RE: Advanced technology (Full Version)

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pahunkboy -> RE: Advanced technology (1/6/2008 7:25:34 AM)

Seeing tmovies with cordless phones looks so dated. lol




samboct -> RE: Advanced technology (1/6/2008 8:52:59 AM)

Hi Philosophy

Glad to know that somebody's enjoying my blathering here.  Yah, I've read Alfie Bester- and I too have haunted many a sci-fi bookshelf quite happily.  I've discovered biblio.com which seems to be a cheap and easy way to pick up titles out of print- my most recent purchase was "The Long Run" by Daniel Keyes Moran.

Science Fiction is a very broad genre, and although it often gets divided into two camps, "hard sci fi" and "soft sci fi" there's lots of blurring.  Jules Verne's style of using only existing science prinicples and extrapolating runs out of steam when it comes to exploring the stars.  So far, we don't have a clue as to how to get faster than light, and on a human time scale, star travel is problematic.  Some of Larry Niven's stuff is based on hard science such as Bussard ramjets, solar sails, etc.  but other parts of his work aren't- such as teleportation disks or chambers.  We don't have the slightest clue how to do any of the tele stuff I mentioned, and in many cases, it would violate existing physical laws such as conservation of momentum.  Thus, while I wholeheartedly agree that Bester's "Demolished Man" counts as good SF (didn't it win a Hugo- one of the more useful awards out there- anything that wins a Hugo is generally at least well done, whether or not you like it.), it's NOT in the style of Jules Verne, i.e. based on hard science.  On the other hand, I scratch my head a lot when people classify much of U.K Leguin or Anne McAffery as science fiction- to me it's more fantasy since it often deals with magic explicitly.  But this is also where SF runs into a classification problem, as another name for teleportation, telekinetics etc is magic-it's so far removed from possibility and has so little scientific underpinnings that it might as well be magic.

Moloch- EyesOpened.  Flying adds chlorine to the gene pool.  Another name for the Bonanza is "doctor killer"-although lawyers work just as well.

While personalized flying transport might indeed be practical, I'm pretty sure the Moller Sky Car ain't it.  Also- airplanes use a lot more fuel than cars.  A Cessna 150 with a 100 hp engine burns about 8-10 gallons per hour (I think this is right- might be in the 6-8 gph range) and cruises at about 100 mph.  Hence, as the crow flies- it's going to get about 12-15 mpg tops.  This is because the airplane's slowest cruise is at about 65% power or 65 hp.  If you look at a car- cruising at 60 mph, it's probably doing so on around 20 hp, so it's a factor of 3 less.  As an example, my Focus has a 10 gallon tank, does 300 gallons on it (give or take) and at 70 mph would take about 4.5 hours to burn through the tank, or a bit more than 2.25 gph.  Cars have much larger horsepower reserves than aircraft- hence any airplane is going to gobble more fuel.

However, if we're indulging in a bit of SF speculation- then what happens if people decide not to live in cities because of heat trapping, and decide that living more dispersed is nicer.  The internet gets better, and people find that they're more comfortable interacting electronically rather than face to face.  Solar cells get cheap and efficient (see Nanosolar) we develop efficient either battery or flywheel storage, and all of a sudden, energy is pretty cheap, so we have battery powered aircraft instead of liquid fuel.  (Hey, I'm a model airplane builder- I got rid of my internal combustion engines and replaced them with electric motors- my airplanes are lots quieter and often fly better too.  This technology is practical, just needs to be scaled up.)  Since we're living farther apart, houses with individual airports make more sense, and we fly to visit each other- similar as lots of folks do in the Western States.  Alaska's also got lots of airplanes.  But for airplanes to be more practical on the East Coast, we'd need better instrument flying capability (you want to talk about out of date?  a 1950s airplane design, the Cessna 172 costs over $100k and has a primitive instrument panel and communications capability- thanks to the FAA and the legal industry.) because the weather still kills lots of pilots.

Sam




eyesopened -> RE: Advanced technology (1/6/2008 8:59:51 AM)

Here's an interesting tidbit of information:
http://www.ecogeek.org/content/view/477/

http://cafefoundation.org/v2/pav_home.php





faerytattoodgirl -> RE: Advanced technology (1/6/2008 9:06:32 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: luckydog1

Flying cars are planed to be sold staring Jan 1 09.  You can put a deposit on one now http://www.moller.com/skycar.htm  Though whether they will get sold in the USA is debatable.  Drunk drivers in the air?  There is a huge amount of un commercialized technology out there already.  Amazing things are being done in labs all the time.  Getting society to adopt a new technology is the hard part.

One (but not the only) thing holding new technology back is the "Betamax" syndrome.  No one wants to invest billions of dollars, only to have a different standard adopted.  Or something much better comes along.


That looks like a plane...thats no car.  and its a million bucks...pfft.
i want a flying ferrari or a porsche or  something cheaper like a flying corvette!





Alumbrado -> RE: Advanced technology (1/6/2008 11:16:45 AM)

Great OP... it has managed to unite the conspiracy woo-woos with the pontificating guardians of 'Twue Science Fiction'[sm=book.gif]




bipolarber -> RE: Advanced technology (1/6/2008 11:46:27 AM)

Thinking about the future is becoming a survival skill. Some of us who have been looking forward, have been preparing for what's about to come for quite some time. The things I've been preparing against:

> possible outbreak of a major disease: (I've moved to the country, and taken a job that's not connected to the medical industry.)

> Fuel supplies becoming scarce: (I've done a "grease car" conversion on my pickup. I can now get a month's supply of biodiesel from behind any one of several fast food places in town. For free.)

> drinking water becoming scarce: (I've scrounged several large horse trough tanks and rigged them to catch rain water, and fill from the creek when it's running. They will help insure that my garden continues to grow in the hottest driest months. I also bought a water filter system that actually purifies drinking water by converting it to stream, then allowing ot to re-condense after passing through a set of filters. I can run creek water through this thing, and it'll be better quality water coming out the other side than most municipal supplies. )

> guns. (have several)

> two week supply of non perishable foods.

I don't consider myself a "survivalist" by any means. I've just grown up in Illinois, and been within 100 yards of a major tornado, I've lived in Denver and have been trapped by blizzards. A friend of mine was in Thailand when the tsunami hit. (she's okay) Several people I've become friends with here in my hometown are refugees from Katrina. Odds are that something will hit the fan, which will impact you, during your lifetime. Being an ex boy scout, (it's where I learned how to tie knots) I like to be prepared.

The tech crap is fun to think about, and I'm in line at the store like everyone else when some new gadget hits the shelves. I watch "gadget pron" on g4's "Attack of the Show" regularly... but I still put basic survival issues ahead of the "gee, I wish I had a transporter" stuff all the time.

Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.






came4U -> RE: Advanced technology (1/6/2008 1:15:29 PM)

quote:

Great OP... it has managed to unite the conspiracy woo-woos


I resemble that remark.

but, one example is the HAARP program, When (if ever) will the reason that proggy exists be revealed, is it for climate control or other...

but, on an offnote, look at the position of your right hand (or lefty) and move the mouse about, up, down, side to side....

what you are doing and the position your hand is in is no different from using a stick to poke at a fire. Many thousand of years of evolution and we sit mezmerized by our monitors as work or play(cooking or entertainment).  How nutty is that for a conspiracy to keep us less brilliant than what should be possible? lol

also, so lets say the next phase is merely our gaze being read by the computer monitor itself and we are able to open/close programs with our sight, do you really want a computer that can read your sight-to-thought actions?

See what happens when you become addicted to George Noory and Art Bell? lol




CuriousLord -> RE: Advanced technology (1/6/2008 1:36:58 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: eyesopened

quote:

ORIGINAL: CuriousLord

quote:

ORIGINAL: faerytattoodgirl

Why are we not using flying cars or skateboards( like in back to the future)yet? Will we ever?


A flying car? Do you know how much energy it consumes to fly? We're already practically breaking the world's resources with far more efficient terrestrial vechiles!



Could you please cite your sources for this? Flying takes very little energy actually. Look at gliders and hang-gliders and kites. Did not the Wright brothers use a bicycle to obtain the speed for lift? A sail on a sailboat uses only wind energy...it's the airfoil itself that provides the motion. Hover-trains are using magnets with a very low level of energy being used. You may want to look into this a little further. Of course, i'm sure i am totally mistaken by all of this so if you could cite your sources so i can become better educated on how lift cannot be achieved by any other method than expendable resources i would appreciate it.


*Sigh.* I'm so tired of having to explain simple things. You should, by common sense, know that light-weight objects are very different from, say, you, the family, and the luggage that they might be taking somewhere.

The simplistic gravity equation is F = mg, with a force pointing towards the center of mass of the source in question; in this case, approximately, Earth's center of mass. This must be counteracted by a force of equal magnitude and opposite magnitude.. or, in coloqual, a gravity-strenght force pushing up.

Now, lift. Lift, if we take Bernoulli's Principle as an approximation in the ideal, equates lift to the integral of product the pressure constant and the normal unit vector pointing into the wing, dotted by the vertical unit vector to the freestream direction, with respect to the instance of wing surface area.

So, you know, we get this whole thing going where the normal force dotted by the wing per area must counteract gravity, which grows proportionally with lift. For a wing, of course. Now, I hope you can see wings aren't exactly a viable choice.

But, of course, there are other ways to stay up. So let's look at it more basically, k?


You need about mgh to get up to an altitude. Notice that this increases porportionally with weight. Note the pressure differences only degrade this considerably at very low densities- which a balloon has, which your body doesn't. Note that lift increases proportionally, which is not that great from a car-sized object.


Or, on an even more basic level..

An aircar would have to acount for gravitational energy ontop of everything else, which can't be viably surficiently reduced by lift, and therefore must be supported by the car's energy supplies, in a way similar to a helicopter.

Would you humor me in guessing a helicopter's fuel economy?




SL4V3M4YB3 -> RE: Advanced technology (1/6/2008 1:53:02 PM)

All I want is a clothes heater to warm up my clothes. Is that too much to ask? I usually use the Microwave but sometimes the socks come out a bit stiff and also you have to walk down to the kitchen and put your clothes in. You get more cold by going down to the kitchen to put your clothes in the microwave. So can we have some microwave based heating device suitable for bathrooms?




SL4V3M4YB3 -> RE: Advanced technology (1/6/2008 1:57:14 PM)

I think flying cars would be based more around the principles of them blimps with the light weight gas in. There is more than one way to skin a cat and you need to take off without runway etc. Also we already have flying cars and they are called helicopters.[8|]




philosophy -> RE: Advanced technology (1/6/2008 2:00:55 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: samboct

But this is also where SF runs into a classification problem, as another name for teleportation, telekinetics etc is magic-it's so far removed from possibility and has so little scientific underpinnings that it might as well be magic.




......oh thanks for the set up Samboct.....
"Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic"  Arthur C Clarke

[:D]

......i am reminded of an old joke, how do you tell the psychology grad students? They're the ones in the white coats saying, "we are soooo scientists".
While i recognise the old hard SF/soft SF dichotomy, the problem nowadays is what is a science? Can economics be science? Psychology? Linguistics? If so, then we have a situation where many books could be defined as SF.
Mind you, the only use for such a definition is to do with where the books are catalogued.....at the end of the day, it's all literature [:)]




SL4V3M4YB3 -> RE: Advanced technology (1/6/2008 2:02:39 PM)

Besides apparently when we discover the god partial we can in theory change the properties of objects making them mass less. Thus some kind of partial field will be used to alter the mass of the craft thus less force to lift. I'm just worried about the occupants having no mass either.




SL4V3M4YB3 -> RE: Advanced technology (1/6/2008 2:11:09 PM)

Plus I want the doors in my house to slide open and make a ssssuuuussshhh noise.[8|]




Zensee -> RE: Advanced technology (1/6/2008 3:06:43 PM)

Oops! Someone better tell these guys that teleportation can't work - http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/3811785.stm

Of course they need to scale the process up a few orders of magnitude...

Then there's all of Nikola Tesla's patents and plans that went missing (into the hands of the FBI) after his death. And if it weren't for that thieving weasel Thomas Edison, in the first place, we would have benefited from more of  Tesla's genius. Even if only a fraction of Tesla's wireless energy applications had been fully developed he would have invented the 21st century too (he's not called the "the man who invented the twentieth century" for nothing).

So yeah there are things under wraps but probably not anything mind boggingly remarkable or magical seeming, just things that would improve lives without allowing some bastard absolute control over access.


Z.




bipolarber -> RE: Advanced technology (1/6/2008 3:28:36 PM)

Another thing the US government has kept from us: the work of Wilhelm Reich. The man who invented the concept of the "Orgone" (that energy field that all living things create... it surrounds us, and binds us, and it holds the universe together...) sound familliar? You can still find three or four of his books on library shelves, although the real guts of his work was confiscated, locked away, or burned. The crux of it all was he was saying that sex is good for you, and orgasm acts as a sort of psychic "release valve" to excess energies in the body.

Apparently, the government felt the work was too radical. If people followed the idea that sex was fun, and orgasm was good for you, they might be happy, and stop buying stuff to make themselves feel happy. They might stop going to churches, and listening to "authority." Worst of all, they might be so happy they would start to question why they should go fight wars....

So they burned it, and discredited him.

Go figure.




FangsNfeet -> RE: Advanced technology (1/6/2008 3:58:42 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: christine1

i'm just hoping they come up with that little thing from the old star trek shows that made whatever drink or food you wanted.  i'd be punching in the code for tiramisu and black coffee at the moment if i had one those hehe.


What about the halo deck? Now there's something to always wish for. How can it be called cheating if no one is actually real?




samboct -> RE: Advanced technology (1/6/2008 7:30:39 PM)

Hi Philosophy

Hmm, don't psychologists salivate when a dog rings a bell?

When an economist invents something useful, I'll believe that there can be economic science fiction.  However, to date, all economics can be regarded as fiction, with no science in sight.

Sam




Termyn8or -> RE: Advanced technology (1/6/2008 9:55:30 PM)

CL, where the fuck are you when you are needed ? Fuck it I'll take care of it.

After the problem of energy-matter-energy-matter thing is resolved just where do you finally convert it to matter ?

When it is converted to matter it must occupy the same velocity space as it environment. That means tracking the equivalent of two moving objects, even on the surface of the Earth. The energy beam is not likely to pass through the Earth so it will have to be bounced around either by satellite or ionosphere. Neither is very safe.

And what they did at that university was not teleportation. Take another read if needed. It was not.

I agree about the force needed for a flying car, it is impractical at this time, and shall remain so until we find a way to negate gravity. The only way I can think of doing that in THIS universe is to negate mass. Once done the wonders will flow. Once out of mass we can travel at many times the speed of light, but not until. There is no way.

I stand on what I say, I don't need some MF at MIT to reiterate it, to validate it. It ain't gonna happen soon, and that is all there is to it.The technology, that is after a couple of discoveries, will be mind bending. It is not going to happen in any of our lifetimes. That is that.

T




Zensee -> RE: Advanced technology (1/7/2008 12:46:38 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Termyn8or

I agree about the force needed for a flying car, it is impractical at this time, and shall remain so until we find a way to negate gravity. The only way I can think of doing that in THIS universe is to negate mass.



You could transmit operating power to the vehicle from a remote source.

RE article: Whether what the US and Austrian labs did was teleportation depends largely on your definition of the term ( it is a bit messy). But one of the researchers refers to the process as teleportation.

"We are able to teleport in a deliberate way - that is, at the push of a button. This has been done before, but not in such a way that you can keep the information there at the end."

Are we our atoms or are we the arrangement that they are in? Or something other?


Z.


Z.






shallowdeep -> RE: Advanced technology (1/7/2008 3:33:41 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: eyesopened

Could you please cite your sources for this? Flying takes very little energy actually.

eyesopened,

I'll try to take a stab at this that doesn't require a background in fluid mechanics (no offense, CL) and hopefully clarifies things a bit, as the issue is complex and you actually do have a point worth examining.

In designing a transportation system you either stay on the ground and deal with friction, or lift off and deal with the force of gravity directly.* The invention of the wheel made dealing with friction a pretty good choice, and paved roads only helped. The losses from rolling friction between rubber and asphalt can vary but are around 3% of the gravitational force acting on the object.

In contrast, lifting off the ground appears to mean you have to deal with the full force of gravitation, or losses equal to 100% of the gravitational force on the object, just to stay in the air. The wing helps out with this by tackling the problem from a different angle, literally. The sky is full of air and by, essentially, angling the flow of air to create higher pressure below the wing and lower pressure above it you can get more lift than the thrust you put in. Of course you need to spend some energy redirecting the airflow, which results in drag losses. Maximizing the lift while minimizing the drag is the major goal in wing aerodynamics, which gets complex, but the efficiency can be found simply enough in the ratio of lift to drag (L/D ratio). The Boeing 767, a relatively modern design, has an L/D ratio of around 18. This means the plane has losses of about 5.6% of the gravitational force, which is actually in the same ballpark as a car. L/D ratios top out at around 60, which is actually more efficient that a wheeled car, but there are usually some undesirable tradeoffs.

Unfortunately, the single greatest factor in wing design is probably area. While a 767 can afford 283.3 square meters of it, a vehicle designed for personal transport probably can't, even when scaling the design down proportionately. Helicopter main rotors are just small wings (with angular rather than linear motion) and may offer a more reasonable expectation of a hypothetical flying car's efficiency. According to Principles of Helicopter Aerodynamics By J. Gordon Leishman, an L/D ratio of 4.5 is typical in forward flight. That's around 22% losses, which means you would need around seven times the fuel of an earth bound car of the same mass.

Of course, flight does offer some advantages for fuel economy: you can generally take a more direct, shorter route, there is no wasteful starting and stopping or idling, and the engine can be kept at a relatively constant and efficient cruising speed.

A flying car based transport system could work, at least in theory. Fuel efficiency would be on the same order of magnitude as the current transportation system and infrastructure costs could be substantially less, pushing an economics argument onto the fringes of plausibility. With that said, it's not going to happen anytime soon. Vehicle complexity would be higher and, as a result, vehicle cost would go up and reliability and safety would go down. Fuel consumption would increase, if perhaps only marginally. We would be better served improving the safety and efficiency of the existing system than developing a new and, admittedly, cooler way of killing ourselves.

What I'd personally really like to see is an autonomous road network. Handing the wheel over to computers could eliminate most of the starting/stopping/idling losses while cutting into the 40,000+ annual traffic fatalities in the US. It's a goal that isn't too far from out present technology. That is some science fiction that I'd like to see become a reality.

*A note about maglev trains, which you mentioned: Magnetic levitation trains try to get the best of both worlds. They leave the track and friction behind, but only by a very small amount, generally less than a couple of centimeters. As a result, the dynamics are quite at bit different than atmospheric flight and my imperfect understanding is that the train rides a cushion of compressed air trapped in the thin gap between it and the ground with very low drag/high efficiency. This site claims fuel economy of 2.2 liters/100 passenger-km = ~110 passenger-miles per gallon at 400 km/h and 1.1 liters/100 passenger-km = ~210 passenger-miles per gallon. By way of comparison a Boeing 767 gets around 58 passenger-miles per gallon.

quote:


ORIGINAL: eyesopened

Did not the Wright brothers use a bicycle to obtain the speed for lift?

No. While Wilbur and Oliver had a background in bicycles, their Flyer used an internal combustion engine. As I remember, it was one of the more difficult design problems as none of the existing engines provided a high enough power/mass ratio. They had to get one custom built. It wasn't until the 1970's that materials advanced to the point that a (barely) workable bicycle powered plane was built.

With regard to the original post (to which I feel somewhat obligated to respond after this digression), I don't really think the government is holding that much back. After all, they draw employees from the same talent pool as the private sector, with the same skills and knowledge. What the government does have is the ability to throw a ton of money at a problem with no requirement for monetary return. The result tends to be systems that integrate existing state of the art technology well (sometimes, at least) and some nice evolutionary improvements to the state of the art. When breakthroughs do occur, the concept - if not all the details - tend to make it out in relatively short order. I agree with samboct that the government doesn't have the competence to simultaneously use and hide the existence of a new technology for long.

-shallowdeep

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
I'm still waiting for the flying car a Scholastic Reader promised me in 5 years... when I was in 3rd grade.




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