LadyEllen
Posts: 10931
Joined: 6/30/2006 From: Stourport-England Status: offline
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From what I recall of what was said on BBC's Newsnight programme last night, we have only around 7000 troops in Iraq at the moment, compared to the tens of thousands the US has. Of those 7000, I would guess that at most half will be actual combat troops out on the streets (H amongst them), with the rest being logistical, medical, catering and other support. In addition, our troops have handed over all but one province in the south now. This means that the insurgents would be looking for one person amongst only say, 3500, in a comparatively small area. Given the size of UK regiments, this would mean that those 3500 combat troops would come from say 3-5 regiments. As an insurgent, I'd quite fancy my chances of finding the target given a few weeks, let alone the months of the tour during which H's regiments will be there. My chances improve no end, in that its likely that only about 50% of that 3500 will be on the streets at one time, at the most, and one can bet that some media or another will pay highly for details about his tour and whereabouts and I will be able to read all about it when someone sells their story about him for thousands of pounds to some newspaper that has no interest for the security situation; media being a worldwide affair these days. Much has very rightly been said about the increased danger to H's unit, indeed to his whole regiment. But also to consider is the incalculably large propaganda coup it would be for the insurgents to kill or preferably capture him. The question then arises, in what is a new form of war, why hand one's enemy such a golden opportunity? It would be the same situation for AQ if OBL was to take part personally in open view. If he were foolish enough to do so and we killed or captured him, how would the reaction be from our side I wonder? Also to consider is the issue of community relations in the UK, which are not at their best between Muslims and the rest of us. Were H to go, and be killed or captured, then the dangers from public reaction could be disastrous. Not that many here are great monarchists, nor that anyone particularly loves H, but in terms of the perceived attack and insult to the whole nation, because like it or not, H is not like one of the many ordinary soldiers being killed every week out there. E
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In a test against the leading brand, 9 out of 10 participants couldnt tell the difference. Dumbasses.
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