RE: Interacademy finds errors in IPCC (Full Version)

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Kirata -> RE: Interacademy finds errors in IPCC (9/30/2013 6:50:48 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen
quote:

ORIGINAL: Kirata

Maybe you should have a look at those links.

The first references the IPCC.

Maybe you should read those links.

The abstract for the above article only mentions the IPCC in this sentence...

Maybe you should get a different rabbit.

Actually, the "above article" is the...

Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

And the URL to find it is...

http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar4/wg1/ar4-wg1-chapter2.pdf

K.




DomKen -> RE: Interacademy finds errors in IPCC (9/30/2013 8:15:36 PM)

So? Where it was published now makes it invalid? Explicitly what makes research done by scientists and published in the standard manner in which scholarly works are published invalid?




Phydeaux -> RE: Interacademy finds errors in IPCC (9/30/2013 8:24:39 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux
I've read each IPCC report cover to cover, as well as almost all the referenced works - certainly more than 20,000 pages by this point. I've read the entire dumps from Climate Gate. I've read the (falacious) report on polar bears (record numbers btw), as well as reports on artic sea ice. Antartic snow fall. Radiation levels in ice and mud cores.

Then why repeat so many provable lies?
http://www.polarbearsinternational.org/about-polar-bears/what-scientists-say/are-polar-bear-populations-booming
http://www.sejarchive.org/pub/SEJournal_Excerpts_Su08.htm
http://wwf.panda.org/what_we_do/where_we_work/arctic/wildlife/polar_bear/population/




Once again, none of your quotes say what you represented them to say.

In fact let me quote your third article:


" Today, polar bears are among the few large carnivores that are still found in roughly their original habitat and range--and in some places, in roughly their natural numbers.
Although most populations have returned to healthy numbers, there are differences between the populations. Some are stable, some seem to be increasing, and some are decreasing due to various pressures."

Which is a statement I concur with. Nowhere do your sources site polar bears dying from lack of sea ice. Let me give you some additional quotes.:..

So you agree this statement is a lie "I've read the (falacious) report on polar bears (record numbers btw),"

Why go on after agreeing with me?


I'm not sure what you think I was saying, or what I agreed with. I have read non-creditable reports that said artic sea ice was causing record declines in the populations of polar bears. I have also read multiple reports that say polar bear populations are high and stable.

I view the latter reports (polar bear populations sound) as by far the more creditable.




Kirata -> RE: Interacademy finds errors in IPCC (9/30/2013 8:26:46 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

So? Where it was published now makes it invalid? Explicitly what makes research done by scientists and published in the standard manner in which scholarly works are published invalid?

It's not a matter of that, but I'll give you credit for trying the obscure the issue. Research that questions or conflicts with the view adopted by the "consensus" is not going to be a part of the evidence they cite to support it, for the obvious reason that it doesn't. Therefore, if you want to look at climate science studies that question or conflict with IPCC findings, you're not going to find them among the IPCC's citations. That doesn't bother the religious, of course, who are always happy to point out verses from their Bible that "prove" it's the Truth. But it's a tactic that fails to convince.

K.




DomKen -> RE: Interacademy finds errors in IPCC (9/30/2013 8:31:58 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux
I've read each IPCC report cover to cover, as well as almost all the referenced works - certainly more than 20,000 pages by this point. I've read the entire dumps from Climate Gate. I've read the (falacious) report on polar bears (record numbers btw), as well as reports on artic sea ice. Antartic snow fall. Radiation levels in ice and mud cores.

Then why repeat so many provable lies?
http://www.polarbearsinternational.org/about-polar-bears/what-scientists-say/are-polar-bear-populations-booming
http://www.sejarchive.org/pub/SEJournal_Excerpts_Su08.htm
http://wwf.panda.org/what_we_do/where_we_work/arctic/wildlife/polar_bear/population/




Once again, none of your quotes say what you represented them to say.

In fact let me quote your third article:


" Today, polar bears are among the few large carnivores that are still found in roughly their original habitat and range--and in some places, in roughly their natural numbers.
Although most populations have returned to healthy numbers, there are differences between the populations. Some are stable, some seem to be increasing, and some are decreasing due to various pressures."

Which is a statement I concur with. Nowhere do your sources site polar bears dying from lack of sea ice. Let me give you some additional quotes.:..

So you agree this statement is a lie "I've read the (falacious) report on polar bears (record numbers btw),"

Why go on after agreeing with me?


I'm not sure what you think I was saying, or what I agreed with. I have read non-creditable reports that said artic sea ice was causing record declines in the populations of polar bears. I have also read multiple reports that say polar bear populations are high and stable.

I view the latter reports (polar bear populations sound) as by far the more creditable.

The claim was "record numbers" which your own posts disprove. Why not just admit the lie and learn from getting caught?




DomKen -> RE: Interacademy finds errors in IPCC (9/30/2013 8:37:40 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Kirata


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

So? Where it was published now makes it invalid? Explicitly what makes research done by scientists and published in the standard manner in which scholarly works are published invalid?

It's not a matter of that, but I'll give you credit for trying the obscure the issue. Research that questions or conflicts with the view adopted by the "consensus" is not going to be a part of the evidence they cite to support it, for the obvious reason that it doesn't. Therefore, if you want to look at climate science studies that question or conflict with IPCC findings, you're not going to find them among the IPCC's citations. That doesn't bother the religious, of course, who are always happy to point out verses from their Bible that "prove" it's the Truth. But it's a tactic that fails to convince.

K.


Ok. So no matter what science that even mentions the IPCC is wrong. Ok, stupid but OK.
How about all this?
http://scholar.google.com/scholar?q=%22climate+change%22+-IPCC+-%22intergovernmental+panel+on+climate+change%22&btnG=&hl=en&as_sdt=0%2C14




Kirata -> RE: Interacademy finds errors in IPCC (9/30/2013 8:52:55 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

So no matter what science that even mentions the IPCC is wrong.

You're making shit up again.

K.




DomKen -> RE: Interacademy finds errors in IPCC (9/30/2013 9:14:30 PM)

Screw it. Reported.




Phydeaux -> RE: Interacademy finds errors in IPCC (9/30/2013 10:23:06 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux
I've read each IPCC report cover to cover, as well as almost all the referenced works - certainly more than 20,000 pages by this point. I've read the entire dumps from Climate Gate. I've read the (falacious) report on polar bears (record numbers btw), as well as reports on artic sea ice. Antartic snow fall. Radiation levels in ice and mud cores.

Then why repeat so many provable lies?
http://www.polarbearsinternational.org/about-polar-bears/what-scientists-say/are-polar-bear-populations-booming
http://www.sejarchive.org/pub/SEJournal_Excerpts_Su08.htm
http://wwf.panda.org/what_we_do/where_we_work/arctic/wildlife/polar_bear/population/




Once again, none of your quotes say what you represented them to say.

In fact let me quote your third article:


" Today, polar bears are among the few large carnivores that are still found in roughly their original habitat and range--and in some places, in roughly their natural numbers.
Although most populations have returned to healthy numbers, there are differences between the populations. Some are stable, some seem to be increasing, and some are decreasing due to various pressures."

Which is a statement I concur with. Nowhere do your sources site polar bears dying from lack of sea ice. Let me give you some additional quotes.:..

So you agree this statement is a lie "I've read the (falacious) report on polar bears (record numbers btw),"

Why go on after agreeing with me?


I'm not sure what you think I was saying, or what I agreed with. I have read non-creditable reports that said artic sea ice was causing record declines in the populations of polar bears. I have also read multiple reports that say polar bear populations are high and stable.

I view the latter reports (polar bear populations sound) as by far the more creditable.

The claim was "record numbers" which your own posts disprove. Why not just admit the lie and learn from getting caught?


If you would prefer that I say - record numbers of polar bears since the 50's - I'll happily restate that.
Hwever, in the overall scheme of what I was talking about - I don't think thats really much of a quibble. The point was there were huge videos out there talking about the extinction of the polar bears. Polar bears led on the evening news even here - a long way from the artic.

And it simply isn't true. Polar bears are doing better than most large predators.




DomKen -> RE: Interacademy finds errors in IPCC (9/30/2013 11:01:30 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux
If you would prefer that I say - record numbers of polar bears since the 50's - I'll happily restate that.
Hwever, in the overall scheme of what I was talking about - I don't think thats really much of a quibble. The point was there were huge videos out there talking about the extinction of the polar bears. Polar bears led on the evening news even here - a long way from the artic.

And it simply isn't true. Polar bears are doing better than most large predators.


So as I said your claim was wrong. At the very best the polar bear is doing ok right now. Actually in most of its habitat range we don't have any good data on population, Russia and most of Europe. In the rest populations are either stable or declining.

And the fact is polar bears are absolutely dependent on arctic sea ice and that sea ice is dwindling very rapidly. Studies show skinnier bears and lots of dead cubs so while the animal is not in crisis as far as population goes it is showing clear signs of stress and since it's habitat is in danger of being wiped away in the next couple of decades it is important to view it as a bell weather species for climate change.




Phydeaux -> RE: Interacademy finds errors in IPCC (9/30/2013 11:08:22 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux
If you would prefer that I say - record numbers of polar bears since the 50's - I'll happily restate that.
Hwever, in the overall scheme of what I was talking about - I don't think thats really much of a quibble. The point was there were huge videos out there talking about the extinction of the polar bears. Polar bears led on the evening news even here - a long way from the artic.

And it simply isn't true. Polar bears are doing better than most large predators.


So as I said your claim was wrong. At the very best the polar bear is doing ok right now. Actually in most of its habitat range we don't have any good data on population, Russia and most of Europe. In the rest populations are either stable or declining.

And the fact is polar bears are absolutely dependent on arctic sea ice and that sea ice is dwindling very rapidly. Studies show skinnier bears and lots of dead cubs so while the animal is not in crisis as far as population goes it is showing clear signs of stress and since it's habitat is in danger of being wiped away in the next couple of decades it is important to view it as a bell weather species for climate change.


No, you gave no figures to show my claim is wrong. Bear populations are at the highest of any recorded numbers since the 50's.

And there are areas where the bear population is increasing - not mererly remaining stable.

You can make the claim that skinny bears are a result of global warming. Or you can make the claim its because there are too many bears. Or you can make the claim that we don't really know whats happening since we don't have sufficient data to know in over 65% of the bears range.

I don't think you read the link I posted. Polar bears survived one interglacial period (ie., no sea ice in the artic). Odds are they would survive another just fine. warmer weather brings compensating factors besides sea ice loss.
Longer hunting seasons, shorter hibernating seasons etc.





DomKen -> RE: Interacademy finds errors in IPCC (9/30/2013 11:16:52 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux
If you would prefer that I say - record numbers of polar bears since the 50's - I'll happily restate that.
Hwever, in the overall scheme of what I was talking about - I don't think thats really much of a quibble. The point was there were huge videos out there talking about the extinction of the polar bears. Polar bears led on the evening news even here - a long way from the artic.

And it simply isn't true. Polar bears are doing better than most large predators.


So as I said your claim was wrong. At the very best the polar bear is doing ok right now. Actually in most of its habitat range we don't have any good data on population, Russia and most of Europe. In the rest populations are either stable or declining.

And the fact is polar bears are absolutely dependent on arctic sea ice and that sea ice is dwindling very rapidly. Studies show skinnier bears and lots of dead cubs so while the animal is not in crisis as far as population goes it is showing clear signs of stress and since it's habitat is in danger of being wiped away in the next couple of decades it is important to view it as a bell weather species for climate change.


No, you gave no figures to show my claim is wrong. Bear populations are at the highest of any recorded numbers since the 50's.

I used a site you quoted from. Make up your mind whether sources you quote from are good enough to use or not.

BTW your own link says polar bears evolved at the start of the last glaciation not during the Eemian (ended 114k ya). And the genetic data shows very little variability so it is likely the precursor population underwent a severe bottleneck during the Eemian probably due to loss of habitat during the interglacial.




DomKen -> RE: Interacademy finds errors in IPCC (10/1/2013 5:49:38 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Kirata


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

So no matter what science that even mentions the IPCC is wrong.

You're making shit up again.

K.


I'm told that the rules have changed yet again so with no further ado...
You whined when a poster pointed out that all existing scientific evidence supports AGW and attacked the IPCC report. I pointed out that actually there was a massive amount of research supporting the theory. You whined some more about the IPCC so I pointed out the rank stupidity of dismissing research because it dared to mention the IPCC, you whined some more. Guess you could not actually respond to the fact that there is that pile of refereed journal articles supporting the theory.




VideoAdminGamma -> RE: Interacademy finds errors in IPCC (10/1/2013 11:29:42 AM)

Fast Reply

If posts about another member wind up causing a hijack, there are still rules for hijacking a topic. The examples that Alpha has posted in the past, in an attempt to make the policy on personal attacks more clear, are examples. Just because someone uses a "you" in their post does not mean it is a personal attack. Personal attacks and hijacking a topic will be enforced.

Thank you for being a part of CollarMe,
Gamma




leonine -> RE: Interacademy finds errors in IPCC (10/1/2013 3:59:48 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

I have read non-creditable reports that said artic sea ice was causing record declines in the populations of polar bears. I have also read multiple reports that say polar bear populations are high and stable.

I view the latter reports (polar bear populations sound) as by far the more creditable.

It's called "confirmation bias," thank you for admitting to it so frankly.




mnottertail -> RE: Interacademy finds errors in IPCC (10/1/2013 5:20:00 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux


No, you gave no figures to show my claim is wrong. Bear populations are at the highest of any recorded numbers since the 50's.




Taxes are lower than the 50's. Bear populations are lower than the 20's.

What the fuck does it all mean?


Treason is simply a matter of dates, said Talleyrand. Yanno, if you pick your dates this and that....

Lets do bears since 1998 since that seems to be a point of contention.





Phydeaux -> RE: Interacademy finds errors in IPCC (10/1/2013 5:45:48 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: leonine


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

I have read non-creditable reports that said artic sea ice was causing record declines in the populations of polar bears. I have also read multiple reports that say polar bear populations are high and stable.

I view the latter reports (polar bear populations sound) as by far the more creditable.

It's called "confirmation bias," thank you for admitting to it so frankly.


Perhaps its just that fish & wildlife service (link earlier) is a more creditable source than the wwf.




Phydeaux -> RE: Interacademy finds errors in IPCC (10/1/2013 5:47:08 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: leonine


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

I have read non-creditable reports that said artic sea ice was causing record declines in the populations of polar bears. I have also read multiple reports that say polar bear populations are high and stable.

I view the latter reports (polar bear populations sound) as by far the more creditable.

It's called "confirmation bias," thank you for admitting to it so frankly.



Realy. And by this I suppose you think bear populations are suffering a huge die off due to the lack of arctic ice...




mnottertail -> RE: Interacademy finds errors in IPCC (10/1/2013 5:47:26 PM)

can't see why that would be. They breathe the same air, and they both have some knowledge in the discipline, and most of the teabaggers have no knowledge of any of it.




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