FirmhandKY
Posts: 8948
Joined: 9/21/2004 Status: offline
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Ah, Slavetrainer .... I was withholding comment because while I suspected where you were going, I didn't want to assume to quickly, although its obvious that a few others saw it as well, and beat me to the "punch" so to speak. I've got a lot of comments I could make, but will only focus on a few points. quote:
ORIGINAL: Slavetrainer2007 I believe in global warming, for two reasons: "Belief" is a very tricky thing. Since you are educated in 8th grade science, would you mind explaining the scientific method to me, in short, easy to read sentences? My first concern is how you define "global warming". What exactly is it that you "believe in"? Without a good statement of a hypothesis, it is difficult to either support or question any facts related to your belief about "global warming". quote:
ORIGINAL: Slavetrainer2007 1) IT can and has been proved time and time again. Since I've no idea what "IT" is, exactly, I can't support or deny your claim. Null hypothesis so far. quote:
ORIGINAL: Slavetrainer2007 This is like darwins theory on evolution compared to the bible thumpers belief that "adam and eve" was made by god. I have yet for a bible thumper to explain to me where the cave man came from and his ancestors. Yet darwins theory seems to prove we evolved over many thousands of years from a primative ape like( or in darwins case apes themselves) existance to the one now. Furthermore, biblethumpers failed to explain to me how did those big things we call dinosaurs end up buried in our dirt? I can look at global warming theory versus no global warming and i can prove the climate is changing and the ozone is being depleted at a faster rate than it can be regenerated. I can prove when you put CO in the same space as O3 they combine and thus you no longer have O2. I cant prove other theories. Very strong on the anti-Christian rhetoric. Very weak on the full exposition of what your facts actually mean in context of to your assertions, however. Two examples: 1. i can prove ... the ozone is being depleted at a faster rate than it can be regenerated. 2. I can prove when you put CO in the same space as O3 they combine and thus you no longer have O2. Some of the latest data on ozone is that it is recovering and will return to "normal" levels within the next century, based on current models, including ones that include "global warming". However, even the relatively simply "facts" about the natural ozone depletion and regeneration isn't something that is totally understood. There are still surprises. Sun's Temper Blamed for Arctic Ozone Loss 01 March 2005 In a new study, scientists conclude that an intense round of solar storms around Halloween in 2003 was at the root of the problem. Charged particles from the storms triggered chemical reactions that increased the formation of extra nitrogen in the upper stratosphere, some 20 miles up. Nitrogen levels climbed to their highest in at least two decades. ... "This decline was completely unexpected," said Cora Randall, a physicist at the University of Colorado, Boulder who led the study. "The findings point out a critical need to better understand the processes occurring in the ozone layer." And, since your are linking ozone depletion to "global warming": Ozone depletion and global warming Although they are often interlinked in the mass media, the connection between global warming and ozone depletion is not strong. So, tell me ... will global warming increase or decrease as the ozone layer? Or will a depleting ozone layer add to or subtract from "global warming"? How much and what is the mechanism, and how can you "prove" it? I'll accept a very simplified explanation. For your point #2, my main question would be ... so what? How does this "prove" "global warming"? I can make the observation that when you put anti-freeze in a cage with a cat, the cat will drink it and die. My conclusion is therefore that all cats will go extinct in any society that uses antifreeze. Basic fact is correct (antifreeze is poisonous to cats). Conclusion from said basic fact isn't. quote:
ORIGINAL: Slavetrainer2007 2)I see the climate change happening with my own eyes. I noticed it before i really took notice to global warming at all. I notice because i work outside in it every single day. snow in april, 60 degrees on christmas, one day im wearing a t shirt the next coveralls. Tornados all over the place. Not a few here and their like when i was a kid. Lots of tornados. Storms coming out of nowhere( unstable atmosphere) , etc. I notice the change because i have to work it in 8-10-12 hours a day. summers are hotter winters are milder. wildfires and droughts like crazy. tsumamis, hurricanes, flooding on the east coast drought on the west. ...Im very weather observant. I see the changes. I'm sorry but these assertions are the very hallmarks of a individual without a basis of understanding of what science is. This is all called anecdotal evidence and is ... well ... basically useless in scientific inquiry and as a scientific proof of a hypothesis. It opens up any conclusions you make from them to confirmation bias at the very least. DO NOT USE ANECDOTAL EVIDENCE TO PROVE A POINT in a scientific argument. quote:
ORIGINAL: Slavetrainer2007 I know from history climate changes like we have experienced even int he last 30 years dont happen in 30 years... not even 100. it takes several hundred years for the climate to change as much as it has in the last 30. Otherwise nature couldnt adapt and everything would die. This is more than likely going to be one of those issues where in 100 years global warming activist say i told you so. and their will still be those that say , no thats impossible cause when water evoparates it goes into space Ahh, what do you mean by "I know from history climate changes like we have experienced even int he last 30 years dont happen in 30 years... not even 100."? What "climate changes are you talking about? Your anecdotal observations of weather? Are you aware of the difference between weather variablity and climate variability? Hell, there's more, but that's all I have the patience for right now. If you really get curious about how people can deceive themselves, there is a starting point: List of cognitive biases. FirmKY
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Some people are just idiots.
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