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RE: Fuck You Chavez - 2/11/2008 5:57:09 AM   
Owner59


Posts: 17033
Joined: 3/14/2006
From: Dirty Jersey
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Muttling

quote:

ORIGINAL: Owner59

quote:

ORIGINAL: Muttling

IMO, a don't buy gas day would have absolutely no impact.   Everyone would simply load up the day before and the day after.   The overall consumption for the month would go unchanged.   If you want to put the squeeze on them, start getting frugal with your fuel consumption.

As for Chavez, he's a Mussolini wanna be.  Just look to his ties to Iran and his repeated sabre rattling.  The sad part is that letting him cut off U.S. oil won't have an impact on his economy since his oil will be sold on the open market then resold to us.   If he want to play this game then we can easily rattle up the pressure with other economic games, but it's a game we must be careful at playing.    Give him enough rope and let him hang himself, don't usher him to the gallows or we will look like the antigonists to much of the world.


Muttling,


One of the claims of oil companies, is that tight supply periods are responsible the super high prices.



The issue of tight supply periods is more one of refinery capacity than crude oil supply and that's what makes the prices so unstable.   None of the oil companies hold reserves of crude OR refined fuel sizeable enough to stabalize the prices.

Frankly, there is absolutely ZERO economic reason for them to do so as storing such reserves are extremely expensive.

What's more, the refinery capacity is the real choke point in the system and our demand is currently bumping into the limits of refinery capacity.  When ONE refinery goes off line for scheduled maintenance it puts our supply in a huge lurch.  

While most want to blame the oil companies, the reason for this problem really isn't the fault of the oil companies.   It takes 20 to 30 years a billions of dollars to put a new refinery on line.   They simply can't afford the cost of it unless they want to build one in a third world country where political stability create enormous risk.  Once they build it in such a place, they will get massive political backlash for outsourcing it where the environmental laws aren't as stiff.   (No one bothers to think that it's those same laws that make it unfeasible to build one in a developed country.)

In short, it's a HUGE catch 22 for everyone.  The oil companies' answer is to try to expand capacity of existing refineries, but that can only go so far.

The whole situation is a massive mess of politics, capitalism, and manipulation.   The oil companies AND a multitude of governments are to blame for it.   What's more, we will be out of oil in another 100 years so we really do need to be serious about alternative fuels technology for a variety of reasons.


I was referring to gasoline,not crude.But your points are well taken.

Especially the cluster fuck and eventual run-out date,give or take a few decades.

Oil companies have been making out like bandits and have no incentive to improve things.

They are not going to be partners in our energy independence and a better energy future.They are going to be (as they have been)the obstructionists and bad faith players,not good citizens.

The only way they would be involved,is if they were making money doing it.Only a profit motive well propel them to work for energy independence and alternate energy sources.

However,the profit motive has done just the opposite and drives the status quo.


< Message edited by Owner59 -- 2/11/2008 5:58:47 AM >

(in reply to Muttling)
Profile   Post #: 61
RE: Fuck You Chavez - 2/11/2008 6:50:13 AM   
OrionTheWolf


Posts: 7803
Joined: 10/11/2006
Status: offline
Dude? Not playing any act, just being me, and that seems to be what you have a problem with. So what does the interest in that country have to do with anything? I noticed you just avoided the question I asked. You really need top watch the hypertension, as it is a silent killer. You need to resude stress and this link should help reduce stress .


quote:

ORIGINAL: Owner59

quote:

ORIGINAL: OrionTheWolf

So Owner, what do you think of a leader of a country being placed into power for life? How well does that sit with your principles? This link will help some click me


Dude,stop playing the noble good-doer act.

You know that there would be zero interest in  Venezuelan politics,if we didn`t get like half our oil from there.

Give me a fuck`n break,will ya?





_____________________________

When speaking of slaves people always tend to ignore this definition "One who is abjectly subservient to a specified person or influence."

(in reply to Owner59)
Profile   Post #: 62
RE: Fuck You Chavez - 2/11/2008 7:03:50 AM   
pahunkboy


Posts: 33061
Joined: 2/26/2006
From: Central Pennsylvania
Status: offline
*Weeps for big oil*  *sobs*   *blows nose*   *can barely post*  *sighs and weeps*

(in reply to OrionTheWolf)
Profile   Post #: 63
RE: Fuck You Chavez - 2/11/2008 7:24:05 AM   
thompsonx


Posts: 23322
Joined: 10/1/2006
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: TheHeretic

      Thompson;   I read your link far enough to get to the part about the poor 'not having money for work-out plans.'   At that point I dismissed it as pure clueless, bullshit. 

    Perhaps you should try considering the context of the remarks you go leaping on. 

Rich:
"Pure clueless bullshit"
You disagree with something you admit you did not read.
ROFLMAO
thompson






< Message edited by thompsonx -- 2/11/2008 7:33:26 AM >

(in reply to TheHeretic)
Profile   Post #: 64
RE: Fuck You Chavez - 2/11/2008 7:26:41 AM   
Owner59


Posts: 17033
Joined: 3/14/2006
From: Dirty Jersey
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: OrionTheWolf

Dude? Not playing any act, just being me, and that seems to be what you have a problem with. So what does the interest in that country have to do with anything? I noticed you just avoided the question I asked. You really need top watch the hypertension, as it is a silent killer. You need to resude stress and this link should help reduce stress .


quote:

ORIGINAL: Owner59

quote:

ORIGINAL: OrionTheWolf

So Owner, what do you think of a leader of a country being placed into power for life? How well does that sit with your principles? This link will help some click me


Dude,stop playing the noble good-doer act.

You know that there would be zero interest in  Venezuelan politics,if we didn`t get like half our oil from there.

Give me a fuck`n break,will ya?






 
"what do you think of a leader of a country being placed into power for life"
 
It matters to me about as much as it matters to you.Which is little.
 
  What,all of a sudden you`re against every leader for life dictator?

1.It hasn`t happened in Venezuela.

2. It has happened and  is happening all over the globe.

Remember Saddam? We used to help him being a dictator ,when he played nicey-nice with us.

Why the sudden benevolence towards the Venezuelan people? Could it be their oil?

You`re so sincere and concerned for their welfare.I`m touched.


"Not playing any act, just being me,"

Lol,I`ll say...

The acting I refered to,was your fake concern over the  Venezuelans and there politics.That, and the fact that all this is about their oil,flew right over your head.


And I don`t have a problem with you,personally or otherwise.

How about staying on topic,and not worrying about me personally?I`ll promise the same.

My problem,..America`s problem,... are neo-con policies.If you want to defend them,welcome to the shit storm.

< Message edited by Owner59 -- 2/11/2008 7:30:43 AM >

(in reply to OrionTheWolf)
Profile   Post #: 65
RE: Fuck You Chavez - 2/11/2008 7:33:20 AM   
Aubre


Posts: 478
Joined: 12/9/2004
Status: offline
Chavez shouldn't be surprised. If you nationalize people's property, you have to be prepared to take the hit in the courts overseas. If he didn't expect to be sued he really is a retard. His nationalization could very well cost him Citgo as well as all their other assets in Europe and America, and he shouldn't be outraged or upset by it. He should have known that there would be repercussions to his actions. If he stops selling us oil, it hurts him more than it hurts us. His competitors will thank him.

I would rather run out of gas any day than buy gas or a pack of gum from a Citgo station.

(in reply to Owner59)
Profile   Post #: 66
RE: Fuck You Chavez - 2/11/2008 7:39:50 AM   
MrRodgers


Posts: 10542
Joined: 7/30/2005
Status: offline
We do not purchase 1/2 our oil from Veneazuela. If we did it would be about 11 million bbls a day. If Chavez cut us off it would be the beginning of the end of his rule...he and Venezuela need every penny they can get from oil. That's all they have...like Russia and Mexico.

Well that's all Mexico had until Nafta caused corporations to move so much of our maunfacturing down there. Look, the Mexicans ought to be rich by now...hey ? If you want to look at the single most costly trade pact (Clinton) it is Nafta and that was like ALL 'free trade' aggreements...not 'free trade' agreements at all what with all of the agricultural and textile import restrictions.

(in reply to Owner59)
Profile   Post #: 67
RE: Fuck You Chavez - 2/11/2008 7:50:21 AM   
thompsonx


Posts: 23322
Joined: 10/1/2006
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Muttling

The issue of tight supply periods is more one of refinery capacity than crude oil supply and that's what makes the prices so unstable.   None of the oil companies hold reserves of crude OR refined fuel sizeable enough to stabalize the prices.

Frankly, there is absolutely ZERO economic reason for them to do so as storing such reserves are extremely expensive.

What's more, the refinery capacity is the real choke point in the system and our demand is currently bumping into the limits of refinery capacity.  When ONE refinery goes off line for scheduled maintenance it puts our supply in a huge lurch.  

While most want to blame the oil companies, the reason for this problem really isn't the fault of the oil companies.   It takes 20 to 30 years a billions of dollars to put a new refinery on line.   They simply can't afford the cost of it unless they want to build one in a third world country where political stability create enormous risk.  Once they build it in such a place, they will get massive political backlash for outsourcing it where the environmental laws aren't as stiff.   (No one bothers to think that it's those same laws that make it unfeasible to build one in a developed country.)

In short, it's a HUGE catch 22 for everyone.  The oil companies' answer is to try to expand capacity of existing refineries, but that can only go so far.

The whole situation is a massive mess of politics, capitalism, and manipulation.   The oil companies AND a multitude of governments are to blame for it.   What's more, we will be out of oil in another 100 years so we really do need to be serious about alternative fuels technology for a variety of reasons.

Muttling:
You might want to read this.  It might give you a little better understanding of what you are discussing.
http://www.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=3792
 
and
http://www.dallasnews.com/sharedcontent/dws/bus/stories/121107dnbusrefinery.2894c91.html

It would seem that some can do it in somewhat less than 20 to 30 years.  If one considers how much money the oil companies have and how much money they would make on the investment 3 to 10 billion dollars considered in that perspective is nothing more than a proverbial "drop in the bucket"
thompson






< Message edited by thompsonx -- 2/11/2008 8:01:25 AM >

(in reply to Muttling)
Profile   Post #: 68
RE: Fuck You Chavez - 2/11/2008 7:55:00 AM   
OrionTheWolf


Posts: 7803
Joined: 10/11/2006
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Owner59

"what do you think of a leader of a country being placed into power for life"
 
It matters to me about as much as it matters to you.Which is little.


Actually you seemed to be all for Venzuela and their government, so I was wondering if you also agree with Chaevez' attempt to be President for life. You are the one being paranoid and reading a question as a statement.

quote:

 
  What,all of a sudden you`re against every leader for life dictator?

1.It hasn`t happened in Venezuela.

2. It has happened and  is happening all over the globe.

Remember Saddam? We used to help him being a dictator ,when he played nicey-nice with us.

Why the sudden benevolence towards the Venezuelan people? Could it be their oil?

You`re so sincere and concerned for their welfare.I touched.


Never said I was concerned for their welfare, that is you putting words in my mouth.

quote:


"Not playing any act, just being me,"

Lol,I`ll say...

The acting I refered to,was your fake concern over the  Venezuelans and there politics.That, and the fact that all this is about their oil,flew right over your head.


Again I point out that the concern is an assumption you are making, so this is just another example of your stressed out, over reacting.

quote:


And I don`t have a problem with you,personally or otherwise.

How about staying on topic,and not worrying about me personally?I`ll promise the same.

My problem,..America`s problem,... are neo-con policies.If you want to defend them,welcome to the shit storm.



I made a sarcastic joke:

Why the hell are we going half way around the world to wage war for oil, when we could have invaded Venezuela, gotten oil and hot babes?

You responded as if it were serious, I would think the hot babes comment would have clued you in.

quote:


yeah,war for oil....again.

Only there`s no turrer-st down there.

How are you going to dupe Americans into another disaster?


So the problem is about you, your thin skin, and stress.

Here is your next response to me telling you it was sarcasm:

quote:


Funny how you conflate the failure that is the Bush administration and America.

Kindly stop associating America and Americans with neo-cons.


I did none of the above, except include all Americans in my statement.

You then made a comment saying that the sarcastic joke was as funny as the body bags. It was not meant to be humorous but to point out that the war for oil is a bullshit excuse to go for war, kind of on your side of the issue there but.... you seem to miss that. I wonder why.

Then your last comment:
quote:


Dude,stop playing the noble good-doer act.

You know that there would be zero interest in  Venezuelan politics,if we didn`t get like half our oil from there.

Give me a fuck`n break,will ya?


This all started with a sarcastic joke, that you read as serious. I told you it was sarcasm, so rather than going "oh I misread the intent", you launched into more attacks.

Yeah you should want it to stop, it was you that got all stressed in the first place, Dude.


_____________________________

When speaking of slaves people always tend to ignore this definition "One who is abjectly subservient to a specified person or influence."

(in reply to Owner59)
Profile   Post #: 69
RE: Fuck You Chavez - 2/11/2008 7:55:50 AM   
Owner59


Posts: 17033
Joined: 3/14/2006
From: Dirty Jersey
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: MrRodgers

We do not purchase 1/2 our oil from Veneazuela. If we did it would be about 11 million bbls a day. If Chavez cut us off it would be the beginning of the end of his rule...he and Venezuela need every penny they can get from oil. That's all they have...like Russia and Mexico.

Well that's all Mexico had until Nafta caused corporations to move so much of our maunfacturing down there. Look, the Mexicans ought to be rich by now...hey ? If you want to look at the single most costly trade pact (Clinton) it is Nafta and that was like ALL 'free trade' aggreements...not 'free trade' agreements at all what with all of the agricultural and textile import restrictions.


My mistake. Venezuela falls just behind Saudi Arabia as a supplier.

Still a shit load of oil .The point remains that this is about oil,nothing else.

NAFTA is my biggest problem with Clinton.But he wasn`t alone.He ,the republicans and business interests were behind it.Bush hasn`t altered it a bit,so now he owns it too.

We of course are paying and paying for it.

< Message edited by Owner59 -- 2/11/2008 7:58:57 AM >

(in reply to MrRodgers)
Profile   Post #: 70
RE: Fuck You Chavez - 2/11/2008 9:52:03 AM   
thompsonx


Posts: 23322
Joined: 10/1/2006
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Aubre

Chavez shouldn't be surprised. If you nationalize people's property, you have to be prepared to take the hit in the courts overseas. If he didn't expect to be sued he really is a retard. His nationalization could very well cost him Citgo as well as all their other assets in Europe and America, and he shouldn't be outraged or upset by it. He should have known that there would be repercussions to his actions. If he stops selling us oil, it hurts him more than it hurts us. His competitors will thank him.

I would rather run out of gas any day than buy gas or a pack of gum from a Citgo station.

Aubre:
What will your position be should Chavez prevail and Exxon Mobil loose in their lawsuit?
Will you consider it a "perversion" of justice?  Or will you agree that the rule of law was served and that Chavez was right?
thompson






(in reply to Aubre)
Profile   Post #: 71
RE: Fuck You Chavez - 2/11/2008 10:41:59 AM   
badprofessor


Posts: 515
Joined: 12/11/2007
From: Toronto, Canada
Status: offline
Guess again folks--we're your number one source of oil. If you think Venezuela denying the US oil would be a disaster, just imagine if the Canadaian government had the cajones to stand up for Canada and demand fair prices and policies for oil exported to the US.

< Message edited by badprofessor -- 2/11/2008 10:42:51 AM >

(in reply to thompsonx)
Profile   Post #: 72
RE: Fuck You Chavez - 2/11/2008 11:55:45 AM   
RealityLicks


Posts: 1615
Joined: 10/23/2007
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Good point.  Canada is a nascent oil super-power and it should start to make its presence felt more on the world stage.  The one proviso is that oil sands are not just ruinous environmentally but also quite costly to refine.  Venezuela diverting large amounts onto world markets will affect the price and hit Canada hardest. 

Bottom line - its not about countries, its about corporations.  The nationalism which has been dinned into some from birth just clouds the real issue:  Your flag represents your market, not your country.

(in reply to badprofessor)
Profile   Post #: 73
RE: Fuck You Chavez - 2/11/2008 12:05:16 PM   
badprofessor


Posts: 515
Joined: 12/11/2007
From: Toronto, Canada
Status: offline
For the most part I agree with you, however, governments are responsible for legislation and international treaties. That is why I say, prices and policies. In the case of Canada, American.(and to a lesser extent in the modern world, British) corporations.are given preferential treatment to develop Canadian resources.

Also bear in mind that the recent high oil prices have not necessarily been a boon to the Canadian economy. The recent rise in value compared to the US dollar is in part due to oil prices. This has had a drastically negative effect on Canadian manufacturers and exporters.

< Message edited by badprofessor -- 2/11/2008 12:11:46 PM >

(in reply to RealityLicks)
Profile   Post #: 74
RE: Fuck You Chavez - 2/11/2008 12:55:37 PM   
OrionTheWolf


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Joined: 10/11/2006
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Add to all of this that Venezuelan oil production is down, and likely that corruption is occurring that is draining off some of their revenues. Chavez is not stupid, and all this threat of cutting the US off, is just bluster. Here is a decent article on their oil production:  Venezuelan oil production

_____________________________

When speaking of slaves people always tend to ignore this definition "One who is abjectly subservient to a specified person or influence."

(in reply to badprofessor)
Profile   Post #: 75
RE: Fuck You Chavez - 2/11/2008 1:04:24 PM   
Aubre


Posts: 478
Joined: 12/9/2004
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: thompsonx

quote:

ORIGINAL: Aubre

Chavez shouldn't be surprised. If you nationalize people's property, you have to be prepared to take the hit in the courts overseas. If he didn't expect to be sued he really is a retard. His nationalization could very well cost him Citgo as well as all their other assets in Europe and America, and he shouldn't be outraged or upset by it. He should have known that there would be repercussions to his actions. If he stops selling us oil, it hurts him more than it hurts us. His competitors will thank him.

I would rather run out of gas any day than buy gas or a pack of gum from a Citgo station.

Aubre:
What will your position be should Chavez prevail and Exxon Mobil loose in their lawsuit?
Will you consider it a "perversion" of justice? Or will you agree that the rule of law was served and that Chavez was right?
thompson


I can't imagine Chavez prevailing - stealing is stealing. Do you think these companies would have invested so much money and resources down there if they knew someone was just going to take it from them and give them nothing in return? How would you like it if it happened to you?

(in reply to thompsonx)
Profile   Post #: 76
RE: Fuck You Chavez - 2/11/2008 2:12:53 PM   
Owner59


Posts: 17033
Joined: 3/14/2006
From: Dirty Jersey
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: OrionTheWolf

Add to all of this that Venezuelan oil production is down, and likely that corruption is occurring that is draining off some of their revenues. Chavez is not stupid, and all this threat of cutting the US off, is just bluster. Here is a decent article on their oil production:  Venezuelan oil production
  

I did see that in the artical.

It actually said it was production issues.

< Message edited by Owner59 -- 2/11/2008 2:14:42 PM >

(in reply to OrionTheWolf)
Profile   Post #: 77
RE: Fuck You Chavez - 2/11/2008 2:17:01 PM   
RealityLicks


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Joined: 10/23/2007
Status: offline
If the constitution of a country allows it to nationalise a company or whole industry, then that's that.  Its incumbent on foreign investors to know who they're getting into bed with. 

(in reply to Aubre)
Profile   Post #: 78
RE: Fuck You Chavez - 2/11/2008 3:11:06 PM   
Muttling


Posts: 1612
Joined: 9/30/2007
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: thompsonx

Muttling:
You might want to read this.  It might give you a little better understanding of what you are discussing.
http://www.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=3792
 
and
http://www.dallasnews.com/sharedcontent/dws/bus/stories/121107dnbusrefinery.2894c91.html

It would seem that some can do it in somewhat less than 20 to 30 years.  If one considers how much money the oil companies have and how much money they would make on the investment 3 to 10 billion dollars considered in that perspective is nothing more than a proverbial "drop in the bucket"
thompson



I am familiar with that report and disagree with it's conclusions.   HOWEVER, the point of refined oil being a meager proffit margin item is well worth noting.  An oil company CAN afford to spend $10 billion but they're not going to do it unless they can get a return on that investment and trying to build a new refineries is a decades long money pit that will ultimately provide "meager" proffits as described by the OpEd you referenced.

On the subject of 20 to 30 years to construct, have you ever been involved in the planning, designing, construction, and startup testing of an industrial facility?    My background is civil/ environmental engineering.   I've never done something the size of a refinery, but it typically takes 10 years just to put a small industrial plant with limited environmental issue into action.

Think about it......First you have to figure out where you're going to site the plant.   That includes all sorts of issues from geotechnical investigations to political/ economic studies to labor force studies to infrastructure studies.   And lets not forget the formal Environmental Impact Assessment aspect which will require a minimum of 5 years by the time it goes through public reviews.  

Then there will be the law suits trying to stop the operation and those will start as soon as the EIS is put out for public review.

All this MONEY, all this pain, and it's 3 to 5 years before the engineering firms have even started the drawings.  The design work is complex and would contracted out to someone like Bechtel or Haliburton.  At the 30%, 50%, 95%, and 100% stages of the design you will want to get state regulator review as well as federal regulator review.   Have you ever sent a large design to the regulators for review???   Do you have any idea as to how long you sit there with nothing to do, just waiting to get their comments back?

And then there's the folks who will be trying to stop it from being built.  They will be filing suit to get a copy of every piece of correspondence and everything you submit to the regulators so they can try to use it to stop you.

Now that you've spent about 10 years to get your designs through the regulators it comes time for the permitting process and this is something you CAN'T keep the public out of.   That will take at least 2 years, IF YOU'RE LUCKY.

Now were 15 to 17 years out (at least) and haven't even broken ground yet.   How long do you think the actual construction of a major chemical plant takes?   My guess would be another 10-15 years with portions of the plant coming on line a few years earlier.

As those portions of the plant come on line, you can't simply fire them up and start running.  You have to do your prove out testing and get regulator approval to turn it on.  Again, the public will be involved in this final approval step so anyone fighting it will have another crack at you.


That's how I come up to my time frame and I have over 15 years of civil/environmental experience to back it up. 


Oh yeah....What about complicating factors?

Do you think you will get to keep EPA policies that are supportive of your plant coming on line?  Do you have any idea as to how much the regulations governing such plants change in the course of 20 to 30 years?  You have to design to hit a moving target.

Do you think you could possibly keep the same regulators (e.g. the individuals you are working with at the State and Federal levels) over that period of time?   You're typically lucky if you can keep one for 5 years.   When a new one comes in, they are not obligated to keep the verbal agreements that their predecessor did.  They might have other things they want to see before they will give you approval.

Do you think you could possibly keep supportive politicians in office for that period of time?  The people who are opposed to you will be spending a LOT of money to get politicians who see it their way into office and you will have to spend a lot of money fending them off.

< Message edited by Muttling -- 2/11/2008 3:53:35 PM >

(in reply to thompsonx)
Profile   Post #: 79
RE: Fuck You Chavez - 2/11/2008 3:32:33 PM   
Alumbrado


Posts: 5560
Status: offline
quote:

What will your position be should Chavez prevail and Exxon Mobil loose in their lawsuit?
Will you consider it a "perversion" of justice? Or will you agree that the rule of law was served and that Chavez was right?


Isn't this whole 'threat' because Chavez already lost (injunction freezing 12 billion) in court, and is preparing for the case that the international courts aren't going to give him the results he wants?

(in reply to Muttling)
Profile   Post #: 80
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