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An extra 20 gallons of water on the shopping list - 3/29/2009 8:38:11 AM   
TheHeretic


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        This is something that might be of interest to Southern California residents, and those who care about them.

http://quake.wr.usgs.gov/recenteqs/

      Down to the bottom right of the link page, an earthquake swarm is in progress at the southern end of the San Andreas fault.  Well over 300 quakes so far, with a 4.8 as the largest.  That section of the fault hasn't let go in 300 years, and is what is expected to produce "The Big One" for LA.

      More details can be found by Googling 'Bombay Bay earthquake,' but I would advise against the CalFire site.  It has crashed Inteernet Explorer on two different computers when I tried it.

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RE: An extra 20 gallons of water on the shopping list - 3/29/2009 8:46:53 AM   
Crush


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Don't forget TP and wipes....most people forget that what goes in must come out...and it has to be stored somewhere....




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RE: An extra 20 gallons of water on the shopping list - 3/29/2009 8:49:25 AM   
NYLass


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Crush

Don't forget TP and wipes....most people forget that what goes in must come out...and it has to be stored somewhere....





Nah, just keep a glass nearby.  That's really going green and recycling- and throwing in watersports too.

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RE: An extra 20 gallons of water on the shopping list - 3/29/2009 9:07:58 AM   
CruelNUnsual


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Maybe a nice wide fault will open between us and Mexico and we won't need to patrol the border any longer.

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RE: An extra 20 gallons of water on the shopping list - 3/29/2009 9:27:37 AM   
TheHeretic


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quote:

ORIGINAL: CruelNUnsual

Maybe a nice wide fault will open between us and Mexico and we won't need to patrol the border any longer.



       Ummm, Crue?  You do know that the border runs mostly east-west, and the fault runs generally north-south, right?  Though a good quake might collapse some of the smuggling tunnels.

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That's why people with no sense of humor have such an inflated sense of self-importance.


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RE: An extra 20 gallons of water on the shopping list - 3/29/2009 9:33:17 AM   
CruelNUnsual


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quote:

ORIGINAL: TheHeretic

quote:

ORIGINAL: CruelNUnsual

Maybe a nice wide fault will open between us and Mexico and we won't need to patrol the border any longer.



      Ummm, Crue?  You do know that the border runs mostly east-west, and the fault runs generally north-south, right?  Though a good quake might collapse some of the smuggling tunnels.


The existing faults generally run north-south. I referred to the opening of a new fault. However, my sarcasm got the best of me. A real response to the OP is that there have been clusters before and there will be clusters again before "the big one". Seismologists debate whether a cluster is indicative of any change in near term probabilities at all.

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RE: An extra 20 gallons of water on the shopping list - 3/29/2009 10:16:47 AM   
TheHeretic


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quote:

ORIGINAL: CruelNUnsual
Seismologists debate whether a cluster is indicative of any change in near term probabilities at all.



         That's one of the reasons I prefer geologists to climatologists, Crue.  They are far more willing to admit they don't have it all figured out 

        Actually, based on the current swarm event, SoCal seismologists have stated there is as much as a 5% chance of a 7.0 or greater along the southern San Andreas in the next few days as a result of this swarm event.  For people who mostly refuse to predict anything, that's worth taking note of.

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RE: An extra 20 gallons of water on the shopping list - 3/29/2009 10:40:07 AM   
CruelNUnsual


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quote:

ORIGINAL: TheHeretic

quote:

ORIGINAL: CruelNUnsual
Seismologists debate whether a cluster is indicative of any change in near term probabilities at all.



        That's one of the reasons I prefer geologists to climatologists, Crue.  They are far more willing to admit they don't have it all figured out 

       Actually, based on the current swarm event, SoCal seismologists have stated there is as much as a 5% chance of a 7.0 or greater along the southern San Andreas in the next few days as a result of this swarm event.  For people who mostly refuse to predict anything, that's worth taking note of.


You need to qualify that to "SOME SoCal seismologists". Others say it doesnt change the probabilities at all.

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RE: An extra 20 gallons of water on the shopping list - 3/29/2009 10:47:49 AM   
TheHeretic


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quote:

ORIGINAL: CruelNUnsual

You need to qualify that to "SOME SoCal seismologists". Others say it doesnt change the probabilities at all.



         Fair enough.  The probability was announced by the California Earthquake Prediction Evaluation Council

     It's a good reminder to check the kit.

_____________________________

If you lose one sense, your other senses are enhanced.
That's why people with no sense of humor have such an inflated sense of self-importance.


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RE: An extra 20 gallons of water on the shopping list - 3/29/2009 11:58:53 AM   
CruelNUnsual


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quote:

ORIGINAL: TheHeretic

quote:

ORIGINAL: CruelNUnsual

You need to qualify that to "SOME SoCal seismologists". Others say it doesnt change the probabilities at all.



        Fair enough.  The probability was announced by the California Earthquake Prediction Evaluation Council

    It's a good reminder to check the kit.


mine was stolen in 1998 and I havent replaced it  :)

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RE: An extra 20 gallons of water on the shopping list - 3/29/2009 1:22:08 PM   
Vendaval


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It is always better to be prepared for natural disasters and human made ones.

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RE: An extra 20 gallons of water on the shopping list - 3/29/2009 1:29:52 PM   
CruelNUnsual


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Vendaval

It is always better to be prepared for natural disasters and human made ones.


You mean, like, Overseas Contingency Operations?

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RE: An extra 20 gallons of water on the shopping list - 3/29/2009 2:35:28 PM   
DomImus


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quote:

ORIGINAL: CruelNUnsual
Maybe a nice wide fault will open between us and Mexico and we won't need to patrol the border any longer.


We could just paint a big crosswalk and not wait for Mother Nature.

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RE: An extra 20 gallons of water on the shopping list - 3/29/2009 2:58:04 PM   
CruelNUnsual


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quote:

ORIGINAL: DomImus

quote:

ORIGINAL: CruelNUnsual
Maybe a nice wide fault will open between us and Mexico and we won't need to patrol the border any longer.


We could just paint a big crosswalk and not wait for Mother Nature.



Awesome..then the only criminals that will get across are jaywalkers!

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RE: An extra 20 gallons of water on the shopping list - 3/29/2009 3:01:21 PM   
Vendaval


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I am thinking more along the lines of "Drunk Driver Hits Fire Hydrant" or "Meth-head Electrocuted on Live Wires".



quote:

ORIGINAL: CruelNUnsual

quote:

ORIGINAL: Vendaval

It is always better to be prepared for natural disasters and human made ones.


You mean, like, Overseas Contingency Operations?


_____________________________

"Beware, the woods at night, beware the lunar light.
So in this gray haze we'll be meating again, and on that
great day, I will tease you all the same."
"WOLF MOON", OCTOBER RUST, TYPE O NEGATIVE


http://KinkMeet.co.uk

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RE: An extra 20 gallons of water on the shopping list - 3/29/2009 7:59:20 PM   
Sanity


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Wow - 5%! That's... that's a substantial risk. Just short of alarming! I'm like you, Rich. I'd be double checking my emergency kit if I lived down there.

Meanwhile, in other geological news, I see that the other quake swarm has completely died out. No supervolcano this winter!


quote:

ORIGINAL: TheHeretic
        That's one of the reasons I prefer geologists to climatologists, Crue.  They are far more willing to admit they don't have it all figured out 

       Actually, based on the current swarm event, SoCal seismologists have stated there is as much as a 5% chance of a 7.0 or greater along the southern San Andreas in the next few days as a result of this swarm event.  For people who mostly refuse to predict anything, that's worth taking note of.


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