Lordandmaster -> RE: God or ET--which is more likely to exist? (2/10/2006 11:46:03 AM)
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Well, I suppose it's time to explain why I did this poll. As you might have surmised, my answer is ET. Every scientist I know would choose extraterrestrials if the question is framed in this way. This doesn't mean that they're right, of course; since we don't KNOW that there are any extraterrestrials (by which I mean, essentially, intelligent life forms on a planet other than Earth), no one can be said to be RIGHT. But it's a good indication of how certain people think. Considering the size of the universe, the number of planets in the universe, and the percentage of planets that could harbor life under the right circumstances, it seems, statistically speaking, nearly certain that there are extraterrestrials somewhere in the universe. A few people have tried calculating the likelihood; those sorts of exercises depend heavily on certain untestable assumptions, but basically it has to be way over 99%. Nothing we know about the universe makes much sense if there is no life anywhere other than Earth. And I don't think it's a coincidence that most scientists are also atheists. There is a radically different way of thinking about the universe, one that I think is more commonplace in American culture, which places the existence of God at Step No. 1 and derives everything else from that first commitment (sometimes according to a peculiar American form of hypocrisy that perceives a divine purpose in anything that is beneficial to oneself--as in the Puritan idea that prosperity in this life is an indication of one's salvation in the next). That way of thinking isn't necessarily incompatible with the belief in extraterrestrials, but that view of the universe would still be coherent even if there were no extraterrestrials. It is quite possible, within that logic, for God to have created mankind and mankind only. Anyway, I'd like to thank everyone for participating in the poll.
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