An Authoritarian Future? (Full Version)

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heavyblinker -> An Authoritarian Future? (10/30/2017 2:06:35 AM)

]\China's XI JinPing has been given another 5 years in office:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/global-opinions/chinas-communist-leadership-has-a-model-of-totalitarianism-for-the-21st-century/2017/10/29/8b32fb10-ba74-11e7-a908-a3470754bbb9_story.html?utm_term=.764d12546eb8

quote:

Perhaps most ominously, Xi envisions his updated police state as a model for the rest of the world. Twenty-five years ago, the liberal democratic system of the West was supposed to represent the “end of history,” the definitive paradigm for human governance. Now, Xi imagines, it will be the regime he is in the process of creating. “It offers a new option for other countries and nations,” he said during a three-hour, 25-minute speech that was its own statement of grandiosity. “It offers Chinese wisdom and a Chinese approach to solving the problems facing mankind.”


I see a lot of reasons why Russia (and close ally China) might be bolstering the Trump/Brexit/Eurofascism movement-- take an incompetent idiot, get him to make ridiculous promises to a less-than-brilliant and frustrated populace, undermine America's role in the world through protectionism and totally absurdly backwards trade policies... and after the insanity has finally weakened your enemy, move in for the kill.
It's not a secret that W. lit the fuse on America's implosion with his unwinnable wars... the US did something similar to the USSR in Afghanistan during the cold war. But all of this proto/neo-fascist shit is going to throw gasoline on the flames. Cancelling the TPP was great news for China, too.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pacific/confidence-control-paranoia-mark-xi-jinpings-speech-at-china-party-congress/2017/10/18/6e618694-b373-11e7-9b93-b97043e57a22_story.html?utm_term=.2dbfb7841f26

quote:

For 3½ hours, China’s President Xi Jinping commanded the stage and the nation’s television screens as he set out a far-reaching agenda for the Communist Party, outlining a vision of total control, not only of the nation’s economy and the Internet but also of culture, religion and morals.


There isn't a doubt in my mind that Putin and co. have effectively used Trump to demonstrate and exploit the weakness in democratic societies.
So will the Putin/China model become the new norm for global society?




Hillwilliam -> RE: An Authoritarian Future? (10/30/2017 2:53:28 AM)

China has had the same dream since Nixon visited and our policymakers have been too busy counting their newfound wealth to give a fuck.




tweakabelle -> RE: An Authoritarian Future? (10/30/2017 3:35:59 AM)

It might not be such a good idea to automatically attribute expansionist motives to China. The evidence (Tibet apart) to support the claim is rather thin. China lived with foreign occupation of Hong Kong for a long time, and to this day accepts that Peking's writ does not apply to Taiwan, even though it claims Taiwan as an integral part of China. It would have been relatively easy for an expansionist China to take over either HK or Taiwan had there been a will to do so. The Tibetan story is another matter, and rightly or wrongly, the Chinese regard it as an integral part of China, and their intervention there as 'liberating' the Tibetans from an oppressive medieval theocracy.

The only real evidence to support the claim is the recent Chinese efforts to mount a virtual take over and occupation of some isolated uninhabited islands in the South China Sea that have long been the subject of conflicting territorial claims by various countries in the region. In this instance, rightly or wrongly, the Chinese would claim that they are acting legitimately within Chinese borders and reject any notion of expansionism.

Historically, even when the various dynasties were at the height of their power, the Chinese have tended to be far more inward looking that outward looking. So there is little evidence to support the claim. My observation for what it's worth, is that the claim is far more often advanced by countries which themselves have long histories of expansionism, imperialism and colonising other peoples' lands. So I tend to view the claim rather sceptically.

From where I sit, it makes a long more sense to see Chinese policy as a rising power gradually assuming and accumulating the influence and power of a major world power as it grows into that role. China's size population, economy and increasing diplomatic influence all entitle it to world power status and the Chinese, emerging from a backward economy and centuries of foreign oppression to a position of influence commensurate with its size and new status, tend to be understandably sensitive about that status.




Hillwilliam -> RE: An Authoritarian Future? (10/30/2017 4:02:43 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: tweakabelle

It might not be such a good idea to automatically attribute expansionist motives to China. The evidence (Tibet apart) to support the claim is rather thin. China lived with foreign occupation of Hong Kong for a long time, and to this day accepts that Peking's writ does not apply to Taiwan, even though it claims Taiwan as an integral part of China. It would have been relatively easy for an expansionist China to take over either HK or Taiwan had there been a will to do so. The Tibetan story is another matter, and rightly or wrongly, the Chinese regard it as an integral part of China, and their intervention there as 'liberating' the Tibetans from an oppressive medieval theocracy.

The only real evidence to support the claim is the recent Chinese efforts to mount a virtual take over and occupation of some isolated uninhabited islands in the South China Sea that have long been the subject of conflicting territorial claims by various countries in the region. In this instance, rightly or wrongly, the Chinese would claim that they are acting legitimately within Chinese borders and reject any notion of expansionism.

Historically, even when the various dynasties were at the height of their power, the Chinese have tended to be far more inward looking that outward looking. So there is little evidence to support the claim. My observation for what it's worth, is that the claim is far more often advanced by countries which themselves have long histories of expansionism, imperialism and colonising other peoples' lands. So I tend to view the claim rather sceptically.

From where I sit, it makes a long more sense to see Chinese policy as a rising power gradually assuming and accumulating the influence and power of a major world power as it grows into that role. China's size population, economy and increasing diplomatic influence all entitle it to world power status and the Chinese, emerging from a backward economy and centuries of foreign oppression to a position of influence commensurate with its size and new status, tend to be understandably sensitive about that status.

Pease learn the difference between 'expansionist' in a territorial manner and 'expansionist' in an idealogical manner.
China is the latter.




MrRodgers -> RE: An Authoritarian Future? (10/30/2017 9:39:15 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Hillwilliam


quote:

ORIGINAL: tweakabelle

It might not be such a good idea to automatically attribute expansionist motives to China. The evidence (Tibet apart) to support the claim is rather thin. China lived with foreign occupation of Hong Kong for a long time, and to this day accepts that Peking's writ does not apply to Taiwan, even though it claims Taiwan as an integral part of China. It would have been relatively easy for an expansionist China to take over either HK or Taiwan had there been a will to do so. The Tibetan story is another matter, and rightly or wrongly, the Chinese regard it as an integral part of China, and their intervention there as 'liberating' the Tibetans from an oppressive medieval theocracy.

The only real evidence to support the claim is the recent Chinese efforts to mount a virtual take over and occupation of some isolated uninhabited islands in the South China Sea that have long been the subject of conflicting territorial claims by various countries in the region. In this instance, rightly or wrongly, the Chinese would claim that they are acting legitimately within Chinese borders and reject any notion of expansionism.

Historically, even when the various dynasties were at the height of their power, the Chinese have tended to be far more inward looking that outward looking. So there is little evidence to support the claim. My observation for what it's worth, is that the claim is far more often advanced by countries which themselves have long histories of expansionism, imperialism and colonising other peoples' lands. So I tend to view the claim rather sceptically.

From where I sit, it makes a long more sense to see Chinese policy as a rising power gradually assuming and accumulating the influence and power of a major world power as it grows into that role. China's size population, economy and increasing diplomatic influence all entitle it to world power status and the Chinese, emerging from a backward economy and centuries of foreign oppression to a position of influence commensurate with its size and new status, tend to be understandably sensitive about that status.

Pease learn the difference between 'expansionist' in a territorial manner and 'expansionist' in an idealogical manner.
China is the latter.

Tweak is not inaccurate but talks of the China that seeks the region and the future they lay out for it. Some parts are not relevant as Xi talks more about totalitarianism as being the 21st century role model for all future govts.

Then presumably for all of the weaker around Asia, China may use this as a way of conquer disguised as a mere intervention Soviet style with the exception this time being...the US will let them. Otherwise why give such a speech ?

What we are talking about is the NWO (yes, in its embryo) 'genius' of the US creating a beautiful state capitalism but by laws. China operates a state capitalism by direct force.

America will teach the Chinese how to let the bankers and industrialists do their thing. Then say over the next 40-50 years down the road, the US will bailout almost the Fortune 500 or even 1000 as well as wall street as necessary (to big to fail) to 'protect' the economy. (meaning as well as their asses, recall, it is heads they win,...tails you lose)

China will show the US how to spy and control the populace better and get enough nationalist dumb asses to wipe out the BoR entirely.

China does now in fact have the role model for the modern day fascist state capitalism and for the elites and the power wealth in the world, I say they are already jealous as they will all jump right on board with them.

Don't recall the centuries of foreign oppression of Hong Kong though. From BC to 1200's it was local war and civil war with an 8 yr. old boy in charge at one time.

Then the Mongols in 1270, then one of the largest immigration floods ever populated by Chinese from the mainland to escape war and famine. Then the British came yes, with opium and gun powder...in 1840.




tamaka -> RE: An Authoritarian Future? (10/30/2017 9:53:50 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Hillwilliam


quote:

ORIGINAL: tweakabelle

It might not be such a good idea to automatically attribute expansionist motives to China. The evidence (Tibet apart) to support the claim is rather thin. China lived with foreign occupation of Hong Kong for a long time, and to this day accepts that Peking's writ does not apply to Taiwan, even though it claims Taiwan as an integral part of China. It would have been relatively easy for an expansionist China to take over either HK or Taiwan had there been a will to do so. The Tibetan story is another matter, and rightly or wrongly, the Chinese regard it as an integral part of China, and their intervention there as 'liberating' the Tibetans from an oppressive medieval theocracy.

The only real evidence to support the claim is the recent Chinese efforts to mount a virtual take over and occupation of some isolated uninhabited islands in the South China Sea that have long been the subject of conflicting territorial claims by various countries in the region. In this instance, rightly or wrongly, the Chinese would claim that they are acting legitimately within Chinese borders and reject any notion of expansionism.

Historically, even when the various dynasties were at the height of their power, the Chinese have tended to be far more inward looking that outward looking. So there is little evidence to support the claim. My observation for what it's worth, is that the claim is far more often advanced by countries which themselves have long histories of expansionism, imperialism and colonising other peoples' lands. So I tend to view the claim rather sceptically.

From where I sit, it makes a long more sense to see Chinese policy as a rising power gradually assuming and accumulating the influence and power of a major world power as it grows into that role. China's size population, economy and increasing diplomatic influence all entitle it to world power status and the Chinese, emerging from a backward economy and centuries of foreign oppression to a position of influence commensurate with its size and new status, tend to be understandably sensitive about that status.

Pease learn the difference between 'expansionist' in a territorial manner and 'expansionist' in an idealogical manner.
China is the latter.


You're naive.




MrRodgers -> RE: An Authoritarian Future? (10/30/2017 11:13:40 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: tamaka


quote:

ORIGINAL: Hillwilliam


quote:

ORIGINAL: tweakabelle

It might not be such a good idea to automatically attribute expansionist motives to China. The evidence (Tibet apart) to support the claim is rather thin. China lived with foreign occupation of Hong Kong for a long time, and to this day accepts that Peking's writ does not apply to Taiwan, even though it claims Taiwan as an integral part of China. It would have been relatively easy for an expansionist China to take over either HK or Taiwan had there been a will to do so. The Tibetan story is another matter, and rightly or wrongly, the Chinese regard it as an integral part of China, and their intervention there as 'liberating' the Tibetans from an oppressive medieval theocracy.

The only real evidence to support the claim is the recent Chinese efforts to mount a virtual take over and occupation of some isolated uninhabited islands in the South China Sea that have long been the subject of conflicting territorial claims by various countries in the region. In this instance, rightly or wrongly, the Chinese would claim that they are acting legitimately within Chinese borders and reject any notion of expansionism.

Historically, even when the various dynasties were at the height of their power, the Chinese have tended to be far more inward looking that outward looking. So there is little evidence to support the claim. My observation for what it's worth, is that the claim is far more often advanced by countries which themselves have long histories of expansionism, imperialism and colonising other peoples' lands. So I tend to view the claim rather sceptically.

From where I sit, it makes a long more sense to see Chinese policy as a rising power gradually assuming and accumulating the influence and power of a major world power as it grows into that role. China's size population, economy and increasing diplomatic influence all entitle it to world power status and the Chinese, emerging from a backward economy and centuries of foreign oppression to a position of influence commensurate with its size and new status, tend to be understandably sensitive about that status.

Pease learn the difference between 'expansionist' in a territorial manner and 'expansionist' in an idealogical manner.
China is the latter.


You're naive.


Well not to put too fine of a point on this but it seems to me that the only success found in an 'expansionist ideology' would be expanding in the...manner of territory. Unless you are talking the expansion of something else.

China may well seek territory and sought Hong Kong.







heavyblinker -> RE: An Authoritarian Future? (10/30/2017 11:31:59 PM)

Hillwilliam has the right idea-- this is about ideological expansion. Putin and his team of the world's richest men have been effectively turning democracy against the west, bolstering the Eurofascist/Trump movements because their policies will benefit Russia. Why wage war when you can get what you want without firing a single shot?

https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2016/10/trump-putin-alt-right-comintern/506015/

quote:

We are now witnessing a curious phenomenon: The resurgent far-right parties in numerous Western countries, which harp incessantly on the sovereignty, independence, and world-historical uniqueness of whichever country they happen to live in, have self-organized into a transnational alt-right “comintern” that appears to be more effective than the leftist comintern of the Soviet era. No doubt this development was inevitable in the age of digital communication, but it has undeniably received a boost from the Kremlin. It also bears emphasis not only that Russia is attempting to influence politics in Western nations, but that this influence comes prepackaged with a specific ideological content.


With the US in chaos and China moving more towards a Putin-style dictatorship, it means Chinese influence in the East and Russian influence in the west.




MrRodgers -> RE: An Authoritarian Future? (10/31/2017 1:35:23 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: heavyblinker

Hillwilliam has the right idea-- this is about ideological expansion. Putin and his team of the world's richest men have been effectively turning democracy against the west, bolstering the Eurofascist/Trump movements because their policies will benefit Russia. Why wage war when you can get what you want without firing a single shot?

https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2016/10/trump-putin-alt-right-comintern/506015/

quote:

We are now witnessing a curious phenomenon: The resurgent far-right parties in numerous Western countries, which harp incessantly on the sovereignty, independence, and world-historical uniqueness of whichever country they happen to live in, have self-organized into a transnational alt-right “comintern” that appears to be more effective than the leftist comintern of the Soviet era. No doubt this development was inevitable in the age of digital communication, but it has undeniably received a boost from the Kremlin. It also bears emphasis not only that Russia is attempting to influence politics in Western nations, but that this influence comes prepackaged with a specific ideological content.


With the US in chaos and China moving more towards a Putin-style dictatorship, it means Chinese influence in the East and Russian influence in the west.


Well yes, you both could be right because even if territory is involved, China [they] embarking on a totalitarian world, is the long game and no better than a 3+ hr. speech by one of the richest fascist in the world, kick off this idealism and the new fascism that's coning.

Then, the territory becomes that much easier which is the longer game. There is territory by treaty China/Hong Kong and by a sort of defection of ideology...Russia/Crimea as Russia was practically invited in.

If this model comes to be, expect a lot more suicides.




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