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Rumtiger -> RE: China asat test (1/19/2007 3:42:53 PM)
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quote:
ORIGINAL: WyrdRich
The Chinese economy is based on our economy. Full-blown war with us is the last thing they want. Take a look around yourself. Chances are very good that something within five feet of you says "Made in China" (check your stapler and pen drawer).
What the Chinese do want, is Taiwan back. Seems like they are closer to that capability.
I expect this story will wither and die like so many about China and space before it. It's inconvenient to the Clinton Legacy.
I'll refer you to a different post on the subject from another board:
Neither the US nor China want to go to war with each other, but it is very likely they will be dragged into a war for many reasons. First and foremost from a realist perspective, everytime there is a major shift in balance of power between states there is the potential for conflict either directly or by proxy. China's status as a global power in the next few decades and possibly as a superpower in the future will cause the greatest shift in power in human history, due to its large population. The prospect of a peaceful transition in power between the US and China is as likely as the Earth stopping and spinning backwards. Second, China's economy is growing FAST, and economies need energy to grow. Oil is a finite resource and other emerging economies with large populations such as India are creating a big "squeeze" for oil. If China does not secure enough oil its economy will "suffocate" and fall apart. With the US engaged in the Persian Gulf, and Russia having the Caspian Sea in its backyard, China is forced to lay claim to the oil reserves in the South China Sea to survive. According to the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Seas, states can claim an exclusize economic zone 200 miles offshore. To claim an exclusive economic zone in the South China Sea, China claimed the Spratly Islands, which run across the South China Sea, and Taiwan. Therefore Taiwan is vital to China's survival, they do not want Taiwan merely as an ideological pursuit of unification. Even if Taiwan does not declare its independence, China will eventually be forced to seize Taiwan dragging the United States into war.
Throughout history, economic interdependence between countries has never prevented them from going to war with each other. Going to to war with another country does not necesarily mean going into total war and destroying its economy.
Okay now back to Tiger...
I dont want to go into another oil and war thing [which goes on and on and on...] but there is one possibility there. Another could be just plain out fear, fear is what drove the previous "competition" and it could just be the same here.
And then again as much as it may get Chinese Generals hard, it could just be as appealing to own us instead of sell us Nikes.
oh wait, those are made in Vietnam.
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