science.

BenevolentM: Really?

DomKen: The O2 in CO2 is from the atmosphere a thoroughly mixed gas.

BenevolentM: No it isn't. It isn't all that black and white. Earlier you denied that uneven variations in stable isotopes exist. It takes time for a gas to even out and once evened out interesting results are still possible because the distribution won't be random. You are equivocating. A random distribution will be achieved in one sense, but not in another. An example should help. Take a bowl full of M&Ms that are brown in color and another that is red in color and mix them together thoroughly. If the brown colored M&Ms were to disappear leaving the red M&Ms frozen in space, the distribution of the red M&Ms would be random. Likewise, for the brown M&Ms. If the bowl of brown M&Ms was twice as large as the bowl filled with red M&Ms the relationship between the brown M&Ms and red M&Ms would not be random because the odds of encountering a brown M&M would be twice as great as the chance you would encounter a red M&M.

Yes it is a thoroughly mixed gas. Go anywhere on the planet and test the O2 for isotopes and you will always get the same numbers. There is no source for these different stable isotopes.

Your M&M example is wrong on a number of levels. First random does equal even distribution. For instance if you start flipping a coin if you only track a hundred or less flips you might hit some uneven distribution but if you flip the coin billions of times you will hit both head and tails at almost exactly the same rate and the difference will be statistically insignificant. Second the bowl of M&M's does not experience continual mixing. The atmosphere does.

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