RealityLicks
Posts: 1615
Joined: 10/23/2007 Status: offline
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quote:
ORIGINAL: FullCircle The real crime here is the lack of national faith and of the attributes that set us apart from the crowd in the first place. What an odd take on the place of the City. The City's top analysts have been divided literally down the middle on adopting the euro since 2000. Your certainty is... interesting. Industry, as earlier posts have discussed, is strongly in favour. I think you've misinterpreted what "set us apart". Basically, the City has much less regulation than Frankfurt or Paris which makes it very attractive to foreign companies looking to trade in Europe. Its' dominated by offshore business and of all financial centres does more international business as a proportion of total output than any other exchange. It's also the leading industry in the UK and as such receives much more Gov't attention and favourable treatment than its' rivals do. Along with a stable Sterling, the City's maverick internationalist approach makes good sense. Those are the things which saw the City resurge in the Sixties but times are changing. The eurozone is massive and is only set to grow, outstripping America and Asia in GDP comfortably. Ask yourself, how likely is it that an entity like that will allow itself to be dominated by the City, which does not even share its currency? It might take 10 or 15 years but Europe will have its own pre-eminent banking centre. It's only a question of evolving new regulation and most of the City's banks today are foreign and will readily move. Berlin looks likely. Without adoption of the euro or some other unforeseen, huge change, it simply isn't expected to last by anybody. The City works because it makes money for people. When they can do that better elsewhere... its bye bye City. Its not some magic quality of the English air that makes it work - most top City workers are now foreign - its naked commercial savvy. That's what "sets us apart from the crowd"; romantic as your notion is, its just not right. PS HSBC Europe were set to move to Frankfurt until Canary Wharf hove into view. Another factor to consider.
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