RE: I predict Paul Ryan will be our next President (Full Version)

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vincentML -> RE: I predict Paul Ryan will be our next President (10/28/2016 6:13:31 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: tamaka

Yes it is a thing. And the interesting part is that the electors don't vote till December and the House doesn't count the votes til January. Obama's term ends Jan 20th i believe and if a new president wasn't agreed upon by then, the Speaker of the House (Ryan) would assume the Presidency in the interim. Then if they elected him after that it would be an easy transition since he was already there.

Interesting point but I don't believe Ryan would automatically ascend to the presidency. He is in line to replace the president and vice-president if they cannot continue. Take a look at the 1876 election. Florida refused to send electors to Washington. They were pissed about Union troops stationed in the vanquished South. The presidential election ended without a clear winner of electral votes, although Tilden of New York had a clear majority of the popular vote. The Republican (?) Rutherford B Hayes I think negotiated for the Florida electors. The troops were pulled and the Posse Comitatus Act was passed.

Btw, you might wish to check out the new series on ABC called "Designated Survivor" where the Capitol building is bombed during a State of the Union Address, and all (almost) are killed. The episodes are aired every two weeks on Wednesdays. The fifth episode aired two days ago.




thompsonx -> RE: I predict Paul Ryan will be our next President (10/28/2016 6:45:08 PM)


ORIGINAL: vincentML


you might wish to check out the new series on ABC called "Designated Survivor" where the Capitol building is bombed during a State of the Union Address, and all (almost) are killed. The episodes are aired every two weeks on Wednesdays. The fifth episode aired two days ago.


Npr did a segment about the designated suvivor last year. They were interviewing one of the previous designated suvivors. I forget who it was but as I remember he was way down on the list. I had never heard of it before and thought it was pretty interesting.




thompsonx -> RE: I predict Paul Ryan will be our next President (10/28/2016 6:51:26 PM)


ORIGINAL: enslaver

the Founding Fathers were naive enuf in those days to think patriotism and love of country would override party politics and personal ambitions;

Actually no...the founders were quite aware of their own personal ambitions.
thus the electoral college and the appointment of senators by state legislatures in an effort to prevent the will of the people from dictating the direction of the country.
If you were to read biographies instead of hagiographies you would find they were no more and no less sleezy than politicians of today.




thompsonx -> RE: I predict Paul Ryan will be our next President (10/28/2016 6:55:09 PM)


ORIGINAL: tamaka

I think all of you that laugh at me should have to buy me drinks if i am right. ; )


I am all fore that. If you are wrong do all of those who laughed at your idea get a blow job?[:D]
Just for the record I am laughing at your idea but just to show you what a sport I am I will supply you with a pair of industrial quality knee pads.





vincentML -> RE: I predict Paul Ryan will be our next President (10/28/2016 7:00:49 PM)

Sorry, I think I was mistaken.

If the Electoral College fails to produce a majority of votes the election goes to the House of Representatives. It is they who elect the new president.

The Designated Survivor is fascinating because not only is there a DS for the presidency there is also one for the Congress. Of course, in the drama the two are not in agreement. [:)]




dcnovice -> RE: I predict Paul Ryan will be our next President (10/28/2016 7:14:03 PM)

quote:

Btw, you might wish to check out the new series on ABC called "Designated Survivor" where the Capitol building is bombed during a State of the Union Address, and all (almost) are killed. The episodes are aired every two weeks on Wednesdays. The fifth episode aired two days ago.

I love that show! [:)]




Lucylastic -> RE: I predict Paul Ryan will be our next President (10/28/2016 9:33:32 PM)

I dont know if this helps pump up Ryans credibility any ....
WASHINGTON ― In response to the FBI’s announcement that it is reviewing emails related to its investigation into Hillary Clinton’s private server, House Speaker Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) renewed his call Friday for James Clapper, the U.S. director of national intelligence, to suspend briefings for the Democratic nominee.

“Yet again, Hillary Clinton has nobody but herself to blame,” Ryan said in a statement. “She was entrusted with some of our nation’s most important secrets, and she betrayed that trust by carelessly mishandling highly classified information.”

Ryan said the FBI’s decision was “long overdue,” given what he called Clinton’s “reckless use of a private email server, and her refusal to be forthcoming with federal investigators.”

“I renew my call for the Director of National Intelligence to suspend all classified briefings for Secretary Clinton until this matter is fully resolved,” Ryan said.

Ryan had technically never stopped calling on Clapper to suspend Clinton’s briefings, but he saw fit to reaffirm that call after FBI Director James Comey offered a vague announcement Friday that his agency is looking at new emails tied to the investigation of Clinton.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/paul-ryan-fbi-clinton-emails_us_58138c2ee4b064e1b4b21d9e




LadyDemura -> RE: I predict Paul Ryan will be our next President (10/28/2016 10:01:38 PM)

It's a much better chance, albeit not that great, that Johnson or McMullin become President. If one of them can win even one state, and the election goes to the House of Representatives, and they do get to choose from the top 3. In a normal year, the heavily Republican House would almost automatically choose the Republican candidate, but this is far from a normal year.




MrRodgers -> RE: I predict Paul Ryan will be our next President (10/29/2016 12:32:14 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: tamaka


quote:

ORIGINAL: MrRodgers

quote:

ORIGINAL: tamaka


quote:

ORIGINAL: MrRodgers


quote:

ORIGINAL: tamaka

Yes it is a thing. And the interesting part is that the electors don't vote till December and the House doesn't count the votes til January. Obama's term ends Jan 20th i believe and if a new president wasn't agreed upon by then, the Speaker of the House (Ryan) would assume the Presidency in the interim. Then if they elected him after that it would be an easy transition since he was already there.

The timing doesn't change the numbers. HRC is looking at 340 to a possible 400 electoral votes, so the rest is merely conversation.



Only if the electors vote with the popular vote which in most states, they don't have to. They can vote for anybody they want, or no one at all.

There is no Constitutional provision or Federal law that requires Electors to vote according to the results of the popular vote in their states. Some states, however, require Electors to cast their votes according to the popular vote. These pledges fall into two categories—Electors bound by state law and those bound by pledges to political parties. (27 states)

The U.S. Supreme Court has held that the Constitution does not require that Electors be completely free to act as they choose and therefore, political parties may extract pledges from electors to vote for the parties' nominees. Some state laws provide that so-called "faithless Electors" may be subject to fines or may be disqualified for casting an invalid vote and be replaced by a substitute elector. The Supreme Court has not specifically ruled on the question of whether pledges and penalties for failure to vote as pledged may be enforced under the Constitution. No Elector has ever been prosecuted for failing to vote as pledged.

Today, it is rare for Electors to disregard the popular vote by casting their electoral vote for someone other than their party's candidate. Electors generally hold a leadership position in their party or were chosen to recognize years of loyal service to the party. Throughout our history as a nation, more than 99 percent of Electors have voted as pledged.

HERE

In other states, electors are legally independent actors who are free to cast their electoral votes for whomever they like. But in practice, anyone who’s on a party’s slate of electors in a state is going to be a staunch party loyalist who will back their pledged candidate anyway.


That kind of defeats the purpose now.... doesn't it?

What purpose ? Either we go with what we have or demonstrate for the dissolution of the electoral college.




thompsonx -> RE: I predict Paul Ryan will be our next President (10/29/2016 3:59:08 AM)


ORIGINAL: MrRodgers


What purpose ? Either we go with what we have or demonstrate for the dissolution of the electoral college.


I will go with the disolution of the electoral college.




vincentML -> RE: I predict Paul Ryan will be our next President (10/29/2016 7:14:35 AM)

quote:

“Yet again, Hillary Clinton has nobody but herself to blame,” Ryan said in a statement. “She was entrusted with some of our nation’s most important secrets, and she betrayed that trust by carelessly mishandling highly classified information.”

Just shows the Speaker is not above partisan political rhetoric.




tamaka -> RE: I predict Paul Ryan will be our next President (10/29/2016 10:09:32 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: vincentML

Sorry, I think I was mistaken.

If the Electoral College fails to produce a majority of votes the election goes to the House of Representatives. It is they who elect the new president.

The Designated Survivor is fascinating because not only is there a DS for the presidency there is also one for the Congress. Of course, in the drama the two are not in agreement. [:)]


In the old days i would have said, "That's what i said" but i have been beaten enough to know better now. ; )

Thanks for telling us about that show. It sounds very interesting. I'll watch it this week.




tamaka -> RE: I predict Paul Ryan will be our next President (10/29/2016 10:17:54 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: vincentML


quote:

ORIGINAL: montanasubboy

Just for a minute lets say Hilary wins out right. Charges are brought. She then pardons her self. Then she is impeached but would she step down would there be the votes in congress to remover her?

In your hypothetical situation I think Obama would pardon her before she took office.

The House could impeach her for something she did while in office only.


I doubt there would be enough time for Obama to pardon her because she would have to be tried and convicted by then. If she were to become President and then charges were brought I'm not sure what would happen then, but from the information I've found online she might be able to pardon herself.

This is what made me think that my scenario might play out. I believe the state senators are the ones who chose the electors... i thought that they might direct the electors of their state (the states that are allowed to vote differently than the popular vote) to submit a blank ballot because HRC is being charged with a crime (by December when the electorates vote she might be) and DC is too unstable to be President.




tamaka -> RE: I predict Paul Ryan will be our next President (10/29/2016 10:20:49 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: thompsonx


ORIGINAL: tamaka

I think all of you that laugh at me should have to buy me drinks if i am right. ; )


I am all fore that. If you are wrong do all of those who laughed at your idea get a blow job?[:D]
Just for the record I am laughing at your idea but just to show you what a sport I am I will supply you with a pair of industrial quality knee pads.




You are very generous Sir. ; )




tamaka -> RE: I predict Paul Ryan will be our next President (10/29/2016 10:27:34 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: MrRodgers


quote:

ORIGINAL: tamaka


quote:

ORIGINAL: MrRodgers

quote:

ORIGINAL: tamaka


quote:

ORIGINAL: MrRodgers


quote:

ORIGINAL: tamaka

Yes it is a thing. And the interesting part is that the electors don't vote till December and the House doesn't count the votes til January. Obama's term ends Jan 20th i believe and if a new president wasn't agreed upon by then, the Speaker of the House (Ryan) would assume the Presidency in the interim. Then if they elected him after that it would be an easy transition since he was already there.

The timing doesn't change the numbers. HRC is looking at 340 to a possible 400 electoral votes, so the rest is merely conversation.



Only if the electors vote with the popular vote which in most states, they don't have to. They can vote for anybody they want, or no one at all.

There is no Constitutional provision or Federal law that requires Electors to vote according to the results of the popular vote in their states. Some states, however, require Electors to cast their votes according to the popular vote. These pledges fall into two categories—Electors bound by state law and those bound by pledges to political parties. (27 states)

The U.S. Supreme Court has held that the Constitution does not require that Electors be completely free to act as they choose and therefore, political parties may extract pledges from electors to vote for the parties' nominees. Some state laws provide that so-called "faithless Electors" may be subject to fines or may be disqualified for casting an invalid vote and be replaced by a substitute elector. The Supreme Court has not specifically ruled on the question of whether pledges and penalties for failure to vote as pledged may be enforced under the Constitution. No Elector has ever been prosecuted for failing to vote as pledged.

Today, it is rare for Electors to disregard the popular vote by casting their electoral vote for someone other than their party's candidate. Electors generally hold a leadership position in their party or were chosen to recognize years of loyal service to the party. Throughout our history as a nation, more than 99 percent of Electors have voted as pledged.

HERE

In other states, electors are legally independent actors who are free to cast their electoral votes for whomever they like. But in practice, anyone who’s on a party’s slate of electors in a state is going to be a staunch party loyalist who will back their pledged candidate anyway.


That kind of defeats the purpose now.... doesn't it?

What purpose ? Either we go with what we have or demonstrate for the dissolution of the electoral college.


Well, being the idealist that i am, i would think one of the primary purposes of the EC would be to prevent a populist nut job or a criminal from actually being elected by the people to be the President of the US because that is the choice they were given or for any other similar situation like that... which you would think would be highly unlikey but here we are...




DesideriScuri -> RE: I predict Paul Ryan will be our next President (10/29/2016 10:50:27 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: tamaka
I think that the electorates that are able to will submit blank ballots reasoning that neither HRC or DT are suitable for office. This will ensure neither gets the majority EC votes which will force the election to go to the House of Representatives and they will choose Paul Ryan. I always used to think the Electoral College was a negative, but now in this light it really is shows the amazing foresight and thoughtfulness our Founding Fathers had when they set up everything.


Let's take a ridiculous hypothetical based on your thoughts.

Let's look at things. How many voters does it take to win a State's EC votes (making the incorrect assumption that the winner of each state is awarded all the EC votes because it's not pertinent)? 1. If no one else votes for a qualified candidate, that one vote for a qualified candidate will win the election for that candidate. It's not like each state has to have a certain percentage of eligible voters actually cast votes for qualified candidates for an election to be won. If there are 8 candidates, 50M blank ballots and one ballot marked for one of the 8, that one vote is all that matters.

I don't even know if they keep a tally of blank ballots. At least writing in a candidate will get counted, even though it might have the same impact.




DesideriScuri -> RE: I predict Paul Ryan will be our next President (10/29/2016 11:01:41 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: vincentML
quote:

ORIGINAL: tamaka
Yes it is a thing. And the interesting part is that the electors don't vote till December and the House doesn't count the votes til January. Obama's term ends Jan 20th i believe and if a new president wasn't agreed upon by then, the Speaker of the House (Ryan) would assume the Presidency in the interim. Then if they elected him after that it would be an easy transition since he was already there.

Interesting point but I don't believe Ryan would automatically ascend to the presidency. He is in line to replace the president and vice-president if they cannot continue. Take a look at the 1876 election. Florida refused to send electors to Washington. They were pissed about Union troops stationed in the vanquished South. The presidential election ended without a clear winner of electral votes, although Tilden of New York had a clear majority of the popular vote. The Republican (?) Rutherford B Hayes I think negotiated for the Florida electors. The troops were pulled and the Posse Comitatus Act was passed.


You are correct, Ryan won't assume the Presidency. And, unless he garner's the third most electoral votes, he's not even an option for the House vote.

http://history.house.gov/Institution/Electoral-College/Electoral-College/
    quote:

    In the case of an Electoral College deadlock or if no candidate receives the majority of votes, a “contingent election” is held. The election of the President goes to the House of Representatives. Each state delegation casts one vote for one of the top three contenders to determine a winner.





dcnovice -> RE: I predict Paul Ryan will be our next President (10/29/2016 11:20:07 AM)

quote:

I doubt there would be enough time for Obama to pardon her because she would have to be tried and convicted by then.

Nixon was never tried or convicted.




Musicmystery -> RE: I predict Paul Ryan will be our next President (10/29/2016 12:18:27 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: tamaka

I think that the electorates that are able to will submit blank ballots reasoning that neither HRC or DT are suitable for office. This will ensure neither gets the majority EC votes which will force the election to go to the House of Representatives and they will choose Paul Ryan. I always used to think the Electoral College was a negative, but now in this light it really is shows the amazing foresight and thoughtfulness our Founding Fathers had when they set up everything.

Blank ballots simply mean fewer people choose that states electoral votes, not that those votes won't be determined. It ensures nothing of the kind. Additionally, when the House decides an election, that decision is among the top three candidates--none of whom will be Paul Ryan.




tamaka -> RE: I predict Paul Ryan will be our next President (10/29/2016 12:54:24 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Musicmystery


quote:

ORIGINAL: tamaka

I think that the electorates that are able to will submit blank ballots reasoning that neither HRC or DT are suitable for office. This will ensure neither gets the majority EC votes which will force the election to go to the House of Representatives and they will choose Paul Ryan. I always used to think the Electoral College was a negative, but now in this light it really is shows the amazing foresight and thoughtfulness our Founding Fathers had when they set up everything.

Blank ballots simply mean fewer people choose that states electoral votes, not that those votes won't be determined. It ensures nothing of the kind. Additionally, when the House decides an election, that decision is among the top three candidates--none of whom will be Paul Ryan.


I said that the electoral college votes would be blank.




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