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US Deficits / Debt - 11/11/2013 9:32:44 PM   
Phydeaux


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In some thread or other people were defending the humonguous debts being rung up by the US; democrats in general believe that taxes should be raised in order for their to be more expansive government programs

As a for example:

The current estimate for the costs of approximately 6 years of obamacare is 1.85 trillion dollars.

To put that into context: The total approximate profits of all US business last year: 1.6 trillion dollars.
Amount of money that obama has added to the Treasure deficit - 7 trillion.
Size of US economy: 15 trillion.
In 5 5 years of the Obama administration we have racked up $100,000 dollars per family.



So basically, over obamas term we have borrowed money equal to half the entire output of the United States.
And the dimocrats think this is sustainable.

Over the same period of time, the increase in social security obligations has increased ROUGHLY 30 trillion dollars.
It is currently, roughly, 88 trillion dollars.


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RE: US Deficits / Debt - 11/11/2013 10:16:37 PM   
RottenJohnny


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I won't defend what the Dems do but to be fair, the debt is the fault of every administration since we became a net debtor instead of a lender. Some people blame that on Reagan. Honestly, I don't know when it really began but either way, we're doomed if we can't force our leaders to adopt a budget that deals with it.



< Message edited by RottenJohnny -- 11/11/2013 10:19:17 PM >


_____________________________

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RE: US Deficits / Debt - 11/11/2013 10:27:42 PM   
MrRodgers


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First, I am not aware of anybody specially defending any humongous debt at all...let alone for expansive federal programs.

One could easily say the republicans defend tax cuts as job creation incentive which they are not and defend borrowing for wars and a huge govt. program of a drug benefit and various tax expenditures for...and the lowering of...the corporate tax.

As a percentage of existing debt I posted...Reagan 189%, Bush I 55%, Clinton 37%, Bush II 86% and Obama 35% so far.

Recall also that after Obama's election, that fiscal year deficit was what Bush left over the fiscal year beginning Oct. 1 2008, 4 months and another 1 million jobs lost before his first state of the union address and was $1.4 trillion 1/2 of which accounted for TARP so Obama's totals are in fact, much less.

Second, Obama inherited an economy suffering a meltdown while the repubs resisted ending Bush's so-called 'temporary' tax cuts further exacerbating the federal debt totals.

Then when one considers a relatively small delayed and obstructed stimulus that many estimated would if enacted as and when originally proposed...cost as many as 1 million jobs the taxes from which would have further reduced Obama's deficits while the costs of wars now fully on books, one has no choice to conclude as history shows...repubs love their spending and borrowing.

You are denigrating the dems for debt caused by previous repub admins. and seeking to right a very wrong economy and now the ACA when it hasn't even kicked in yet. Plus, there is a reduction in medicare reimbursements coming and a 2% tax on medical equip. not yet realized.

So most of your post is mere partisan speculation and has no reasonable basis in fact.

Oh and as for Soc. sec....since 1980 and Reagan's tripling of the payroll tax to fund it has as of this fiscal year [it] running an approx. $3 trillion surplus all of which under every president is borrowed for spending with some very special,, politically expedient, IOU's now being cashed further exacerbating our current accumulating federal debt.

Speaking of the future, the medicare part D drug benefit passed by a 100% repub govt. now sits at a $22 trillion unfunded liability.

< Message edited by MrRodgers -- 11/11/2013 11:27:10 PM >

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RE: US Deficits / Debt - 11/11/2013 10:48:55 PM   
DomKen


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quote:

ORIGINAL: RottenJohnny

I won't defend what the Dems do but to be fair, the debt is the fault of every administration since we became a net debtor instead of a lender. Some people blame that on Reagan. Honestly, I don't know when it really began but either way, we're doomed if we can't force our leaders to adopt a budget that deals with it.



There is no argument it happened during the Reagan administration.

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RE: US Deficits / Debt - 11/11/2013 11:06:34 PM   
MrRodgers


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First, I am not aware of anybody specially defending any humongous debt at all...let alone for expansive federal programs.

One could easily say the republicans defend tax cuts as job creation incentive which they are not and defend borrowing for wars and a huge govt. program of a drug benefit and various tax expenditures for...and the lowering of...the corporate tax.

As a percentage of existing debt I posted...Reagan 189%, Bush I 55%, Clinton 37%, Bush II 86% and Obama 35% so far.

Recall also that after Obama's election, that fiscal year deficit was what Bush left over the fiscal year beginning Oct. 1 2008, 4 months and another 1 million jobs lost before his first state of the union address and was $1.4 trillion 1/2 of which accounted for TARP so Obama's totals are in fact, much less.

Second, Obama inherited an economy suffering a meltdown while the repubs resisted ending Bush's so-called 'temporary' tax cuts further exacerbating the federal debt totals.

Then when one considers a relatively small delayed and obstructed stimulus that many estimated would if enacted as and when originally proposed...cost as many as 1 million jobs the taxes from which would have further reduced Obama's deficits while the costs of wars now fully on books, one has no choice to conclude as history shows...repubs love their spending and borrowing.

You are denigrating the dems for debt caused by previous repub admins. and seeking to right a very wrong economy and now the ACA when it hasn't even kicked in yet. Plus, there is a reduction in medicare reimbursements coming and a 2% tax on medical equip. not yet realized.

So most of your post is mere partisan speculation and has no reasonable basis in fact.

Oh and as for Soc. sec....since 1980 and Reagan's tripling of the payroll tax to fund it has as of this fiscal year [it] running an approx. $3 trillion surplus all of which under every president is borrowed for spending with some very special,, politically expedient, IOU's now being cashed further exacerbating our current accumulating federal debt.

Speaking of the future, the medicare part D drug benefit passed by a 100% repub govt. now sits at a $22 trillion unfunded liability.



< Message edited by MrRodgers -- 11/11/2013 11:09:38 PM >

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RE: US Deficits / Debt - 11/11/2013 11:52:29 PM   
Phydeaux


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Sure, I understand you want to argue %.

If I borrow a dollar - and then borrow 2$ - my percentage increased 100%. But both are immaterial, both can easily be paid back.

Borrowing $100,000 dollar per family - or borrowing half our national economy is a different story. 7 trillion dollars of debt is a big deal.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~`

Regarding Medicare Part D - I quite agree with the fact that republicans passed it ( I didn't agree with it for the same reasons as I object to obamacare now). However the costs are not as you bill them.

Try : http://barnstable-hyannis.patch.com/groups/medicare-without-the-politics/p/how-much-does-medicare-part-d-drug-coverage-cost-taxpayers

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~`~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~`

Regarding: no one defending humonguous deficits:

Perhaps you're right. Democrats don't defend them. They merely are proposing expanding them. Please tell me what was the proposed deficit for Obamas last submitted budget. Did it or did it not virtually across the board increase spending - but especially for social programs?

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~``
The costs of the ACA are figured into the CBO figures. These include all the medical device taxes etc. They, of course are understated, probably by 100%, but...

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~`




~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

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RE: US Deficits / Debt - 11/12/2013 12:20:09 AM   
RottenJohnny


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quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen


quote:

ORIGINAL: RottenJohnny

I won't defend what the Dems do but to be fair, the debt is the fault of every administration since we became a net debtor instead of a lender. Some people blame that on Reagan. Honestly, I don't know when it really began but either way, we're doomed if we can't force our leaders to adopt a budget that deals with it.



There is no argument it happened during the Reagan administration.

That doesn't justify it's continuance in following administrations...Dem or Pub. And both are guilty.

_____________________________

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"Give me liberty or give me death." - Patrick Henry

I believe in common sense, not common opinions. - Me

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RE: US Deficits / Debt - 11/12/2013 3:28:02 AM   
joether


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Here is the ultra simple version of dealing with the US Deficit and US Debt in the USA:

The federal budget, when last I checked was taking in $2.7 trillion and spending $3.5 trillion creating a $800 billion deficit. The current US Debt is $16 trillion. To fix both problems is simple: Lower the budget to $2.7 trillion while increasing taxes by $500-800 billion/year, resulting in not only a balanced budget, but removing the US Debt in about twenty years.

End of 'simple version'.

The problem with the above 'solution' (other than being the most idiotic thing this nation could do) is it does not take into consideration...well...everything beyond a thin, narrow slice of reality. The Budget in the last '90's was a surplus and being used to pay down the US Debt at the time. When former President George W. Bush came to office, the US Debt was a mere $2 trillion and change. At that time, the debt was a HUGE number. By today's standards, we would laugh at it. In 2000 the budget surplus become a budget deficit. Each year the budget deficit simply got added onto the US Debt. We can point figures and blame each other all we want, but this nation made mistakes. Going off to Iraq from the perspective of the long term financial health of the nation was just dumb. We did not pay for this war directly, but through borrowed money. How much? A little over $4 trillion!

By the time President Obama came to office, the US Debt was over the $11 trillion mark and rising. The US Deficit was still out of whack. On top of that, the nation since 2007 was sliding quickly towards another great depression. By all accounts NOBODY wanted that future (maybe except the Tea Party....). After a bunch of actions, the disaster was adverted but created a recession. Slowly the economy has been inching upward again. Some areas recovering faster than others.

Still the US Deficit is a problem. And each year adding to the US Debt. We can sit here on this forum like the previous forums and bitch up a river of faults. Point fingers and say 'the other guy is a douche bag and an idiot' because they don't agree with you. And we'll get nowhere once more on this thread. Of course, that requires the persons on this forum to become educated on the facts and economic theories. Which has about as much chance of success as Republicans have of resurrecting Ronald Reagan and running him for President in 2016.

Raising taxes, while a favorite of Democrats could provide a great deal of the 'solution' part of this problem, it is not without its risks to the economy and the people within the nation. Dropping the spending would please the Republican/Tea Party types, but would do even more damage to the economy in the long run. Which sets for a very complex and complicated problem with no easy solutions or concepts to be employed. But everyone bitching that someone should do something about the problem. Just like fat people depmanding they paid people to slim them down while chowing down on the very stuff that keeps them fat late at night.

The solution is going to be something that no one likes, and maybe the best option. Everyone gets something they want, but not all of it; while at the same time not getting something they want. In effect, a compromise deal. You pay the store clerk for that can of coke. You don't want to pay money but want the coke. Your getting something 'of value' in exchange of something 'of value'. But in this case, the 'of value' is not easily defined in simple terms much to most American's aggravations

What we will see are taxes raised by a small amount and spending cut by a small amount. Its not because of the politics in Washington as many of you will no doubt rage a few pages over. But trying to keep the economy from sloshing down the tubes into a full on recession if not a bigger problem. The US Debt sadly, will take a long time to remove. No amount of bitching will bring it down faster. I could explain it better later, but I'm tired for now.....


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RE: US Deficits / Debt - 11/12/2013 4:45:26 AM   
Phydeaux


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quote:

ORIGINAL: joether

Here is the ultra simple version of dealing with the US Deficit and US Debt in the USA:

The federal budget, when last I checked was taking in $2.7 trillion and spending $3.5 trillion creating a $800 billion deficit. The current US Debt is $16 trillion. To fix both problems is simple: Lower the budget to $2.7 trillion while increasing taxes by $500-800 billion/year, resulting in not only a balanced budget, but removing the US Debt in about twenty years.

End of 'simple version'.

The problem with the above 'solution' (other than being the most idiotic thing this nation could do) is it does not take into consideration...well...everything beyond a thin, narrow slice of reality. The Budget in the last '90's was a surplus and being used to pay down the US Debt at the time. When former President George W. Bush came to office, the US Debt was a mere $2 trillion and change. At that time, the debt was a HUGE number. By today's standards, we would laugh at it. In 2000 the budget surplus become a budget deficit. Each year the budget deficit simply got added onto the US Debt. We can point figures and blame each other all we want, but this nation made mistakes. Going off to Iraq from the perspective of the long term financial health of the nation was just dumb. We did not pay for this war directly, but through borrowed money. How much? A little over $4 trillion!

By the time President Obama came to office, the US Debt was over the $11 trillion mark and rising. The US Deficit was still out of whack. On top of that, the nation since 2007 was sliding quickly towards another great depression. By all accounts NOBODY wanted that future (maybe except the Tea Party....). After a bunch of actions, the disaster was adverted but created a recession. Slowly the economy has been inching upward again. Some areas recovering faster than others.

Still the US Deficit is a problem. And each year adding to the US Debt. We can sit here on this forum like the previous forums and bitch up a river of faults. Point fingers and say 'the other guy is a douche bag and an idiot' because they don't agree with you. And we'll get nowhere once more on this thread. Of course, that requires the persons on this forum to become educated on the facts and economic theories. Which has about as much chance of success as Republicans have of resurrecting Ronald Reagan and running him for President in 2016.

Raising taxes, while a favorite of Democrats could provide a great deal of the 'solution' part of this problem, it is not without its risks to the economy and the people within the nation. Dropping the spending would please the Republican/Tea Party types, but would do even more damage to the economy in the long run. Which sets for a very complex and complicated problem with no easy solutions or concepts to be employed. But everyone bitching that someone should do something about the problem. Just like fat people depmanding they paid people to slim them down while chowing down on the very stuff that keeps them fat late at night.

The solution is going to be something that no one likes, and maybe the best option. Everyone gets something they want, but not all of it; while at the same time not getting something they want. In effect, a compromise deal. You pay the store clerk for that can of coke. You don't want to pay money but want the coke. Your getting something 'of value' in exchange of something 'of value'. But in this case, the 'of value' is not easily defined in simple terms much to most American's aggravations

What we will see are taxes raised by a small amount and spending cut by a small amount. Its not because of the politics in Washington as many of you will no doubt rage a few pages over. But trying to keep the economy from sloshing down the tubes into a full on recession if not a bigger problem. The US Debt sadly, will take a long time to remove. No amount of bitching will bring it down faster. I could explain it better later, but I'm tired for now.....





So many errors. Direct spending on the Iraq war as of end of last year was $757billion. Sooooo you're off by a factor of 3.
Your number is for iran, arghanistan and other operations and includes high speculative numbers into the future for the care of veterans, and inflated estimates on interest.

Secondly - and I don't know how many times I have to repeat this.
Clinton *did not* balance the budget. The budget hasn't been balanced in decades. Clinton merely took social security spending off book. Poof - it disappeared!

Tax revenues are the highest they've ever been. Federal expenditures as % of GDP are the highest they've ever been.
Ben Bernanke says spending has to come down.

What creditable reason do you have for suggesting that increasing spending is a good idea?

So when you suggest that people get educated in facts and figures, I suggest you start with yourself.


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RE: US Deficits / Debt - 11/12/2013 4:50:51 AM   
JeffBC


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux
Ben Bernanke says spending has to come down.

Bwahahahahahahahaha... that right there would be a reason for me to want to raise spending. We're talking about the chairman of the Fed here... pretty much the heart of darkness when it comes to the US economy. I think it's pretty safe to assume that good ol' Ben will say whatever it takes to pocket a lot of money for him and his friends. I think it's pretty safe to say that anything which is good for Ben's and his friends is bad for 99.99% of US citizens.

_____________________________

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"You're humbly arrogant" -- sunshinemiss
officially a member of the K Crowd

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RE: US Deficits / Debt - 11/12/2013 4:57:14 AM   
muhly22222


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quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen


quote:

ORIGINAL: RottenJohnny

I won't defend what the Dems do but to be fair, the debt is the fault of every administration since we became a net debtor instead of a lender. Some people blame that on Reagan. Honestly, I don't know when it really began but either way, we're doomed if we can't force our leaders to adopt a budget that deals with it.



There is no argument it happened during the Reagan administration.


Actually, if I remember correctly, it started in the Van Buren administration. Andrew Jackson was the last president who managed to balance the budget. Though I will agree that the Reagan administration pushed America's budget to its limits...and they did so intentionally as a means of pushing the Soviet Union over the edge.

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RE: US Deficits / Debt - 11/12/2013 6:15:27 AM   
mnottertail


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quote:


Secondly - and I don't know how many times I have to repeat this.
Clinton *did not* balance the budget. The budget hasn't been balanced in decades. Clinton merely took social security spending off book. Poof - it disappeared!


Social security is not off book, and never has been.  You will find it in the off budget portion of the treasury debt,deficit, revenue, budget table.  It doesn't matter how many times you repeat wholesale asswipe, it does not become true in its telling.
 
 The Social Security Administration is legally required to take all its surpluses and buy U.S. Government securities, and the U.S. Government readily sells those securities--which automatically and immediately becomes intragovernmental holdings. The economy was doing well due to the dot-com bubble and people were earning a lot of money and paying a lot into Social Security. Since Social Security had more money coming in than it had to pay in benefits to retired persons, all that extra money was immediately used to buy U.S. Government securities. The government was still running deficits, but since there was so much money coming from excess Social Security contributions there was no need to borrow more money directly from the public. As such, the public debt went down while intragovernmental holdings continued to skyrocket. The net effect was that the national debt most definitely did not get paid down because we did not have a surplus. The government just covered its deficit by borrowing money from Social Security rather than the public. So, the public portion of the debt was paid down.

Now, for more information rather than the disinformation provided us by our shortfingered friends:
http://www.ssa.gov/history/BudgetTreatment.html
 
We see that it has actually been off-budget more than it has been on-budget.


< Message edited by mnottertail -- 11/12/2013 6:25:21 AM >


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RE: US Deficits / Debt - 11/12/2013 6:50:29 AM   
Yachtie


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quote:

ORIGINAL: JeffBC

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux
Ben Bernanke says spending has to come down.

Bwahahahahahahahaha... that right there would be a reason for me to want to raise spending. We're talking about the chairman of the Fed here... pretty much the heart of darkness when it comes to the US economy. I think it's pretty safe to assume that good ol' Ben will say whatever it takes to pocket a lot of money for him and his friends. I think it's pretty safe to say that anything which is good for Ben's and his friends is bad for 99.99% of US citizens.



Actually, Bernanke was speaking the truth. He does that, every so often.

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RE: US Deficits / Debt - 11/12/2013 7:30:28 AM   
JeffBC


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Yachtie
Actually, Bernanke was speaking the truth. He does that, every so often.

Yes well, in the real world you're correct that inevitably the interests of everyone will line up with the interests of the .001% That's just going to be a truly rare alignment since we are talking predator and prey here. But me trusting Bernanke would be akin to me trusting the guy across from me at the poker table.

_____________________________

I'm a lover of "what is", not because I'm a spiritual person, but because it hurts when I argue with reality. -- Bryon Katie
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RE: US Deficits / Debt - 11/12/2013 8:41:16 AM   
MrRodgers


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quote:

ORIGINAL: muhly22222


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen


quote:

ORIGINAL: RottenJohnny

I won't defend what the Dems do but to be fair, the debt is the fault of every administration since we became a net debtor instead of a lender. Some people blame that on Reagan. Honestly, I don't know when it really began but either way, we're doomed if we can't force our leaders to adopt a budget that deals with it.



There is no argument it happened during the Reagan administration.


Actually, if I remember correctly, it started in the Van Buren administration. Andrew Jackson was the last president who managed to balance the budget. Though I will agree that the Reagan administration pushed America's budget to its limits...and they did so intentionally as a means of pushing the Soviet Union over the edge.

Almost all of the left was against it while some of the right was too. One does not finance a defense build-up with a tax cut. Many believe and I tend to agree, the bankers and the fed wanted that debt and...they still do. See Greenspan when asked about Bush's tax cuts.

Oh and it was during the Andrew Jackson admin. that was the last time that we not only didn't have a federal deficit but...the US govt. had NO debt at all. Ironically, he was the first democrat. Oh and BTW, we've had several deficit free administrations since, ironically again most of them democrats. In fact I do not recall and as fr as I know, research does not show a single repub admin. having a single balanced federal fiscal year.


< Message edited by MrRodgers -- 11/12/2013 8:49:39 AM >

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RE: US Deficits / Debt - 11/12/2013 9:13:30 AM   
MrRodgers


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quote:

ORIGINAL: mnottertail

quote:


Secondly - and I don't know how many times I have to repeat this.
Clinton *did not* balance the budget. The budget hasn't been balanced in decades. Clinton merely took social security spending off book. Poof - it disappeared!


Social security is not off book, and never has been.  You will find it in the off budget portion of the treasury debt,deficit, revenue, budget table.  It doesn't matter how many times you repeat wholesale asswipe, it does not become true in its telling.
 
 The Social Security Administration is legally required to take all its surpluses and buy U.S. Government securities, and the U.S. Government readily sells those securities--which automatically and immediately becomes intragovernmental holdings. The economy was doing well due to the dot-com bubble and people were earning a lot of money and paying a lot into Social Security. Since Social Security had more money coming in than it had to pay in benefits to retired persons, all that extra money was immediately used to buy U.S. Government securities. The government was still running deficits, but since there was so much money coming from excess Social Security contributions there was no need to borrow more money directly from the public. As such, the public debt went down while intragovernmental holdings continued to skyrocket. The net effect was that the national debt most definitely did not get paid down because we did not have a surplus. The government just covered its deficit by borrowing money from Social Security rather than the public. So, the public portion of the debt was paid down.

Now, for more information rather than the disinformation provided us by our shortfingered friends:
http://www.ssa.gov/history/BudgetTreatment.html
 
We see that it has actually been off-budget more than it has been on-budget.


One again not true. OK once again EVERY admin since Reagan started the soc. sec. OVERpayment when he TRIPLED the payroll tax has used that over payment to mask operating deficits. All admin. and the congress for over 30 years has willingly gone along with the squandering of some now...$3 trillion of soc.sec. surplus.

By the same accounting and budget methods used by ALL admin since Reagan including Bush II, Clinton did in fact...create a surplus and DID actually use some of it to pay down the over all federal debt. Funny how nobody even considers that for three of the Clinton years...no raise in the debt limit. Gee...I wonder why ?

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RE: US Deficits / Debt - 11/12/2013 9:28:20 AM   
Zonie63


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quote:

ORIGINAL: joether

Here is the ultra simple version of dealing with the US Deficit and US Debt in the USA:

The federal budget, when last I checked was taking in $2.7 trillion and spending $3.5 trillion creating a $800 billion deficit. The current US Debt is $16 trillion. To fix both problems is simple: Lower the budget to $2.7 trillion while increasing taxes by $500-800 billion/year, resulting in not only a balanced budget, but removing the US Debt in about twenty years.

End of 'simple version'.

The problem with the above 'solution' (other than being the most idiotic thing this nation could do) is it does not take into consideration...well...everything beyond a thin, narrow slice of reality.


Well, I think your solution is correct in that it will take a combination of spending cuts and raising tax revenue in order to slowly reduce the U.S. debt. I don't think that's the most idiotic thing we could do. The worst thing we could do is print up more money to pay off the debt. That's what countries do when they're up against the wall and have no other choice. But at least now, we still have some room to make some sensible decisions, as long as we don't wait until the real Day of Reckoning arrives.

The other part of this whole equation is that government itself is going to have to be more efficient, trimming the waste, dead weight, and putting on a full court press with anti-corruption measures with real teeth in them. It's not just a question of cutting services and/or raising taxes, but getting a better bang for our buck.

There might also be more inventive ways for the government to gain revenue without necessarily putting it on the backs of the middle class taxpayer.

They could run a bake sale.

Or they could allow advertising on federal buildings and vehicles. Important federal landmarks could get corporate sponsorship, just like stadiums and college bowl games. And all those U.S. government vehicles - they could have signs on them, just like taxis and buses do. If nothing else, at least it would pay for the gas they use. Every presidential speech would also have a sponsor with a little mini-commercial, too. Imagine the companies lining up to pay top dollar to have the President's speech segue into a sales pitch for laundry detergent.





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RE: US Deficits / Debt - 11/12/2013 9:34:26 AM   
MrRodgers


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux


quote:

ORIGINAL: joether

Here is the ultra simple version of dealing with the US Deficit and US Debt in the USA:

The federal budget, when last I checked was taking in $2.7 trillion and spending $3.5 trillion creating a $800 billion deficit. The current US Debt is $16 trillion. To fix both problems is simple: Lower the budget to $2.7 trillion while increasing taxes by $500-800 billion/year, resulting in not only a balanced budget, but removing the US Debt in about twenty years.

End of 'simple version'.

The problem with the above 'solution' (other than being the most idiotic thing this nation could do) is it does not take into consideration...well...everything beyond a thin, narrow slice of reality. The Budget in the last '90's was a surplus and being used to pay down the US Debt at the time. When former President George W. Bush came to office, the US Debt was a mere $2 trillion and change. At that time, the debt was a HUGE number. By today's standards, we would laugh at it. In 2000 the budget surplus become a budget deficit. Each year the budget deficit simply got added onto the US Debt. We can point figures and blame each other all we want, but this nation made mistakes. Going off to Iraq from the perspective of the long term financial health of the nation was just dumb. We did not pay for this war directly, but through borrowed money. How much? A little over $4 trillion!

By the time President Obama came to office, the US Debt was over the $11 trillion mark and rising. The US Deficit was still out of whack. On top of that, the nation since 2007 was sliding quickly towards another great depression. By all accounts NOBODY wanted that future (maybe except the Tea Party....). After a bunch of actions, the disaster was adverted but created a recession. Slowly the economy has been inching upward again. Some areas recovering faster than others.

Still the US Deficit is a problem. And each year adding to the US Debt. We can sit here on this forum like the previous forums and bitch up a river of faults. Point fingers and say 'the other guy is a douche bag and an idiot' because they don't agree with you. And we'll get nowhere once more on this thread. Of course, that requires the persons on this forum to become educated on the facts and economic theories. Which has about as much chance of success as Republicans have of resurrecting Ronald Reagan and running him for President in 2016.

Raising taxes, while a favorite of Democrats could provide a great deal of the 'solution' part of this problem, it is not without its risks to the economy and the people within the nation. Dropping the spending would please the Republican/Tea Party types, but would do even more damage to the economy in the long run. Which sets for a very complex and complicated problem with no easy solutions or concepts to be employed. But everyone bitching that someone should do something about the problem. Just like fat people depmanding they paid people to slim them down while chowing down on the very stuff that keeps them fat late at night.

The solution is going to be something that no one likes, and maybe the best option. Everyone gets something they want, but not all of it; while at the same time not getting something they want. In effect, a compromise deal. You pay the store clerk for that can of coke. You don't want to pay money but want the coke. Your getting something 'of value' in exchange of something 'of value'. But in this case, the 'of value' is not easily defined in simple terms much to most American's aggravations

What we will see are taxes raised by a small amount and spending cut by a small amount. Its not because of the politics in Washington as many of you will no doubt rage a few pages over. But trying to keep the economy from sloshing down the tubes into a full on recession if not a bigger problem. The US Debt sadly, will take a long time to remove. No amount of bitching will bring it down faster. I could explain it better later, but I'm tired for now.....





So many errors. Direct spending on the Iraq war as of end of last year was $757billion. Sooooo you're off by a factor of 3.
Your number is for iran, arghanistan and other operations and includes high speculative numbers into the future for the care of veterans, and inflated estimates on interest.

Secondly - and I don't know how many times I have to repeat this.
Clinton *did not* balance the budget. The budget hasn't been balanced in decades. Clinton merely took social security spending off book. Poof - it disappeared!

Tax revenues are the highest they've ever been. Federal expenditures as % of GDP are the highest they've ever been.
Ben Bernanke says spending has to come down.

What creditable reason do you have for suggesting that increasing spending is a good idea?

So when you suggest that people get educated in facts and figures, I suggest you start with yourself.


Clinton did no such thing as taking soc.sec. off books and I'd very curious how you come up with that. The total current account spending for the two wars not one...is approx. $2 to $3 trillion not including subsequent spending on care etc. ALL of which was borrowed directly as a result of Bush's tax cuts.

Federal expenditure as a % of GDP is and has been higher than at anytime SINCE WWII but with several program cuts and the sequester...now lower as a % of GDP than any admin. since the Eisenhower admin.

Over all taxes are at a 60 year LOW and have been at a steady decline since Reagan.

(in reply to Phydeaux)
Profile   Post #: 18
RE: US Deficits / Debt - 11/12/2013 9:41:49 AM   
mnottertail


Posts: 60698
Joined: 11/3/2004
Status: offline
It is unclear what is untrue that I have stated.   He did not pay down federal debt with budget surplus.  Social security revenues are counted as general revenues in the budget (where they are tranfered to the trust fund) and surpluses for payments go out to buy government debt and become intragovernemental debt.   public debt was bought back with those instruments, and became intragovernemental debt, money we owe to social security.

Peri-fucking-od.   Intragovernmental debt up and public debt down.  

A budget surplus does not correspond to debt reduction.


Debt held by the public, such as Treasury securities held by investors outside the federal government, including that held by individuals, corporations, the Federal Reserve System and foreign, state and local governments.
Debt held by government accounts or intragovernmental debt, such as non-marketable Treasury securities held in accounts administered by the federal government that are owed to program beneficiaries, such as the Social Security Trust Fund. Debt held by government accounts represents the cumulative surpluses, including interest earnings, of these accounts that have been invested in Treasury securities.
http://www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/reports/pd/histdebt/histdebt_histo4.htm

http://www.factcheck.org/2008/02/the-budget-and-deficit-under-clinton/

So, no actual debt erased.

_____________________________

Have they not divided the prey; to every man a damsel or two? Judges 5:30


(in reply to MrRodgers)
Profile   Post #: 19
RE: US Deficits / Debt - 11/12/2013 10:08:26 AM   
DesideriScuri


Posts: 12225
Joined: 1/18/2012
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux
Secondly - and I don't know how many times I have to repeat this.
Clinton *did not* balance the budget. The budget hasn't been balanced in decades. Clinton merely took social security spending off book. Poof - it disappeared!


Do you have a source for this, Phydeaux? I'd like to read up on it.


_____________________________

What I support:

  • A Conservative interpretation of the US Constitution
  • Personal Responsibility
  • Help for the truly needy
  • Limited Government
  • Consumption Tax (non-profit charities and food exempt)

(in reply to Phydeaux)
Profile   Post #: 20
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