Thadius -> RE: Has The Democratic Party Lost It's Way? (7/17/2008 9:12:21 PM)
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ORIGINAL: philosophy quote:
ORIGINAL: TheHeretic those same enviro-cultists who insist climate change is all our fault, "because we're baaa-aad." (my italics) .......ok, there are extremists who say stuff like that. They're as mad as those who say that humans can have no effect on the climate. The majority of climataologists though say something quite different. They say that the Earth's climate does indeed warm and cool cyclically. Two important contributers to such a swing, they say, are volcanoes and solar activity, and that we can't do a lot about that. However, they also say that the rate of change has increased dramatically, and that such a change correlates with global industrialisation. They go on to suggest that such a rapid climate change has effects that are stronger than the usual climate change, that these fast shifts have negative consequences for humans. That speeding up is what humans are responsible for and can, if desired, influence. The idea that this is anything other than science as usual (make a hypothesis, test against the evidence, if it passes call it a theory until the next testable theorem supercedes it) is far more of an act of faith than merely suggesting that trusting climataologists to know their subject is an act of faith. This was part of some interesting links shared with me today... quote:
http://www.dailytech.com/Myth+of+Consensus+Explodes+APS+Opens+Global+Warming+Debate/article12403.htm The American Physical Society, an organization representing nearly 50,000 physicists, has reversed its stance on climate change and is now proclaiming that many of its members disbelieve in human-induced global warming. The APS is also sponsoring public debate on the validity of global warming science. The leadership of the society had previously called the evidence for global warming "incontrovertible." and quote:
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,24036736-7583,00.html 3. The satellites that measure the world's temperature all say that the warming trend ended in 2001, and that the temperature has dropped about 0.6C in the past year (to the temperature of 1980). Land-based temperature readings are corrupted by the "urban heat island" effect: urban areas encroaching on thermometer stations warm the micro-climate around the thermometer, due to vegetation changes, concrete, cars, houses. Satellite data is the only temperature data we can trust, but it only goes back to 1979. NASA reports only land-based data, and reports a modest warming trend and recent cooling. The other three global temperature records use a mix of satellite and land measurements, or satellite only, and they all show no warming since 2001 and a recent cooling. They make for interesting reads if nothing else... Thadius
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