Latest polls show Obama opening huge lead

Latest polls show Obama opening huge lead (Full Version)

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MistressNew -> Latest polls show Obama opening huge lead (9/4/2008 5:41:47 AM)
The word "insurmountable" is thrown around a lot these days, but .... Gallup from Sept 2: Obama 50, McCain 43 CBS News from the same day: Obama 48, McCain 40 I don't know about you guys, but I'm taking inauguration day off to watch President Obama's parade.

FatDomDaddy -> RE: Latest polls show Obama opening huge lead (9/4/2008 5:54:31 AM)
Gallup from 9/2 was 49-43 hon. That is 6% and a horrible number for Obama. If the primary phenomenon holds true, he'll need to up over 10% or maybe even 12% by November if he's even going to come close. But by all means, enjoy the day off anyway. http://www.gallup.com/poll/109996/Gallup-Daily-Obama-49-McCain-43.aspx

MistressNew -> RE: Latest polls show Obama opening huge lead (9/4/2008 6:01:16 AM)
It's strange to me that when Obama is ahead by 7%, it's horrible news for Obama. When the polls are tight, it's bad news for Obama. I can hear it now: "Barack Obama is being sworn in as president. What good news for John McCain!"

FatDomDaddy -> RE: Latest polls show Obama opening huge lead (9/4/2008 6:14:39 AM)
New... The science of polls includes the margin error usually in the 5% range. Obama's Primary polling numbers proved far lower than the actual vote numbers. The gallup's poll you touted was 49-43 That is 6% not 7% and it is a big difference in poll numbers. That poll was very good news for the McCain camp.

kittinSol -> RE: Latest polls show Obama opening huge lead (9/4/2008 6:16:42 AM)
quote: ORIGINAL: MistressNew I don't know about you guys, but I'm taking inauguration day off to watch President Obama's parade. Thinking of it too - been discussing it with a couple of collarme posters. Perhaps we could all meet up over in Washington :-) .

subrob1967 -> RE: Latest polls show Obama opening huge lead (9/4/2008 6:17:45 AM)
With the atrocious job Bush has done, and the fact that McMaverick is the republican's answer, Obama should have been up by 20+ points. The Repubs have handed the Dems an election on a silver platter. Obama may be connecting with the more liberal constituancy, but thats it. My prediction is Dem's pick up more seats in the house & senate, but can't close the deal on the Presidency. Repub administration with a Dem legislature

kittinSol -> RE: Latest polls show Obama opening huge lead (9/4/2008 6:21:07 AM)
quote: ORIGINAL: subrob1967 With the atrocious job Bush has done, and the fact that McMaverick is the republican's answer He has? He is?

Sanity -> RE: Latest polls show Obama opening huge lead (9/4/2008 6:22:16 AM)
It's horrible news for him because historically, candidates have always gotten far larger bumps in the polls than that after their conventions. Obama's really in trouble, his message of hope and change is growing old because he hasn't put any meat on those bones. It's all empty rhetoric! quote: ORIGINAL: MistressNew It's strange to me that when Obama is ahead by 7%, it's horrible news for Obama. When the polls are tight, it's bad news for Obama. I can hear it now: "Barack Obama is being sworn in as president. What good news for John McCain!"

MistressNew -> RE: Latest polls show Obama opening huge lead (9/4/2008 6:28:55 AM)
I don't really understand gambling. Can somebody explain what these odds mean and how they're bad news for Obama? http://www.sportsbook.com/livesports/indexmember.php Obama- -200 McCain- +150

DarkSteven -> RE: Latest polls show Obama opening huge lead (9/4/2008 6:35:27 AM)
I can't predict this election. It's too weird. Conventional wisdom dictates that the Dem have a strong lead about now, and that it get chipped away up till the election. Bush vs Dukakis is the classic example. In this election, Obama should be up by 20 points due to Bush's ineptitude and low numbers, and the fact that McCain still hasn't found a message. The huge monkey wrench in all of this is likelihood to vote. If a polled voter supports McCain or Obama, he's nothing but a statistical nuisance if he doesn't vote. McCain had only lukewarm support from his party and I anticipated low turnout from Republicans until the Palin pick, which seems to have energized the GOP. Obama's organizational muscle gives him a good edge here. I think the election's about to go negative. Biden will be an effective attack god for the Dems while Obama stays above the fray, but I can't see either Palin or McCain being a good negative campaigner. IMO the tenor of both Obama's and McCain's campaigns reflects an assumed Obama lead.

kittinSol -> RE: Latest polls show Obama opening huge lead (9/4/2008 6:35:27 AM)
I just want to be wary of a few things: to not underestimate the power of bigotry and the force of parochial feelings of 'belonging', and to remember that the Reps have a formidable PR machine. They can still manage to make their lack of message look like a strength, and a divided party look like the image of unity.

TheHeretic -> RE: Latest polls show Obama opening huge lead (9/4/2008 7:04:12 AM)
What??? A candidate is up a few points, right after the convention??? This is unheard of! There is only one poll that matters. We'll get those results on November 5.

LaTigresse -> RE: Latest polls show Obama opening huge lead (9/4/2008 7:09:15 AM)
quote: ORIGINAL: FatDomDaddy Gallup from 9/2 was 49-43 hon. That is 6% and a horrible number for Obama. If the primary phenomenon holds true, he'll need to up over 10% or maybe even 12% by November if he's even going to come close. But by all means, enjoy the day off anyway. http://www.gallup.com/poll/109996/Gallup-Daily-Obama-49-McCain-43.aspx Oh hon, y'all just keep dog paddling as fast as you can. It is entertaining. On the serious side, I hear that Lynn and Jamielynn Spears sent the pregnant teenage daughter $60 worth of burp clothes as a baby gift.

thishereboi -> RE: Latest polls show Obama opening huge lead (9/4/2008 7:13:40 AM)
burp clothes? I have never heard that term, What are they?

LaTigresse -> RE: Latest polls show Obama opening huge lead (9/4/2008 7:36:16 AM)
Google them and you will be enlightened. Baby puke cloths. In that family I am guessing there might be alot of bitter pills to swallow and sour stomachs. The cloths will be needed.

thishereboi -> RE: Latest polls show Obama opening huge lead (9/4/2008 7:39:20 AM)
quote: ORIGINAL: LaTigresse Google them and you will be enlightened. Baby puke cloths. In that family I am guessing there might be alot of bitter pills to swallow and sour stomachs. The cloths will be needed. Oh ok, I know what your talking about. Not sure why her family would be any different though.

corysub -> RE: Latest polls show Obama opening huge lead (9/4/2008 7:42:04 AM)
quote: ORIGINAL: MistressNew The word "insurmountable" is thrown around a lot these days, but .... Gallup from Sept 2: Obama 50, McCain 43 CBS News from the same day: Obama 48, McCain 40 I don't know about you guys, but I'm taking inauguration day off to watch President Obama's parade. I would not give up my day job just yet to watch the Obama parade. Just possibly his parade might be held in Chicago, while McCain/Palin are on the Capital steps. Watch the polls over the next two weeks...not two days after the DNC show...with the styrofoam pillars as Sarah said so comically.

slvemike4u -> RE: Latest polls show Obama opening huge lead (9/4/2008 8:15:21 AM)
I am planning to see my first Inaugral,and will take my son to hear it.Hope Obama gives an especially good speech on this historic occasion. In Addittion I hope to meet some of my fellow posters while there....

cyberdude611 -> RE: Latest polls show Obama opening huge lead (9/4/2008 8:35:09 AM)
quote: ORIGINAL: MistressNew The word "insurmountable" is thrown around a lot these days, but .... Gallup from Sept 2: Obama 50, McCain 43 CBS News from the same day: Obama 48, McCain 40 I don't know about you guys, but I'm taking inauguration day off to watch President Obama's parade. Um.... you might want to check the numbers again.... Rasmussen shows the race at 48% Obama to 45% McCain (Likely voters) Gallup shows the race at 49% Obama to 43% McCain. (Registered voters) Democrats also risk a backlash.... 51% of voters according to Rasmussen say the media is intentionally trying to hurt Sarah Palin and only 35% believe the media coverage is fair. Only 78% of voters said they are sure of who they are voting for. These numbers are only through Monday. They do not include the Lieberman, Thompson, Rudy, or Palin speeches. Keep in mind that in 1988 on Labor Day....Dukakis was leading Bush 55% to 38%. So just because Obama has close to 50% now does not mean anything at all.

SilverMark -> RE: Latest polls show Obama opening huge lead (9/4/2008 9:28:55 AM)
"51% of voters according to Rasmussen say the media is intentionally trying to hurt Sarah Palin and only 35% believe the media coverage is fair." I keep reading this but have yet to see anything scathing or out of the normal realm of reporting. Am I missing something? If I am, where are all the negative press? The facts of the trooper thing...reads like a legitimate investigation. Her 17 year old daughter is pregnant....( My own daughter gave birth to My Grand Son out of wedlock at 22 yrs.old but , had the same effect on My family as it would any)...not that I care about that but, the Campaign released the information, she was once for earmarks and now is against them. She liked the bridge...now she dosen't....She's a politician they all move on issues(not a flip flop from a Republican?...according to some only Democrats do that)....Now, when she is on the front page of the Inquirer saying she once had Bigfoots lovechild....I'd say it is outrageous behavior, although I dare say, they have not been known to report many facts.

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