TNstepsout -> RE: Some historical footnotes on the financial crisis (10/1/2008 5:19:51 PM)
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ORIGINAL: pahunkboy yes but how did we go from some bad mortgages to bad eveything. MUNI in Alabama going bad Bad mortgages= foreclosed homes=more homes for sale Bad mortgages=tighter lending standards=fewer buyers for homes Fewer buyers and more homes=lower property values Lower property Values =less money for counties and cities that saw increased budgets from the influx of new people. More police, fire, postal, roads, repairs, schools etc... Now they have to pay for all this added stuff with less money. Fewer buyers and more homes=NO building industry NO home building industry= no income for home builders (I know of at least FOUR builders that have filed bankruptcy in the Dallas area in the last year) and ALL associated industries ALL Associated industries=Realtors, and Developers, Mortgage companies, banks, Title companies (just got word that a Title co in Texas has filed bankruptcy and all files and checks have been seized by the State for distribution), subcontractors for roofing, concrete, plumbing, electrical, woodworking, landscaping, windows installation, carpet and tile installation, irrigation systems, garage doors, painting, suppliers such as lumber, cabinets, appliances, flooring, lighting, fencing, insulation, heating/cooling etc... And all the companies that supply parts to companies that make the above supplies or equipment. Layoffs and loss of work for ALL Associated industries=less consumer spending Less consumer spending=layoffs and budget cutting in other industries (retail and restaurants are really hurting to name a few) Lower property values = people who bought when values were high cannot sell so they are stuck with their high priced mortgage Tighter lending standards=people with expensive mortgages cannot refinance their homes so they are stuck with their high priced mortgage Lower property values= investors are afraid to lend money because they are worried that the underlying asset will go down further in value. The assets cannot be properly priced. Investors afraid to lend money=Banks can't get money to lend for more loans Banks can't get money for loans=no loans to buy up all those extra houses This is why the Gov is taking such drastic action (or trying to) because we are caught in a vicious downward spiral. Each negative just causes another negative and that in turn exacerbates the preceding problem. In 2007 the problem was still pretty much contained within the housing and associated sectors, but it has now spread to the consumer affected areas. Combine that with the impact on foreign economies, especially the emerging nations that have helped fuel the economic boom of the last 10 years, the rise in oil prices (due to speculation by investors who fled the stock market due to problems in housing and finance) and you have a pretty huge mess.
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