LTRsubNW -> RE: You know what the best thing about being a landlord is... (9/6/2006 5:16:28 PM)
|
quote:
ORIGINAL: Chaingang http://patrick.net/housing/crash.html US Housing Crash Continues, San Francisco Bay Area Hit Hard Thu Aug 31, 2006 Why? 1. Prices disconnected from fundamentals. House prices are far beyond any historically known relationship to rents or salaries. Rents are less than half of mortgage payments. Salaries cannot cover mortgages except in the very short term, by using adjustable interest-only loans. ... 10. Lightbulbs going on in many brains in the Bay Area: "Hey, I can move to New Mexico or Oregon, buy a gorgeous house outright, and comfortably retire on the price difference. My neighbors just did it, so I'll have friends there too." ----- I can confirm those bits there - observations I have noted for some time. Let's say you buy a $400K home of about 2,000 sq. ft. with 3-4 beds, 2 baths, two car garage, and yard with jungle gym. Perfect for a family of 4. You put 25% down and cover $100K, financing the rest for 30 years. That's a ballpark $2K a month mortgage. Where I live it would be fairly average to rent that for $1200-1500 per month. and maybe it just shows my age or the degree to which I am out of touch, but that's a lot to pay in rent. I'd hope the family was making at least $5-6K per month to throw away that kind of bread in rent. The houses stay for sale for quite some time now. People still want that bubble money that will not be forthcoming... No offense meant Chaingang, but the only difference between the article you link, your arguments (which are currently, extremely valid) and those made in 1932, 1943, 1957, 1968, 1979, and 1991 are/is...the date on the article. By that I simply mean, your (well made) argument has been made in every one of the above noted years. Granted, there are times when purchasing real estate is and has been, for a time disadvantageous, but at only one time in U.S. history has real estate been a bad investment over a 10 year span (during and shortly after the civil war, for those who want to do the research, and then only because we didn't have, at that time, consistent state to state laws pertaining to transfer of title, making a sale of a deed at best, suspect). Every time that we've had scenarios where real estate values have outstripped both incomes and rental value comparitives, the roar of unrequited renters has exclaimed "OMFG!!! How will the next generation/my kids/your kids/anyone ever get a place of their own????" And yet, every doggone time, they always do. Which should by the way (with some very minor temporary exceptions) suggest...there truly is no such thing as a bad time to buy real estate. The sooner, the better. One other historical tidbit...thousands of fortunes have been made outside of real estate. Very few have been maintained without it.
|
|
|
|