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Senate Told It May Take $75 to $125 Billion To Keep Big... - 12/6/2008 10:23:07 AM   
celticlord2112


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Senate Told It May Take $75 to $125 Billion To Keep Big Three From Bankruptcy

Far from asking for way too much, it appears the Big Three may be guilty of the even more egregious sin of not asking for nearly enough.

Why can't these CEOs come up with a cogent plan to restructure that provides some reasonable assurance all this money will be paid back?  If they have, I sure haven't heard one--the general line seems to be "without this money we'll go bust and you don't dare risk that."  These aren't businesspeople looking for funding, they're junkies looking for their next fix.

I don't wish anyone to be on the unemployment line (ok, I can make an exception for Rick Wagoner and Ron Gettelfinger), but this blind-bailout nonsense is making the risk of allowing the Big Three to tank look an awful lot like the "safe" option.


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RE: Senate Told It May Take $75 to $125 Billion To Keep... - 12/6/2008 10:31:16 AM   
pahunkboy


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I seen the same esimate.

we are dumb.   payements on sweaters and pizza from 10 years ago- still being paid.  (buying everyting on credit)

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RE: Senate Told It May Take $75 to $125 Billion To Keep... - 12/6/2008 11:20:01 AM   
DarkSteven


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quote:

ORIGINAL: celticlord2112

Why can't these CEOs come up with a cogent plan to restructure that provides some reasonable assurance all this money will be paid back? 



CL, let's try asking the question a different way - how on earth did these brain-dead morons become CEOs?

Back in 2007, nobody asked for bailouts.  Chrysler was the only company that even asked the government for a loan.

Today, the entire financial sector feels privileged enough to get free grant money, with less paperwork than a nonprofit uses when applying for a grant.  And no accountability for it.

The auto industry has been drifting for years now.  With fools in charge like they have, no wonder.  I personally work with dozens of people who like myself could do a better job - we're just engineers, but we know how to prioritize and define an action plan.


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RE: Senate Told It May Take $75 to $125 Billion To Keep... - 12/6/2008 11:26:19 AM   
celticlord2112


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quote:

CL, let's try asking the question a different way - how on earth did these brain-dead morons become CEOs?

Also a good question.

Which leads to the ultimate question:  Why should taxpayers pick up the tab for their collective stupidity? 

More and more I'm of the opinion we should not.


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RE: Senate Told It May Take $75 to $125 Billion To Keep... - 12/6/2008 12:01:37 PM   
thishereboi


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Maybe instead of asking the big 3 to come up with a plan for success, they should be going to the car companies that are actually successful. Ask their CEO how they do it. Just a thought.

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RE: Senate Told It May Take $75 to $125 Billion To Keep... - 12/6/2008 12:34:32 PM   
DarkSteven


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quote:

ORIGINAL: thishereboi

Maybe instead of asking the big 3 to come up with a plan for success, they should be going to the car companies that are actually successful. Ask their CEO how they do it. Just a thought.


More to the point - go to the successful car companies and offer themselves for sale.  The production capacity will still be used, jobs will be saved, etc., and there'll be a far greater chance of success than if the government helped.  At no cost to taxpayers.


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The small-breasted ones want larger breasts. The large-breasted ones want smaller ones. The straight-haired ones curl their hair, and the curly-haired ones straighten theirs...

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RE: Senate Told It May Take $75 to $125 Billion To Keep... - 12/6/2008 12:38:28 PM   
Dominatist


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The real hypocracy here is that our great fiscal disciplinarians called congress, is actually demanding something like...what could be in an

Open Letter to Congress...we the people want from YOU...

*documented, assessment of your current operating cash position...

*documented, explanation of how the govt./treasury will meet the financial needs associated with your forthcoming plan to ensure the long term viability of govt. finances.

*documented, all varying assumptions of expected revenue and expenditures along with all specific meaures designed to ensure transparency and accountability.

*documented, proposals to address the payment of all healthcare and pension obilgations of the federal govt.

*documented, all written obligations to resign your seat in both houses of congress as 'immediately callable' obligations once any long term benchmarks were not met.

WE THE PEOPLE deserve to see a written plan as documented that is accountable to taxpayers and is viable for the long term including all sacrifices and major changes in the federal govt.'s way of doing business.

I'd laugh if all of this wasn't patently ridiculous.

< Message edited by Dominatist -- 12/6/2008 1:05:00 PM >

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RE: Senate Told It May Take $75 to $125 Billion To Keep... - 12/6/2008 12:40:04 PM   
Musicmystery


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quote:

let's try asking the question a different way - how on earth did these brain-dead morons become CEOs?


Here's a thought---

These folks get great bonuses when things go well (whether they had much to do with it or not). This "incentive" pay gives the illusion of holding them accountable. It does not.

To be truly accountable, these Wunderkinds should be CHARGED when things don't go well---yup, maybe paying back last year's bonus. THAT's accountability.

Are they investors or employees of the board? As things stand, they have the best of both worlds.

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RE: Senate Told It May Take $75 to $125 Billion To Keep... - 12/6/2008 2:13:04 PM   
Lorr47


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quote:

ORIGINAL: celticlord2112

Senate Told It May Take $75 to $125 Billion To Keep Big Three From Bankruptcy

Far from asking for way too much, it appears the Big Three may be guilty of the even more egregious sin of not asking for nearly enough.

Why can't these CEOs come up with a cogent plan to restructure that provides some reasonable assurance all this money will be paid back?  If they have, I sure haven't heard one--the general line seems to be "without this money we'll go bust and you don't dare risk that."  These aren't businesspeople looking for funding, they're junkies looking for their next fix.

I don't wish anyone to be on the unemployment line (ok, I can make an exception for Rick Wagoner and Ron Gettelfinger), but this blind-bailout nonsense is making the risk of allowing the Big Three to tank look an awful lot like the "safe" option.



This seems confusing. Several weeks ago most were calling for Zandi's head (co founder of Moody's) because Moody's, Poor's and Fitch's had essentially taken  thinly veiled payoffs so they would rate bundles of C-----rated mortgages as A++++instruments.  Akin to turning lead into gold.  Now, he pontificates and you believe him?  (See Bill Moyer about four weeks ago.)  First, finding out who is paying Zandi might be a better approach.  Then I looked at CL's source and its logo: "Human Events.com....Headquarters for the Conservative Underground"  and it was explained.  It puts McCain in its rogue gallery with Gore and Kerry.  Oh well.

< Message edited by Lorr47 -- 12/6/2008 2:23:44 PM >

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RE: Senate Told It May Take $75 to $125 Billion To Keep... - 12/6/2008 2:23:17 PM   
celticlord2112


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quote:

Now, he pontificates and you believe him?

To be honest, I am not certain I do or should believe him.

However, the first time the Big Three went to Washington the price was $25Billion.  Next time around it was $34Billion.  That much is reported fact.

Also factual is that Zandi stated his figure to Congress--accurate or not, it is a part of the testimony given on point, and, deserved or not, they appear to grant him credibility on point (meaning his numbers could carry weight with them).

Regardless of Zandi's credentials or credibility (do any of the presumed "experts" really have much credibility left?), what concerns me most is not the number, but that no one--NO ONE--has anything to give any certainty to any number.

These aren't bailouts; this is shoveling money in hopes that enough money will fix the "problem".  Worse, Congress seems on board with the concept, with nary a thought given to where the money is going, how it is being spent, and if in fact it is doing anything good.

If you or anyone can point to a clearly articulated business plan put forward by any of the Big Three (or the UAW), I would love to read it.  Hell, I'd feel better just knowing it exists, because, so far as I am aware, it doesn't.  And that is reason enough to deny them even one dime from the public trough.

< Message edited by celticlord2112 -- 12/6/2008 2:26:11 PM >


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RE: Senate Told It May Take $75 to $125 Billion To Keep... - 12/6/2008 2:42:32 PM   
Lorr47


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quote:

ORIGINAL: celticlord2112

quote:

Now, he pontificates and you believe him?

To be honest, I am not certain I do or should believe him.
Agreed

However, the first time the Big Three went to Washington the price was $25Billion.  Next time around it was $34Billion.  That much is reported fact.

Agreed

Also factual is that Zandi stated his figure to Congress--accurate or not, it is a part of the testimony given on point.

Zandi is a crook. (but who on wall street is not.) Moyers interviewed 2 of his ratings experts.  To change a bundle of C---mortages to A+++ securities costs $750,000. He was one of the watchers of the gate and only watched out for his own wallet.

Regardless of Zandi's credentials or credibility (do any of the presumed "experts" really have much credibility left?), what concerns me most is not the number, but that no one--NO ONE--has anything to give any certainty to any number.

There are no experts.

These aren't bailouts; this is shoveling money in hopes that enough money will fix the "problem".  Worse, Congress seems on board with the concept, with nary a thought given to where the money is going, how it is being spent, and if in fact it is doing anything good.

Agreed.

If you or anyone can point to a clearly articulated business plan put forward by any of the Big Three (or the UAW), I would love to read it.  Hell, I'd feel better just knowing it exists, because, so far as I am aware, it doesn't.  And that is reason enough to deny them even one dime from the public trough.

The most conservative paper I know, the GR Press (backed McCain and Cliford Taylor. I can see McCain but Taylor!) said in a front page editorial (without citations) that there is no lending available for Chapter 11.  However, I do not accept their conclusion that there has to be a bailout.  But then again I know less every day.



Maybe you know the answer to the following questions because I don't: 

What was the difference between Lehman and say AIG ?  Substitute any one of them.

What is the difference between AIG ($180 billion) and the Big Three?

I am not trying to make a point for bailing out the Big Three.  What are they (politicians) using for criteria?  I cannot see how they make decisions.

Maybe conservatives and liberals will ultimately unite in the class of people known as "citizens being screwed."

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RE: Senate Told It May Take $75 to $125 Billion To Keep... - 12/6/2008 2:58:14 PM   
celticlord2112


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quote:

Maybe you know the answer to the following questions because I don't:

Excellent questions all.  I wish I did have the answers, but I don't.

The handling of the Bear Stearns collapse I could fathom, because, based on what I read, it did seem there was a reasonable prospect that the government might actually turn a profit on the deal.  As initially presented, TARP sounded like a re-incarnation of RTC, which dealt with the savings-and-loan crisis of the 80s--and if one must have government intervention to cushion the financial impact of such a crisis, that seems to have been one of the more benign (or perhaps merely less malignant) examples in recent memory.  It has metastasized into something that seems bereft of reason or any critical thinking at all (we don't want to slam banks needing a hand so every bank has to accept some federal funds to allow the troubled ones to save face???????)

Lehman made sense to me, because that is what should happen in the marketplace--you plays the game, you takes your chances, and the losers suffer the consequences.  AIG, and everything since then, however, seems to pervert that rationale--now it's play the game but there's no real risk because Uncle Sam is cosigning on everything.

Rarely does doing nothing prove to be preferable over doing anything.  Based on the lack of anything resembling comprehension about either the nature or the magnitude of these crises, this may be one of those rare instances when doing nothing is exactly what should be done.

America to Congress:  "Don't just do something.  Stand there!"


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RE: Senate Told It May Take $75 to $125 Billion To Keep... - 12/6/2008 3:05:20 PM   
Musicmystery


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quote:

Lehman made sense to me, because that is what should happen in the marketplace--you plays the game, you takes your chances, and the losers suffer the consequences.  AIG, and everything since then, however, seems to pervert that rationale--now it's play the game but there's no real risk because Uncle Sam is cosigning on everything.


Actually, aside from the amazing cost of all this and the apparent lack of any cogent approach beyond doing something for the sake of doing something, this bothers me the most.

The administration simply picked whom to save and whom to fuck. That above all shouldn't happen.

The only thing that bothers me more is Gore v. Bush---not whining about the outcome (which frankly would have been the same), but that the Supreme Court had no business taking the case at all (a state matter).

If we're gonna save industries, fine. If the administration--especially an administration famous for rewarding its friends and punishing its enemies (even when that means violating national security law) is the final arbitrator for success in the marketplace, then something's wrong. Very wrong.

< Message edited by Musicmystery -- 12/6/2008 3:08:02 PM >

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RE: Senate Told It May Take $75 to $125 Billion To Keep... - 12/6/2008 3:07:37 PM   
variation30


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quote:

ORIGINAL: DarkSteven

CL, let's try asking the question a different way - how on earth did these brain-dead morons become CEOs?


because they are good rent-seekers.

also, watch out for this: "since we've already put so much money into the auto industry, we have to keep putting money into the auto industry else we'd have wasted all that original money."

you'll hear that within six months.


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RE: Senate Told It May Take $75 to $125 Billion To Keep... - 12/6/2008 3:12:28 PM   
celticlord2112


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Musicmystery

quote:

Lehman made sense to me, because that is what should happen in the marketplace--you plays the game, you takes your chances, and the losers suffer the consequences.  AIG, and everything since then, however, seems to pervert that rationale--now it's play the game but there's no real risk because Uncle Sam is cosigning on everything.

Actually, aside from the amazing cost of all this and the apparent lack of any cogent approach beyond doing something for the sake of doing something, this bothers me the most.

Some of my reading of the London newspapers suggests the AIG bailout may have been motivated in part by European pressures to not let AIG fall--that European banks are more on the hook with those damned credit default swaps than US banks.

If that is the case, then the AIG bailout was US taxpayer funds bailing out European banks as well.

"Wrong" is rapidly becoming inadequate to the situation.


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RE: Senate Told It May Take $75 to $125 Billion To Keep... - 12/6/2008 3:12:29 PM   
Lorr47


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quote:

ORIGINAL: celticlord2112

quote:

Maybe you know the answer to the following questions because I don't:

Excellent questions all.  I wish I did have the answers, but I don't.

The handling of the Bear Stearns collapse I could fathom, because, based on what I read, it did seem there was a reasonable prospect that the government might actually turn a profit on the deal.  As initially presented, TARP sounded like a re-incarnation of RTC, which dealt with the savings-and-loan crisis of the 80s--and if one must have government intervention to cushion the financial impact of such a crisis, that seems to have been one of the more benign (or perhaps merely less malignant) examples in recent memory.  It has metastasized into something that seems bereft of reason or any critical thinking at all (we don't want to slam banks needing a hand so every bank has to accept some federal funds to allow the troubled ones to save face???????)

Lehman made sense to me, because that is what should happen in the marketplace--you plays the game, you takes your chances, and the losers suffer the consequences.  AIG, and everything since then, however, seems to pervert that rationale--now it's play the game but there's no real risk because Uncle Sam is cosigning on everything.

Rarely does doing nothing prove to be preferable over doing anything.  Based on the lack of anything resembling comprehension about either the nature or the magnitude of these crises, this may be one of those rare instances when doing nothing is exactly what should be done.

America to Congress:  "Don't just do something.  Stand there!"



Agree.  (Although my neurotic side still has me thinking  that Lehman  was allowed  in part to go under because Paulson was once an officer at Goldman; Lehman's competition.  But, then again I am neurotic.)

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RE: Senate Told It May Take $75 to $125 Billion To Keep... - 12/6/2008 3:15:28 PM   
celticlord2112


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quote:

Although my neurotic side still has me thinking that Lehman was allowed in part to go under because Paulson was once an officer at Goldman; Lehman's competition.

That remains a possibility.  I tend not to dwell on that dimension simply because allowing Lehman to fail is the decision I likely would have made--which is probably merely a neurosis of a different sort!


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RE: Senate Told It May Take $75 to $125 Billion To Keep... - 12/6/2008 3:15:45 PM   
Musicmystery


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quote:

Agree.  (Although my neurotic side still has me thinking  that Lehman  was allowed  in part to go under because Paulson was once an officer at Goldman; Lehman's competition.  But, then again I am neurotic.)


No, not at all---that appears to be a huge part of it.

And so we give Paulson a pile of cash with no strings.

This would be a comedy, if it weren't so tragic.

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RE: Senate Told It May Take $75 to $125 Billion To Keep... - 12/6/2008 3:17:19 PM   
celticlord2112


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quote:


also, watch out for this: "since we've already put so much money into the auto industry, we have to keep putting money into the auto industry else we'd have wasted all that original money."

you'll hear that within six months.

I sincerely hope you are wrong.

If we do hear that logic, I hope everyone (at least everyone here) remembers the fundamental economic principle that sunk costs are gone, and that throwing good money after bad is the height of economic irrationality.


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RE: Senate Told It May Take $75 to $125 Billion To Keep... - 12/6/2008 3:32:02 PM   
Lorr47


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quote:

ORIGINAL: celticlord2112

quote:


also, watch out for this: "since we've already put so much money into the auto industry, we have to keep putting money into the auto industry else we'd have wasted all that original money."

you'll hear that within six months.

I sincerely hope you are wrong.

If we do hear that logic, I hope everyone (at least everyone here) remembers the fundamental economic principle that sunk costs are gone, and that throwing good money after bad is the height of economic irrationality.



I forget the amount, but it was recently discussed how much money the auto industry borrowed (particularly Ford) from Wall Street in the last few years.  The un paid total was enormous.  If the auto industry gets the money it might be interesting to try to find out how much influence Wall Street exerted on the decision.  If the auto industry gets the money are we again bailing out Wall Street under a different guise? It is becoming hard to tell who is on first or second; a never ending circle.


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