StrongSpirit
Posts: 575
Joined: 4/10/2005 Status: offline
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quote:
ORIGINAL: leadership527 I disagree. I take lots and lots of chances. I'm the guy that went to executive staff wth a proposal I tagged as worth about a billion dollars annually (yes, with a B). That's pretty chancy, no? But when I take such chances, I have a clear view of the problem, the risks, and the likelihood of success. Did I swing hard on that one? Yes. Did I succeed? No. Was I right? Yes -- it failed for exactly the reasons I speculated it would. However, given the up front capitalization requirements, the likelihood of success, and the ROI on success, it was still a smart play. What would've been arrogant of me was to say, "I can definitely do this." I didn't say you had to succeed, I said you had to be right. However, to your point, I would absolutely use the word "arrogant" for someone who routinely overestimated their chances of success -- especially if they're doing it on someone else's nickel. Of all the arguments, your logic seems most convincing, but I still have issues. Would you call someone confident if they correctly realized that they are in fact not the person to do job X and did not try? After all, they were right. They successfully calculated their odds of success and the cost of failure, and did not try because they determined they were not up to the task. I think I would call this, wisdom, not confidence .Confidence is what happens AFTER you know the difficulty of the task. Would you call someone that bought a home with a 2 year ARM, no money down, in Las Vegas 18 months ago foolish or arrogant? They seem to fit your definition of arrogant, having misjudged the odds, difficulty, and their own ability. I think your definition has them as arrogant, while I would call them foolish.
< Message edited by StrongSpirit -- 8/30/2008 8:26:31 PM >
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