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Mercnbeth -> RE: "Chicken Little" - An AccuWeather Tale... (11/27/2006 11:55:22 AM)
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philosophy,
My point is150 years of history is relatively no history. A thousand or two thousand years is not much better. Go back 5,000 years and there is evidence that the location of the Sphinx was in the middle of a rain forest. All these time periods are nanoseconds in context of world history or better yet, solar system history.
I don't find my answers, or base my position, upon prejudicial treatise from either side of the debate. Rather, reading about the Norse pre-European "discovery" of North America, I learned that the reason for their expansion was a rapid and dramatic rise in temperature causing a population growth, and milder living conditions. When I read Caesar's diaries of the conquest of northern England I wondered about his compliments regarding English wine. When I looked into the 'birth' of western culture formed during the Renaissance I noted that one of the causes was fewer people were dying due to milder weather causing a longer growing cycle. It's difficult to assign blame for the warming to oil companies or even the Republicans.
With the benefit of computer models we are now subject to "experts" providing predictions with absolute certainty. Who programmed to model? Using the terms "respectable" or "funded by oil companies" to describe the contrary position doesn't validate it for me anymore than the litany of contrary positions I can link to will validate it for you. Would it serve any purpose to point to the fact that many of these same, un-oil company affiliated, and respectable scientists were the same one predicting that 1970's ice age? Bottom line, both positions can only be proved in the negative.
The purpose of the OP was to point to the inaccuracy, at least for this past year, for the professed absolute certainty. I'm open to the possibility of being wrong. I've yet to see anyone from the global warming side allow for such a event. Sooner or later if Accuweather says the big storm will come next year - it will. Was there global warming in 1938 when the last big one, referenced in the article, hit the east coast? Similar to the earthquake "big one" coming to my neighborhood, when it happens there will be many able to say; "I told you so!" However I'm not going to plan my day, or my life, around it happening today.
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