RE: US economy better now than when Obama took office (Full Version)

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mnottertail -> RE: US economy better now than when Obama took office (2/8/2016 11:33:00 AM)

not causal, and not correlation to tax cuts he also:
Increasing the minimum wage.
Expanding unemployment benefits.
Boosted Social Security benefits to encourage workers to retire earlier.
Spending more for highway construction.

The top marginal tax rate was 91% he wanted to reduce that to 65%. (our top margin is now 35%)

The largest cuts in the taxes were to middle class working people.

None of these things are things the nutsuckers are doing, and the conditions were different. He also stuffed the price hikes by corporations (steel particularly) up there ass, not with legislation, but with public national shaming.

While he didnt get it passed in his administration he laid the groundwork and Medicare which relieved some economic pressures during the timeframe in question.

Yet deficit pretty much dont mean shit, it is the government budget numbers compared to what was spent.

The big thing though, and the meaninful number, is debt still went up, not a great measure, but still up.

So, no, Phydeaux, the tax cut revenue increase (which was not as large as that in the Eisenhower administration, who didnt cut taxes but had a lucky hell of a revenue increase) can not be nutsuckerised in simpletonian: cut taxes revenue goes up. It doesnt.

In fact, Kennedy hit a pretty good spot in the business cycle. That also helped. But look at the effect of revenue when St. Wrinklemeat and his catamite ReadMyLips cut taxes, right in the shitter. Now Clinton raised taxes (rather heftily) and revenues went way up, so, if you are going to argue the simpletonian nutsuckerism, then argue that. Because that is absolutely causated and correlated.




tj444 -> RE: US economy better now than when Obama took office (2/8/2016 12:09:10 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Lucylastic

Treasury head: US economy better now than when Obama took office


Well.. I dont agree, its slightly better but a part time job at/near minimum wage is still a part time job at/near minimum wage, you just starve a little slower than no job.. its 7, 8 years along.. only CEOs and the 1% have gotten "raises".. and when ya werent looking, your cornflakes in its (still same size) box is lighter (how many times have they done that? the box looks only 1/3 full now).. rents continue to go up, year after year.. sure oil/gas has gone down but airlines arent lowering their fares (they are making a ton of money as fuel is 1/3 what it was).. so the savings by any mfr, business, store etc arent being passed on to consumers in the form of lower prices.. heck, walmart just closed 154 stores, overnight.. a new recession/depression will hit soon (if its not here already).. Didnt those govt "experts" tell everyone the last time that things were fine as the US & world economies fell into a sinkhole??? They say what the govt tells em to and the govt wants everyone to believe things are "better".. I for one, dont believe them about anything...




DesideriScuri -> RE: US economy better now than when Obama took office (2/8/2016 12:46:45 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: MrRodgers
Well plus too, as a percentage of GDP, Obama's is less than Reagan now. It was high but almost exclusively through no fault of his. Obama was left with a fiscal mess and an economy that was a sinking ship.


Actually, I don't think so. It was nearly bottomed out by the time he took office. Remember, the recession ended in June of 2009 (2nd quarter 2009 breaking the streak of negative growth).

The Great Recession was a long time in the making. The Housing Bubble didn't start under either Bush, nor did it start under Clinton or Reagan. I think it was signed by Carter with bipartisan support in Congress.




DesideriScuri -> RE: US economy better now than when Obama took office (2/8/2016 12:50:51 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux
quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri
quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux
Since you didn't have the honesty to do it - here are the numbers:
https://www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/reports/pd/histdebt/histdebt_histo5.htm
9/30/2007 9 trillion dollars.
9/30/2015 18.2 trillion dollars.
Since these are on fiscal year basis - lets look to budget deficits shall we?
from Office of Management & Budget, Historical table 1.1
2000 -296.4
2001 -156.7
2002 -189.6
2003 -441.4
2004 -470.1
2005 -350.5
2006 -264.
2007: -166.6
2008 -459.4
2009 -1412.7
2010 -1279.2
2011 -1259.5
2012 -1034.0
2013 -637.5
2014 -447.7
2015 -531.0 (est)
So the 7 largest deficits in our history have been under Obama. Baracks worst deficit was almost triple Bush's worst.
During Obamas administration our debt as % of gdp went from 40% to 106%.
You should challenge your assumptions Lucy.

There's an issue, Phydeaux. The 2009 budget was made under Bush, and Obama didn't really have much say in it. Likewise with the 2001 budget, Bush didn't have much to do with it. Just because it happens during one President's administration doesn't mean it was the fault/credit of that administration. That would be like blaming Bush for 9/11, even though he had only been President for 8 months, and the planning started before he was in office.
If you shift the deficits one year (Bush being responsible for 2002-2009), the difference becomes less, but it's still there, and it's still in Bush's favor. If you change the way you assign deficits, the deficits under Bush $3.75T, and $5.189T under Obama (for just the 6 years listed).

Liberals often make that argument. I don't accept it, in this case. Most of the time I would agree with you, the bill for 2009 would be passed no later than september 2008. Bush would have signed it, and been responsible for it.
Fact is, the spending bill was almost six months late - continuing resolutions were used to fund the government. The bill was signed by Obama, not bush, and modifications to the bill were made by the Obama administration. His signature, his bill. Additionally, the spending of the bill, which included TARP, was almost entirely determined by the Obama administration.
Had he objected he could have used recissions - or asked for supplemental spending.


The spending plan for FY2009 may not have been finalized by Jan 2009, but that's already nearly 1/3 of the year in the books. Yes, Obama could have reduced the spending (now that we've all had a laugh), the table had been set by the Bush Administration, and a Democrat Congress. There is a limited amount of things that Obama could have done, so it's not exactly accurate to assign him full blame for 2009 deficits.

It's still not even close when you look at the deficits under Bush and Obama.




mnottertail -> RE: US economy better now than when Obama took office (2/8/2016 1:28:13 PM)

yeah, fuck the hallucinatory deficits.

Here is the debt:

https://www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/reports/pd/histdebt/histdebt_histo5.htm

And again, remember who does the revenue and taxes. the congress and that has been 12 of 16 years republican.

So, they borrow and spend. Cuz they obviously aint running Obamas budgets. That has made the news.




TheCabal -> RE: US economy better now than when Obama took office (2/8/2016 3:05:55 PM)

Wait... the economy is better now than during the worst recession since at least Carter era?

That is the most hilariously bad benchmark I've ever seen. If that's Lew's definition of 'success' God help us if there's a failure.

I hear ocean liner deaths are down since The Titanic as well. Nuclear disasters are down since Fukushima, too.




AtUrCervix -> RE: US economy better now than when Obama took office (2/8/2016 3:11:33 PM)

Riiiiiiight.




DominantWrestler -> RE: US economy better now than when Obama took office (2/8/2016 5:05:46 PM)

Sorry, I should have said budget deficit increased more under Bush than Obama

Last Clinton budget had a surplus of over 200 billion. The last Budget signed by Bush had a deficit of Over 450 billion. 2015 Budget was Less than a 450 billion deficit

Basically, budget deficit increased during Bush by almost 900 billion.Budget deficit is less for 2015 than 2008. Obama accumulated more debt, but bailing out the American economy AND having to deal with the aftermath of foolish war was expensive




Phydeaux -> RE: US economy better now than when Obama took office (2/8/2016 5:21:59 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux
quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri
quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux
Since you didn't have the honesty to do it - here are the numbers:
https://www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/reports/pd/histdebt/histdebt_histo5.htm
9/30/2007 9 trillion dollars.
9/30/2015 18.2 trillion dollars.
Since these are on fiscal year basis - lets look to budget deficits shall we?
from Office of Management & Budget, Historical table 1.1
2000 -296.4
2001 -156.7
2002 -189.6
2003 -441.4
2004 -470.1
2005 -350.5
2006 -264.
2007: -166.6
2008 -459.4
2009 -1412.7
2010 -1279.2
2011 -1259.5
2012 -1034.0
2013 -637.5
2014 -447.7
2015 -531.0 (est)
So the 7 largest deficits in our history have been under Obama. Baracks worst deficit was almost triple Bush's worst.
During Obamas administration our debt as % of gdp went from 40% to 106%.
You should challenge your assumptions Lucy.

There's an issue, Phydeaux. The 2009 budget was made under Bush, and Obama didn't really have much say in it. Likewise with the 2001 budget, Bush didn't have much to do with it. Just because it happens during one President's administration doesn't mean it was the fault/credit of that administration. That would be like blaming Bush for 9/11, even though he had only been President for 8 months, and the planning started before he was in office.
If you shift the deficits one year (Bush being responsible for 2002-2009), the difference becomes less, but it's still there, and it's still in Bush's favor. If you change the way you assign deficits, the deficits under Bush $3.75T, and $5.189T under Obama (for just the 6 years listed).

Liberals often make that argument. I don't accept it, in this case. Most of the time I would agree with you, the bill for 2009 would be passed no later than september 2008. Bush would have signed it, and been responsible for it.
Fact is, the spending bill was almost six months late - continuing resolutions were used to fund the government. The bill was signed by Obama, not bush, and modifications to the bill were made by the Obama administration. His signature, his bill. Additionally, the spending of the bill, which included TARP, was almost entirely determined by the Obama administration.
Had he objected he could have used recissions - or asked for supplemental spending.


The spending plan for FY2009 may not have been finalized by Jan 2009, but that's already nearly 1/3 of the year in the books. Yes, Obama could have reduced the spending (now that we've all had a laugh), the table had been set by the Bush Administration, and a Democrat Congress. There is a limited amount of things that Obama could have done, so it's not exactly accurate to assign him full blame for 2009 deficits.

It's still not even close when you look at the deficits under Bush and Obama.



The amount of time already in the book argues against you. The continuing resolutions funded government for the months in question, at the previous spending levels. So sure, bush is responsible for 1/3 of the year at the rate of the previous year. but the enhanced (huge) budget deficits only take effect with the signing of the bill.

The 700 billion Tarp bill bills expenditures were directed almost in its entirety by the obama administration. If they're spending the money - its their deficit.




DesideriScuri -> RE: US economy better now than when Obama took office (2/8/2016 5:30:26 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux
quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri
The spending plan for FY2009 may not have been finalized by Jan 2009, but that's already nearly 1/3 of the year in the books. Yes, Obama could have reduced the spending (now that we've all had a laugh), the table had been set by the Bush Administration, and a Democrat Congress. There is a limited amount of things that Obama could have done, so it's not exactly accurate to assign him full blame for 2009 deficits.
It's still not even close when you look at the deficits under Bush and Obama.

The amount of time already in the book argues against you. The continuing resolutions funded government for the months in question, at the previous spending levels. So sure, bush is responsible for 1/3 of the year at the rate of the previous year. but the enhanced (huge) budget deficits only take effect with the signing of the bill.
The 700 billion Tarp bill bills expenditures were directed almost in its entirety by the obama administration. If they're spending the money - its their deficit.


Does Congress shoulder any responsibility?




Phydeaux -> RE: US economy better now than when Obama took office (2/8/2016 5:36:22 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: DominantWrestler


Last Clinton budget had a surplus of over 200 billion. The last Budget signed by Bush had a deficit of Over 450 billion. 2015 Budget was Less than a 450 billion deficit

Basically, budget deficit increased during Bush by almost 900 billion.
2009 budget was signed by Obama - its obama's deficit.

quote:

Budget deficit is less for 2015 than 2008. Obama accumulated more debt, but bailing out the American economy AND having to deal with the aftermath of foolish war was expensive



2015 is a statistical anomaly for Obama, as it is the year with the lowest deficit, and next year's will be higher, due to increased costs of obamacare, by about $100b. So if you compare Bushs at $489 billion, Obamas will come in around $550 billion presuming we dont have a recession.

Every liberal trumpets the fact that the last clinton budget had a surplus of 200 billion. It simply isn't true. Clinton took social security obligations off book. We still had to pay for it - it was just no longer reported as part of the budget.

This is proven by taking a look at how much US debt was. If there were a surplus, debt would go down. It never does.
Here are the numbers.

Fiscal
Year Year
Ending National Debt Deficit
FY1993 09/30/1993 $4.411488 trillion
FY1994 09/30/1994 $4.692749 trillion $281.26 billion
FY1995 09/29/1995 $4.973982 trillion $281.23 billion
FY1996 09/30/1996 $5.224810 trillion $250.83 billion
FY1997 09/30/1997 $5.413146 trillion $188.34 billion
FY1998 09/30/1998 $5.526193 trillion $113.05 billion
FY1999 09/30/1999 $5.656270 trillion $130.08 billion
FY2000 09/29/2000 $5.674178 trillion $17.91 billion
FY2001 09/28/2001 $5.807463 trillion $133.29 billion

http://www.craigsteiner.us/articles/16
http://www.dollarsandsense.org/archives/1999/0599clintonbox.html




Phydeaux -> RE: US economy better now than when Obama took office (2/8/2016 5:42:17 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux
quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri
The spending plan for FY2009 may not have been finalized by Jan 2009, but that's already nearly 1/3 of the year in the books. Yes, Obama could have reduced the spending (now that we've all had a laugh), the table had been set by the Bush Administration, and a Democrat Congress. There is a limited amount of things that Obama could have done, so it's not exactly accurate to assign him full blame for 2009 deficits.
It's still not even close when you look at the deficits under Bush and Obama.

The amount of time already in the book argues against you. The continuing resolutions funded government for the months in question, at the previous spending levels. So sure, bush is responsible for 1/3 of the year at the rate of the previous year. but the enhanced (huge) budget deficits only take effect with the signing of the bill.
The 700 billion Tarp bill bills expenditures were directed almost in its entirety by the obama administration. If they're spending the money - its their deficit.


Does Congress shoulder any responsibility?



In 2009 the democrats had a majority. Budgets cannot be filibustered. Much of the year, they had a filibuster proof majority.




DominantWrestler -> RE: US economy better now than when Obama took office (2/8/2016 6:18:51 PM)

Wasn't TARP signed before Obama was sworn in. It might have been signed before the election even occurred. I checked 3 or 4 references that agree TARP was signed by Bush in October 2008 about a month before Obama was even elected and about 3 months before he was sworn into office. Bush signed TARP in at the end of his term so that when a Democrat (due to Bush incompetence) was elected, the financial deficit would impact a democrat (in this case Obama).




Lucylastic -> RE: US economy better now than when Obama took office (2/8/2016 6:24:02 PM)

Yes it occured October 3, before the election.




DesideriScuri -> RE: US economy better now than when Obama took office (2/9/2016 12:35:01 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: DominantWrestler
Wasn't TARP signed before Obama was sworn in. It might have been signed before the election even occurred. I checked 3 or 4 references that agree TARP was signed by Bush in October 2008 about a month before Obama was even elected and about 3 months before he was sworn into office. Bush signed TARP in at the end of his term so that when a Democrat (due to Bush incompetence) was elected, the financial deficit would impact a democrat (in this case Obama).


That's why he signed it?!? [8|]

Considering Obama didn't win in a landslide in November, it could have been a Republican eating that deficit, no?

TARP money was spent over a range of years, with the largest total going out in 2010.

If Bush was trying to saddle a Democrat with a financial deficit in TARP, he wasn't anywhere near as effective as the Democrats themselves, passing the ARRA early on in 2009 (February?), which was even larger of a bailout bill.

Let's not forget that Congress was also run by Democrats (both chambers) at the end of the Bush Administration...




DominantWrestler -> RE: US economy better now than when Obama took office (2/9/2016 3:56:43 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux


quote:

ORIGINAL: DominantWrestler


Last Clinton budget had a surplus of over 200 billion. The last Budget signed by Bush had a deficit of Over 450 billion. 2015 Budget was Less than a 450 billion deficit

Basically, budget deficit increased during Bush by almost 900 billion.
2009 budget was signed by Obama - its obama's deficit.

quote:

Budget deficit is less for 2015 than 2008. Obama accumulated more debt, but bailing out the American economy AND having to deal with the aftermath of foolish war was expensive



2015 is a statistical anomaly for Obama, as it is the year with the lowest deficit, and next year's will be higher, due to increased costs of obamacare, by about $100b. So if you compare Bushs at $489 billion, Obamas will come in around $550 billion presuming we dont have a recession.


Budget deficit has gone down every year since 2011. And I was speaking of the 2008 budget as the last signed by Bush




DominantWrestler -> RE: US economy better now than when Obama took office (2/9/2016 7:23:42 AM)

That's not why he signed it, but the timing of TARP and the credit bill that was vetoed by Bill Clinton and voted for by Hillary when she was in congress seems like the men behind the curtain pulling strings.




Phydeaux -> RE: US economy better now than when Obama took office (2/9/2016 8:55:02 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: DominantWrestler


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux


quote:

ORIGINAL: DominantWrestler


Last Clinton budget had a surplus of over 200 billion. The last Budget signed by Bush had a deficit of Over 450 billion. 2015 Budget was Less than a 450 billion deficit

Basically, budget deficit increased during Bush by almost 900 billion.
2009 budget was signed by Obama - its obama's deficit.

quote:

Budget deficit is less for 2015 than 2008. Obama accumulated more debt, but bailing out the American economy AND having to deal with the aftermath of foolish war was expensive



2015 is a statistical anomaly for Obama, as it is the year with the lowest deficit, and next year's will be higher, due to increased costs of obamacare, by about $100b. So if you compare Bushs at $489 billion, Obamas will come in around $550 billion presuming we dont have a recession.


Budget deficit has gone down every year since 2011. And I was speaking of the 2008 budget as the last signed by Bush


Big deal - the deficit has gone down every year since 2011
A. No it hasn't. It went up in 2015.
B. Big deal we had the highest deficit ever - and you want credit because it went down?

The 6 biggest deficits were all signed by obama.




mnottertail -> RE: US economy better now than when Obama took office (2/9/2016 9:52:49 AM)

The 6 biggest deficits were passed overwhelmingly by nutsuckers. And the bills are porkuloused out in such a way by the nutsuckers that social security checks dont go out if he doesnt sign their pork and corporate welfare, or the military doesnt eat if he dont sign their pork and corporate welfare.





joether -> RE: US economy better now than when Obama took office (2/9/2016 9:53:36 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: CreativeDominant
Their voters? You mean the welfare kings and queens? The perpetual victims' groups?? The fast food workers and Was-Mart workers constantly clamoring for a higher wage for putting neat on a pre-buttered bun or stacking shelves? The union members slavishly paying dues so that the union leaders can feed money to the Dims?
That group of intelligent voters?


Better than than the 'intelligent voters' voting Republican. Never seen a group in my life whom vote so heavily against their own wallet!

Yes, increasing the federal minimal wage to $15/hour would be a tremendous boon for the nation. In the small and long term. Would mean millions of house holds would suddenly have a large scale of disposable money to work with on many projects. Retail and grocery stores would see the biggest gains in twenty years. Less people are using welfare to make ends meet; thus, allowing that money to be retooled elsewhere.....liked education and infrastructure improvements.





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