RE: FOX: Trump bad for gun sales (Full Version)

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InfoMan -> RE: FOX: Trump bad for gun sales (4/1/2017 8:36:33 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Musicmystery

At least poor reading comprehension hasn't changed.

Or the lack of basic knowledge of the effects of a long-term drop in demand on supply.


the .22LR round jumped from 5¢ a round in 2007 to 12¢ a round in 2012, because demand was so high.
Demand was high because people thought Obama would ban fire arms or ammunition... so fearful people opened their wallets.
Now that Obama is out, the fear has subsided, and in turn demand is shrinking - so too will the price per unit...

meaning that it will soon be the perfect time to buy guns and ammo... from a consumer perspective.




WickedsDesire -> RE: FOX: Trump bad for gun sales (4/1/2017 8:37:41 AM)

One must logically conclude:
1. there are only so many of their own kind Americashire jackals can slay and they have simply run out of people to shoot.
2 there are only so many guns an Americashire nutter can own - personally I feel the number zero is way to high.




Musicmystery -> RE: FOX: Trump bad for gun sales (4/1/2017 8:38:42 AM)

That's possible. It's also possible that with declining demand, fewer suppliers can compete, again restricting the supply.

Also, prices drop more slowly than they rise. Moving inventory via pricing also mean cutting into margin, and on fewer units, that's a loss of profit.




mnottertail -> RE: FOX: Trump bad for gun sales (4/1/2017 8:39:08 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: InfoMan


quote:

ORIGINAL: Musicmystery

I'm pretty sure you read everything with a biased, partisan eye with no regard for data.

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2017/04/01/without-obama-once-booming-gun-industry-poised-to-shrink.html

. . . Unless FOX News has become a "leftist news rag."


the .22LR round jumped from 5¢ a round in 2007 to 12¢ a round in 2012, because demand was so high.
Demand was high because people thought Obama would ban fire arms or ammunition... so fearful people opened their wallets.
Now that Obama is out, the fear has subsided, and in turn demand is shrinking - so too will the price per unit...


I dont know, there are still guys on a call list when .22 comes around to Fleet Farm, they still buy it by the pallet, doesnt take long to sell out.




Musicmystery -> RE: FOX: Trump bad for gun sales (4/1/2017 8:42:41 AM)

Which adds the additional point that you don't buy more ammo if you already have a stock-pile.

Not for a while anyway.




InfoMan -> RE: FOX: Trump bad for gun sales (4/1/2017 8:57:23 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Musicmystery

That's possible. It's also possible that with declining demand, fewer suppliers can compete, again restricting the supply.

Also, prices drop more slowly than they rise. Moving inventory via pricing also mean cutting into margin, and on fewer units, that's a loss of profit.


A little known fact is that Ammunition does have a shelf-life. it does eventually go bad and needs to be discarded.

So they can't just simply sit on massive unsold inventory which potentially drowns out future production (like what happened with the Car Industry). There is a time-limit for this ammo to be sold, thus resulting in a much quicker shift in price loss then you would see for most other consumer product.




WhoreMods -> RE: FOX: Trump bad for gun sales (4/1/2017 9:04:21 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: InfoMan


quote:

ORIGINAL: Musicmystery

That's possible. It's also possible that with declining demand, fewer suppliers can compete, again restricting the supply.

Also, prices drop more slowly than they rise. Moving inventory via pricing also mean cutting into margin, and on fewer units, that's a loss of profit.


A little known fact is that Ammunition does have a shelf-life. it does eventually go bad and needs to be discarded.

So they can't just simply sit on massive unsold inventory which potentially drowns out future production (like what happened with the Car Industry). There is a time-limit for this ammo to be sold, thus resulting in a much quicker shift in price loss then you would see for most other consumer product.


It degrades, but it's good for a long while before it goes off, surely?




Musicmystery -> RE: FOX: Trump bad for gun sales (4/1/2017 9:09:12 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: InfoMan


quote:

ORIGINAL: Musicmystery

That's possible. It's also possible that with declining demand, fewer suppliers can compete, again restricting the supply.

Also, prices drop more slowly than they rise. Moving inventory via pricing also mean cutting into margin, and on fewer units, that's a loss of profit.


A little known fact is that Ammunition does have a shelf-life. it does eventually go bad and needs to be discarded.

So they can't just simply sit on massive unsold inventory which potentially drowns out future production (like what happened with the Car Industry). There is a time-limit for this ammo to be sold, thus resulting in a much quicker shift in price loss then you would see for most other consumer product.


Good point. I didn't know that.

How long is that shelf-life?




Musicmystery -> RE: FOX: Trump bad for gun sales (4/1/2017 9:12:21 AM)

According to gunbelts.com, shelf life of modern Ammo can be quite a while:

Ammo Shelf Life: How Long Are Bullets Good For? Ammo Shelf Life: How Long Are Bullets Good For? Sep 12, 2016

Is There Such A Thing As Ammunition Shelf Life?

One might wonder if there is such a thing as ammunition shelf life. It's a good concern to have, as ammunition should only be used if one can rely on it to be safe. Granted, one might opine that if a person keeping sufficient ammunition to worry about expiring is probably not doing enough point shooting!

Ammo Shelf Life Is Relative

The truth is that ammo shelf life is somewhat relative. Under ideal conditions, ammunition will actually keep for decades - in fact, in the right conditions...ammunition could potentially last longer than that. Believe it or not, there are a few things that affect how long ammunition or basically any other non-perishable good that people tend to stockpile, and for that matter, perishable goods as well. Those things are heat, moisture and sunlight. Outside of perishable goods that require refrigeration or freezing, long term storage in a dry, dark and moderate temperature environment will keep a lot of things nearly indefinitely - certain adult beverages (wine cellars are a thing for a reason), canned or jarred goods, and bullets will all keep for an incredibly long time in such storage. With more exacting control over these elements, such as if one uses a humidor or other humidity-controlled containment system, then bullets can last even longer. If stored in a vacuum-sealed container and left in a dark, dry place...it would be good basically forever.

That said, how much ammunition that is currently being held by people who have purchased it is being stored in a dark, temperature and humidity controlled container? Not much, in all likelihood; not many people will entertain the idea of having a bullet humidor. Therefore, the shelf life of ammo is relative, namely to how well it's stored by the person who bought it.

General Ammunition Shelf Life in Basic Conditions

For modern munitions, ammunition shelf life is perfectly sufficient for the average person to keep parcels of ammunition for years, if not decades in all likelihood. So long as the rounds aren't subjected to high heat or moisture, nothing is likely to happen. Most ammo manufacturers advise that their ammunition should be good for ten years. In reality, it will keep longer. How many people keep ammunition for a decade or longer, though? However, the target shooter and concealed carrier is somewhat different than the hunter and outdoorsman. The latter takes to the outdoors and deals with inclement weather, whilst the former might not. In fact, a good deal of self-defense ammo will only be in a magazine or a box. A rifle round or shotgun shell for the big game hunter and fowler can get rained on, momentarily submerged and so on. Water, and more to the point oxygen, has a pesky habit of permeating the molecular bonds of things. Oxygen is kind of like the guy at parties who randomly inserts himself into conversations; it makes things bad for everyone. When oxygen happens to iron, you get iron oxides, one of which - red iron oxide - is rust, and that's just bad. When it happens to brass or other types of ammunition casing, the result can be rust, corrosion, or at the very least a deactivated primer.

Ammunition Rotation

Though the shelf life of bullets is nearly forever, given the right circumstances, the person who buys the ammunition should treat it according to how it's used. There is also something to be said about rotation of ammo stores. Ammunition that's basically just for burning at the range merely needs storage in moisture-free, safe place. However, hunting rounds are another matter. If never taken afield, store normally. Rounds that have gone into the field and were subjected to any moisture at all, should be fired as soon possible, if otherwise discarded. Ammunition that's been carried in one's concealed carry gun for some time should also be occasionally expended at the range and new rounds rotated in. A number of good reasons exist for doing so - exposure to the elements, indentations from the feed ramp, excess lubrication if present can all negatively impact carry ammunition. It's a good idea to shoot the rounds one carries a few times a year to rotate it out. Besides, you should practice with carry rounds - that way you know how they perform compared to hardball.




MercTech -> RE: FOX: Trump bad for gun sales (4/1/2017 9:12:37 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: lovmuffin

Yes and there is a secret plot now between Trump and the Russians to smuggle in AK-47's for sale to right wing hooligans. George Bush is in on it too.


Not a smuggling plot but a grassroots push to remove the heinously restrictive requirements for importing firearm s.

https://www.atf.gov/firearms/import-firearms-ammunition-and-implements-war




mnottertail -> RE: FOX: Trump bad for gun sales (4/1/2017 9:20:21 AM)

those heinous unrestrictions have been in place at least thru the first day of the Obama administration, lets not give nutsuckers some credit where none is due.




Musicmystery -> RE: FOX: Trump bad for gun sales (4/1/2017 9:42:34 AM)

And the difference between then and now is the point of the article:


quote:

ORIGINAL: Musicmystery

Without Obama, once-booming gun industry poised to shrink
(Down 17% this year)
(FOX News)

President Trump's election appears to be negatively affecting gun sales in the U.S. and the bubble appears to be bursting despite a staunch advocate for gun rights in the White House and Republicans ruling Congress.

"President Obama was the best gun salesman the world has ever seen," Karl Sorken, a production manager at Battle Rifle Co. in Houston. Sorken is an Army veteran and self-described liberal who voted for Obama and notes the change for the industry under Trump is a topic of conversation in the shop.

Fears of government limits on guns -- some real, some perceived -- led to a surge in demand during Obama's tenure and manufacturers leapt to keep up. Over the decade ending in 2015, the number of U.S. companies licensed to make firearms jumped 362 percent.
"The trends really almost since Election Day or election night have been that gun sales have slacked off," said Robert Spitzer, political science department chairman at State University of New York at Cortland. "When you take away Barack Obama and you give the Republicans control of both houses of Congress, which is extremely friendly to the gun lobby, then the political pressure subsides. And that surely is at least a key part of the explanation for the drop-off in sales."

The Washington Post reported that the FBI conducted about 500,000 fewer background checks in December 2016 then in 2015. Gun sales this year have reportedly dropped about 17 percent.

From 2004 to 2013, sales of all handguns -- pistols and revolvers -- increased nearly fivefold, according to industry figures. Sales of rifles tripled in that timeframe








Musicmystery -> RE: FOX: Trump bad for gun sales (4/1/2017 9:57:24 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Greta75

quote:

President Trump's election appears to be negatively affecting gun sales in the U.S. and the bubble appears to be bursting despite a staunch advocate for gun rights in the White House and Republicans ruling Congress.

Hail Trump! Good job! Keeping gun sales down! This means, Less Guns.



You don't understand the first thing about this country.

Or the second or millionth.




WhoreMods -> RE: FOX: Trump bad for gun sales (4/1/2017 10:05:27 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Musicmystery

According to gunbelts.com, shelf life of modern Ammo can be quite a while:

Ammo Shelf Life: How Long Are Bullets Good For? Ammo Shelf Life: How Long Are Bullets Good For? Sep 12, 2016

Is There Such A Thing As Ammunition Shelf Life?

One might wonder if there is such a thing as ammunition shelf life. It's a good concern to have, as ammunition should only be used if one can rely on it to be safe. Granted, one might opine that if a person keeping sufficient ammunition to worry about expiring is probably not doing enough point shooting!

Ammo Shelf Life Is Relative

The truth is that ammo shelf life is somewhat relative. Under ideal conditions, ammunition will actually keep for decades - in fact, in the right conditions...ammunition could potentially last longer than that. Believe it or not, there are a few things that affect how long ammunition or basically any other non-perishable good that people tend to stockpile, and for that matter, perishable goods as well. Those things are heat, moisture and sunlight. Outside of perishable goods that require refrigeration or freezing, long term storage in a dry, dark and moderate temperature environment will keep a lot of things nearly indefinitely - certain adult beverages (wine cellars are a thing for a reason), canned or jarred goods, and bullets will all keep for an incredibly long time in such storage. With more exacting control over these elements, such as if one uses a humidor or other humidity-controlled containment system, then bullets can last even longer. If stored in a vacuum-sealed container and left in a dark, dry place...it would be good basically forever.

That said, how much ammunition that is currently being held by people who have purchased it is being stored in a dark, temperature and humidity controlled container? Not much, in all likelihood; not many people will entertain the idea of having a bullet humidor. Therefore, the shelf life of ammo is relative, namely to how well it's stored by the person who bought it.

General Ammunition Shelf Life in Basic Conditions

For modern munitions, ammunition shelf life is perfectly sufficient for the average person to keep parcels of ammunition for years, if not decades in all likelihood. So long as the rounds aren't subjected to high heat or moisture, nothing is likely to happen. Most ammo manufacturers advise that their ammunition should be good for ten years. In reality, it will keep longer. How many people keep ammunition for a decade or longer, though? However, the target shooter and concealed carrier is somewhat different than the hunter and outdoorsman. The latter takes to the outdoors and deals with inclement weather, whilst the former might not. In fact, a good deal of self-defense ammo will only be in a magazine or a box. A rifle round or shotgun shell for the big game hunter and fowler can get rained on, momentarily submerged and so on. Water, and more to the point oxygen, has a pesky habit of permeating the molecular bonds of things. Oxygen is kind of like the guy at parties who randomly inserts himself into conversations; it makes things bad for everyone. When oxygen happens to iron, you get iron oxides, one of which - red iron oxide - is rust, and that's just bad. When it happens to brass or other types of ammunition casing, the result can be rust, corrosion, or at the very least a deactivated primer.

Ammunition Rotation

Though the shelf life of bullets is nearly forever, given the right circumstances, the person who buys the ammunition should treat it according to how it's used. There is also something to be said about rotation of ammo stores. Ammunition that's basically just for burning at the range merely needs storage in moisture-free, safe place. However, hunting rounds are another matter. If never taken afield, store normally. Rounds that have gone into the field and were subjected to any moisture at all, should be fired as soon possible, if otherwise discarded. Ammunition that's been carried in one's concealed carry gun for some time should also be occasionally expended at the range and new rounds rotated in. A number of good reasons exist for doing so - exposure to the elements, indentations from the feed ramp, excess lubrication if present can all negatively impact carry ammunition. It's a good idea to shoot the rounds one carries a few times a year to rotate it out. Besides, you should practice with carry rounds - that way you know how they perform compared to hardball.

Doesn't some of the stuff come vacuum packed? If it's oxygen and air moisture that causes it to spoil, rather than an internal chemical reaction that spoils it, you could probably just shrink wrap your bullets as well.




mnottertail -> RE: FOX: Trump bad for gun sales (4/1/2017 10:07:20 AM)

if you shrink wrapped them in zero humidity, no sense forcing water in them.

They dont oxidize quickly inside, and if you keep them in a non sopping wet environment....I have 22 shells that shoot that are over 50 years old. No special handling. (Us, so does the military..........LOL)




WhoreMods -> RE: FOX: Trump bad for gun sales (4/1/2017 10:12:43 AM)

I wonder if somebody might be exaggerating how fast the stuff spoils to sell more bullets, then?




WickedsDesire -> RE: FOX: Trump bad for gun sales (4/1/2017 11:25:29 AM)

Now I am wondering how many bullets the average Americashire gun jackal has....or do they have a gun for every bullet

Right tell all you with the guns I am curious how many guns you jackals own and how many bullets? Or are you (gun owners) going to go to the loo and shit your pants whilst polishing your guns




BamaD -> RE: FOX: Trump bad for gun sales (4/1/2017 12:02:17 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: WhoreMods


quote:

ORIGINAL: InfoMan


quote:

ORIGINAL: Musicmystery

That's possible. It's also possible that with declining demand, fewer suppliers can compete, again restricting the supply.

Also, prices drop more slowly than they rise. Moving inventory via pricing also mean cutting into margin, and on fewer units, that's a loss of profit.


A little known fact is that Ammunition does have a shelf-life. it does eventually go bad and needs to be discarded.

So they can't just simply sit on massive unsold inventory which potentially drowns out future production (like what happened with the Car Industry). There is a time-limit for this ammo to be sold, thus resulting in a much quicker shift in price loss then you would see for most other consumer product.


It degrades, but it's good for a long while before it goes off, surely?

I have fired 30 year old ammunition with no problems.




jlf1961 -> RE: FOX: Trump bad for gun sales (4/1/2017 12:08:39 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Musicmystery

At least poor reading comprehension hasn't changed.

Or the lack of basic knowledge of the effects of a long-term drop in demand on supply.


what drop on demand?

Hell, since his election, prices have dropped, and the gun shop/shooting range I work at has been doing booming business.

I sold 12 to first time buyers today, a whopping 3 grand in sales.





Musicmystery -> RE: FOX: Trump bad for gun sales (4/1/2017 1:05:38 PM)

Welcome to the difference between anecdotal information and data.

Or the unreliability of FOX News reporting. You choose.

But just looking through Google, quite a few media are reporting on declining gun sales and falling gun stock prices in 2017.

If prices have dropped and places are having sales, it's a sign of manufacturer/wholesaler overstock they're liquidating, which again would be consistent with declining demand [keep in mind that demand is a range of prices/quantities: lower the price, you increase the quantity demanded, even if demand (the entire curve/schedule of prices/quantities) declines].




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