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RE: Climate change doubtful? - 3/24/2017 9:06:14 AM   
Musicmystery


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quote:

ORIGINAL: NoirMetal

quote:

ORIGINAL: heavyblinker

quote:

ORIGINAL: NoirMetal


quote:

ORIGINAL: MrRodgers

Well in addition to the problem of C02 causing a retention of heat and BTW, not through any additional containment of radiant heat like say the way a car with its windows up, gets hot in the sun but through changes in the light wave, we have a change in what scientists call...the carbon cycle.

That cycle contains what are described as two dominant carbon sinks...greens and the ocean. Out of all of the C02 absorbed by them:

Green plants, the predominant influence of which is rain forests absorb as a carbon sink and approx. 20%

or the ocean also being a carbon sink...approx. 80%.

We are unbalancing that. We are tearing down the rain forests for any number of reasons most of which is so-called modern dev. And warmer water in the ocean reduces [it] as a carbon sink.

That brings us to the pure and unsustainable burning of fossil fuels until they are gone and because they remain a highly profitable and highly subsidized use. It's what the scientists call:

The Shfiting Baseline Syndrome which is each generation and on this commodity, about 4 or 5 generations going back to the highly subsidized beginning of the fossil fuel industry that created of the fossil-fuel based industrial revolution.

Fossil fuels were deliberately promoted an entire industry and the coming revolution, a dependence on what scientists call level 2 energy. Level 2 energy moved away gen 1 or from wind and wood or coal burning heat energy and to fossil fuel heat generation.

This 100 years plus leaves society into accepting this version of nature when this syndrome often takes only 25 years to develop. Then society plunders the resource, i.e., seeks to exploit it to its full benefit and leaves us fucked.

Subsequent generations of society now must deal with this new depleted version of nature. That's where we are now and deeply ensconced into fossil fuels for heat energy..

And by not actually throwing Trillion$ (like we did fossil fuels) in subsidy to a similar Manhattan project based on Tesla's technology research on 'free' energy he believed was in earth's natural magnetic field and was on the way to proving it, until J.P. Morgan heard the details, wanted no part of 'free' energy...and pulled th plug on financing Tesla.

Trillion$ in subsidies were used and are still being used in favor of fossil fuels because everybody loves the money involved.

'Mankind' will now need to develop a new gene to survive what will be a new carbon-rich atmosphere and world.



I read an interesting article i will try to find on other cyclic climate trends. It has to do with how our galaxy travels through space. An indication was that the galactic plane has differing degrees of debris included in it,and that the galaxy is in different relation to different proportions of it as it travels. At some times there will be more dust,and so we experience more sub absorption(ice ages). At others there will be more.(warming trend)

This is because the plane is flat,and the galaxy tends to oscillate over under and through the debris layer.


How quickly does our galaxy pass through the dust clouds? In order to explain the current warming trend, we would have to be moving extremely quickly or moving through a very very very large dust cloud, and the rapid warming trend we're currently experiencing would have to mean that we have just extremely rapidly entered a point of perfectly dust-free space. I mean, we're not talking about the gradual progression that I would imagine would be the result of passing in and out of dust clouds.

How dense are the dust clouds? If they are massive enough that our planet is engulfed in enough dust to cause an ice age on every rotation (which takes how long?), they must be pretty dense considering we're talking about a galactic scale... or have they just not moved over the space of millions or billions of years?

Or wait... it's a series of dust clouds?

The debris cloud lies on a flat plane. Imagine the galaxy moving up and down through the flat plane as it progresses through space. I just found it an interesting theory that might help explain more. The last ice age ended about ten thousand years ago-a blink in geologic time. As of yet,we have no methodology to measure interplanetary debris levels. Or any past data on it.

Well, if we're going to play silly Astro-physics games, there is no flat plane, because spacetime is curved, and spacetime itself is only quanta of space packets interacting as the quantum gravity field, creating the illusion of reality in which we play out these scenarios.

(in reply to NoirMetal)
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RE: Climate change doubtful? - 3/24/2017 9:09:08 AM   
Nnanji


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Musicmystery

Additionally, even if (1) climate change is not, wholly or partly, man-made, and (2) the current climate changes are merely natural cycles, then it STILL makes far more sense to take what steps we can to address those consequences, rather than deny the changes have happened and are happening.

There's nothing "scientific" about that denial.

Actually, the problem is that you (generic you, mainly leftists) want to pick what the consequences are, before they are actually known, so that you can use it as a wealth redistribution system. Personally, if we go back to the climate that occurred during the last warming period I'm fine.

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RE: Climate change doubtful? - 3/24/2017 9:12:39 AM   
WickedsDesire


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No one knows if space and time (universe(visible universe)) is curved, and incidentally no-one actually knows what space time is..I am prepared to concede the argument that president Trumpaloons is so fucking dense that light itself bends around him...and no-one knows what gravity is either. Well i do but i am not telling anyone :p

(in reply to Musicmystery)
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RE: Climate change doubtful? - 3/24/2017 9:17:22 AM   
mnottertail


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There is no doubt several things.
1. The climate has exhibited change.
2. CO2 affects climate (at first a half silvered mirror, and cools, then blanket effect)
3. We are pouring noxious amounts of CO2 into the atmosphere from sources that did not exist before in the whole of the planets history, in amounts not produced before in human history.
4. If you take a fucking shit, you are a retard if you dont wipe, saying either, "Well, whats the use, I just gotta shit tomorrow", or "We don't know what the consequences of not wiping our ass are."
5. The wealth was redistributed long ago and continuously to the corporations who pollute our air, earth, and water, so redistributing it back to the citizenry it came from in the guise of clean air, earth, and water is no redistribution at all, and is a retard level mendacity to felchgobble such a thing.




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RE: Climate change doubtful? - 3/24/2017 10:40:54 AM   
JeffBC


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I believe the claim against is that there is a vast conspiracy which spans dozens of nations, the entire climate science community, and a good 50 years. There are such things but they are generally impossible to hide. You see something similar in globalization but it's right out there for everyone to see. I find it dubious that the scientific community could contain such a vast secret when organizations like the NSA fail daily at much, MUCH smaller efforts.

That being said, I do certainly wish that at least one of our parties cared about this. But neither really does. They both have their own form of denial. For Republicans it comes down to one of two things:

a) Global conspiracy so science is unreliable.
b) Simply don't care. It's someone else's problem.

For Democrats, what you get is a lot of pious noises and hand wringing while actual policy works strongly against a solution. At this point we've already crossed our best guess of the tipping point so it's already going to be a messy adventure and I see nothing on the horizon that's going to slow that train down. Like so many pressing issues, neither party really wants to solve it since it works in their favor.

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RE: Climate change doubtful? - 3/24/2017 12:07:57 PM   
MasterBrentC


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quote:

ORIGINAL: heavyblinker

quote:

ORIGINAL: MasterBrentC

Here's an idea, Google "the year without a summer." In a nutshell you will find that a volcano eruption put so much soot and ash into the atmosphere that the sun could not get through and the earth cooled a bit.

The lesson learned from mother nature is that if we want to stop this so called "global warming," we need to polite the air with so much smoke and dust that the sun can't get through. But then the Sierra Club and all the other environmentalist freaks wouldn't be happy.


Aerosol pollution causes cooling for sure (it's how they explain the cooling period roughly between the 50s and the late 70s, when aerosols were more carefully regulated), but this comes with its own set of problems that I don't think need to be explained. If you want to experience aerosol-related cooling, go to Beijing on one of their bad air days. If you breathe deep enough for a few hours, you'll get enough pm2.5 particles in your lungs to shave a year or two off of your life.


Prove it.

(in reply to heavyblinker)
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RE: Climate change doubtful? - 3/24/2017 12:15:22 PM   
mnottertail


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quote:

ORIGINAL: MasterBrentC


quote:

ORIGINAL: heavyblinker

quote:

ORIGINAL: MasterBrentC

Here's an idea, Google "the year without a summer." In a nutshell you will find that a volcano eruption put so much soot and ash into the atmosphere that the sun could not get through and the earth cooled a bit.

The lesson learned from mother nature is that if we want to stop this so called "global warming," we need to polite the air with so much smoke and dust that the sun can't get through. But then the Sierra Club and all the other environmentalist freaks wouldn't be happy.


Aerosol pollution causes cooling for sure (it's how they explain the cooling period roughly between the 50s and the late 70s, when aerosols were more carefully regulated), but this comes with its own set of problems that I don't think need to be explained. If you want to experience aerosol-related cooling, go to Beijing on one of their bad air days. If you breathe deep enough for a few hours, you'll get enough pm2.5 particles in your lungs to shave a year or two off of your life.


Prove it.

You live in a trailerhouse and say stupid shit only. Done!

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RE: Climate change doubtful? - 3/24/2017 12:58:06 PM   
JeffBC


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~fast reply~
It's also worth noting in this discussion that in general, questioning "science" is a very wise thing. Editors of major science magazines are doing so and for very good reasons. Apparently, our standards for peer review have gone the way of all other standards and the predictability rate for peer reviewed experiments is something like ~50%.

Science is great and all, but only if we do it right.

In this case, we do in fact have a lot of different researchers approaching the problem from different angles and they are all converging around similarly scary conclusions. So I don't think inadequate peer review and/or financial corruption is very likely in this case. But the argument has at least some merit to it.

_____________________________

I'm a lover of "what is", not because I'm a spiritual person, but because it hurts when I argue with reality. -- Bryon Katie
"You're humbly arrogant" -- sunshinemiss
officially a member of the K Crowd

(in reply to mnottertail)
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RE: Climate change doubtful? - 3/24/2017 9:46:18 PM   
heavyblinker


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quote:

ORIGINAL: MasterBrentC
Prove it.


Google it.

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RE: Climate change doubtful? - 3/24/2017 9:52:17 PM   
heavyblinker


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quote:

ORIGINAL: JeffBC
I believe the claim against is that there is a vast conspiracy which spans dozens of nations, the entire climate science community, and a good 50 years. There are such things but they are generally impossible to hide. You see something similar in globalization but it's right out there for everyone to see. I find it dubious that the scientific community could contain such a vast secret when organizations like the NSA fail daily at much, MUCH smaller efforts.


Some of them involve conspiracies in the science community, but others state that the media is overreacting or misrepresenting 'real' scientists. I've had plenty of online 'debates' where deniers have cherrypicked or misinterpreted legitimate sources to 'prove' that it's all just media hype.

The arguments become exhausting.

(in reply to JeffBC)
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RE: Climate change doubtful? - 3/24/2017 10:56:17 PM   
JeffBC


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Joined: 2/12/2012
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quote:

ORIGINAL: heavyblinker
Some of them involve conspiracies in the science community, but others state that the media is overreacting or misrepresenting 'real' scientists. I've had plenty of online 'debates' where deniers have cherrypicked or misinterpreted legitimate sources to 'prove' that it's all just media hype.

Sure, but that's imply laziness on their part. If I wanted to to know what the "real scientists" think I'd simply ask them. The vast majority of them are willing to do damned near anything to get the word out. It would be trivially easy to get an email response from a top researcher. Heck, there are even web sites where they congregate for exactly that purpose.

In other words, the claim that "real scientists" don't agree with the media is vapor unless the person has bothered to actually ask a real climate scientist.

Honestly, the few times I've talked to a skeptic and I've actually gotten them to answer questions, we always get to the same bottom line, "Why should I care? It's not my problem." Honestly, I see very little daylight between those who are skeptics and those who are believers. In the end, neither much cares but the believers enjoy piously wringing their hands and castigating all the bad people.

_____________________________

I'm a lover of "what is", not because I'm a spiritual person, but because it hurts when I argue with reality. -- Bryon Katie
"You're humbly arrogant" -- sunshinemiss
officially a member of the K Crowd

(in reply to heavyblinker)
Profile   Post #: 31
RE: Climate change doubtful? - 3/25/2017 2:26:23 AM   
DesideriScuri


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quote:

ORIGINAL: MasterBrentC
Here's an idea, Google "the year without a summer." In a nutshell you will find that a volcano eruption put so much soot and ash into the atmosphere that the sun could not get through and the earth cooled a bit.
The lesson learned from mother nature is that if we want to stop this so called "global warming," we need to polite the air with so much smoke and dust that the sun can't get through. But then the Sierra Club and all the other environmentalist freaks wouldn't be happy.


Maybe we could cause a couple volcanic eruptions every decade to exert a little control on the global temperatures.

I think Jimmy Neutron had an idea where he sprayed sunblock into the upper atmosphere as a shield. While I admit that's a silly cartoon response, who's to say it couldn't resemble a strategy in the real world?




_____________________________

What I support:

  • A Conservative interpretation of the US Constitution
  • Personal Responsibility
  • Help for the truly needy
  • Limited Government
  • Consumption Tax (non-profit charities and food exempt)

(in reply to MasterBrentC)
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RE: Climate change doubtful? - 3/25/2017 6:03:46 AM   
MrRodgers


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quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri

quote:

ORIGINAL: MasterBrentC
Here's an idea, Google "the year without a summer." In a nutshell you will find that a volcano eruption put so much soot and ash into the atmosphere that the sun could not get through and the earth cooled a bit.
The lesson learned from mother nature is that if we want to stop this so called "global warming," we need to polite the air with so much smoke and dust that the sun can't get through. But then the Sierra Club and all the other environmentalist freaks wouldn't be happy.


Maybe we could cause a couple volcanic eruptions every decade to exert a little control on the global temperatures.

I think Jimmy Neutron had an idea where he sprayed sunblock into the upper atmosphere as a shield. While I admit that's a silly cartoon response, who's to say it couldn't resemble a strategy in the real world?




Yea, we could do that and wave goodbye to agriculture. (food)

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(in reply to DesideriScuri)
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RE: Climate change doubtful? - 3/25/2017 7:30:59 AM   
WickedsDesire


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Ah the year without summer is a mite tricky to explain or perhaps I simply cannot be bothered

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Year_Without_a_Summer The year 1816 is known as the Year Without a Summer (also the Poverty Year, the Summer that Never Was, Year There Was No Summer, and Eighteen Hundred and Froze to Death)[1] because of severe climate abnormalities that caused average global temperatures to decrease by 0.4–0.7 °C (0.7–1.3 °F).[2] This resulted in major food shortages across the Northern Hemisphere.[3]

Evidence suggests that the anomaly was predominantly a volcanic winter event caused by the massive 1815 eruption of Mount Tambora in the Dutch East Indies (the largest eruption in at least 1,300 years after the extreme weather events of 535–536), perhaps plus the 1814 eruption of Mayon in the Philippines. The Earth had already been in a centuries-long period of global cooling that started in the 14th century. Known today as the Little Ice Age, it had already caused considerable agricultural distress in Europe. The Little Ice Age's existing cooling was aggravated by the eruption of Tambora, which occurred during its concluding decades.[4]


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maunder_Minimum and https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Little_Ice_Age

Mount saint Helens was VE4 ("barely a 5" complete tosh was a fuking 4)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Extreme_weather_events_of_535%E2%80%93536 that one was probably a meteor or comet but no-one knows for sure

And albedo is this https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Albedo paint everything white will also work

Anyway the earth warms and that variable is human - and lets look at some pretty noctilucent clouds from my hovel..i live about a latitude of 56N and i see them 2-8 times a year, every year now.












basically we are fuked - is the technical term. Still Iceland may just yet blow itself apart soonet - in parts - natural cycling and the unloading of ice of its angry volcanoes. Actually I seem to think volcanic activity is up the world over

https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/erupting_volcanoes.html









(in reply to MrRodgers)
Profile   Post #: 34
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