Aquilifer
Posts: 31
Joined: 4/19/2005 Status: offline
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quote:
ORIGINAL: seeksfemslave Well I have faith in the fact that over the last 3/4 years or so the violence in Iraq has been sustained by Islamic fundamentalists. What say you ? The branch of al Queda in Iraq consists of radical Salfists, and it really isn't clear that the term "fundamentalist" applies. It most certainly is not the case that most of the violence has been sustained by this group, whether you call them "fundamentalists" or not. quote:
If only they would calm down,let the Iraquis form a government, which even they cant agree about, then I have faith in the fact that that peace ought to prevail. In Iraq at least. Am I wrong ? Yes. You aren't going to "calm down" people who have been the focus of recent and particularly grotesque ethnic cleansing. This is the means whereby the Shiites turned Baghdad from a city where the Sunnis were the ethnic majority into a city where they barely have a presence at all. This was partially accomplished through the Mahdi Army, but more effectively and systematically through the Interior Ministry. And the Shiites aren't going to just go away. Their beef with the Sunni, who are a minority in the country as a whole, has to do with the fact that the Sunni were the political core support that Saddam Hussein counted upon, at a time when the Shia were effectively disenfranchised. When the US invaded, they saw their chance and grabbed it with both hands. There are also multiple factions within the Shiites community as a whole, and they are quite capable of killing each other by the truckload. For example, the Badr Brigades have strong ties with Iran, while the Mahdi Army does not, and isn't about to acquire any. As for al Queda in Iraq, they have absolutely no friends in Iraq whatsoever. They have gone to fairly ridiculous extremes to alienate the rural Sunni in Anbar Province. See David Kilcullen's piece from last year in Small Wars Journal, at http://smallwarsjournal.com/blog/2007/08/anatomy-of-a-tribal-revolt/. This is why the United States has been able to leverage those same Sunnis against AQI. But the Iraqi Shiites (and Shiites in general, BTW, including the Iranian ones) loathe AQI even more than the Anbar Sunnis do for doctrinal reasons. Specifically, the version of Salafism AQI adheres to considers Shia Islam to be a particularly despicable form of heresy, and they'll kill Shiites with just as much gusto as they would Americans. Naturally, the Shia return these sentiments in the exact same spirit in which they were tendered. The only thing keeping AQI alive in Iraq is the fact that we are there, distracting the attention of Iraqis of every ethnic group native to the country from the throats of AQI, which they dream of slitting. Six months after we pull out, every single last memebr of AQI is either going to be in hiding, fled across the nearest border, or killed. That's generally what happens to completely egregious assholes in the absence of any force effectively protecting them.
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