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ORIGINAL: WickedsDesire

My first ever poll so bear with me as its not idiot proof, for village idiots such as myself

Trump marches on - truly i am enthralled with this one
Is it just me or does Bernie looks a wee bit like Dracula – hell he’d get my vote. And has he ever been seen out in daylight?
Cruz you have less charisma than a cardboard cut out of yourself – the maths backs this up and you let a dangerous idiot run away from you - aye he is a sleekit fast one, that one.

And you tell him Hilary, a mere women.

Trump marches on v feisty Hilary tells him to shut his gob

Cast your votes now people of the world; and share, or not, and the reasons.
I voted Bernie as he talks the most sense but is clearly an evil communist plant from the motherland

And if someone can tell me how many delegates are left up for grabs for the GOP, or whatever it calls itself, and can Trump make it

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ORIGINAL: ThatDizzyChick

FR
I would vote Sanders if I had a vote, but as to who will win the nominations, I think it will be Clinton vs Trump, though electorates are often very unpredictable and they regularly surprise us (just ask the people of Alberta), and add in the potential for old school backroom machinations and it's really anybody's game.
As to who will win in November, I say Clinton, but again, I may well be completely wrong.

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ORIGINAL: WickedsDesire

I don't understand their system either..and I know I would not touch her either.

1,237 needed for nomination · 616 still available and he is 954. 283 shy. King of the monkey people may very well do it and this intrigues me greatly for many reasons...46% i believe. he has the momentum with his pea brain kindred

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ORIGINAL: bounty44
Donald Trump: 1187 total delegates

Ted Cruz: 707 total delegates

John Kasich: 246 total delegates

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ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

Vegas has the odds 4:1 Clinton. Trumps chances are much better than that. Misunderestimating again.

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ORIGINAL: StrongSpirit

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ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

Vegas has the odds 4:1 Clinton. Trumps chances are much better than that. Misunderestimating again.

I don't know what your source is, but it is crap. Go here:

http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/us-politics/us-presidential-election-2016/winner?selectionName=donald-trump

For the real odd. As of Wed 4/27/2016, the current odds are about 1/3 in favor of Hillary winning the General election, and only 3/1 against Trump. That is if you bet $3 on Hillary, if you win, you get $4. If you bet $3 on Trump and he wins, you get $12.

if anyone is stupid enough to give you odds favoring Trump over Hillary, bet on Trump there, and go to one of the 20 places that give Hillary better odds. You come away with a sure profit.

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Vegas has the odds 4:1 Clinton. Trumps chances are much better than that. Misunderestimating again.

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ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

quote:

ORIGINAL: ThatDizzyChick

FR
I would vote Sanders if I had a vote, but as to who will win the nominations, I think it will be Clinton vs Trump, though electorates are often very unpredictable and they regularly surprise us (just ask the people of Alberta), and add in the potential for old school backroom machinations and it's really anybody's game.
As to who will win in November, I say Clinton, but again, I may well be completely wrong.

Vegas has the odds 4:1 Clinton. Trumps chances are much better than that. Misunderestimating again.

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ORIGINAL: Greta75

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ORIGINAL: bounty44
Donald Trump: 1187 total delegates

Ted Cruz: 707 total delegates

John Kasich: 246 total delegates

If that was the final results, aww damn, so close!

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Donald Trump is trying to establish the narrative that he’s already won the Republican presidential nomination...

Trump understands that he’s getting shellacked in the delegate selection process in the states — which means he probably won’t be the nominee if he doesn’t reach 1,237 delegates before the convention.

Indeed, Trump hired Paul Manafort ostensibly to make Trump competitive with Cruz in the delegate selection process, but last weekend proved again that he just can’t win over the delegates. Now Manafort is pretending he was never worried about the process beyond the first ballot because he is confident Trump will win there.

But that’s odd because Team Trump has been noticeably worried about getting to 1,237 before Cleveland and also persuading delegates to vote for Trump should there be more than one ballot. So Trump devised a narrative that would help him in either scenario — that Cruz is stealing delegates and that he and the party bosses are disenfranchising voters.

The plan has been to outrage voters in the remaining states and lead them to Trump. But the narrative is manifestly false because each state party controls its own process and, regardless of the system used, the people democratically elect the delegates. And in droves, they are choosing Cruz....

Though Trump would have you believe otherwise, he isn’t yet close to wrapping up the nomination. It will still be very difficult for Trump to win 1,237 delegates before Cleveland. So he’s doing everything he can to press these narratives about his inevitability and Cruz’s stealing votes. It’s perfectly shameless and exploitive, but politics ain’t beanbag...

Behind the facade, Team Trump is plenty worried, which is one reason it is desperate to reinvent Trump to assure people in the remaining states that he isn’t so volatile, unstable and unpresidential as he’s been during the campaign. This is why Manafort assured nervous Republicans in Florida that Trump really can be presidential and that he will begin a phase in which he acts like himself.

When Fox News’ Chris Wallace asked Manafort about his assurance to GOP honchos that Trump, essentially, has been playing a role for the campaign and that a more presidential Trump will soon emerge, Manafort pretended he had been talking about something else, but Wallace knew better, and so do we...

So who is the real Trump? Is he the guy who can’t quit saying “Lyin’ Ted” and who constantly stirs things up by alleging corruption when there is none? Is he the liberal he has always been on most issues? Well, he showed that again this week when he moved left on a host of issues, from abortion to taxes to transgender bathrooms...

Trump’s nomination is far from a foregone conclusion, but to prevent it, Cruz must effectively combat the false narratives that Trump is inevitable and that Cruz has stolen delegates. Cruz must also continue to expose Trump for who he really is and what he truly believes. Even on the issues that have driven voters to Trump — protecting our borders and bringing back jobs — Cruz is a better bet. Cruz must further convince voters that Trump is the most divisive political figure in recent memory, someone who has split the Republican Party and the conservative movement wide open and who couldn’t possibly beat Hillary Clinton. And Cruz must speak directly to the voters about his agenda and what he would specifically do if elected, a message sure to ignite millions.

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And Cruz must speak directly to the voters about his agenda and what he would specifically do if elected, a message sure to ignite millions.

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Among the Republican presidential candidates, voters were asked if they were casting a ballot now, who they'd pick. Cruz got 44.8 percent to Trump's 29 percent and John Kasich's 13.3 percent. Thirteen percent were undecided. When asked if their preference for those candidates was strong, responses for Cruz were 81.6 percent to 70.7 for Trump and 56.6 for Kasich.

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A shift has happened. I thought it might once the election left the six liberal state run of the New York and eastern regional primaries in back to back weeks.

But it has and I offer some evidence of what is happening.

Two-thirds of the polls taken since or on 4/27 (the day following Trump's last win) have moved in Cruz's favor.

It's important to remember what I note on the air almost constantly: "It is not the precision of the polling that's meaningful, it's the direction."...

Up next Indiana--a lot like Wisconsin, and very different than New York, and Trump rolls in with his bombastic, hate-filled, blow hard self.

Two thirds of all the new polls begin to note a dramatic shift to Cruz (who's actually talking to Indianans like the good and decent people that they are) and focusing on jobs, freedom, and security.

One of the polls putting Cruz ahead by perhaps as much as 16%...

And since almost all of the polling on Cruz (minus the run through the northeast) gravely always underestimates Cruz's strength in the ground game and GOTV efforts, Cruz might be further ahead than the averages above seem to indicate...