RE: Has The Democratic Party Lost It's Way? (Full Version)

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popeye1250 -> RE: Has The Democratic Party Lost It's Way? (7/17/2008 8:33:07 PM)

Slvemike, it's not my obligation to help anyone in foreign countries nor is it their obligation to help me.
And if we give any type of "amnesty" to illegal aliens there'll be a tidal wave of them trying to get in.
That's why the 20-30 million here now need to leave!
I'm not interested in being the world's "leader", "policeman" or anything else.
We've tried it and it doesn't work!
And that's not the job of the U.S. govt. to be doing anyway.
Obama keeps saying "Change",  if he'd pledge to deport all illegal aliens, end all foreign aid, and get our Troops out of all foreign countries he'd win by a landslide!
Hell, I'd vote for him!
Now that'd be "Change" wouldn't it?
What he's talking about now is just the *same old shit!*
There is no "Change" in what he's talking about now.




slvemike4u -> RE: Has The Democratic Party Lost It's Way? (7/17/2008 8:36:52 PM)

Okay first off my using of the words "almighty military"was not a shot at the Armed Services and I apologise if it was taken that way.The shifting of forces part I am actually cool with ,that is where our enemy is,not Iraq in Afghanistan so I have no problem there.Would You leave a resurgent Taliban and Osama Bin Laden to regroup and re plan his next move.As for the money ,take it from the Iraqi expenditures and I don't see a problem,money has been a foreign policy tool for the entirety of my life ...




cloudboy -> RE: Has The Democratic Party Lost It's Way? (7/17/2008 8:40:25 PM)


At least it hasn't steered the country off a cliff by failing to close out two wars while running a massive budget deficit.




slvemike4u -> RE: Has The Democratic Party Lost It's Way? (7/17/2008 8:44:36 PM)

So the only "change'possible are the ones you posit.I am afraid Popeye you represent to narrow a constituency to pander too




Thadius -> RE: Has The Democratic Party Lost It's Way? (7/17/2008 8:48:18 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: slvemike4u

Okay first off my using of the words "almighty military"was not a shot at the Armed Services and I apologise if it was taken that way.The shifting of forces part I am actually cool with ,that is where our enemy is,not Iraq in Afghanistan so I have no problem there.Would You leave a resurgent Taliban and Osama Bin Laden to regroup and re plan his next move.As for the money ,take it from the Iraqi expenditures and I don't see a problem,money has been a foreign policy tool for the entirety of my life ...


Would you leave Iraq, to allow the Iranian insurgency to regroup, take over, and cause alot more problems than we/they have now?  I am all for the transferring of troops to make the best use of them, I am just against the whole notion the man is trying to sell that he is the "peace" candidate.  I am in agreement about a surge being necessary to put down the Taliban.  I also think that Iraq should begin providing some sort of reembursement for at least training....  I just don't want us to say well by July 30, 2009 we will have all troops out of Iraq, we need to make a slow and calculated withdrawl based on the situation on the ground.

Just my thoughts,
Thadius




philosophy -> RE: Has The Democratic Party Lost It's Way? (7/17/2008 9:03:45 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: TheHeretic

those same enviro-cultists who insist climate change is all our fault, "because we're baaa-aad." 
(my italics)

.......ok, there are extremists who say stuff like that. They're as mad as those who say that humans can have no effect on the climate.
The majority of climataologists though say something quite different. They say that the Earth's climate does indeed warm and cool cyclically. Two important contributers to such a swing, they say, are volcanoes and solar activity, and that we can't do a lot about that. However, they also say that the rate of change has increased dramatically, and that such a change correlates with global industrialisation. They go on to suggest that such a rapid climate change has effects that are stronger than the usual climate change, that these fast shifts have negative consequences for humans. That speeding up is what humans are responsible for and can, if desired, influence.
The idea that this is anything other than science as usual (make a hypothesis, test against the evidence, if it passes call it a theory until the next testable theorem supercedes it) is far more of an act of faith than merely suggesting that trusting climataologists to know their subject is an act of faith.




Thadius -> RE: Has The Democratic Party Lost It's Way? (7/17/2008 9:12:21 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: philosophy

quote:

ORIGINAL: TheHeretic

those same enviro-cultists who insist climate change is all our fault, "because we're baaa-aad." 
(my italics)

.......ok, there are extremists who say stuff like that. They're as mad as those who say that humans can have no effect on the climate.
The majority of climataologists though say something quite different. They say that the Earth's climate does indeed warm and cool cyclically. Two important contributers to such a swing, they say, are volcanoes and solar activity, and that we can't do a lot about that. However, they also say that the rate of change has increased dramatically, and that such a change correlates with global industrialisation. They go on to suggest that such a rapid climate change has effects that are stronger than the usual climate change, that these fast shifts have negative consequences for humans. That speeding up is what humans are responsible for and can, if desired, influence.
The idea that this is anything other than science as usual (make a hypothesis, test against the evidence, if it passes call it a theory until the next testable theorem supercedes it) is far more of an act of faith than merely suggesting that trusting climataologists to know their subject is an act of faith.


This was part of some interesting links shared with me today...

quote:

http://www.dailytech.com/Myth+of+Consensus+Explodes+APS+Opens+Global+Warming+Debate/article12403.htm
The American Physical Society, an organization representing nearly 50,000 physicists, has reversed its stance on climate change and is now proclaiming that many of its members disbelieve in human-induced global warming.  The APS is also sponsoring public debate on the validity of global warming science.  The leadership of the society had previously called the evidence for global warming "incontrovertible."


and
quote:

http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,24036736-7583,00.html

3. The satellites that measure the world's temperature all say that the warming trend ended in 2001, and that the temperature has dropped about 0.6C in the past year (to the temperature of 1980). Land-based temperature readings are corrupted by the "urban heat island" effect: urban areas encroaching on thermometer stations warm the micro-climate around the thermometer, due to vegetation changes, concrete, cars, houses. Satellite data is the only temperature data we can trust, but it only goes back to 1979. NASA reports only land-based data, and reports a modest warming trend and recent cooling. The other three global temperature records use a mix of satellite and land measurements, or satellite only, and they all show no warming since 2001 and a recent cooling.


They make for interesting reads if nothing else...
Thadius




philosophy -> RE: Has The Democratic Party Lost It's Way? (7/17/2008 9:22:47 PM)

..interesting........i read the first link and was surprised to note at the bottom these two paragraphs....

"Monckton, who was the science advisor to Britain's Thatcher administration, says natural variability is the cause of most of the Earth's recent warming.   "In the past 70 years the Sun was more active than at almost any other time in the past 11,400 years ... Mars, Jupiter, Neptune’s largest moon, and Pluto warmed at the same time as Earth."

Update 7/17/2008:  After publication of this story, the APS responded with a  statement that its Physics and Society Forum is merely one unit within the APS, and its views do not reflect those of the Society at large. "
 
.......i don't know if you're aware, but Thatchers Administration was not a paradigm of truth and justice. A phrase that might bring a shudder to veterans Brit posters in this context is 'being economical with the verite"......

...i did some more research........the paper that has sparked this......
http://www.ff.org/centers/csspp/pdf/20070226_monckton.pdf
......was published by the Center for Science and Public Policy.
http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Science_and_Public_Policy_Institute
....and who funds this paragon of independent scientific thought?
http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Robert_Ferguson_%28Science_and_Public_Policy_Institute%29
.....Exxon.

He who pays the piper, etc........




Thadius -> RE: Has The Democratic Party Lost It's Way? (7/17/2008 9:33:21 PM)

Like I said they made for interesting reading, the second link is a bit better in my opinion.

I think there is plenty of room to find out the facts, and at the same time do what we can to keep the environment clean.

Thanks for the additional links, I will take a look at them when I get time.




TheHeretic -> RE: Has The Democratic Party Lost It's Way? (7/17/2008 10:07:45 PM)

        Phil, any hypothesis they want to throw out about the rate of change isn't going to be worth much.  The data set they can work from is 1.  Did you possibly make it through school without ever reading about the flash-frozen wooly mammoths?  Dead with the daisies half-chewed in their mouths?  That's pretty rapid, for not having any SUV's to cause it.

     




Owner59 -> RE: Has The Democratic Party Lost It's Way? (7/17/2008 10:18:40 PM)

Combined with cash raised by the Democratic national committee, which is also contributing to a war chest for the November contest, Obama and his party have $72m available at present to spend on advertising, staffing and other campaign tools.

"More impressive than the number is how you did it," Obama's campaign manager, David Plouffe, said. "Hundreds of thousands of ordinary people contributed to building our campaign for change. Many were first-time donors, giving only what they could afford - and the average donation was just $68.


http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2008/jul/17/barackobama.johnmccain


Dream on, republicans......




popeye1250 -> RE: Has The Democratic Party Lost It's Way? (7/18/2008 1:01:17 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: slvemike4u

So the only "change'possible are the ones you posit.I am afraid Popeye you represent to narrow a constituency to pander too


Slvemike, more than 90% of Americans are against any type of "Amnesty"!
If you remember last June Americans knocked the U.S. Senate phone system out of commission for a day due to the sheer number of calls that overwhelmed that system!
I called my two senators the day before that happened and I could hear phones ringing in the background like crazy!
The staffers were in a frenzy!
Some senators reported that the ratio of calls was, "80 to 1 against!"
They *know* in Washington that the American People are ***overwhelmingly*** against any type of "amnesty" for illegal aliens!
They shouldn't even be *talking* about it!
It should never again "get to the floor" in Washington!
Since when did it become "OK" to not enforce our laws especially our immigration laws?
Those pricks in Washington take an oath and they're not living up to it!
Anyone who "supports" this garbage is playing right into the hands of *Big Business* who want cheap slave labor.
So, I'm really not "alone" on that.
Any senator or congressman who doesn't *listen* to his or her constituents on that should be impeached or otherwise unceremoniously *ejected* from office.
Also, "foreign aid" is and has been for many years now "one of the most detested govt. programs". (Senator Chris Dodd D-Conn)
If they have any "doubts" about that simply put it on the ballot as a binding or non-binding referendum and let the *AMERICAN PEOPLE* vote on it!
*I'll accept the results of that vote, wouldn't you?*
There was a book out a couple of years ago about the State Dept.
They are totally *Incapable* of sitting down and cutting a deal with foreign countries without cutting a check from our money!
It's funny, as a "liberal" you are now in the position of defending Bush's government and it's cockeyed policies!
HE believes in "foreign aid", HE believes in "Amnesty" for illegal aliens! HE believes in "free trade" because,...all of those things benefit *Big Business*.
Slvemike, I'm not a Dem or Repub!
Look at what those two parties alone have done to this country.
And being a global socialist really isn't helping your argument.
You may be a Republican and just not know it.




philosophy -> RE: Has The Democratic Party Lost It's Way? (7/18/2008 1:12:39 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: TheHeretic

       Phil, any hypothesis they want to throw out about the rate of change isn't going to be worth much.  The data set they can work from is 1.  Did you possibly make it through school without ever reading about the flash-frozen wooly mammoths?  Dead with the daisies half-chewed in their mouths?  That's pretty rapid, for not having any SUV's to cause it.

    


...oddly enough i have read about those. Not being a climatologist i don't know what they'd answer. So, we have an apparent anomaly. Fair enough, needs answering.......but i'm not going to throw out every other piece of data either.........

There is enough evidence of a correlation between industrialisation and the rate of climate change to warrant concern. To ignore that, just so that industrialised economies can continue with business as usual, is far more of an act of faith than suggesting there may be a problem.




philosophy -> RE: Has The Democratic Party Lost It's Way? (7/18/2008 1:16:36 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Thadius

Like I said they made for interesting reading, the second link is a bit better in my opinion.


...i will check it out more thoroughly, i admit to getting side tracked by the first link....

quote:

I think there is plenty of room to find out the facts, and at the same time do what we can to keep the environment clean.


....couldn't agree more. The concept of a human contribution to climate change is contentious......but we can all agree that pollution is not a good thing and ought to be minimised, even if it isn't contributing to climate change.





popeye1250 -> RE: Has The Democratic Party Lost It's Way? (7/18/2008 1:45:58 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: philosophy

quote:

ORIGINAL: Thadius

Like I said they made for interesting reading, the second link is a bit better in my opinion.


...i will check it out more thoroughly, i admit to getting side tracked by the first link....

quote:

I think there is plenty of room to find out the facts, and at the same time do what we can to keep the environment clean.


....couldn't agree more. The concept of a human contribution to climate change is contentious......but we can all agree that pollution is not a good thing and ought to be minimised, even if it isn't contributing to climate change.




Phil, I agree there.
I recycle all plastics, cardboard, newspapers, magazines, etc.
Where people get in trouble about "global warming" is when they try to get the "U.N." involved in it.
They can't even wipe their asses without a resolution.
They should have been put out of business long ago.




RealityLicks -> RE: Has The Democratic Party Lost It's Way? (7/18/2008 10:38:58 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Mercnbeth
It would be a hijack, but why isn't global warming a religion? Its science is similar. You have to accept on faith its dogma of humanity's primary cause and effect instead of the natural fluctuations of that big glowing ball of gas 93 Million miles away. Its predicting a future based on models that when applied to the past, don't support it. <snip>For instance, what carbon emissions enabled the best grapes in Europe to be grown in Northern England once upon a time? 


Not wishing to hijack either but hasn't the "solar explanation" been thoroughly debunked in the US yet?  Since 1978 the sun has cooled, while clearly, the Earth hasn't.  That's the consensus of extensive scientific peer review, not an opinion from some moody blog.

As for the temperature in the troposhere, it's now accepted that current data fits the models very closely globally, with some unexplained fluctuations in the tropics.  Certainly accurate enough to show that warming is not due to solar activity or volcanoes or the other silly stuff.

The claim about vineyards in Northern England is also wrong, although it's difficult identifying when exactly "once upon a time" is supposed to be, or did you quote that from your source?  There are a handful of vineyards mentioned in the Domesday Book, all southerly, but I wouldn't inflict the mediaeval idea of "good wine" on today's palate.  They would drink anything that was relatively germ-free.

Obama shows enough courage and foresight to lead his country to an understanding that the rest of the world has already had to accept.  Sadly, not even the extreme good fortune of your holding US citizenship can insulate you from the facts, or us from your emissions.




popeye1250 -> RE: Has The Democratic Party Lost It's Way? (7/18/2008 11:21:03 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: RealityLicks

quote:

ORIGINAL: Mercnbeth
It would be a hijack, but why isn't global warming a religion? Its science is similar. You have to accept on faith its dogma of humanity's primary cause and effect instead of the natural fluctuations of that big glowing ball of gas 93 Million miles away. Its predicting a future based on models that when applied to the past, don't support it. <snip>For instance, what carbon emissions enabled the best grapes in Europe to be grown in Northern England once upon a time? 


Not wishing to hijack either but hasn't the "solar explanation" been thoroughly debunked in the US yet?  Since 1978 the sun has cooled, while clearly, the Earth hasn't.  That's the consensus of extensive scientific peer review, not an opinion from some moody blog.

As for the temperature in the troposhere, it's now accepted that current data fits the models very closely globally, with some unexplained fluctuations in the tropics.  Certainly accurate enough to show that warming is not due to solar activity or volcanoes or the other silly stuff.

The claim about vineyards in Northern England is also wrong, although it's difficult identifying when exactly "once upon a time" is supposed to be, or did you quote that from your source?  There are a handful of vineyards mentioned in the Domesday Book, all southerly, but I wouldn't inflict the mediaeval idea of "good wine" on today's palate.  They would drink anything that was relatively germ-free.

Obama shows enough courage and foresight to lead his country to an understanding that the rest of the world has already had to accept.  Sadly, not even the extreme good fortune of your holding US citizenship can insulate you from the facts, or us from your emissions.


Reality, no that "solar explanation" hasn't been "debunked."
Every few years there is increased solar activity or "sun spots" that puts out a tremendous amount of radiation!
Some of those explosions can be 200,000-400,000 miles high from the surface of the sun.
Astronaughts in space have to don special suits if there's a surprise eruption of radiation from the sun.
D.A. would probably know more about that than me.
Also, China two weeks ago became "officially" the world's biggest polluter! (Yahoo News)
Right after them is Brazil or India I believe.
Catalytic converters have cleaned up pollution considerably in the U.S. in the last 30 years!
It's my theory that most people want to think that the U.S. is the world's biggest polluter because "they think they can get the U.S. to do something about it" ergo "pay for it."
I mean what can they do about getting China to "do something" about it or, "pay for it?"
"Global warming" people always, always, want to go after U.S. Taxpayer Dollars!
The problem is, Old Bean, that the U.S. is $9 TRILLION in debt!
There is no "money" anymore.
China has our money.




RealityLicks -> RE: Has The Democratic Party Lost It's Way? (7/19/2008 5:58:08 AM)

I understand that catalytic converters, whilst trapping poisonous emissions, also contribute massively to greenhouse gas production by changing nitrogen oxides into nitrous oxides - one of the most potent greenhouse gases. 

As you will know, there has been no sunspot activity in 20+ years, yet our temperatures show an upward trend.  I'm perfectly willing to accept that there may be some other cause for this than human activity but since no-one ever provides one that makes even rudimentary sense, I'm left wondering at the origin of all that hot air.

Must be the spinach.




TheHeretic -> RE: Has The Democratic Party Lost It's Way? (7/19/2008 7:21:26 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: philosophy

quote:

ORIGINAL: TheHeretic

      Phil, any hypothesis they want to throw out about the rate of change isn't going to be worth much.  The data set they can work from is 1.  Did you possibly make it through school without ever reading about the flash-frozen wooly mammoths?  Dead with the daisies half-chewed in their mouths?  That's pretty rapid, for not having any SUV's to cause it.

   


...oddly enough i have read about those. Not being a climatologist i don't know what they'd answer. So, we have an apparent anomaly. Fair enough, needs answering.......but i'm not going to throw out every other piece of data either.........

There is enough evidence of a correlation between industrialisation and the rate of climate change to warrant concern. To ignore that, just so that industrialised economies can continue with business as usual, is far more of an act of faith than suggesting there may be a problem.



          Phil, you describe what I raised as, "an apparent anomaly."  There is no reason to believe that it is.  There is just as much data to suggest that such events are the norm, ie, zero  Your statement is right up there with people bringing up ice core samples to declare that "carbon levels in our atmosphere have NEVER been higher."  We have no data for comparison.  Glaciers have risen, covered the continents, and retreated dozens, maybe hundreds, possibly thousands of times in the past.  It's an old planet.

         Also, you would do well to consider that "business as usual" for the industrialized economies includes little things like feeding the masses of the non-industrialized ones.  Tossing a monkey wrench into the system, just because a theory has become popular, and been embraced as a vehicle for pushing a completely unrelated political agenda, would likely mean Africa starves to death.




Mercnbeth -> RE: Has The Democratic Party Lost It's Way? (7/19/2008 7:47:22 AM)

quote:

The claim about vineyards in Northern England is also wrong,

A wine source:
quote:

After a dark period the Roman Empire became stronger and stronger and influenced life in the Northwest of Europe (100 BC – 100 AC). At the same time the climate had changed in such way that the average temperature had risen by +1 °C. This enabled wine growing in countries like The Netherlands. This period lasted at least 200 years. But when climatic changes took place around 450 AC, leading to a much colder climate, not only wine growing disappeared, but also a long, dark period entered Europe lasting till 1000 AC. Source:http://www.delinie.nl/en/en-wine-history.html

quote:


Historic records tell us that Britain grew wine grapes 2000 years ago during the Roman Warming, and 1000 years ago during the Medieval Warming. Since 1300, however, Britain has been too cold for wine grapes. The debate: Is human-induced warming  boosting British temperatures to “unnatural”
levels, or is the gradual warming a repeat of previous cycles? 

So, British wine-making thrived during the Medieval Warming, failed during the Little Ice Age (1300 to 1850), and began to make a comeback in the 1950s, after major world temperature surges between 1850–70 and 1920–40.  The uncertain quality of today’s British wine grapes indicates that Britain still isn’t as warm now as during the Roman and Medieval Warmings.

This argues that we’re in a long, natural climate cycle. So does the fact that more than 70 percent of the planet’s recent warming occurred before 1940, and thus before humans emitted much CO2. Ice cores and seabed sediments show the 1500-year cycle extending back 900,000 years, and carbon 14 isotopes say it’s linked to variations in the sun’s irradiance Source: http://www.86counties.com/1-1-wine.html 

My guess is that you'll challenge the source. Similar to which version of the Bible is the 'one true way'. I doubt you'll even acknowledge you were in error regarding the vineyards in Northern England, despite the variety of sources beyond this that documents even the Netherlands had vineyards. However I understand the problem with having your faith challenged.  
quote:


Obama shows enough courage and foresight to lead his country to an understanding that the rest of the world has already had to accept.  Sadly, not even the extreme good fortune of your holding US citizenship can insulate you from the facts, or us from your emissions.
Shouldn't that "your emissions" be directed to the folks currently acknowledged as the biggest source of emissions? We also haven't had to have our citizens shovel algae growth from the Olympic sailing lake caused by pollution due to factory run off.  What "courage" does it take to join the masses supported by a media in the rhetoric of a religion disguised as science? Courage would be in place if he challenged or questioned their faith, or even lived by the recommended manner to keep "green". But then if we don't expect that from the Messiah, Al Gore; we can't expect it from one of the priests.  There are no "facts" backed by empirical evidence or even a theory supported by past observation. There is only the religious fervor and mass hysteria provided by agenda based sources becoming rich at the cost of downgrading the standard of living not only in the US but everywhere.




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