A few thoughts on climate change. (Full Version)

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jlf1961 -> A few thoughts on climate change. (3/12/2014 7:56:01 AM)

First ignore the current majority held scientific belief that humans are responsible for all of it.

Let us look at the parts of climate change that mankind have contributed to.

1) Deforestation, less forests mean fewer trees to convert C02 into oxygen, this is happening primarily in developing countries, Brazil being the worst.

Now the funny thing is that deforestation is going on so people can grow food crops and raise cattle, however even without deforestation, the planet can supply the caloric needs of the world's population, it is a economic problem, you need money to buy food.

Farming naturally depletes the minerals in soil, requiring fertilizers which contribute nitrates to the atmosphere adding another green house gases.

There is an alternative.

Lumber is always in high demand. There are a number of fast growing hard woods that are perfect for construction. Granted there can be 10 years or more from initial planting to harvest, still lumber has a higher profit margin and prior to harvest, you have trees converting CO2 to O2.

2) Convert to carbon neutral fuels. The diesel engine was originally designed to run on vegetable oil. Or even using the Walter turbine for powering cars, the Walter turbine burns Hydrogen Peroxide and originally designed for Uboats during WWII, a few of which were completed just before the end of the war.

Presently, the German navy is using a similar system in their coastal submarines.

Cons- Exhausts Oxygen and water. Meaning a higher atmospheric oxygen content and wet streets.

3) Methane production from livestock, we really cant change that. I am not going to fake beef made from plant proteins. I want meat, I have the proper teeth to eat meat (as do the rest of the human race)

As for the rest of the green house gases being produced by humans, it amounts to less than 3% of the total, however one is more efficient at trapping heat, and is not naturally occurring.

Their air technologies that have been developed that would also scrub CO2 from the atmosphere, one is using algae to create a fuel substitute that is carbon neutral, and another that actually uses a pinwheel type device that converts CO2 as a tree or plants do.

Climate change is not just global warming, it is exactly what the name says, climate change. The planet warms up, ice sheets melt, oceans rise, ocean salinity drops, the conveyor belt currents slow down and stop, so the northern land masses get colder, the tropics get hotter and ocean front property goes underwater.

It has happened before, naturally, and it will happen again, naturally.

However, looking at the earth's climate cycle since the dinosaurs, the planet should be starting a cooling period. This indicates that mankind has had some impact on climate, and it is not all modern man's fault. We started affecting climate change when we stopped wondering around hunting and gathering and decided to start farming and building cities.

As I said, even if we just thought of cleaning up the atmosphere as in air pollution, we know smog is not good, there would be a positive impact on climate change.

The same is true about cleaning up rivers, lakes and oceans. Clean water is better than polluted water.





MercTech -> RE: A few thoughts on climate change. (3/12/2014 10:50:20 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: jlf1961
1) Deforestation, less forests mean fewer trees to convert C02 into oxygen, this is happening primarily in developing countries, Brazil being the worst.

Now the funny thing is that deforestation is going on so people can grow food crops and raise cattle, however even without deforestation, the planet can supply the caloric needs of the world's population, it is a economic problem, you need money to buy food.

Farming naturally depletes the minerals in soil, requiring fertilizers which contribute nitrates to the atmosphere adding another green house gases.


Environmental activists paid for a study to measure how much global warming had damaged the Amazon rain forest and found the increased CO2 in the atmosphere has accelerated the rate of jungle growth appreciably. Leaving the FUD mongering aside; it isn't as bad as those fellows wanting your donations want you to believe.

http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/tropical-comeback-can-new-growth-save-the-amazon-rainforest-a-642199.html

quote:


Lumber is always in high demand. There are a number of fast growing hard woods that are perfect for construction. Granted there can be 10 years or more from initial planting to harvest, still lumber has a higher profit margin and prior to harvest, you have trees converting CO2 to O2.


The majority of out lumber and wood pulp products in the U.S. come from farmed trees.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tree_farm
https://www.internationalpaper.com/Apps/D2E/Down2EarthOnline/t-01.html

Most of the hill country land where I grew up was planted in cotton in the 1960s. Today, the majority is in tree farms.

BTW, burning wood does not increase the "carbon footprint" but is recycling what is already there.

quote:


2) Convert to carbon neutral fuels. The diesel engine was originally designed to run on vegetable oil. Or even using the Walter turbine for powering cars, the Walter turbine burns Hydrogen Peroxide and originally designed for Uboats during WWII, a few of which were completed just before the end of the war.

Presently, the German navy is using a similar system in their coastal submarines.

Cons- Exhausts Oxygen and water. Meaning a higher atmospheric oxygen content and wet streets.


Ummm, not quite.

The hydrogen peroxide is the oxidizer in the equation (the air). It allows the fuel to burn.

from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hellmuth_Walter
{quote] Research suggested that hydrogen peroxide was a suitable fuel – in the presence of a suitable catalyst it would break down into oxygen and steam at high temperature. The heat of the reaction would cause the oxygen and steam to expand, and this could be used as a source of pressure. Walter also realized that another fuel could be injected into this hot mixture of gases to provide combustion and therefore more power. He patented this idea in 1925.
The advantage for a submarine was that it didn't require an air intake for operation such as the more common diesel. Hydrocarbon fuel was injected for higher efficiency so it was never really "carbon neutral".

quote:

3) Methane production from livestock, we really cant change that. I am not going to fake beef made from plant proteins. I want meat, I have the proper teeth to eat meat (as do the rest of the human race)


And bovine methane is not a greenhouse gas but part of the natural cycle.

quote:

As for the rest of the green house gases being produced by humans, it amounts to less than 3% of the total, however one is more efficient at trapping heat, and is not naturally occurring.

What we have is the burning of fossil fuels is bringing carbon that was bound up in the soil during the Cretaceous (and other) eons of the planet. This addition of more of one element to the balanced equation that is the environment adds stress to the equation. Normal swings in climate conditions will vary more and swing more as things settle into a new balance point.
Like a child on a swing; if daddy gives a little extra push the child will oscillate higher and farther.

quote:


Their air technologies that have been developed that would also scrub CO2 from the atmosphere, one is using algae to create a fuel substitute that is carbon neutral, and another that actually uses a pinwheel type device that converts CO2 as a tree or plants do.

Um, algae are single cell plants.
I think what you are referring to is using huge algae mats as a source material for making bio diesel.
As to non biological carbon dioxide extraction:
For submarines and manned space craft huge amounts of research have been done on devices to remove carbon dioxide from the air. The bottom line is that the carbon dioxide fuel burned to generate the electricity to operate them is more than an order of magnitude higher than the amount of CO2 they remove.

quote:

Climate change is not just global warming, it is exactly what the name says, climate change. The planet warms up, ice sheets melt, oceans rise, ocean salinity drops, the conveyor belt currents slow down and stop, so the northern land masses get colder, the tropics get hotter and ocean front property goes underwater.

It has happened before, naturally, and it will happen again, naturally.


Yep the oscillations of the climate while seeking a new balance point after increased carbon loading has stressed the balance is totally natural phenomenon.

quote:

However, looking at the earth's climate cycle since the dinosaurs, the planet should be starting a cooling period. This indicates that mankind has had some impact on climate, and it is not all modern man's fault. We started affecting climate change when we stopped wondering around hunting and gathering and decided to start farming and building cities.


And the thermal footprint of large cities creates updrafts that lead to crappy local weather. There is no consensus whether urban heat islands effect the global climate .


quote:

As I said, even if we just thought of cleaning up the atmosphere as in air pollution, we know smog is not good, there would be a positive impact on climate change.

The same is true about cleaning up rivers, lakes and oceans. Clean water is better than polluted water.


And you have to be careful of the perception of "clean water".
A healthy pond has no more than 18 inches of visibility. A healthy pond is a soup of algae and bacteria in balance providing a foundation for a food chain.
The crystal clear waters and smooth sandy bottoms of tropical island vacation brochures are really "dead ecologies" devoid of life. A reef ecology with the murky water full of microscopic animals and plants is much healthier.

The bottom line is really rather simple.
The cycle of chemical and oxygen to carbon dioxide and back is a balanced equation.
Back in another geological epoch; something happened that caused really massive death and the climate changed. Massive amounts of carbon were bound up in the soil prior to and during the big death.
For over a century we have been removing carbon bearing chemicals from the soil and introducing more carbon into the equation than before. As in any balanced chemical equilibrium; when you stress one element, the balance of the equilibrium shifts.
Figuring out where, how, and how much the balance is changing has been funding PhDs since 1970s.

I remember, in 1976, being given numbers for ocean volume, atmosphere volume, mean CO2 content of the air, and hydrocarbon use as documented by the Coal Council told to calculate the increase in average ocean temperature of the ocean due to increased albedo from carbon loading of the atmosphere.
This was an "extra credit" problem on a sophomore physics exam. Climate Change isn't new science but has been studied for decades.




jlf1961 -> RE: A few thoughts on climate change. (3/12/2014 11:03:40 AM)

Marc, all your points are true. I am just trying to approach the situation from a different angle. I believe that humanity has had some impact on climate change, but to blame humanity for all of it is a bit of a stretch.

I have even seen people blaming the recent rise in volcanic activity on human impact of climate change, as well as earthquakes.

But I am no climatologist or geophysicist.

My personal opinion is that internal combustion engines are the most inefficient power systems developed, behind steam.

Solar power generation isnt much better. You exchange carbon emissions for huge tracts of land being used as a photovotaic farm or focused solar power on a tower to heat sodium to create steam to run turbines.

Hydro electric and geo thermal seems the best ways of generating electricity, but those are limited to location.

Wind farms are okay except for the large tracts of land they tie up.

However, home solar and wind power units might not generate all of a household's needs, they do cut overall demand considerably, which may be the way to go, at least for electricity.




Marcus000 -> RE: A few thoughts on climate change. (3/12/2014 11:10:37 AM)

In the end, fission might end up being the cleaner and cheaper option. But the Koch brothers and other oil barons will try to hinder any progress that makes us not dependent on oil and gas. And yes, climate change is due to human activity and the booming of world economy and the global rise of the middle class. Simple scientifically proven fact.




subrob1967 -> RE: A few thoughts on climate change. (3/12/2014 11:33:03 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Marcus000

In the end, fission might end up being the cleaner and cheaper option. But the Koch brothers and other oil barons will try to hinder any progress that makes us not dependent on oil and gas. And yes, climate change is due to human activity and the booming of world economy and the global rise of the middle class. Simple scientifically proven fact.


Bullshit, the Earth's climate has been in a state of change since the day the planet was formed. Your simple scientifically proven fact is utter horse shit.




MercTech -> RE: A few thoughts on climate change. (3/12/2014 3:20:55 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Marcus000

In the end, fission might end up being the cleaner and cheaper option. But the Koch brothers and other oil barons will try to hinder any progress that makes us not dependent on oil and gas. And yes, climate change is due to human activity and the booming of world economy and the global rise of the middle class. Simple scientifically proven fact.


An article in the INPO Journal (Institute of Nuclear Power Operators - www.inpo.info ) made a good point several years ago. (Numbers were documented for 1993)

Nuclear power plants generated 7,000,000,000 (7 billion) tons of low level radioactive waste a year. All of this waste is accounted for, controlled, and shipped for proper disposal.
Based on the percentage of pitchblende (a Uranium ore) and the coal usage for electrical generation from Coal industry figures and deducting the residual radioactive material left in the "clinkers"; the Coal power industry puts 350,000,000 (350 million) tons of radioactive material out the stack each week. (emphasis is mine)

Let's do the math. Assuming 50 weeks of operation a year (they do have down time for maintenance) that would be 350M X 50 weeks = 17.5 billion tons of radioactive material put out the stack of coal burning power plants each year.

Oh, yes, since the radioactive material in coal is "natural" there is no limit or requirement for monitoring.

Yep, nuclear is expensive to build but cleaner and the second cheapest way to generate electricity after hydroelectric.

(BTW - 30+ years dealing with radioactive material)




MercTech -> RE: A few thoughts on climate change. (3/12/2014 3:35:50 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: jlf1961
Marc, all your points are true. I am just trying to approach the situation from a different angle. I believe that humanity has had some impact on climate change, but to blame humanity for all of it is a bit of a stretch.

I have even seen people blaming the recent rise in volcanic activity on human impact of climate change, as well as earthquakes.


Agreed, but the scare mongers that want donations to their cause really blow it out of proportion.
My point was to illustrate that mankind isn't to blame for the climate change but we have been giving the pendulum swing a push with burning fossil fuels and it is going to end up with a different balance point because of it.

quote:

But I am no climatologist or geophysicist.

My personal opinion is that internal combustion engines are the most inefficient power systems developed, behind steam.

Solar power generation isnt much better. You exchange carbon emissions for huge tracts of land being used as a photovotaic farm or focused solar power on a tower to heat sodium to create steam to run turbines.

Hydro electric and geo thermal seems the best ways of generating electricity, but those are limited to location.

Wind farms are okay except for the large tracts of land they tie up.

However, home solar and wind power units might not generate all of a household's needs, they do cut overall demand considerably, which may be the way to go, at least for electricity.


Internal combustion engines can be viewed as more efficient that electric if you refer to vehicles. The best efficiency we get out of electric generators and motors is a power factor of 0.28 (28%) And you have two 28% conversions (at best) before the fuel burned to create the power gets to power at your wheels. It makes more sense to burn the fuel at the point you convert to motive force as that would burn less fuel overall to move you around. But electric cars are a NIMBY issue as all that extra fuel burned to make electricity and the huge amounts needed to manufacture high capacity batteries will be done somewhere other than your neighborhood.

The problem with current solar arrays is that the mean lifetime for solar panels (2006 numbers from California test facilities) was found to be about 5 years. For an average panel, it would take 17 years to generate the amount of electricity it took to manufacture it.

Tidal generation, geothermal, hydroelectric, and wind generation are geographically limited.

If our infrastructure was completely obliterated and we had to start from scratch; we would find that a combination of solar, wind, and storage batteries could satisfy domestic loads (powering households). Large generating facilities would be for heavy industrial areas to manufacture the parts to keep said households working. (so much more like the Edison model for power distribution than the Westinghouse model we ended up with)

You see elements of this in China and India as they are finally getting to modernize their rural areas.




DomKen -> RE: A few thoughts on climate change. (3/12/2014 3:45:07 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: MercTech


quote:

ORIGINAL: Marcus000

In the end, fission might end up being the cleaner and cheaper option. But the Koch brothers and other oil barons will try to hinder any progress that makes us not dependent on oil and gas. And yes, climate change is due to human activity and the booming of world economy and the global rise of the middle class. Simple scientifically proven fact.


An article in the INPO Journal (Institute of Nuclear Power Operators - www.inpo.info ) made a good point several years ago. (Numbers were documented for 1993)

Nuclear power plants generated 7,000,000,000 (7 billion) tons of low level radioactive waste a year. All of this waste is accounted for, controlled, and shipped for proper disposal.
Based on the percentage of pitchblende (a Uranium ore) and the coal usage for electrical generation from Coal industry figures and deducting the residual radioactive material left in the "clinkers"; the Coal power industry puts 350,000,000 (350 million) tons of radioactive material out the stack each week. (emphasis is mine)

Let's do the math. Assuming 50 weeks of operation a year (they do have down time for maintenance) that would be 350M X 50 weeks = 17.5 billion tons of radioactive material put out the stack of coal burning power plants each year.

Oh, yes, since the radioactive material in coal is "natural" there is no limit or requirement for monitoring.

Yep, nuclear is expensive to build but cleaner and the second cheapest way to generate electricity after hydroelectric.

(BTW - 30+ years dealing with radioactive material)

And OTOH we have Fukushima. I was an advocate for nuclear power until I spent a lot of time investigating the plant operators. The fact is none of them do it safely.




MrBukani -> RE: A few thoughts on climate change. (3/12/2014 3:46:33 PM)

The field of biotechnology is rapidly developing and can counter many manmade and natural disasters. The biggest worry I have, is the amount of chemical waste we already have and are pumping into the evironment. Just like radioactive waste it can cause definite destruction on such large scales it will disrupt earth's delicate balance. Our favorable living conditions.




MercTech -> RE: A few thoughts on climate change. (3/12/2014 5:38:39 PM)

Fukushima is a good example of why building a nuclear plant on the ocean just might be a poor idea.
After the tsunami flooded their emergency diesel generators and the local government refused to let them use the fire trucks to provide emergency cooling it was a question not of if there would be a release but how soon. (from INPO consolidated accident evaluation of Fukushima)
"Time to boil" is a term used for how long it would be for the decay heat to start the water boiling in the shut down reactor and the spent fuel pool if cooling is lost. If the boiling goes on long enough, it boils dry and the heat causes the fuel to warp and break open. It takes about 5 years for the decay heat to subside enough that spent fuel can be stored without active cooling.
There ARE designs for passive cooling plants but the GE BWR like Fukushima is not one of them.
Heads are rolling in Japan over the approval of an operating license with insufficient provision for emergency cooling. INPO and the NRC are evaluating sufficiency of emergency cooling on a plant by plant basis and some are planning on installing upgrades. One that is near the Ocean is considering putting more emergency diesels generators farther inland and running their own lines to the plant switch yard.

__________________________________________

Chemical hazards scare me. And I've been qualified in HAZMAT handling, packaging, and shipping for over 20 years.

A radioactive release like Fukushima might give you a case of cancer in decades. A release of many intermediate products at oil refineries and chemical production plants will kill or cripple you right now. Having done work in old bomb factories, nuclear power plants, and oil refineries; I'd rather live across the street from a reactor than within ten miles of an oil refinery. The potential hazards to life and limb are much higher with an oil refinery. And, I don't want to be within 15 miles of a coal fired plant.

_____________________________________________

Back to climate change. Have a look at migration of species. (No, nothing to do with evolution)

It has been in my lifetime that Armadillos made it out of Texas and crossed the Mississippi. Now you can find them in Kentucky.
There are species of plants in Ohio that were unable to live there 50 years ago.
Things may get interesting.

http://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=1&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CC8QFjAA&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.unep-aewa.org%2Fpublications%2Fcms_climate_change_brochure_internet.pdf&ei=lv0gU5ahPLG42gWguoGgAQ&usg=AFQjCNFBqg32Ej9kIemS-2pWbh6TF35c2A&sig2=JCQYYR16ghaU6Uh4OxU6xw&bvm=bv.62922401,d.b2I




DomKen -> RE: A few thoughts on climate change. (3/12/2014 6:26:53 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: MercTech

Fukushima is a good example of why building a nuclear plant on the ocean just might be a poor idea.
After the tsunami flooded their emergency diesel generators and the local government refused to let them use the fire trucks to provide emergency cooling it was a question not of if there would be a release but how soon. (from INPO consolidated accident evaluation of Fukushima)
"Time to boil" is a term used for how long it would be for the decay heat to start the water boiling in the shut down reactor and the spent fuel pool if cooling is lost. If the boiling goes on long enough, it boils dry and the heat causes the fuel to warp and break open. It takes about 5 years for the decay heat to subside enough that spent fuel can be stored without active cooling.
There ARE designs for passive cooling plants but the GE BWR like Fukushima is not one of them.
Heads are rolling in Japan over the approval of an operating license with insufficient provision for emergency cooling. INPO and the NRC are evaluating sufficiency of emergency cooling on a plant by plant basis and some are planning on installing upgrades. One that is near the Ocean is considering putting more emergency diesels generators farther inland and running their own lines to the plant switch yard.

There are more problems than just the local government not letting them use fire trucks to cool the plants. The plants physical design is a disaster waiting to happen. The spent fuel rod pools are on top of the reactor vessels which makes it next to impossible to remove them now that the reactor vessels have breached.

Furthermore by all accounts the maintenance at Fukushima, as it is at all plants that outsiders have gotten a good look at, was abysmal. These plants need to be maintained at very high standards while the operators want to cut costs and the best way to do that is to not do the maintenance.


quote:

Chemical hazards scare me. And I've been qualified in HAZMAT handling, packaging, and shipping for over 20 years.

A radioactive release like Fukushima might give you a case of cancer in decades. A release of many intermediate products at oil refineries and chemical production plants will kill or cripple you right now. Having done work in old bomb factories, nuclear power plants, and oil refineries; I'd rather live across the street from a reactor than within ten miles of an oil refinery. The potential hazards to life and limb are much higher with an oil refinery. And, I don't want to be within 15 miles of a coal fired plant.

Better check again, The guys from the USS Reagan who participated in the initial response are reporting symptoms of radiation poisoning now.
http://ecowatch.com/2013/12/27/ronald-reagan-cancer-sue-tepco-fukushima-radiation/

But yeah, no way would I live next to an oil refinery or a coal fired plant either.




LookieNoNookie -> RE: A few thoughts on climate change. (3/12/2014 6:42:11 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: jlf1961

First ignore the current majority held scientific belief that humans are responsible for all of it.

Let us look at the parts of climate change that mankind have contributed to.

1) Deforestation, less forests mean fewer trees to convert C02 into oxygen, this is happening primarily in developing countries, Brazil being the worst.

Now the funny thing is that deforestation is going on so people can grow food crops and raise cattle, however even without deforestation, the planet can supply the caloric needs of the world's population, it is a economic problem, you need money to buy food.

Farming naturally depletes the minerals in soil, requiring fertilizers which contribute nitrates to the atmosphere adding another green house gases.

There is an alternative.

Lumber is always in high demand. There are a number of fast growing hard woods that are perfect for construction. Granted there can be 10 years or more from initial planting to harvest, still lumber has a higher profit margin and prior to harvest, you have trees converting CO2 to O2.

2) Convert to carbon neutral fuels. The diesel engine was originally designed to run on vegetable oil. Or even using the Walter turbine for powering cars, the Walter turbine burns Hydrogen Peroxide and originally designed for Uboats during WWII, a few of which were completed just before the end of the war.

Presently, the German navy is using a similar system in their coastal submarines.

Cons- Exhausts Oxygen and water. Meaning a higher atmospheric oxygen content and wet streets.

3) Methane production from livestock, we really cant change that. I am not going to fake beef made from plant proteins. I want meat, I have the proper teeth to eat meat (as do the rest of the human race)

As for the rest of the green house gases being produced by humans, it amounts to less than 3% of the total, however one is more efficient at trapping heat, and is not naturally occurring.

Their air technologies that have been developed that would also scrub CO2 from the atmosphere, one is using algae to create a fuel substitute that is carbon neutral, and another that actually uses a pinwheel type device that converts CO2 as a tree or plants do.

Climate change is not just global warming, it is exactly what the name says, climate change. The planet warms up, ice sheets melt, oceans rise, ocean salinity drops, the conveyor belt currents slow down and stop, so the northern land masses get colder, the tropics get hotter and ocean front property goes underwater.

It has happened before, naturally, and it will happen again, naturally.

However, looking at the earth's climate cycle since the dinosaurs, the planet should be starting a cooling period. This indicates that mankind has had some impact on climate, and it is not all modern man's fault. We started affecting climate change when we stopped wondering around hunting and gathering and decided to start farming and building cities.

As I said, even if we just thought of cleaning up the atmosphere as in air pollution, we know smog is not good, there would be a positive impact on climate change.

The same is true about cleaning up rivers, lakes and oceans. Clean water is better than polluted water.




JLF...I always love your comments...always realistic, always rational. (Also love the new pic).

You've always been a man professing a rational viewpoint....one that bridges.

I think it's this simple; We can do better.

If this current scenario is a fallacy, it's a fallacy wherein which we have a choice.

We can choose to fuck shit up.

We can choose not to.

The truth is, with more C02, more plants grow (exceptionally well)....which creates more oxygen.....which demands more heat (via more C02)....which demands more HVAC units which......creates more CO2.

We don't have to fuck up the environment. We actually have the ability to fuck the world up less.

It's a conundrum.





MercTech -> RE: A few thoughts on climate change. (3/12/2014 8:27:23 PM)


quote:


Better check again, The guys from the USS Reagan who participated in the initial response are reporting symptoms of radiation poisoning now.
http://ecowatch.com/2013/12/27/ronald-reagan-cancer-sue-tepco-fukushima-radiation/

But yeah, no way would I live next to an oil refinery or a coal fired plant either.


I read six news reports and not one had a description of radiation poisoning.
There was no uptake or overexposure on any of the personnel that did initial entries to stabilize things.
There were no uptakes or overexposure on the contract remediation workers doing the cleanup so far.

The symptoms being reported in the news don't sound anything that could be radiation exposure with the exception of the one case of thyroid cancer. There is a remote but unlike chance that the ships could have been exposed to a cloud of I-131 which can concentrate in the thyroid gland. The kicker is that the NBC warfare protocols on the ship would have tested for that and found it.

Several of the reported symptoms sound like acute overexposure to chemical hazards and not radiological.




RottenJohnny -> RE: A few thoughts on climate change. (3/12/2014 9:13:58 PM)

FR

All this arguing over coal, oil, nuclear, solar, wind, etc. seems completely pointless to me. I find it hard to believe I'm the only person here who's heard of things like ITER (International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor) and understands the implications for energy production and slowing environmental damage. And yet, nobody ever talks about it.

Why do we continue to waste money propping up DOA industries like solar and wind when fusion is within our reach?

I just don't get it. [sm=banghead.gif]




MercTech -> RE: A few thoughts on climate change. (3/12/2014 10:09:01 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: RottenJohnny

FR

All this arguing over coal, oil, nuclear, solar, wind, etc. seems completely pointless to me. I find it hard to believe I'm the only person here who's heard of things like ITER (International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor) and understands the implications for energy production and slowing environmental damage. And yet, nobody ever talks about it.

Why do we continue to waste money propping up DOA industries like solar and wind when fusion is within our reach?

I just don't get it. [sm=banghead.gif]


We have been trying to get a Tokamak design basis to work since the early 1970s and only recently was anyone able to hit the break even point in a lab experiment. (Break Even Point Releasing more power from the fusion than has to be put into the lasers starting the fusion. The power for the magnetic bottle isn't even accounted for in he lab experiments.) And it was so slightly break even it only counts as a single score in the match.
http://news.sciencemag.org/physics/2013/10/fusion-breakthrough-nif-uh-not-really-%E2%80%A6

The ITER is billed as a 500mW test reactor. Umm, 500mW thermal doesn't translate into 500mW of electricity. 500mW thermal might get you 125mW of electricity on a good day. About the output of the emergency diesel at your local hospital.
Someone is going to have to build a small size test plant as proof of concept. I guess the French are very optimistic at building a Tokomak test reactor when the lab experiments are barely break even.
If the ITER proves viable, you might get a license to build a gigawatt full size one. Operational power plant in 20 years maybe.

The modern AP-1000 design PWRs are very turn key and perform well. They have a great track record in Malaysia and China. None in the U.S. as all of our power plants are over 20 years old. All the lessons learned from out old plants were incorporated in the Westinghouse AP-1000 design.
http://www.ap1000.westinghousenuclear.com/

The GE ABWR design is a safer update than anything we have too. But, after Fukushima the confidence in BWRs is waning.
http://www.ge-energy.com/products_and_services/products/nuclear_energy/advanced_boiling_water_reactor_abwr.jsp

The HTGR design power reactors worked fairly well but the only one in this country was shut down by politics. (Ft. St. Vrain Power Station in Colorado) France and Germany have a few HTGR designs. (Gas moderated with helium... runs very clean but inefficient heat transfer)

Mixed pebble bed reactors show promise in experiments but the only one they ever broke ground for in the U.S. was never actually built. Only China and South Africa are building full size versions of PBR based on the test reactors built in Germany.

The use of solid moderated reactors for power production was done at only one plant in the U.S. (N-Reactor at Hanford Site in Washington) The use of bomb grade plutonium production reactors for electric production was more of a USSR thing. (Chernobyl)

Anyone know of any other reactor designs that have actually been put to use for electrical generation?

I think it is a shame that the country that built the first reactor in 1941 and the first nuclear power plant in 1950 no longer has a single company left that can build one.

_______________________________________________________________

For going with no carbon footprint nothing fits the bill better than bio-diesel. Odd that we have a special name for it as that is exactly what Otto Diesel had in mind when he designed that engine. An engine for farm machinery that a farmer could fuel from crops he raised.

A Mennonite farmer in this area is often seen at festivals with his booth making and selling ice cream. His ice cream makers are powered by a late 19th century single cylinder diesel utility engine (donkey engine is what they called them). He fuels it bio-diesel made from leftover cooking oil. I'm such a geek I was more interested in his antique engine than the ice cream. (The ice cream was excellent)

How to make diesel fuel in small batches:

http://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=3&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CEAQFjAC&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.clemson.edu%2Fsustainableag%2FIP263_biodiesel.pdf&ei=pEghU7GDJafF2wXSkICIDw&usg=AFQjCNEziPGinmyEt3FUXaIhFVvGu3iyBA&sig2=FHLmkO2-Kt3IMgcv313pFw&bvm=bv.62922401,d.b2I




DomKen -> RE: A few thoughts on climate change. (3/12/2014 10:13:36 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: RottenJohnny

FR

All this arguing over coal, oil, nuclear, solar, wind, etc. seems completely pointless to me. I find it hard to believe I'm the only person here who's heard of things like ITER (International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor) and understands the implications for energy production and slowing environmental damage. And yet, nobody ever talks about it.

Why do we continue to waste money propping up DOA industries like solar and wind when fusion is within our reach?

I just don't get it. [sm=banghead.gif]

Fusion is not within our reach. Fusion that puts out more energy than is put into it may never be possible, 2nd law of thermodynamics.




MercTech -> RE: A few thoughts on climate change. (3/12/2014 11:32:21 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

Fusion is not within our reach. Fusion that puts out more energy than is put into it may never be possible, 2nd law of thermodynamics.


Yeah, I guess I'm being pedantic a bit.
Controlled fusion reactors suitable for electrical power plants are out of our reach right now.
We have had man-made fusion since 1952 since they detonated the first fusion bombs.

Fusion doesn't violate the 2nd law of thermodynamics but exploits the mass defect in atomic structure.

Put simply, put a proton and a proton together to make a helium nucleus; the helium nucleus weighs less than two protons and the rest is released as energy.

Mass defect is what drives energy release with fission as well. A Uranium atom has more mass than a Cesium plus a Rubidium so splitting Uranium releases energy.

Fusion power is more advantageous as the mass defect is greater between hydrogen and helium than between Uranium vs Cesium & Rubidium.

More detailed explanation at:
http://nsb.wikidot.com/pl-9-8-3-9




MercTech -> RE: A few thoughts on climate change. (3/12/2014 11:34:23 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: MercTech


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

Fusion is not within our reach. Fusion that puts out more energy than is put into it may never be possible, 2nd law of thermodynamics.


Yeah, I guess I'm being pedantic a bit.
Controlled fusion reactors suitable for electrical power plants are out of our reach right now.
We have had man-made fusion since 1952 since they detonated the first fusion bombs.

Fusion doesn't violate the 2nd law of thermodynamics but exploits the mass defect in atomic structure.

Put simply, put a proton and a proton together to make a helium nucleus; the helium nucleus weighs less than two protons and the rest is released as energy.

Mass defect is what drives energy release with fission as well. A Uranium atom has more mass than a Cesium plus a Rubidium so splitting Uranium releases energy.

Fusion power is more advantageous as the mass defect is greater between hydrogen and helium than between Uranium vs Cesium & Rubidium for each reaction.

More detailed explanation at:
http://nsb.wikidot.com/pl-9-8-3-9






RottenJohnny -> RE: A few thoughts on climate change. (3/13/2014 1:19:56 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: MercTech
We have been trying to get a Tokamak design basis to work since the early 1970s and only recently was anyone able to hit the break even point in a lab experiment. (Break Even Point Releasing more power from the fusion than has to be put into the lasers starting the fusion. The power for the magnetic bottle isn't even accounted for in he lab experiments.) And it was so slightly break even it only counts as a single score in the match.

So therefore it's irrelevant? A step forward is a step forward. In retrospect, Sputnik was a gnats ass in the entirety of space exploration but that doesn't mean it didn't matter.


quote:


The ITER is billed as a 500mW test reactor. Umm, 500mW thermal doesn't translate into 500mW of electricity. 500mW thermal might get you 125mW of electricity on a good day. About the output of the emergency diesel at your local hospital.
Someone is going to have to build a small size test plant as proof of concept. I guess the French are very optimistic at building a Tokomak test reactor when the lab experiments are barely break even.
If the ITER proves viable, you might get a license to build a gigawatt full size one. Operational power plant in 20 years maybe.

I'm assuming you mean 500MW and not 500mW. And I realize that Wth doesn't equal We...but so what? It doesn't matter if it's a limited test reactor. What matters is proof of concept and a sustained reaction. The ITER is supposed to be able to produce 10 times initial thermal input for a momentary period and 5 times initial thermal input for about 10 minutes. Would that be enough of a sustained reaction to prove the design? I would think so but I'm not an expert in nuclear physics.


quote:


The modern AP-1000 design PWRs are very turn key and perform well. They have a great track record in Malaysia and China. None in the U.S. as all of our power plants are over 20 years old. All the lessons learned from out old plants were incorporated in the Westinghouse AP-1000 design.
http://www.ap1000.westinghousenuclear.com/

The GE ABWR design is a safer update than anything we have too. But, after Fukushima the confidence in BWRs is waning.
http://www.ge-energy.com/products_and_services/products/nuclear_energy/advanced_boiling_water_reactor_abwr.jsp

The HTGR design power reactors worked fairly well but the only one in this country was shut down by politics. (Ft. St. Vrain Power Station in Colorado) France and Germany have a few HTGR designs. (Gas moderated with helium... runs very clean but inefficient heat transfer)

Mixed pebble bed reactors show promise in experiments but the only one they ever broke ground for in the U.S. was never actually built. Only China and South Africa are building full size versions of PBR based on the test reactors built in Germany.

The use of solid moderated reactors for power production was done at only one plant in the U.S. (N-Reactor at Hanford Site in Washington) The use of bomb grade plutonium production reactors for electric production was more of a USSR thing. (Chernobyl)

Anyone know of any other reactor designs that have actually been put to use for electrical generation?

I think it is a shame that the country that built the first reactor in 1941 and the first nuclear power plant in 1950 no longer has a single company left that can build one.

I've looked at the AP-1000s and I realize they're a good design (given what I understand being an industrial engineer and not a nuclear engineer). I'm kind of fascinated with the Thorium-based molten-salt designs as well. Short-term, I agree that you probably can't beat nuclear as the best bang for your buck. All I'm saying is that we're achieving the breakthroughs toward fusion power and as long as we're getting breakthroughs we should be focusing our efforts on it instead of dumping more money into propping up new energy markets that aren't providing very good returns simply because they happen to be more environmentally friendly. The potential return on investment is too huge to simply ignore. In my opinion, all things being equal, we're probably closer to realizing a viable fusion design now than we were prepared to go to the moon at the start of the space race. Then again, I'm an optimist.

And you can bet when they get anti-matter reactions working, I'll be stumping for that too (provided I'm alive). [;)]







RottenJohnny -> RE: A few thoughts on climate change. (3/13/2014 1:38:25 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen
Fusion is not within our reach. Fusion that puts out more energy than is put into it may never be possible, 2nd law of thermodynamics.

I realize that too. But I don't imagine they're doing this on a whim. I expect someone has the math that shows it's possible or they wouldn't be trying. After all, I believe a Russian mathematician recently modified E=MC(sq) as well.




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