vincentML -> RE: Questions on climate change? (1/29/2014 3:21:57 PM)
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ORIGINAL: Tkman117 For those of you who may have questions on climate change, this is a good place to go to to get your answers. http://www.skepticalscience.com/argument.php?f=taxonomy If you still have questions that have not been answered by this page, I'd recommend contacting a local university professor on the subject. Because I'll admit I'm no genius, and while I don't want this thread to become a hot bed of further conflict, I just wanted to point people in a good direction if they actually want answers. If you just want to fight and argue, be my guest, but you can do it without me. Good day everyone. I am neither religious nor political right of center in any respect. I am simply a lay person with a science education, a strong respect for the scientific endeavor, and strongly pissed over any misrepresentation of science. So, I have had in general an antithetical reaction to the claim for a consensus on AGW. I took your suggestion, went to the site you posted and sought out the consensus. Science is not performed by votes, often the consensus may be influenced by extraneous factors, and frankly the consensus can be wrong. So, whither the consensus of 97% of climate scientists approving AGW? The numbers come from an analysis of abstracts of papers published by climatologists in peer review journals between 1991 and 2011. SOURCE The results showed that of all the abstracts 32.6% were rated as supporting AGW and 2.9% rejected or were uncertain of AGW. So the 32.6% is presented as 97.1% of the abstracts that had a position on AGW. This number does not represent all climatologists as is often claimed because 66.4% of the papers had no position on AGW. None, zip, nada. This data is from a total of over 11,000 abstracts. Then the research group sent emails to 8547 authors to rate their positions and received responses from 1200. The numbers are a little confusing to me but 2142 papers received self-ratings from 1189 authors. Of all the papers evaluated by authors 1342 endorsed AGW while 39 rejected AGW and 761 had no position or were uncertain (35.5%) The authors conclude that 97.2% of the papers with a position supported AGW and conveniently ignored the 35.5% who had no position or were uncertain. Furthermore, take note that 7358 authors did not reply to the email survey. Neither the abstract analysis nor the email self-evaluations add up to a consensus of 97% to me, nor does the science seem ‘settled’ with any certainty as trumpeted by the advocates. Certainly not a consensus of all climate scientists as alleged. Responses welcomed.
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