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Phydeaux -> RE: So.. what moron said... (3/26/2016 2:04:52 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: PeonForHer

quote:


First , It is not the vast majority of the scientific world. There is no one theory of global warming and no consensus how fast, what temperature profiles are.
The 97% is pure fiction without scientific backing. For example: Richard Tol:


But it is the vast majority of the scientific world that agrees that human-induced global warming is taking place. The 97% isn't pure fiction - it's fact, regarding that point. It's utterly pointless to pick this or that scientist - such as this 'Richard Tol' - who disagrees. You may want to present him as a 'brave maverick' who 'isn't cowed by political correctness' - but what he is, in fact, is a lone voice amongst a vast majority of very highly knowledgeable people who *disagree with him*.

Seriously, Phydeaux ... what do you want me to do? Do you want me to believe your view over that of the IPCC? Why *in god's name* would I do that? You've promoted possibly *the* most right wing, nutty and zany views on this forum, ever - and consistently. Now, you want me and others to accept your views on HIGW as 'scientific fact'. Do you sincerely not understand why nobody is taking any notice of you here?



Here's an article from Forbes where the 97%ers were caught falsifying the data. http://www.forbes.com/sites/jamestaylor/2013/05/30/global-warming-alarmists-caught-doctoring-97-percent-consensus-claims/#6842d5785909

Here the original popular technology article, quoted by forbes: http://www.populartechnology.net/2013/05/97-study-falsely-classifies-scientists.html#Update2

And another one: http://newsbusters.org/blogs/kevin-mooney/2013/11/18/97-percent-figure-global-warming-media-wont-tell-you-about#ixzz2xgrQeaDd


I have more serious journal items etc. but its 5 am - I'm going to bed. If you want em, I'll link em for you.

That last one is interesting. You may remember a few months back great big hoopla about the lost heat in the oceans. Using thermometers attached to ships.
Only the very data source Argos International said - "he global Argo dataset is not yet long enough to observe global change signals". Etc. etc.


And here is judith curry - same article

quote:


“If there are substantial changes in a conclusion in the AR5 relative to a confident conclusion in the AR4, then the confidence level should not increase and should probably drop, since the science clearly is not settled and is in a state of flux,” Judith Curry—Chairman of the School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences at Georgia Tech and a long-time IPCC contributing author,” has said. “While there has been a reduction in either the magnitude of the change or in a confidence level in some of the supporting findings, these changes do not seem to have influenced the main conclusion on climate change attribution.”


In other words - the change is half of what was predicted and yet the conclusions in the ipcc didn't change. And this from an IPCC contributing author.




itsSIRtou -> RE: So.. what moron said... (3/26/2016 2:05:39 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

Yes, lets quote post 92, the first post, shall we?


You said:

quote:


quote:


This comes from a Pulitzer prize-winning, nonprofit nonpartisan news organization. The glacier that should of hit you in the head, is that even in your own reports, mentions "The north pole has a small warming trend,"

Since from my understanding that polar ice cap melting is where the vast majority of water that is making the world's ocean levels rise comes from.



I said:
quote:



So right here is where your ass will start smarting.

Q: What happens to the water level in your drink, when the ice cubes melt.
A: Not a DAMN thing.

Q: So what happens to sea levels when the Artic or antartic Sea ice melts?
A: Not a damn thing.


Now, global levels might rise if greenland or the antartic land ice were to melt. And of course, they are, all the time. But the funny thing is there's this little
organization called NASA. You might have heard of it.

It says that even taking into account the melt off, Greenland and Antartica are gaining ice - to the tune of 86 billion tonnes per year.

http://climate.nasa.gov/news/2361/

Oops. Guess what that does to sea levels. Yep!




Do you see anything like -
quote:


this is the experiment as originally given to you.

You keep trying to make it about a small scale of ice to a glass/ocean when the truth the matter is that the total amount of ice going into the ocean is ice thats been stored for hundreds if not thousands of years.

This ice when it melts is being added to the total overall volume of ocean.


Nope. That is just another lie. You tried to move the goal posts, but you have doubled down on this stupidity about ice melting in a glass of water 3-4 times. Most humorously that displacement message. Shall we quote it? Truly a brilliant exposition of utter nonsense.


You said - the north pole had a warming trend.
The north pole has no land mass. It is all sea ice. You said it was your understanding that the polar ice cap (north pole) melting is where the vast majority of water that is making the worlds ocean levels rise comes from.

I corrected you and said no. Melting sea ice doesn't change sea levels one iota. It was only ice melting from greenland or Antartica that would do so.



look dude,.... even in ur posts u've stated a warming north pole ......as others have said,....for the 4th time.....do the experiment. AS STATED. you can keep picking at whatever u want but My rebuke of your "nothing happens" holds up.

typical repugincan.




thompsonx -> RE: So.. what moron said... (3/26/2016 3:42:40 AM)


ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

In other words - the change is half of what was predicted and yet the conclusions in the ipcc didn't change. And this from an IPCC contributing author.

How many contributors are there?
What percentage of the whole does this dissent constitute?




Phydeaux -> RE: So.. what moron said... (3/26/2016 8:42:07 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: itsSIRtou


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

Yes, lets quote post 92, the first post, shall we?


You said:

quote:


quote:


This comes from a Pulitzer prize-winning, nonprofit nonpartisan news organization. The glacier that should of hit you in the head, is that even in your own reports, mentions "The north pole has a small warming trend,"

Since from my understanding that polar ice cap melting is where the vast majority of water that is making the world's ocean levels rise comes from.



I said:
quote:



So right here is where your ass will start smarting.

Q: What happens to the water level in your drink, when the ice cubes melt.
A: Not a DAMN thing.

Q: So what happens to sea levels when the Artic or antartic Sea ice melts?
A: Not a damn thing.


Now, global levels might rise if greenland or the antartic land ice were to melt. And of course, they are, all the time. But the funny thing is there's this little
organization called NASA. You might have heard of it.

It says that even taking into account the melt off, Greenland and Antartica are gaining ice - to the tune of 86 billion tonnes per year.

http://climate.nasa.gov/news/2361/

Oops. Guess what that does to sea levels. Yep!




Do you see anything like -
quote:


this is the experiment as originally given to you.

You keep trying to make it about a small scale of ice to a glass/ocean when the truth the matter is that the total amount of ice going into the ocean is ice thats been stored for hundreds if not thousands of years.

This ice when it melts is being added to the total overall volume of ocean.


Nope. That is just another lie. You tried to move the goal posts, but you have doubled down on this stupidity about ice melting in a glass of water 3-4 times. Most humorously that displacement message. Shall we quote it? Truly a brilliant exposition of utter nonsense.


You said - the north pole had a warming trend.
The north pole has no land mass. It is all sea ice. You said it was your understanding that the polar ice cap (north pole) melting is where the vast majority of water that is making the worlds ocean levels rise comes from.

I corrected you and said no. Melting sea ice doesn't change sea levels one iota. It was only ice melting from greenland or Antartica that would do so.



look dude,.... even in ur posts u've stated a warming north pole ......as others have said,....for the 4th time.....do the experiment. AS STATED. you can keep picking at whatever u want but My rebuke of your "nothing happens" holds up.

typical repugincan.



And again - you're delusional. The entire north pole artic ice cap could melt - and the sea levels would change NOT ONE IOTA.
You didn't get it then. As far as I can tell you don't get it now. How you don't get it - I don't know. The arctic often melts. A dozen papers state it was iceless during the medieval warming period. It was Iceless during the Minoan and the Roman warming periods.

In 1986 it was open fields of ice (means just floating ice bits). Same in 1996. In 1959 the skate reported thin ice - less than 2 feet at the pole.

According to you that should cause the inundation of our coastal areas every time it happens. And yet it has happened several times and not ONE DAMN IOTA of difference existed.





mnottertail -> RE: So.. what moron said... (3/26/2016 9:53:22 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

quote:

ORIGINAL: mnottertail

And when they found out that the nutsuckers were lying and they wanted to switch it back, the nutsuckers said no.

The investigation was pretty clear on this, and it was on tv. Nutsucker felching all the way on this baby.


And that guy was ALSO a democrat.

Besides which, the city didn't have the money to pay detroit for a 30 year contract, to solve a three month (supposedly) problem.

Literally every single emergency manager, public works dept head, mayor, the city council, the head of MDWQ, the epa.. The people that did the water testing.

All democrats.

Nope, he was a nutsucker tool who worked for nutsuckers.




thompsonx -> RE: So.. what moron said... (3/26/2016 11:50:04 AM)

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux
And again - you're delusional. The entire north pole artic ice cap could melt - and the sea levels would change NOT ONE IOTA.

Jesus you are phoquing stupid. If the entire north pole artic ice cap were to melt so would the galciers.[8|]


You didn't get it then. As far as I can tell you don't get it now.

I have told you this before and you still don't get it...how did you get to be so phoquing stupid?


How you don't get it - I don't know. The arctic often melts. A dozen papers state it was iceless during the medieval warming period. It was Iceless during the Minoan and the Roman warming periods.

In 1986 it was open fields of ice (means just floating ice bits). Same in 1996. In 1959 the skate reported thin ice - less than 2 feet at the pole.

According to you that should cause the inundation of our coastal areas every time it happens. And yet it has happened several times and not ONE DAMN IOTA of difference existed.


According to these folks it has.

“The ocean basins can thus be characterized as overfull – water not only fills the ocean basins proper, but extends out over the low margins of the continents.” So notes a panel of geologists. (J.V. Trumbull, John Lyman, J.F. Pepper and E.M. Thompson, “An Introduction to the Geology and Mineral resources of the Continental Shelves of the Americas”, U.S. Geological Survey Bulletin 1067, 1958, p.11)





itsSIRtou -> RE: So.. what moron said... (3/26/2016 5:08:38 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux


quote:

ORIGINAL: itsSIRtou


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

Yes, lets quote post 92, the first post, shall we?


You said:

quote:


quote:


This comes from a Pulitzer prize-winning, nonprofit nonpartisan news organization. The glacier that should of hit you in the head, is that even in your own reports, mentions "The north pole has a small warming trend,"

Since from my understanding that polar ice cap melting is where the vast majority of water that is making the world's ocean levels rise comes from.



I said:
quote:



So right here is where your ass will start smarting.

Q: What happens to the water level in your drink, when the ice cubes melt.
A: Not a DAMN thing.

Q: So what happens to sea levels when the Artic or antartic Sea ice melts?
A: Not a damn thing.


Now, global levels might rise if greenland or the antartic land ice were to melt. And of course, they are, all the time. But the funny thing is there's this little
organization called NASA. You might have heard of it.

It says that even taking into account the melt off, Greenland and Antartica are gaining ice - to the tune of 86 billion tonnes per year.

http://climate.nasa.gov/news/2361/

Oops. Guess what that does to sea levels. Yep!




Do you see anything like -
quote:


this is the experiment as originally given to you.

You keep trying to make it about a small scale of ice to a glass/ocean when the truth the matter is that the total amount of ice going into the ocean is ice thats been stored for hundreds if not thousands of years.

This ice when it melts is being added to the total overall volume of ocean.


Nope. That is just another lie. You tried to move the goal posts, but you have doubled down on this stupidity about ice melting in a glass of water 3-4 times. Most humorously that displacement message. Shall we quote it? Truly a brilliant exposition of utter nonsense.


You said - the north pole had a warming trend.
The north pole has no land mass. It is all sea ice. You said it was your understanding that the polar ice cap (north pole) melting is where the vast majority of water that is making the worlds ocean levels rise comes from.

I corrected you and said no. Melting sea ice doesn't change sea levels one iota. It was only ice melting from greenland or Antartica that would do so.



look dude,.... even in ur posts u've stated a warming north pole ......as others have said,....for the 4th time.....do the experiment. AS STATED. you can keep picking at whatever u want but My rebuke of your "nothing happens" holds up.

typical repugincan.



And again - you're delusional. The entire north pole artic ice cap could melt - and the sea levels would change NOT ONE IOTA.
You didn't get it then. As far as I can tell you don't get it now. How you don't get it - I don't know. The arctic often melts. A dozen papers state it was iceless during the medieval warming period. It was Iceless during the Minoan and the Roman warming periods.

In 1986 it was open fields of ice (means just floating ice bits). Same in 1996. In 1959 the skate reported thin ice - less than 2 feet at the pole.

According to you that should cause the inundation of our coastal areas every time it happens. And yet it has happened several times and not ONE DAMN IOTA of difference existed.



frankly you lost all credibility by calling me a liar. Which I also have disproved.

You continuously have used half-truths and redirection to base your entire argument on. Hell even you agreed about the North's warming trend.

even your citation of Archimedes principle notes the displacement of fluid by a solid object, as to whether it floats on or sinks in a fluid. And that's all it speaks to.

You don't know because you don't want to know that I called you on your premise by using the correct context of the situation.

At no time has the entire polar ice cap and the world's glaciers melted completely at the same time and you know it. That kind of an event by trying to stop or at least slow down global warming is what we are trying to avoid.

Tell you what. Let's make the experiment even simpler for you.

Take the original glass you were going to use and again fill it to the brim. Again Add the starting amount of ice.

Take ALL the ice mentioned in the original experiment, and put it in a funnel large enough to hold all the ice and center it over the glass,

allow ALL the ice inside the funnel to melt and drain into the glass,

tell us oh most smart man where does the water go??

Poughkeepsie maybe? Timbuktu? Maybe your mama's waterbed? How about the fountain of youth?

No it's simply overflows the glass. And your bullshit.






mnottertail -> RE: So.. what moron said... (3/26/2016 11:45:12 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

quote:

ORIGINAL: mnottertail


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux


quote:

ORIGINAL: mnottertail

Richard Tol of Economics has seen all the papers and counted them and under what expertise does he count them in piles?

That aint a study. There is no citation of 45%. Thats two implied trusts without foundation in your first sentence.

That makes everything else suspect. Or bullshit.




Under the same conditions that Orested, doctor of philosophy, made the 97% claim. Only Tol was a great deal more rigorous.



Who is Orested? Who quotes 97% based on him? More rigorous in what way?

Many many more trust mes there, but lets start with those.


There are 2-3 people more or less contermporaneously that are quoted as being the source of the 97%. Naomi Orestes, as far as I know, is the first person to publish a study, and is the person most commonly associated with the figure. She is a doctor of philopsophy.

She went to a paper repository know for slanting pro warming. She said she searched using terms x,y,z and got a number of papers. She then categorized those papers on whether they were pro AGW or not, merely by reading the abstract.

The first problem, is as usual, she falsified the data. Searching that directory, over the same dates, with the key words she said she used, turned up more than ten times the number of papers that she claimed.

Secondly, out of the roughly 1000 papers she surveyed, 70+ of the authors characterized her classification of their papers as false.

So the actual percentage percentage of papers that actually were pro-AGW, were actually 9%.




You are accidently right about one thing. Orestes is a doctor of Philosophy. She hold PhD in Geological Research and the History of Science. She never made any such a claim. Her claim was of 928 papers she studied (and she knew what she was looking at as opposed to Tol) That 75% of those papers explicitly or implicitly agreed with the IPCC that human activity was responsible for the warming observed over the last 50 years. An article found her methodology flawed and called the claim false in the Nature magazine in 2014.

The 97% claim by Doran and Zimmerman in 2009 and Andregg in 2010 Cook in 2013 (which must be the ones you were thinking of with your vast knowledge in this area, but momentarily confused yourself with Oersted the Danish physicist and chemist who fucked around with magnets and electricity and has a measurement of magnetism named after him).

By the way, all the claims were 'debunked' by idiots such as Tol et al. However the truth is the overwhelming majority of scientists, at around 70% or more are with the program.

That's all factual. The nutsucker science skeptic slobberers are not exactly right themselves, in fact, they are fairly full of horseshit, at about a 97% level.

Lets go thru your boy Tol a little more though, and clear some of this up:

http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-to-determine-the-scientific-consensus-on-global-warming/

Old Tol seems like a bit of a fucking idiot all the way around, don't he?

But you got 45% you got this claim and that claim, lotta trusts mes there, and based on your track record, the deal is most people would decline to do that.

Your 'facts' are demonstrably faulty, very near the 97% level.

Now way back when, was it a couple years ago? At the outset, I said I saw the CO2 ladder climbing this way, a half silvered mirror at the lower higher concentrations, which should cause cooling, then increasing to higher higher CO2 concentrations and a one way mirror and hello Venus for the Earth. I put up a few citations (nothing rigorous) and we agreed with that, not considering the other greenhouse gasses that are way out of whack right now, just CO2. That is my only puzzlement, but climate change is greatly affected by human activity and we need to do something. Global warming (a very small sliver of the climate change puzzle) doesnt concern me so much as the deal about cleaning up after you take a shit, it is that principle I adhere to, regardless if it affects the Earth or does not, it is a self-respect thing. That ends it for me. Clean the shit up. I dont want to wake up to coffee from Love Canal or Beijing, or breathe that shit there.




itsSIRtou -> RE: So.. what moron said... (3/27/2016 12:50:33 PM)

Phydeaux

As an so-called "expert" - ur fired.




mnottertail -> RE: So.. what moron said... (3/27/2016 1:30:31 PM)

I will also point out the ice cube controversy is rather wrong all the way down to the ground. Because you see, there is ground under the ice there, and so it is not in total displaced in the water. that is, fill a glass with sod well packed and water, put ice on top of it, does it overflow? That is the experiment. We are well aware of the Eureka shit, but to put ice in water, fill the glass it will still overflow because you see............that fucking water shit is really freaky, it must come from an alien planet, it expands around 9% when it freezes. and like the camels foot in the sand, it then floats.

but, the flaw in the argument is not whether the fucking ice floats, nor is it that the ocean is already full and would overflow, the issue is that the fuckin water WILL RISE!!! People on dry land will be underwater.

Done and finished.




itsSIRtou -> RE: So.. what moron said... (3/27/2016 2:46:34 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: mnottertail

I will also point out the ice cube controversy is rather wrong all the way down to the ground. Because you see, there is ground under the ice there, and so it is not in total displaced in the water. that is, fill a glass with sod well packed and water, put ice on top of it, does it overflow? That is the experiment. We are well aware of the Eureka shit, but to put ice in water, fill the glass it will still overflow because you see............that fucking water shit is really freaky, it must come from an alien planet, it expands around 9% when it freezes. and like the camels foot in the sand, it then floats.

but, the flaw in the argument is not whether the fucking ice floats, nor is it that the ocean is already full and would overflow, the issue is that the fuckin water WILL RISE!!! People on dry land will be underwater.

Done and finished.


the deal is Phydeaux thinks that the melting ice will under no circumstances raise sea levels and used the "ice melts in a glass & nothing happens" crap & cited Archimedes principle to illustrate it.

I have proven him wrong. Anyone doing the experiment will know he's wrong.
And he's Im sure starting up another thread somewhere spouting his pile of horse dung, like a number of other CONservatives here do, hoping nobody calls his bluff there.




mnottertail -> RE: So.. what moron said... (3/27/2016 3:07:42 PM)

Listen, guy, I agree, I drink faster then the ice melts, but to begin to think it is a displacement weight (cuz that is true, the mass is displaced in a fuckin jamesons and ice is the way the earth works is to say the fuckin thing is flat. I can agree with displacement and ice and bullshit and asswipe. But we aint weighing and displacing a drink. how big is the underlying continent on which these icebergs perch? it is part of the euqation, you cannot simplify it to a drunken night of sluttery, and that is the simpletonian view.

put the kerosene heaters to the icebergs the ocean will rise. That aint negotiable, that aint a question. There is no argument end of joke.

does heat change the water from ice to liquid? Even reactionaries cannot say that heat does not rise.




Phydeaux -> RE: So.. what moron said... (3/27/2016 5:26:41 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: itsSIRtou


quote:

ORIGINAL: mnottertail

I will also point out the ice cube controversy is rather wrong all the way down to the ground. Because you see, there is ground under the ice there, and so it is not in total displaced in the water. that is, fill a glass with sod well packed and water, put ice on top of it, does it overflow? That is the experiment. We are well aware of the Eureka shit, but to put ice in water, fill the glass it will still overflow because you see............that fucking water shit is really freaky, it must come from an alien planet, it expands around 9% when it freezes. and like the camels foot in the sand, it then floats.

but, the flaw in the argument is not whether the fucking ice floats, nor is it that the ocean is already full and would overflow, the issue is that the fuckin water WILL RISE!!! People on dry land will be underwater.

Done and finished.


the deal is Phydeaux thinks that the melting ice will under no circumstances raise sea levels and used the "ice melts in a glass & nothing happens" crap & cited Archimedes principle to illustrate it.

I have proven him wrong. Anyone doing the experiment will know he's wrong.
And he's Im sure starting up another thread somewhere spouting his pile of horse dung, like a number of other CONservatives here do, hoping nobody calls his bluff there.


Codswollop. You are, once again lying.

My original post, which no matter how you try to twist the question, still stands.




quote:



So right here is where your ass will start smarting.

Q: What happens to the water level in your drink, when the ice cubes melt.
A: Not a DAMN thing.

Q: So what happens to sea levels when the Artic or antartic Sea ice melts?
A: Not a damn thing.


Now, global levels might rise if greenland or the antartic land ice were to melt. And of course, they are, all the time. But the funny thing is there's this little
organization called NASA. You might have heard of it.

It says that even taking into account the melt off, Greenland and Antartica are gaining ice - to the tune of 86 billion tonnes per year.

http://climate.nasa.gov/news/2361/

Oops. Guess what that does to sea levels. Yep!

So contrary to your and thompson's mischaracterizations, I never said if greenland and artartica were to melt sea levels wouldn't rise. That would be ridiculous they would indeed rise - over 100 meters. Still that wasn't the topic of discussion.





Phydeaux -> RE: So.. what moron said... (3/27/2016 5:38:17 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: thompsonx

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux
And again - you're delusional. The entire north pole artic ice cap could melt - and the sea levels would change NOT ONE IOTA.

Jesus you are phoquing stupid. If the entire north pole artic ice cap were to melt so would the galciers.[8|]


This is factually untrue. It is so far from factually true it is like arguing red is blue.
As I indicated, the artic ice cap has melted - completely.

The amount of energy needed to melt the artic ice cap is not 1/100,000 of 1% the amount of energy needed to melt the antartica and/or greenland. So in point of fact, the polar ice cap can melt, while still have greenland glaciers.

How do we know?
Vostok ice cores.

During the Eemian interglacial period, temperatures were 8 degress c warmer than today. As I said, the polar ice cap has melted hundreds of times - most notably during the MWP, but certainly often at other times, and these temperature records are recorded.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greenland_ice_sheet

The record of Vostok reveal periodic warming periods, roughly every 75K years, many of which are greater than that demonstrated today. This current trend follows the exact schedule - a schedule which dates back about 800,000 years, to the last time Greenland was without ice.

Contrary to you Thomspon and other alarmists, I am careful to base my comments on actual science. No, the glaciers would not melt if the polar ice cap were to melt.




thompsonx -> RE: So.. what moron said... (3/27/2016 5:55:38 PM)


ORIGINAL: Phydeaux


My original post, which no matter how you try to twist the question, still stands.

It stands in a pile of shit which you think will obscure your half truths and whole lies.

So right here is where your ass will start smarting.

Q: So what happens to sea levels when the Artic or antartic Sea ice melts?
A: Not a damn thing.

whole lie: How can the sea ice melt and the glacers not melt?

Jesus you are phoquing stupid.



Now, global levels might rise if greenland or the antartic land ice were to melt.


There is no if.
Jesus you are phoquing stupid.


And of course, they are, all the time. But the funny thing is there's this little
organization called NASA. You might have heard of it.

It says that even taking into account the melt off, Greenland and Antartica are gaining ice - to the tune of 86 billion tonnes per year.

First it is 82 giga tons not 86 and that represents the five year period from 2003-2008. The study has been found to be flawed and it is 8 years old.


http://www.livescience.com/52831-antarctica-gains-ice-but-still-warming.html

So contrary to your and thompson's mischaracterizations, I never said if greenland and artartica were to melt sea levels wouldn't rise. That would be ridiculous they would indeed rise - over 100 meters. Still that wasn't the topic of discussion.

Actually that was the discussion. You thought you would play a little slight of hand by ignoring reality.
Jesus you are phoquing stupid.
If the entire north pole artic ice cap were to melt so would the galciers.
You didn't get it then. As far as I can tell you don't get it now.
I have told you this before and you still don't get it...
how did you get to be so phoquing stupid?







Phydeaux -> RE: So.. what moron said... (3/27/2016 5:58:13 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: mnottertail

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

quote:

ORIGINAL: mnottertail


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux


quote:

ORIGINAL: mnottertail

Richard Tol of Economics has seen all the papers and counted them and under what expertise does he count them in piles?

That aint a study. There is no citation of 45%. Thats two implied trusts without foundation in your first sentence.

That makes everything else suspect. Or bullshit.




Under the same conditions that Orested, doctor of philosophy, made the 97% claim. Only Tol was a great deal more rigorous.



Who is Orested? Who quotes 97% based on him? More rigorous in what way?

Many many more trust mes there, but lets start with those.


There are 2-3 people more or less contermporaneously that are quoted as being the source of the 97%. Naomi Orestes, as far as I know, is the first person to publish a study, and is the person most commonly associated with the figure. She is a doctor of philopsophy.

She went to a paper repository know for slanting pro warming. She said she searched using terms x,y,z and got a number of papers. She then categorized those papers on whether they were pro AGW or not, merely by reading the abstract.

The first problem, is as usual, she falsified the data. Searching that directory, over the same dates, with the key words she said she used, turned up more than ten times the number of papers that she claimed.

Secondly, out of the roughly 1000 papers she surveyed, 70+ of the authors characterized her classification of their papers as false.

So the actual percentage percentage of papers that actually were pro-AGW, were actually 9%.




You are accidently right about one thing. Orestes is a doctor of Philosophy. She hold PhD in Geological Research and the History of Science. She never made any such a claim. Her claim was of 928 papers she studied (and she knew what she was looking at as opposed to Tol) That 75% of those papers explicitly or implicitly agreed with the IPCC that human activity was responsible for the warming observed over the last 50 years. An article found her methodology flawed and called the claim false in the Nature magazine in 2014.


No Mnotter, I indicated there were several sources that were regarded as the origination of the 97%. In fact I have mentioned Cook, the physics survey etc. previously.

We agree that Naomi original study only showed c75%. I didn't say that study was the source of the 97%, merely that she was.

Nonetheless, she is on record repeatedly pushing the claim of 97-99%. For example .. The Harvard Gazette narrative states Oreskes explained that ...'Overall agreement on the issue is at 97 to 99 percent, she said — about as close to perfect harmony as scientists can get; quoting her as saying: “This is beyond reasonable doubt. This is not disputed in the scientific community.”

And its not just Tol that debunked her, Pielke, Peiser, published papers debunking her absolutely hokum science, finding that only 1.2% (or 13 papers out of 1117) agreed with AGW.

The actual % has been looked at by other scientists and the number they stated was 45%.

Mnotter, I actually agree with the principle of cleaning everything up. But the reason why science matters, is because IMO trying to clean up CO2 will in fact make matters significantly worse.

Are we on the cusp of cooling? What amoutn of warming is caused by ionizing radiation; the maunder minimum.

Is Co2 responsible?
What are the likely responses?
What is the most reasonable application of dollars.
What are the actual causes of the small warming trend we've observed.

There are large numbers of scientists that believe total temperature rise will be less than another degree. Ie., a trend called global lukewarming. But what is clear is that the ipcc declarations of 1.2 degrees c per decade is completely wrong.




thompsonx -> RE: So.. what moron said... (3/27/2016 6:25:03 PM)


ORIGINAL: Phydeaux


ORIGINAL: thompsonx

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux
And again - you're delusional. The entire north pole artic ice cap could melt - and the sea levels would change NOT ONE IOTA.

Jesus you are phoquing stupid. If the entire north pole artic ice cap were to melt so would the galciers.[8|]

This is factually untrue. It is so far from factually true it is like arguing red is blue.
As I indicated, the artic ice cap has melted - completely.

The amount of energy needed to melt the artic ice cap is not 1/100,000 of 1% the amount of energy needed to melt the antartica and/or greenland.

Omg...small ice cubes melt faster than big ones.

So in point of fact, the polar ice cap can melt, while still have greenland glaciers.

Half truth...It could take some time to melt 2,850,000 gigatons of ice at the current rate of 239 gigatons. When the polar ice cap melts do you think the glacer melt in greenland will slow down? Again mind you we are speaking of greenland only. There are other glacers affected by the artic polar ice cap.

How do we know?
Vostok ice cores.

During the Eemian interglacial period, temperatures were 8 degress c warmer than today. As I said, the polar ice cap has melted hundreds of times - most notably during the MWP, but certainly often at other times, and these temperature records are recorded.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greenland_ice_sheet

Your own cite contradicts you.
Greenland lost 239 giga tons of ice in 2006. That is about four times what antartica gained.
There you go again with your half truths trying to support whole lies. If the artic ice cap melts do you believe the 239 giga tons of glacer melt will decrease?[8|] No one has said the whole glacer would melt overnight.
Jesus you are phoquing stupid.



Contrary to you Thomspon and other alarmists, I am careful to base my comments on actual science. No, the glaciers would not melt if the polar ice cap were to melt.


Jesus you are phoquing stupid.[8|]




mnottertail -> RE: So.. what moron said... (3/27/2016 8:23:39 PM)

I didn't say that study was the source of the 97%, merely that she was.

and she is not the source of it, insofar as I can tell it was you ore Orsted. Let us leave AGW off of climate change and I wont point out that the nutsuckers thru their ineptitude named themselves that. the other papers that have said 97% or scientists and psuedo-scientists believe that mans activities have are contributing to climate change, has never been credibly debunked.

One can harp on the welfare queen while spending 600000 times that on a pork project and saying HHS is killing us. One can also say that global warming is THE major contributor to Global
Warming. Neither has actually been said, while in the second case they said climate change (significantly more general than AGW), and more on topic. Nutsuckers have said that welfare is killing us, but we need to poke more pork at defense, which already is useless in real wars. (All the while trying to set up for a real war)




Phydeaux -> RE: So.. what moron said... (3/27/2016 8:31:18 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: thompsonx

whole lie: How can the sea ice melt and the glacers not melt?



Thompson, arctic sea ice is usually less than 20m. Melt 20 m off the polar ice cap; even if you melt 40m off greenland you won't have made an appreciable dent. This ice in greenland is something like 2.5 miles deep.

Again, the polar ice cap as solid ice has been gone at least twice during my life. It is rather silly to claim it can't happen.




Phydeaux -> RE: So.. what moron said... (3/27/2016 10:07:12 PM)


quote:


the other papers that have said 97% or scientists and psuedo-scientists believe that mans activities have are contributing to climate change, has never been credibly debunked.


Of course they have. All of the putative sources for this urban legend have been consistently and creditably debunked.

Take a look at cook.
Quite creditably debunked here: https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2015/10/29/cooks-97-scam-debunked/

Out of 12,000 papers, 65 supported consensus.

Also here: http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/08/28/cooks-97-climate-consensus-paper-crumbles-upon-examination/
Notice that cook's team would not release his data (which is so typical of global warming science.

And here: http://www.forbes.com/sites/jamestaylor/2013/05/30/global-warming-alarmists-caught-doctoring-97-percent-consensus-claims/#7b29569e5909

And here: http://www.populartechnology.net/2014/12/97-articles-refuting-97-consensus.html


Summing up some points:
Tthe biggest outright false hood, is they looked at 12,000 papers. If the paper did not take a position, they ignored it.
So in fact the correct number is out of 12,000 papers, .3% supported the IPCC position.
Cook is a cartoonist, and has no scientific pedigree.
Classification of papers were done by people with no science degree, based solely on abstracts.
63% of the authors that rated their own papers, disagree with cooks classification of their papers supporting agw.
Papers reviewed included Internation Journal of Vehicle Design, Livestock science. Ie., not climate journals.
Cook refused to release his data for independent confirmation; in fact his university threatened to sue to prevent the publication of the data.http://dailycaller.com/2014/05/16/where-did-97-percent-global-warming-consensus-figure-come-from/
Cook does not correctly identify the IPCC AGW position; ergo his classification of papers as supporting the IPCC position is wrong.

Etc.


Another article debunking Cook's piece was done by Dr. David Legates, University of Delaware. Published Journal of Science & Education.

Mnotter, I don't fight this because I want the earth polluted, and spoiled for our kids and grandkids. I want the same as you.
But money spent on funding these quacks is money that is merely building their labs, their status. They are lying and passing it off as science - and It is not going to solve the problem; it is diverting money from matters that actually matter. These people are flat out lying - and they are doing it for personal profit, not science. Cook has organized "hit squads" ie., people sent to harass scientists that publish papers disagreeing with global warming.

I used to join in on Cook's conference calls and listen to their plans of action. They were.. horrible.

If I had one wish for this easter sunday - it would be that you would consider some of these critiques. Because if you will give it an honest look, you will find exactly what I have found.

Best.




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