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CrappyDom -> RE: US Foreign Policy (8/31/2006 10:17:52 AM)
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As long as our energy comes from foreign lands and we need raw materials only available oversees, we cannot be isolationists. It is a sophomoric pipe dream that only seems workable to those with too little understanding of the world to see otherwise.
That said, we DO have a choice of how to be involved. Making it clear to the rest of the world that we will do whatever the fuck we want to works fine for about a decade and then they rest band together and tell US to fuck off.
Bush's foreign policy incompetence has done nothing but weaken our hand overseas. We are impotent to deal with Iran. The military is spent, we are having to recall old men and women to bolster the military enough to make a half hearted showing in Iraq and only idiots think airpower can deal with Iran.
Iran, KNOWS we need her to keep pumping oil and Iran and the rest of the world know she can shut down shipping in the Straights of Hormuz enough to cause havoc in the worlds oil markets. Before the idiots say "we don't get our oil from Iran" oil is a commodity and as such goes to the highest bidder and that is increasingly China/Walmart. In other words, Bush is playing fish and Iran is playing as shrewd a game of poker as can be played and boy have we been played.
Iran will get the bomb, Iran will keep them safe because they are not dumb enough to use, and Iran, not our allies Saudi Arabia will become the dominant ME power. Iran is shrewd, they whine and bitch about Israel but had no problem doing secret arms deals with them when it benefited them. They know Israel can and would wipe them out with a second strike, Iran wants the bomb to protect themselves from us and since the rest of the world isn't as dumb as the American public, they are not about to get anywhere near an idiot strike on Iran.
However, we MUST strike Iran, well not "we" as in the sense of the citizens, but Bush needs to. Iran will strike back at us in all sorts of ways because they know we don't have the ground army capable of dealing them and they can tie down what we have left of an army in Iraq with a phone call just as they did Israel. Bush needs terrorist strikes on American soil in order to stave off losing congress and thus impeachment and perhaps a few trials of treason thrown in for good measure. They know the evil they have done and have no interest in paying the price for it. So they need to attack Iran and kick over a hornets nest.
The real question is how does Iran see it. While it is true Bush has done more for Iran than she could ever have hoped, Bush is unwilling to do what Iran wants which is readmit her to the West. Democrats just might do that, it would be like the taming of China that Nixon and Clinton did. So Iran, if she was smart would step up pressure in Iraq a tiny bit, ensure it is a huge mess but not big enough to get caught. Then, just like they did with Raygun, make a secret deal that changes the American political landscape.
Oh, the world is an interesting place...
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