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RE: Dow ends at lowest close in more than 6 years - 2/20/2009 7:46:38 AM   
corysub


Posts: 1492
Joined: 1/1/2004
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Yes, I agree, Obama is doing EXACTLY what we feared he would do if elected.  It's as if the democrat party lost a tooth, put it under their pillow, and woke up with a US$1,000,000,000,000 on their beds. 

Within one month of his inauguration he has signed the most disastrous spending bill this country has ever legislated into law. Hundreds of Billions of dollars aimed at satisfy this liberal wishlist, a spending program that will do little to energize the economy, but sure as hell energize the democrat base.  The fact that the stock market may collapse, the financial system may collapse, and millions of hard working small business owners will lose their lifetime work means little to these bastards who love to spend the taxpayers money while, as we have found, some don't bother to pay their taxes.  It's going to be interesting when the Swiss banks open up their secret American citizen account names to the light of day to see just how many are pillars of the business community, and how many are former or PRESENT politicans..of any party. But I digress.

The stock market outlook continues poor because we have a financial system that is near collapse and a government that is anti-business developing programs that are not going to stimulate the economy but pay off political IOU's to unions, special interest groups, and probably friends.  Obama talks about "trickle up" economics...I have yet to see anything "trickle up"...but is sure sounds good..doesnt it.  What sounds bad, however, is the grumble coming for an empty stomach.  Most of us here never had to live during a "depression" but probably have parents or grandparents who did....and it was not a time for stupid jokes about pork...since no one had pork to eat.  We are putting the country into enormous debt with projects that are not profit oriented jobs.... but "make work" projects for people who will be out of work in a year or two.  Compounding the problem is the "Lets reward the losers" mortgage program that Obama offered to the public that resulted in another failure in the market yesterday. 

We can throw barbs at each other...maybe even spears...but truth is that we have a dysfunctional government, headed by an inexperienced guy whose only job was as a "community organizer".  If you live in the big dying cities..you might actually be helped if you are not working for a living or not paying your bills.  If you are working your ass off to provide for your family..well sucker..you are shit out of luck.  This "change" does not put an umbrella over you and your loved ones. 

(in reply to Lorr47)
Profile   Post #: 41
RE: Dow ends at lowest close in more than 6 years - 2/20/2009 7:56:02 AM   
Mercnbeth


Posts: 11766
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quote:

Yes, he is doing exactly what we thought he would do.  Only the cons nonsense says otherwise.  The aimis to make the republicans look like the dishonest whimpering obstructionists they are; destroy the republican party in the next election for starting this depression and then playing politics and making the depression worse; then allowing Hillary and Obama to rule for 16 years.  We may allow the republicans to have a convention, maybe for window dressing.

I agree, by the next election there will be a large plurality of people either working as bureaucratic drones for one of the many layers of government or on the government dole. They will be voting for their entitlements and their jobs. A marvelous strategy of making people reliant on the government directed to the stated goal of the Democratic party to be "involved in the day to day life of every citizen." 

So few people will be self reliant and self sufficient it will be impossible to elect any candidate who represents any of the ideals that provide for an opportunity of personal achievement and success.

I compliment them on their plan and appreciate their use of the opportunity presented. They have mortgaged the future, set the wheels in motion for the nationalization of key industries, and are reaping the benefits of an education system that shrived for mediocrity and teaching to the lowest common denominator.

Sure, there will always be the ruling elite. Nancy Pelosi is enjoying her opportunity to apply a Berkley social engineering theory to the real world. The ultra rich will still enjoy their lives wondering why, as is occurring now in CA, a family can be affected by having to 'just' pay out $1,700 per person in additional taxes to fund the entitlement programs and pay the salaries of the people working for the sacred cow category of labor working for public employee unions.

The numbers don't lie. There are more of 'them', on the public dole or public payroll, then there are of 'us', working and generating income from producing something. More than likely you are correct. You should be enjoying your victory and planning for more of the same in the foreseeable future. I know I am.

Yup, I'd say that's pretty much delivering on the promise.

< Message edited by Mercnbeth -- 2/20/2009 8:01:18 AM >

(in reply to Lorr47)
Profile   Post #: 42
RE: Dow ends at lowest close in more than 6 years - 2/20/2009 8:53:10 AM   
Termyn8or


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I don't hate, but if I did republicans would be at the top of the list. By their actions they put Obama in the big chair. I postulated a while back that McCain may have been a sacrificial goat, because they knew straight out they were going to lose. Whether that is true or not is irrelevant.

The neocons went against almost everything the republican party was supposed to stand for. Those ideals are gone. It is one thing to try Reaganomics, but it is quite another to give out this welfare to people who do not need it. It doesn't sound all that republican to me.

In HK's pork thread I stuck up for you, I think that by definition everything added to the bill that is not ad hoc is pork.

However note that I no longer can agree that they are out to reward failure.  It seems to me that they are rewarding those more proficient at exploitation, or even theft.

I don't know if you actually own your own business or not, but if you do, and you write yourself a paycheck that your company can't afford, what do you call that ?

Whether we agree on each point or not, the actions of the neocons is not in line with the supposed platform of the republican party. If I could find one true republican for whom to vote, I would shout it from every mountaintop. Of course none of them, if they are found, would have a snowball's chance in hell to do anything meaningful. First problem would be getting them elected.

I'm still looking for the DJIA to settle in at about five grand and stay there for awhile. I think that because that's about where it belongs. Remember when it was about two grand ? Years ago that was good.

T

(in reply to Mercnbeth)
Profile   Post #: 43
RE: Dow ends at lowest close in more than 6 years - 2/20/2009 8:55:15 AM   
DedicatedDom40


Posts: 350
Joined: 9/22/2005
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quote:

ORIGINAL: corysub

Yes, I agree, Obama is doing EXACTLY what we feared he would do if elected.  It's as if the democrat party lost a tooth, put it under their pillow, and woke up with a US$1,000,000,000,000 on their beds. 



Is that anything like Mr. Decider who created an agency and newly hired 41,000 of his jobless friends from Texas, so somebody could remind us every day about people wanting to kill us? Im sure those buddies woke up with gifts under their pillows as well.

Tell me where you bought those 'one sided vision' goggles that you wear so frequently around here.







(in reply to corysub)
Profile   Post #: 44
RE: Dow ends at lowest close in more than 6 years - 2/20/2009 9:36:30 AM   
Mercnbeth


Posts: 11766
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Termyn8or
  1. In HK's pork thread I stuck up for you, I think that by definition everything added to the bill that is not ad hoc is pork.
  2. However note that I no longer can agree that they are out to reward failure.  It seems to me that they are rewarding those more proficient at exploitation, or even theft.
  3. I don't know if you actually own your own business or not, but if you do, and you write yourself a paycheck that your company can't afford, what do you call that ?

Term,
Let's combine these three paragraphs; stipulating that you can not know for sure anything about me, such as if indeed, I own my own business. However, you have a standing invite to visit me in person and verify if you like.

Put them in reverse order and you'll have a clearer indication of my perspective. The quick answer to #3 is I call that stupid qualitatively, and irresponsible quantitatively; at least if you plan on the business being an ongoing and viable entity.

"Rewarding failure" is giving the benefit of the doubt concerning the intentions of the perpetrators and the enablers. If you want to take a more pessimistic, and probably accurate position and call them thieves, extortionists, and corrupt bribe takers; I won't argue with you. It doesn't affect the pragmatic result.

Which brings us back to #1. It's relationship to question #3 is critical. What's the difference between writing myself a paycheck and writing an expense check to a vendor who in turn pays me back in some form or fashion? In the case of the pork package, the beneficiaries are primarily government 'vendors' who, of course, will reward the people who made it happen with campaign funds and other perks and benefits. I call that irresponsible and stupid too.

The distinction is, usually when it occurs in business the business appropriately dies. Depending on the size and influence you can get a situation such as Pharmor (remember them), or the Enron. Sometimes mismanagement gets its just reward of prison, sometimes it just goes away. This time, they are provided money, my money, your money; and in the case of paying the interest - our grand-children's money. Why is that path appropriate and possible for the government? They don't earn money - they print it. They don't generate income by marketing, they mandate the flow by taxing people.

I call all the money being spend on the package 'pork' because it's a shortcut word I use for waste and mismanagement. Were there a better word - I'd use it. As a business owner, or a business manager, I don't spend money I don't have, I don't raise my price (taxes) to my good and profitable clients, I try to become more efficient first, think, and put forth a turn-around plan and that I didn't have to include or deal with the disclaimers that I've heard about this one;  "this may make things worse", "I haven't read it, but we must do 'something' NOW!"

There is no bottom to the stock market because there is no end in sight and no bottom to this waste of assets and resources. I appreciate your defense of me in HK's thread. I felt no reason to post, because as he stated, I believe it is ALL pork.

PS - Gold hit $1,000 today. I was off on my prediction of last Wednesday by 4 days!

(in reply to Termyn8or)
Profile   Post #: 45
RE: Dow ends at lowest close in more than 6 years - 2/20/2009 9:48:39 AM   
Owner59


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And the necessity for all that,you can thank bush for,Merc.A dolt you voted for not once(forgivable),but twice!

~~~~~


This is going to look very much like what happened under FDR, in response to the (1st) Great Depression.

It`ll be a bit more privatized than then,but will be the driving force of the recovery,like in FDR`s day.

Could you imagine, folks,how much longer and worse the depression would have been, had FDR allowed the GOP to stop him?

We must not allow the predator capitalists and their supporter like Merc and the GOP, to stop/hinder this recovery,no matter how they mis-represent the issues or play spin/semantics games.


< Message edited by Owner59 -- 2/20/2009 9:51:54 AM >


_____________________________

"As for our common defense, we reject as false the choice between our safety and our ideals"

President Obama

(in reply to Mercnbeth)
Profile   Post #: 46
RE: Dow ends at lowest close in more than 6 years - 2/20/2009 10:45:58 AM   
rexrgisformidoni


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I am beginning to become amused how deluded you are. Or gullible. THERE IS NO DIFFERENCE BETWEEN EITHER PARTY! If the republicans had been in power and this passed, you'd bitch and cry and complain about the injustice and evil of it all. So seriously, do us all a favor and shut up. We're supposed to all be in this toghther, and people like you make that fricking impossible. Shit.

_____________________________

when all you have is a hammer, everything begins to look like nails

“I am the punishment of God...If you had not committed great sins, God would not have sent a punishment like me upon you.”

Genghis Khan

(in reply to Owner59)
Profile   Post #: 47
RE: Dow ends at lowest close in more than 6 years - 2/20/2009 11:10:25 AM   
Mercnbeth


Posts: 11766
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Owner59
And the necessity for all that,you can thank bush for,Merc.A dolt you voted for not once(forgivable),but twice!
59, Are all your arguments so week that they have to be prefaced with irrelevance?

quote:

This is going to look very much like what happened under FDR, in response to the (1st) Great Depression.

It`ll be a bit more privatized than then,but will be the driving force of the recovery,like in FDR`s day.

Ended by a world war and it's aftermath of the US coming out as the victor?

A "Bit more privatized"? How do you rationalize that in the face of a deliberate movement toward nationalization and the given goal of bloating public employees at the expense of the private sector? Having an opinion is one thing, but when it is in direct conflict with actions all around you its time to wonder about the reasoning skills of the individual.

quote:

Could you imagine, folks,how much longer and worse the depression would have been, had FDR allowed the GOP to stop him?
Exactly the same amount as long as US entered into the war, and won it without any impact to its infrastructure; which BTW didn't end it. It ended because the US came out of WWII intact as the only industrialized nation capable of manufacturing the necessary materials to rebuild Europe and Japan. Noteworthy - ALL those 'special' and favored companies who generated a huge private labor force that paid taxes instead of receiving entitlements were run by "Predatory Capitalists". One thing FDR didn't do - was nationalize any industry, although many more than now were failing. Back then that was seen as 'Fascist'.

I see the similarities in American politics today by the party in power. Criticism and opposition to the government is being seen as, what do you call it, oh yeah "hindrances to the recovery" "misrepresenting" and not benefiting the 'Obama-land'. There is an attempt to hinder individual initiative; suppressing it for the good of the 'Obama-land'. The concept requires lock-step obedience and acceptance. The national identity and perception of State unity is more important than any distraction of fact. It's a philosophy that isn't limited to the far 'right'. Obviously it only requires a weak and susceptible mass of desperate people under any self proclaimed political identity or label. It's something the US went to war against in Europe; after 60 years I guess the political powers in place think its time to try it here. 

However, what spin, and PC label would you apply to that movement being used President Obama, and his supporters such as yourself?  

Still in search of the motivating factor and goals behind the actions; and since in your mind they compare to FDR; is it your position that President Obama has a similar world war plan in mind and he hopes his announced troop deployment in Afghanistan generates a smilier result to FDR's embargo of Japan an his 'Lend/Lease' program with England? Actually, that would make a lot more sense then the current path which has no apparent or announced strategy or turn-around plan.
quote:

We must not allow the predator capitalists and their supporter like Merc and the GOP, to stop/hinder this recovery,no matter how they mis-represent the issues or play spin/semantics games.
59, as usually no representation contrasting to my "mis-representation". Could be there isn't any.

As least you are disclosing; "Predator Capitalists" - Should be the title of the next Hollywood Blockbuster. Demonizing people and institutions who can be a source of improving the current situation instead of providing an alternative and a clear contrary position. Shows you ultimately doubt and have as much angst that there is a "recovery" to be "stopped and hindered". Who exactly is doing so? Who has the power to do so? The White House, Congress, and this pork program they have put in place has not been stopped or hindered by anyone.

Are you now upset that the aforementioned "Predator Capitalists" aren't buying into the nationalization of industries and using their money to fund and keep alive the failed businesses who are the targets benefiting from Obama's 'Bush II' stimulus package?

Once again I've answered my own question. Good thing in your case since you've never answered one. Your arguments ARE so weak that they require irrelevance to make them. I am concerned that you now support so strongly the same initiatives you despised so much under President Bush concerning Obama's implementation of Part II as well as his escalation of sending troops to fight in Afghanistan. However, I see the dark rose colored glasses - no need to reply.

< Message edited by Mercnbeth -- 2/20/2009 11:16:35 AM >

(in reply to Owner59)
Profile   Post #: 48
RE: Dow ends at lowest close in more than 6 years - 2/20/2009 12:10:08 PM   
SpinnerofTales


Posts: 1586
Joined: 5/30/2006
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Mercnbeth

quote:

The numbers don't lie. There are more of 'them', on the public dole or public payroll, then there are of 'us', working and generating income from producing something. More than likely you are correct. You should be enjoying your victory and planning for more of the same in the foreseeable future. I know I am.



May I ask what you consider being "on the public dole"? Police officers? Firemen? Soldiers? Teachers? Sewer Workers? Bus Drivers? Sanitation Workers? Assistant District Attorneys? Prison Guards? Gee...I would think that these were pretty good things to have but perhaps you disagree.

More importantly....and I address this not only to you but everyone on the "Look how awful the stimulus package is" side is what would YOU do? The tax cut as panacea has been tried and failed. The "Do nothing and it'll be ok in a little while" was tried in Japan and resuled in the lost decade where economic growth was virtually zero. The "let business sort out business" market discipline approach was tried and resulted in the very meltdown that caused the need to have a stimulus in the first place.

To this date, I haven't heard a single idea mentioned in this forum (or the republican side). Rather than just standing in the middle of the street yelling "no" at the top of your lungs, please...tell me what you think would be a good stimulus for the economy. I'd like to hear a new idea or two.

(in reply to Mercnbeth)
Profile   Post #: 49
RE: Dow ends at lowest close in more than 6 years - 2/20/2009 1:39:15 PM   
Mercnbeth


Posts: 11766
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quote:

More importantly....and I address this not only to you but everyone on the "Look how awful the stimulus package is" side is what would YOU do? The tax cut as panacea has been tried and failed. The "Do nothing and it'll be ok in a little while" was tried in Japan and resuled in the lost decade where economic growth was virtually zero. The "let business sort out business" market discipline approach was tried and resulted in the very meltdown that caused the need to have a stimulus in the first place.

To this date, I haven't heard a single idea mentioned in this forum (or the republican side). Rather than just standing in the middle of the street yelling "no" at the top of your lungs, please...tell me what you think would be a good stimulus for the economy. I'd like to hear a new idea or two.


Then you haven't read any of my posts. I'll try to hit some of the point, but I doubt I'll have the time, or desire to flesh out all of them, nor all the details.  

Never have I said to the Country should do nothing. Fundamentally I propose doing something other that spending more money on a program that's announced with Congress proudly stating they haven't taken 3 seconds to read it and have no idea of all the details, and consequences, contained within it.

I have, and its very boring and difficult but I could not find anything pointing me to the specifics of how it will work. It has has no specific benchmarks to determine its effectiveness. Instead we have spending which has the only jobs guaranteed and earmarked in the public sector. No matter how much tax money these employees pay it isn't, and can't be, equal to what they are being paid. Therefor every government employee adds to the problem; not solving or reducing it. 

By definition yes all those public workers you mention are on the public dole. I always wonder why those jobs you mention are the first line of defense when public employees are pointed to for cuts. It's a public employee version of the argument of 'good intent' and '...this must be done for the children'. It works so well in those cases and I appreciate you using it as a tactic now. Unfortunately those you mention are a relatively small percentage of people, and jobs, on the government dole. You can cut entire departments, some at the Cabinet level, if you only addressed duplicity; the Department of Education sticks out as an example. Isn't that a State/local issue. One side of the equation shouldn't be necessary. Often they are at odds with the other. TV access is another 'entitlement'. The FAA is necessary to monitor what is and isn't on the public airwaves. In the age in which we live - you may age a day or so just flipping around all the entertainment options. The part of the FAA who needs to monitor and determine what's aired should be eliminated and the public told they have a channel changer - which they can use for their own accountability to what they see. The government provided analog/digital converters at taxpayer expense. Again, a very minor and inconsequential issue; but there are a bunch more similar items that add up to a lot of money drain in times where money is tight.

Bigger cuts? End two aspects of the biggest public dole - subsidies and religious institution tax exemption status. Nobody gets a subsidy while the Country is operating at a deficit. No 'charity' deserves a subsidy of tax exemption to pursue their personal political agenda be it considered left or right wing. If sugar and/or milk is supposed to cost more or less than it does now - find out, its a good time to do so.

Provide a bipartisan audit of the entire business known as the USA and its my position you can get the deficit down to zero. Meanwhile, were I running, or trying to turn around a business 'in trouble' like the USA; I wouldn't lead off by announcing $800 Billion in new spending and hiring 600,000 new employees; as has been the case with this Administration. I'm sure my 'investors' or 'stock-holders' would have the same reaction as Wall Street and the other financial markets, the 'investors' in the USA economy, they're not 'buying'. Except in my case - I'd bet I'd be fired for just suggesting such a fiducially irresponsible act.  

No tax cut is necessary; cut expenses. Step one - audit the entire system, eliminate duplicity. Hasn't been done, hasn't been talked about, not on the horizon. Instead - spend first; ask questions and worry about results later - good plan?

If there is 'stimulus' or even 'bail out' necessary, use the successful businesses within the industries to facilitate it. For example, if the auto industry is hamstrung and bankrupted by union negotiated pension and benefits programs appropriately negotiated in the 'good times'; let the government take over those programs with the caveat that the UAW and the 'Big Three' sit down at a negotiating table and put in a plan to move forward with new a salary/benefits structure more relevant to these times. Unlike the current program of never ending cash flow to a failing industry having no impact on the problem, you have a fixed expense at the government level which eventually dies with the pensioners and retirees. Stop the bleeding today with a joint effort between labor, management, and government. Apply the transfusion to a repaired body, not one leaking faster than the blood can be poured into it.

Financial service markets should be allowed to fail if that's the consequence of their business plans. There are enough assets and management NOT failing to take over the vacuum. TARP was supposed to 'free up' the capital markets; however 'TARP' was an appropriate name since its real intent was to cover up the government's mandate to the TARP receiving banks to buy failing institutions. It served to spread the disease from the dying to the healthy. So much so, that I don't know if the alternative solution I propose is possible at this point.

Individuals suffer their losses, whether in the stock market, 401k, mortgages, or the super sized losses from the Ponzi schemes of Madoff and Stanford. You took your chance, you lost. The highest estimate I've seen of mortgages in default is 10%. It means 90% are not in default. Similar to the TARP program any attempt to save the dying with the blood of the healthy will make all sick. People aren't 'entitled' to own a house. They surely aren't entitled to maintain ownership through the efforts of those who can are are paying for a house they can afford. 'Upside-down' equity situations are a non-factor and those feeling that's worthy of 'bail-out' are just upset that they made a bad deal - too bad. When, or if, the market turns around then they'll benefit from their housing 'investment'. I don't read anywhere in the Constitution where home equity increases are mandated. Come to think of it, the government isn't Constitutionally required to provide food, clothing, or anything that should be the personal responsibility of its citizens. I think it says something to the effect of "...life liberty and the pursuit of happiness." It doesn't say your entitled to any of it, only that you have the opportunity to work for it, and pursue it.

So tell me - does the Bush II program institution by this Administration and approved by Congress to the, so far, tune of $800 Billion have any similar specific action, goal, or (what's the word....oh yeah) PLAN?

One final note of repetitiveness from prior posts, because as each day goes by it seems to be the only way to comprehend how smarter people with more access to information than me can stand in front of the nation and represent that what they are doing now is a good idea. As I type this, the DOW is down another 100 points at 7365. The goal is zero. Nationalization, total government reliance, and seeing government as the 'salvation' is the logical goal for this program. It's got to be the plan, unless you can provide a better reasoning.

How about 'spinning a similiar tale' providing the specifics of why, and how, what President Obama and Congress have instituted, will turn around the economy? So far, all I've gotten is "we have to do something!" hysteria.

(in reply to SpinnerofTales)
Profile   Post #: 50
RE: Dow ends at lowest close in more than 6 years - 2/20/2009 4:36:47 PM   
Mercnbeth


Posts: 11766
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~ Fast Reply ~

Ok - I can't stand to see it anymore, and have the sword of Damocles hang over my head. So far 5 people have pointed it out to me, including a fine gentleman from NY...
quote:

The FAA is necessary to monitor what is and isn't on the public airwaves. In the age in which we live - you may age a day or so just flipping around all the entertainment options. The part of the FAA who needs to monitor and determine what's aired should be eliminated and the public told they have a channel changer - which they can use for their own accountability to what they see.

Merc,
You're an idiot! The FAA monitors planes, the FTC monitors security trades, and the FCC  is responsible for TV! How can I take anything you say seriously if you can't keep the initials of the bureaucracies you hate straight!?

Thanks to all who contacted me directly.

Okay - now I can go home for the weekend and PARTY! Time to spend some money before the government gets it!

(in reply to Mercnbeth)
Profile   Post #: 51
RE: Dow ends at lowest close in more than 6 years - 2/20/2009 11:04:44 PM   
Termyn8or


Posts: 18681
Joined: 11/12/2005
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[Not completely a specific response to one]

LOL Merc, I now am aware about that little faux pas. If it is to be pick on Merc day who am I to ruin the fun ? I would point out your lack of effectiveness in arguing with me, but will add that this is not a deficiency of ability, it is that on alot of these matters our opinions are not divergent greatly. We seem to differ on a bit of terminology.

I say they reward not failure, but outright theft, well perhaps I am not quite the perfectly polite gentleman. To admit some more of my opinion, I detect that you are probably doing well for yourself, and I have no problem with that. It is that even if you make your money by actually gambling with other people's money, you pay the attention and take care not to need to be at the Whitehouse with a tin cup. (a big tin cup in these times).

What if I said you come to the racetrack with me, of course my system is not perfect, but you wind up betting with me. If I lose you lose, if I win you win. Analyzing that board, picking and choosing even the day and time to go, everything is on me. Say we go a few times and come out ahead and you want to up the ante. So now every bet is 80% your money and as such gets you 80% of the returns. We are simply on a larger scale of operations. If I make a million you made eight, but what we can do then is actually affect the board, and then we know that effect, and can isolate it from the effects of the other big money around. In other words there is enough that we, simply by making the right (actually wrong) bets at just the right time we might keep just a bit of the other big money out of our money.

This is work buddy, it is not (?) a game for me. It s not a living, I still only gamble when I want to, it is a challenge for me, and as much as it takes, I don't see it as work. It's not as intense as being an actuary, but there are times that seconds count. It's like a game though. Knowing that I would win every time would really take the wind out of my sails.

Every time I go to work I know how much money I am going to "win". But a bit of real gambling, unlike the sheeplottery and such, the money is actually secondary.

Man if you can think of your job like that you are indeed lucky, and IIRC you said that you were happy and contented. I remember when I liked the challenges at work, every time I yelled AHA ! everybody knew I did something good. Work is now work for me and nothing in the universe can make me like it. I used to like it.

How I hedge (interesting coincidence of terms eh ?) a bet is what is important.

Another thing I learned in my fairly expensive education in gambling was about longshots. It gets tiring getting paid 4/3 or whatever to win, but longshots do come in.

In fact the penny stocks of today mgiht become, in time a very impactive element in the DJIA in a mere decade. Take this from someone who watched IBM stock split again and again and again and so forth. Wish I owned it, but it was my relatives.I didn't get into it.

I think the time for the stock market has passed, at least for me. The time to get into it was back during/after the depression probably, which only our ancestors could do. Compounded it made alot of people well off, well up until now. Kinda.

I think the same problem exists now, that the stock market should not have been considered a permanent solution. At some point my family got rid of their Immobiliarie (sp) and at some point before the crash, even Mom sold out her IRAs and everything for real property. What are thee people psychic or something ? That's why I don't play that game.

In a gambling game, the winners know when to get out.Take their money and walk,or even run. The stock market could be played like that, and one would be largely invulnerable to the type of crap going on now. But instead it was seen as a reliable and steady investment with reliable returns. Well guess what, they may have been gambling without even knowing it. Shame on them. Almost every pamphlet, leaflet, flier or whatever from an investment firm has a part that states exactly that you could lose your entire investment.

Maybe people will read it next time. :-)

T

(in reply to Mercnbeth)
Profile   Post #: 52
RE: Dow ends at lowest close in more than 6 years - 2/21/2009 12:08:27 AM   
Hippiekinkster


Posts: 5512
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Term, I don't recall where I read it, it was a Britich study, which concluded that rather than providing capital for corporations to expand their markets, hire more people, yada yada, the Stock markets were in fact a mechanism for transferring wealth from the "investors" to the Officers/Directors/Board members of corporations.

Think about "Stock Buybacks". What happens? There are a fixed number of shares flaoted on the stock market. let's say the stock is selling at, oh, Ten. For some reason, the stock drops to Nine. The Insiders (officers, directors, etc.) know that the company is sound, and is, in fact, going to be more profitable. They direct the Treasurer to buy back shares at Nine. At the same time, the officers/directors/etc. are awarded "stock options" at Nine. There are now fewer shares on the market. Buy-backs are bullish. The stock rises to Ten. The Insiders sell at Ten, and pocket whatever (a LOT, normally).

The number of shares hasn't changed. The number of shares available for purchase on the stock market has (that's the point). So the fewer the shares (given that the corp is sound), the more valuable they are. That's how the Insiders can sell into the market and make their money. It's really easy. All it takes is money to start with. That's how the rich stay rich and become richer. It's a wealth transfer.

Immobilien is German for Real Property (normally real estate).

< Message edited by Hippiekinkster -- 2/21/2009 12:11:57 AM >


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(in reply to Termyn8or)
Profile   Post #: 53
RE: Dow ends at lowest close in more than 6 years - 2/21/2009 10:07:03 AM   
Sanity


Posts: 22039
Joined: 6/14/2006
From: Nampa, Idaho USA
Status: offline
quote:


AP Analysis: Obama plans eclipsing New Deal spending

WASHINGTON (AP) - In sheer size, the economic measures announced by President Barack Obama to address "a crisis unlike we've ever known" are remarkable, rivaling and in many cases dwarfing the New Deal programs that Franklin D. Roosevelt famously created to battle the Great Depression.


Winning approval was a political tour-de-force for the new administration. Yet gloom and uncertainty persist about the plan's ability to deliver a cure for the economy's severe ailments.


Stocks plunged to six-year lows after the burst of bill signings, bailout announcements and presidential pledges.


And polls show Americans are increasingly worried about losing jobs and not having enough money to pay their bills.


Why the skepticism?


Maybe there's just been too long a run of bad news. Arthur Hogan, chief market analyst at Wachovia Securities, blames much of the negativity on "the fact that people are so down. They have no confidence in the future."


Republicans complain about wasted money. Some Democratic supporters say the plan won't help very much very quickly.


Former President Bill Clinton, who gives Obama high marks for straight talk in telling the nation the bad economic news, says his successor might try a more upbeat approach now. "I just want the American people to know that he's confident that we are going to get out of this and he feels good about the long run," Clinton said Friday on ABC News' "Good Morning America."

(Full article here).


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(in reply to Termyn8or)
Profile   Post #: 54
RE: Dow ends at lowest close in more than 6 years - 2/21/2009 10:22:32 AM   
SpinnerofTales


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Mercnbeth

quote:



How about 'spinning a similiar tale' providing the specifics of why, and how, what President Obama and Congress have instituted, will turn around the economy? So far, all I've gotten is "we have to do something!" hysteria.


Ok....that's a good question. Let's start with the basics. A stimulus package, by it's definition, is meant to pump money into a failing economy in order to revive normal economic activity. It is impossible to have a stimulus package without spending money. So let's look a bit at what the money is being spent upon. For those who want to check this for themselves, the data is at: http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2009/01/17/1748381.aspx

275 Billion in tax relief. This puts 275 billion dollars into the economy in small, measured does (about $65 a month per person) that is more likely to be spent than saved. (the reasoning I use is that one is more likely to bank a $650 check than one is to bank an extra 15 bucks a week). This is a direct stimulus to the economy by getting more money flowing which is a vital step towards correcting this situation.

80 billion dollars to infrastructure. This is 80 billion to the people who are among the hardest hit of our workers. With the construction of houses in the dumper, giving builders a shot of 80 billion dollars will help both them and the amount of ancillary economic activity (i.e. materials, transportation of said materials, etc)

54 billion for energy related programs. Every administration from the 70's on has decried our dependence on foreign  oil. Yet no one wants to spend any money on technology that might help lessen that. Again, this 54 million dollars will provide jobs for scientists, technologists and other support personnel. The modernization of public housing for more energy efficiency will cut government costs in the long run and the weatherization of modest income houses will give those owners more disposable income to put into the economy.

102 billion for unemployment benefits and food stamps. Again, we can be pretty damned sure that no one is going to save their unemployment benefits and cash in their food stamps for cash to put in the bank. Now unemployment benefits are not, as many conservatives like to shout, "rewarding losers". Unemployment benefits are available to working people who have lost, not quit, their jobs. In a country where 5,000,000 people are currently unemployed, this is an imperative. There comes a pont where a hard working person faced with loss of income goes under and needs even more intensive government aid. To give some help to hard working, tax paying Americans who have, usually through no fault of their own, become unemployed is, in my opinion, a worthwhile and necessary thing.  As for food stamps, well, forgive me if I like living in a country that looks badly on people starving in their streets. With this economic downturn, people need help. It's not that they're losers. It's that not everyone can handle a criss like this without some assistance. I personally don't mind that 2 percent of this stumulus is going to make sure that when the economy does turn around, that people are ready to rejoin it.

91 Billion for Medicade and aid to states for law enforcement funding.
Again, in this situation, pumpping 91 billion into the economy isn't a bad thing. And making sure that people have some kind of medical protection sounds like a pretty good idea to me. As for law enforcement, I remember the 70's in New York and can say that the last thing we want to do in this situation is make the streets the wild west. Saving these jobs provides a valuable service that we dont' want to go without.

141 billion to education programs. I know that many conservatives think that education is a state matter, but right now the states can't do it. The alternatives are massive cuts to education, including layoffs we don't need, reduction in already poor services and a general decline in educational quality in this country or an infusion of federal money. If spending this money on a stimulus package is seen as "mortgaging our children's financial future" then not spending it is mortaging our children's and country's future on a far more fundamental level. 

So, in my examination, this bill gives us 800 billion pumpped into an economy that needs it desperatly and gives us a pretty decent bang for our buck. Is it perfect? Of course not. But I will agree with President Obama when he said we must not let the perfect become the enemy of the necessary.

I am not unaware of the problems down the road. This is a huge increase in our national debt and that is not to be taken lightly. But when a house is on fire you put out the fire and then worry about repairing it. If you don't, you end up with ashes. This stimulus will help put out the fire. Instead of shouting about the doors broken by fireaxes or water damage, we should take this time to figure out just how we are going to finish rebuilding when the fire is put out.



(in reply to Mercnbeth)
Profile   Post #: 55
RE: Dow ends at lowest close in more than 6 years - 2/21/2009 10:24:58 AM   
SpinnerofTales


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By the way, just to summarize, the programs I've spoken of are 741 billion of the 800 billion stimulus. Would anyone like to step up and say "I would be ok with this plan if we worked out the details of the other 59 billion"?

(in reply to SpinnerofTales)
Profile   Post #: 56
RE: Dow ends at lowest close in more than 6 years - 2/21/2009 8:22:24 PM   
Lorr47


Posts: 862
Joined: 3/13/2007
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: SpinnerofTales

quote:

ORIGINAL: Mercnbeth

quote:

The numbers don't lie. There are more of 'them', on the public dole or public payroll, then there are of 'us', working and generating income from producing something. More than likely you are correct. You should be enjoying your victory and planning for more of the same in the foreseeable future. I know I am.



May I ask what you consider being "on the public dole"? Police officers? Firemen? Soldiers? Teachers? Sewer Workers? Bus Drivers? Sanitation Workers? Assistant District Attorneys? Prison Guards? Gee...I would think that these were pretty good things to have but perhaps you disagree.

More importantly....and I address this not only to you but everyone on the "Look how awful the stimulus package is" side is what would YOU do? The tax cut as panacea has been tried and failed. The "Do nothing and it'll be ok in a little while" was tried in Japan and resuled in the lost decade where economic growth was virtually zero. The "let business sort out business" market discipline approach was tried and resulted in the very meltdown that caused the need to have a stimulus in the first place.

To this date, I haven't heard a single idea mentioned in this forum (or the republican side). Rather than just standing in the middle of the street yelling "no" at the top of your lungs, please...tell me what you think would be a good stimulus for the economy. I'd like to hear a new idea or two.


You are asking them to make constructive proposals and cease the mantra of cutting Exxon's taxes again pursuant to the utterly failed trickle down theory?  Surely you jest!  They are like chicken little.  All they can say is that the "sky is falling." Part of the stimulus package should be  a supply of "ear plugs" so we do not have to listen to them anymore.

(in reply to SpinnerofTales)
Profile   Post #: 57
RE: Dow ends at lowest close in more than 6 years - 2/21/2009 9:17:12 PM   
corysub


Posts: 1492
Joined: 1/1/2004
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Hippiekinkster

Term, I don't recall where I read it, it was a Britich study, which concluded that rather than providing capital for corporations to expand their markets, hire more people, yada yada, the Stock markets were in fact a mechanism for transferring wealth from the "investors" to the Officers/Directors/Board members of corporations.

Think about "Stock Buybacks". What happens? There are a fixed number of shares flaoted on the stock market. let's say the stock is selling at, oh, Ten. For some reason, the stock drops to Nine. The Insiders (officers, directors, etc.) know that the company is sound, and is, in fact, going to be more profitable. They direct the Treasurer to buy back shares at Nine. At the same time, the officers/directors/etc. are awarded "stock options" at Nine. There are now fewer shares on the market. Buy-backs are bullish. The stock rises to Ten. The Insiders sell at Ten, and pocket whatever (a LOT, normally).

The number of shares hasn't changed. The number of shares available for purchase on the stock market has (that's the point). So the fewer the shares (given that the corp is sound), the more valuable they are. That's how the Insiders can sell into the market and make their money. It's really easy. All it takes is money to start with. That's how the rich stay rich and become richer. It's a wealth transfer.

Immobilien is German for Real Property (normally real estate).


Stock buy-back programs are publically announced prior to the implementation of the program. Purchases are closely monitored by the NYSE or appropriate exchange...orders can't be executed in the first half hour of trading or the last half hour so as not to influence pricingin a way so that the trading pattern of the stock is disturbed.  These days buy backs are generally put into the computer and trades are executed on a percentage of volume basis and the average price paid is measured against the shares traded with the public.  Why are buy backs done..if a company has excess free cash flow and there are no pressing funding requirements, the best investment may be in their own stock which benefits EVERY stockholder...and takes out those people who would rather go on to other things.  If the stock should rise...everyone benefits...public and management stockholders.
Among other reasons, shares are repurchsed by companies to moderate the affect of dilution from stock options given as earnings to employees as well as management. At times a company might actually sell a put on their stock rather than buy the shares since there are positive impact on earnings as the premium received is accounted for as "earnings".
The last reason any company management would use a buyback for unless it was a company intent on absolute fraud...would be to "goose a stock"....Maybe some of your pink sheet names might be in that category but I doubt any of the listed companies would do something like that... you don't want to kill the goose that's giving you an golden egg every day.

(in reply to Hippiekinkster)
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