ThatDamnedPanda
Posts: 6060
Joined: 1/26/2009 Status: offline
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quote:
ORIGINAL: SpinnerofTales I by no means was trying to indicate that a one day uptick in the stock market had any meaningful comment on the current economic policies. My point is that the downturn also has less to do with the current economic policies of the government than some would like to suggest. This is a complicated situation that puts us in rather uncharted waters and it's not going to be fixed in two months or by one piece of legislation no matter what that legislation contains. That's impossible to believe. If that's not what you were suggesting, then why did you say - quote:
Now I can't wait for the same people who blame Obama every time the stock market goes down to explain why it's despite him, not because of him, when it goes up.... And if one is going to point at a decline as proof of a failing policy, one must be willing to point to a gain as a sign of success or else show themselves as hypocrites. ...unless you felt that the rally was a "meaningful comment" on the policies you were defending? If you didn't think it was meaningful, why would you challenge people to prove it wasn't? That doesn't make any sense. quote:
ORIGINAL: SpinnerofTales Was my initial posting a bit sarcastic? I will admit to that. But the target of that sarcasm were not the economists analyzing the situation nor anyone with reasonable doubts about the effectiveness of the policies in question. The target of that sarcasm were those posters who take every bad day wall street has and waves it like a flag to show how this administration has already failed. Two things. First of all, you just contradicted yourself. Again. In your first paragraph, you stated that you didn't think yesterday's rally was any significant indicator of the validity of Obama's policies - yet here, you use that same rally to make the point that those who criticize his policies are wrong. You can't have it both ways. Either you do believe it was significant enough that it proves the people who criticize Obama are wrong, or you know it was meaningless and you were just posting flamebait. And second, I don't know if the statement I bolded simply represents a total misunderstanding of the facts, or a deliberate misrepresentation of them. I'd hate to think it was the latter, but at this point, I don't know which to believe. But either way, it's a completely inaccurate statement. The Dow opened around 8280 on Inauguration Day, if I recall correctly, and dropped over 330 points by the end of the day. It has continued to drop almost without any significant interruption ever since, and for most of the last 3 weeks has essentially been in a state of freefall - at one point closing in the mid-6500s, a drop of over 21% since Obama took office. Those of us criticizing his policies have consistently pointed to this continued trend to support our position - that at this point in time, the policies are failing to address a key factor in the economic crisis, and that the economy is suffering more than it perhaps needs to do because of that. In other words, we have been pointing to a body of data, a continuing and deepening trend of several weeks in length, to make our argument. For you to dismiss that as "pointing to every bad day on Wall Street and waving it like a flag" shows that the data with which we are supporting our position is either sailing right over your head, or that you're willing to deliberately misrepresent it in order to make your point. Neither reflects well on you. quote:
ORIGINAL: SpinnerofTales In short, my point was not that a single good day in the stock market at this point is any sign of success and a bad day no sign of failure. If one is going to engage in one side of that thinking, one should engage in both. I would far prefer that people engaged in neither. Then don't. Because thus far, you're the only person in this debate who has done so. We're basing our argument on a minimum of 3 weeks worth of data, and arguably as many as 7 weeks worth, and you're trying to disprove the validity of our argument with a 1-day rally. If you truly do not see the inconsisntency of that, I suggest you read your own posts more carefully to make sure you're not falling into that trap, or - if you're unable to see the mistake you made here - perhaps refrain from posting on this subject altogether until you have a better understanding of the issue you're debating.
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Panda, panda, burning bright In the forest of the night What immortal hand or eye Made you all black and white and roly-poly like that?
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